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The Swamp

  • #66,221
  • Jun 3, 2020 3:04am Jun 3, 2020 3:04am
Quoting Maroc-Ismail
{quote} Yes, M15 engulfed. Bears are going to hold your weekly stop with everything they have. Everything in my analysis comes together at 1,1240 and when I see your number, it only convinces me more. I know I am trading against the trend, but we got our reasons.
not sure this can get to 1240s..due to 2 billion option expy at 1210-1220 today....of course if this can get there, i will short without hesitation..
  • #66,222
  • Jun 3, 2020 3:05am Jun 3, 2020 3:05am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} This unstoppable EurJpy drives EurUsd up...probably because whole stock markets are up.....
Your posts are priceless
  • #66,223
  • Jun 3, 2020 3:06am Jun 3, 2020 3:06am
GU has some good volume for the bearish side, but it seems to be a dollar and yen move so far

Below 12550 could help for 12505

For the EU below 1183 is good for 1131
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #66,224
  • Jun 3, 2020 3:10am Jun 3, 2020 3:10am
Quoting kuroro001
GU has some good volume for the bearish side, but it seems to be a dollar and yen move so far
The COT report, I know speculators net long Eur last week.. are they shorting yen? , I wonder you tracked that ...
  • #66,225
  • Jun 3, 2020 3:10am Jun 3, 2020 3:10am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} The COT report, I know speculator net long Eur last week.. are they shorting yen? , I wonder you track that ...
For the past few like there is no tomorrow mate

I'll post a link for you to show

Check here for a few charts i have made (check the short dealers)
https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...9#post12960389
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #66,226
  • Jun 3, 2020 3:11am Jun 3, 2020 3:11am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} This unstoppable EurJpy drives EurUsd up...probably because whole stock markets are up.....
yeah that is why I tracked ej R. 122.01 may reject along with eu 122x
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #66,227
  • Jun 3, 2020 3:12am Jun 3, 2020 3:12am
close sell +15
open buy
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  • #66,228
  • Jun 3, 2020 3:14am Jun 3, 2020 3:14am
ran out of road.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #66,229
  • Jun 3, 2020 3:16am Jun 3, 2020 3:16am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} yeah that is why I tracked ej R. 122.01 may reject along with eu 122x
yeah.. the drop has started!!!
Once I saw that option expry info.. I kind knew ...
  • #66,230
  • Jun 3, 2020 3:18am Jun 3, 2020 3:18am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} yeah.. the drop has started!!! Once I saw that option expry info.. I kind knew ...
How do you use that option expiry info? Use it a support/resistance?
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #66,231
  • Jun 3, 2020 3:19am Jun 3, 2020 3:19am
Quoting gatenio
close sell +15 open buy {image} {image}
Better be careful not to buy the top. I think the drop is coming. I'm not sure if it will help EU but USDCHF is trying to push up to previous high.

On my another account, my pending EU sell managed to activated at 1.1225. Might be the top, might be not. No SL on this one.
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  • #66,232
  • Jun 3, 2020 3:20am Jun 3, 2020 3:20am
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} How do you use that option expiry info? Use it a support/resistance?
yeah more like for the day.. magnetic pull for certain levels
  • #66,233
  • Jun 3, 2020 3:29am Jun 3, 2020 3:29am
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} For the past few like there is no tomorrow mate I'll post a link for you to show Check here for a few charts i have made (check the short dealers) https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...9#post12960389
are those Assets managers the same as non-commercial category in COT?
  • #66,234
  • Jun 3, 2020 3:34am Jun 3, 2020 3:34am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} are those Assets managers the same as non-commercial category in COT?
Yes, alongside with money managers
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #66,235
  • Jun 3, 2020 3:36am Jun 3, 2020 3:36am
Quoting gatenio
close sell +15 open buy {image} {image}
close it +8.
i dont like PA at all
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  • #66,236
  • Jun 3, 2020 3:37am Jun 3, 2020 3:37am
https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...2#post12853042
Might also add that this channel is still very much working. Except now we have a ghost line from that 1.1814 high. That just happens to be 1.1229 for today.

Also, I knew something is very familiar about that 1.1209:
https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...6#post12197896
  • #66,237
  • Jun 3, 2020 3:42am Jun 3, 2020 3:42am
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} For the past few like there is no tomorrow mate I'll post a link for you to show Check here for a few charts i have made (check the short dealers) https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...9#post12960389
glad to see you here

i think Big players are taking down risk. we will see on Friday
another problem is that Hedge funds are completely out of the market (on a net basis)

Still think we can get surprise on risk to the upside while every dip should be bot
Also some vaccine rumors again.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #66,238
  • Jun 3, 2020 3:44am Jun 3, 2020 3:44am
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} How do you use that option expiry info? Use it a support/resistance?
Very interesting analysis. You're right that most asset and money managers are long.
But they already offloaded yesterday. Whether or not the offloading is complete I'm not sure. But I do know that a lot of retailers were killed yesterday.
  • #66,239
  • Jun 3, 2020 3:44am Jun 3, 2020 3:44am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} glad to see you here i think Big players are taking down risk. we will see on Friday another problem is that Hedge funds are completely out of the market (on a net basis) Still think we can get surprise on risk to the upside while every dip should be bot Also some vaccine rumors again.
Thanks! This place is full of good traders and no there are no "i'm the best trader" contest in here , it suits me better

You are talking about the stock market for the dip buying? If so, i do agree but buying s&p 3100 ? i'm not taking that risk yet
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #66,240
  • Jun 3, 2020 3:49am Jun 3, 2020 3:49am
Quoting thelws
{quote} Very interesting analysis. You're right that most asset and money managers are long. But they already offloaded yesterday. Whether or not the offloading is complete I'm not sure. But I do know that a lot of retailers were killed yesterday.
I guess we'll see on friday if they have unloaded but they were heavy loaded and such process don't happen within a week.
It could take weeks (months) before they reverse their course

Of course there'll be up and down along the way up, but for now i'm bearish JPY, bullish CAD, bearish CHF (all as per COT report)

About the retailers, for sure they were
Are you looking the FXCM SSI ? it can be a good indicator of market sentiment too
COT: The precious data ignored
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