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The Swamp

  • #68,641
  • Jun 19, 2020 3:55am Jun 19, 2020 3:55am
within the bullish wedges yet unbroken up, is a bearish flag. out out road it appears.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #68,642
  • Jun 19, 2020 4:01am Jun 19, 2020 4:01am
Quoting gellowmellow
Good morning! My EU H4 charts as of now. {image} {image} To prepare for 1050-1200 range and pause shorts on break of TL until lower half of FOMC range.
Last EU H4 chart update, I'm switching to daily chart again from here as I've seen 1188 and day close below 1213, unless...
Any H4 above 1272 or above the wedge resistance being talked in previous posts should be a sign to buy or hedge shorts.

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But as long as H4 EU+DX refuse to enter cloud on ichimoku (which it did nicely ytd), I view current PA as early reversal.

++

Weekly SMA200: 1.133x

Weekly Open+H4 SMA100: 1.123x

Weekly SMA100: 1.121x

Monthly Open: 1.1113

Daily SMA200: 1.102x

Monthly Pivot: 1.1000

Peace is more valuable than success.
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  • #68,643
  • Jun 19, 2020 4:07am Jun 19, 2020 4:07am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} lc being higher.. I have to play the system (yesterday high area tested). Noted, if tomorrow is below 1243. I think next week will drop. This drop may make the R stronger. and lower than 1250/70.. 1247/67 now.
definable a direction will be proven wrong. pa is still contained within the purple wedge w/o a close above 1217... time is low, something has to give. So far, the bears have it. 6.5 hs till lc.

its compressing.. the winner undetermined.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #68,644
  • Jun 19, 2020 4:30am Jun 19, 2020 4:30am
It looks like the little guy is winning. This time, maybe he will. Don't get caught with a sure bet, on drop. lc day was higher. Although pa is bearish looking. Its not often the little guy wins these. Some support 1193 ish. When the little guy losses, the big guys try to give maximum pain. If this thing breaks north. let go of the rope.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #68,645
  • Jun 19, 2020 4:33am Jun 19, 2020 4:33am
EU Limit Sell 12288
Swiss Rates Down pressure on EU
Waiting for NY Open.. To Seal Down Pressure
  • #68,646
  • Jun 19, 2020 4:46am Jun 19, 2020 4:46am
Quoting gatorinla
It looks like the little guy is winning. This time, maybe he will. Don't get caught with a sure bet, on drop. lc day was higher. Although pa is bearish looking. Its not often the little guy wins these. Some support 1193 ish. When the little guy losses, the big guys try to give maximum pain. If this thing breaks north. let go of the rope.
very poetic
  • #68,647
  • Jun 19, 2020 4:51am Jun 19, 2020 4:51am
Quoting gatenio
{quote} very poetic
those wedges have 2 set target area 1352 or 1421. If it goes North, you may want to back off shorts till it settles.

I see the best set up in 3 months for bear R at 1231/56. The problem is the wedges. I cant hang on a loser with the potential to run a few hundred pips or more.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #68,648
  • Jun 19, 2020 5:00am Jun 19, 2020 5:00am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} those wedges have 2 set target area 1352 or 1421. If it goes North, you may want to back off shorts till it settles.
im not shorting..
i mention it few times, my 4h miss some level before the drop. (atm the level is 1300-, if next week so it lower.)
so i just scalping long, have a few underwater, highest on 1252
first need to clear 1223, i dont have your 1217 on my chart.
i think i will take some money out of it.
  • #68,649
  • Jun 19, 2020 5:04am Jun 19, 2020 5:04am
I had sure things blow up in my face. Life's a dance you learn as you go.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #68,650
  • Jun 19, 2020 5:08am Jun 19, 2020 5:08am
Quoting gatorinla
I had sure things blow up in my face. Life's a dance you learn as you go. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TOp_EW-Mirs
What sure things are you refering to?
  • #68,651
  • Jun 19, 2020 5:12am Jun 19, 2020 5:12am
Quoting q_import
{quote} What sure things are you refering to?
It looks very bearish. It may be deceiving. Shorts fine against 1230/55 R, but be prepared to bail.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #68,652
  • Jun 19, 2020 5:15am Jun 19, 2020 5:15am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} It looks very bearish. It may be deceiving. Shorts fine, but be prepared to bail.
imo the only bearish i see is 1h (and month )
  • #68,653
  • Jun 19, 2020 5:18am Jun 19, 2020 5:18am
Good morning... from Newsqawk.. EU 1.1204 atm
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  • #68,654
  • Jun 19, 2020 5:20am Jun 19, 2020 5:20am
Quoting gatenio
{quote} imo the only bearish i see is 1h (and month )
That's what may be needed to drop. More people to be bullish. Less people to be bearish. A good wtf spike would get shorts to close, and bulls to add. Then pull the rip cord for a drop.

A bullish wedge is descending, so it will show LH and LL. It lures people to a often false sense of direction.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #68,655
  • Jun 19, 2020 5:23am Jun 19, 2020 5:23am
EurUsd datapoints atm...
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  • #68,656
  • Jun 19, 2020 5:31am Jun 19, 2020 5:31am
Quoting gatorinla
within the bullish wedges yet unbroken up, is a bearish flag. out out road it appears. {image}
bearish flag is breaking lower. bullish wedges still contain.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #68,657
  • Jun 19, 2020 5:31am Jun 19, 2020 5:31am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} That's what may be needed to drop. More people to be bullish. Less people to be bearish. A good wtf spike would get shorts to close, and bulls to add. Then pull the rip cord for a drop.
big demand zone.
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  • #68,658
  • Jun 19, 2020 5:38am Jun 19, 2020 5:38am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} never mind.. I started shorts refills from here 1209 and up... good night...
booked at 1199 ++10
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  • #68,659
  • Jun 19, 2020 5:38am Jun 19, 2020 5:38am
EU chase short 1198.. will add
  • #68,660
  • Jun 19, 2020 5:41am Jun 19, 2020 5:41am
Quoting gellowmellow
first reload 1211, coz 121x might start becoming R
Settling for +15 pips here, out to buy dinner and ice cream.
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Peace is more valuable than success.
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