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The Swamp

  • #67,741
  • Jun 12, 2020 11:57am Jun 12, 2020 11:57am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} longer one until EU falls https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CHVfXZ4Igd4
music is good
don't know why the picture in front.

i guess it was for Gator lol
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #67,742
  • Jun 12, 2020 11:59am Jun 12, 2020 11:59am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} adding GU dropped 300 from top {image}
Money managers are very short on GU mate
I'll check tonight with the cot report to see what they have done

If they are even more short i'll load more on the short side

and i'm sure chf and jpy rise were just to screw short.....big thing is the short side for both of them
COT will let us know tonight
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #67,743
  • Jun 12, 2020 12:00pm Jun 12, 2020 12:00pm
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} music is good don't know why the picture in front. i guess it was for Gator lol
its a good pic...
bored here and enjoy music... threw some lazy trade and made +10
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 1.png Size: 28 KB
  • #67,744
  • Jun 12, 2020 12:02pm Jun 12, 2020 12:02pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} need an h close below 1238 to trust it.
better.. 1206 may be enough.. possible support 118x1206.. maybe a bounce.. bears want the day close below 1194
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #67,745
  • Jun 12, 2020 12:03pm Jun 12, 2020 12:03pm
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} Money managers are very short on GU mate I'll check tonight with the cot report to see what they have done If they are even more short i'll load more on the short side and i'm sure chf and jpy rise were just to screw short.....big thing is the short side for both of them COT will let us know tonight
thanks buddy

want too see the COT too on all of them

i'm building small - i am exposed on short EU and AUD position is 10x compared to GU will add on down. maybe go into some calls otm

also i got daily and weekly support at 1.25

in worst case i am expecting 1.2 for GU or 1.22 so not going aggressive - also a 300-500 pip will probably get a 200 pip down for EU - that will be very good for me.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #67,746
  • Jun 12, 2020 12:03pm Jun 12, 2020 12:03pm
Closed another one +11. I am done. Going to enjoy one good meal on my birthday. Enjoy your weekend folks! Thanks for this week.
  • #67,747
  • Jun 12, 2020 12:05pm Jun 12, 2020 12:05pm
Quoting Maroc-Ismail
Closed another one +11. I am done. Going to enjoy one good meal on my birthday. Enjoy your weekend folks! Thanks for this week.
Happy Birthday buddy
Wish you love and health - money usually comes if you have those 2
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #67,748
  • Jun 12, 2020 12:06pm Jun 12, 2020 12:06pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} i am so happy atm.. finally EU is giving up some... H4 uptrend stop here 1267... testing 2 hours and 15 mins to go... if bears can reverse H4 trend, I will add more EU shorts
H4 just reversed to downtrend at close.. new H4 downtrend cycle may last 4 to 5 days.. next week , lets see bears can reverse the day trend...
Attached Image
  • #67,749
  • Jun 12, 2020 12:07pm Jun 12, 2020 12:07pm
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} thanks buddy want too see the COT too on all of them i'm building small - i am exposed on short EU and AUD position is 10x compared to GU will add on down. maybe go into some calls otm also i got daily and weekly support at 1.25 in worst case i am expecting 1.2 for GU or 1.22 so not going aggressive - also a 300-500 pip will probably get a 200 pip down for EU - that will be very good for me.
Anytime mate

I'm expecting around 12280 on GU, so for sure EU will lead the way, along with equities i guess
So plenty of pips for both of us

And on the long run GU is bullish, so you are on the right path, and i'll follow you soon
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #67,750
  • Jun 12, 2020 12:08pm Jun 12, 2020 12:08pm
Quoting Maroc-Ismail
Closed another one +11. I am done. Going to enjoy one good meal on my birthday. Enjoy your weekend folks! Thanks for this week.
Happy birthday, enjoy that day! take care
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #67,751
  • Jun 12, 2020 12:09pm Jun 12, 2020 12:09pm
Quoting Maroc-Ismail
Closed another one +11. I am done. Going to enjoy one good meal on my birthday. Enjoy your weekend folks! Thanks for this week.
Happy Birthday Maroc-Ismail! Its nice to know you in swamp thread...
  • #67,752
  • Jun 12, 2020 12:10pm Jun 12, 2020 12:10pm
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} Money managers are very short on GU mate I'll check tonight with the cot report to see what they have done If they are even more short i'll load more on the short side and i'm sure chf and jpy rise were just to screw short.....big thing is the short side for both of them COT will let us know tonight
seeing some SPY buying activity on options. but will love to see COT today.
yesterday sell was pretty ordered like algo's so did Big Players reduced longs?
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #67,753
  • Jun 12, 2020 12:10pm Jun 12, 2020 12:10pm
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} adding GU dropped 300 from top {image}
Bulls are waiting around 1.2330.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU.png Size: 116 KB
  • #67,754
  • Jun 12, 2020 12:11pm Jun 12, 2020 12:11pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} need an h close below 1238 to trust it.
Done. Lower than the 9th
  • #67,755
  • Jun 12, 2020 12:14pm Jun 12, 2020 12:14pm
Quoting Fadhl
{quote} Bulls are waiting around 1.2330. {image}
nice chart.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #67,756
  • Jun 12, 2020 12:15pm Jun 12, 2020 12:15pm
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} seeing some SPY buying activity on options. but will love to see COT today. yesterday sell was pretty ordered like algo's so did Big Players reduced longs?
Seeing lots of call buying? COT should be very interesting

I guess we should have more drop on equities. What i didn't like to see on COT is seeing dealers very long on top (aka buy-side selling a lot on top which is very unusual)
I would suspect more drop, until dealers go very very long, then i'll look for big names and load some
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #67,757
  • Jun 12, 2020 12:16pm Jun 12, 2020 12:16pm
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} thanks buddy want too see the COT too on all of them i'm building small - i am exposed on short EU and AUD position is 10x compared to GU will add on down. maybe go into some calls otm also i got daily and weekly support at 1.25 in worst case i am expecting 1.2 for GU or 1.22 so not going aggressive - also a 300-500 pip will probably get a 200 pip down for EU - that will be very good for me.
I watch the amount they lend at if its under it then you see price fall if its over they are borrowing.. The the return of capital for over night is also shown
https://www.global-rates.com/interes...bor/libor.aspx

Settlement and Repayment schedules are on the banks websites.
I wish I was lent at those rates they would pay me to live in my house
  • #67,758
  • Jun 12, 2020 12:19pm Jun 12, 2020 12:19pm
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} Seeing lots of call buying? COT should be very interesting I guess we should have more drop on equities. What i didn't like to see on COT is seeing dealers very long on top (aka buy-side selling a lot on top which is very unusual) I would suspect more drop, until dealers go very very long, then i'll look for big names and load some
not a lot . some june 314 SPY

that unusual move of dealers. has guided me so far.
but did they sell like crazy to reduce. if that is the case it can go lower. i want to see a no change after a 200 drop on SPX
about dealers not sure. they were (as a net exposure) very bad from MArch until this week.

also since most of the Hedge funds (NET exposure) are out of the market this drops should be bot. if not i am not sure what to say 340 for SPY would not suprise me this year. maybe more.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #67,759
  • Jun 12, 2020 12:21pm Jun 12, 2020 12:21pm
Quoting q_import
{quote} I watch the amount they lend at if its under it then you see price fall if its over they are borrowing.. The the return of capital for over night is also shown https://www.global-rates.com/interes...bor/libor.aspx Settlement and Repayment schedules are on the banks websites. I wish I was lent at those rates they would pay me to live in my house

I look at LQD no moves yet on the downside i know FED is buying there but no drop yet i mean small one yesterday today is up
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #67,760
  • Jun 12, 2020 12:21pm Jun 12, 2020 12:21pm
Quoting Boulder
6/12/2020 EU trading levels... next to print 1323 or 1260 RU R3 ----------1.1408 DP R2 ----------1.1402 MP R3 ----------1.1385 DP R1 ----------1.1375 WP R1 ----------1.1366 RU R2 ----------1.1355 DP PP ----------1.1331 RU R1 ----------1.1323 DP S1 ----------1.1287 DP S2 ----------1.1260 WP PP ----------1.1258 RU S1 ----------1.1258 MP R2 ----------1.1240 RU S2 ----------1.1226 DP S3 ----------1.1216 RU S3 ----------1.1173
cleared most of lower levels...114 adr already.. day reached ... next to print 1216 if bears can do it...

RU R2 ----------1.1355
DP PP ----------1.1331
RU R1 ----------1.1323
DP S1 ----------1.1287
DP S2 ----------1.1260
WP PP ----------1.1258
RU S1 ----------1.1258
MP R2 ----------1.1240
RU S2 ----------1.1226
DP S3 ----------1.1216
RU S3 ----------1.1173

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