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The Swamp

  • #65,981
  • Jun 1, 2020 8:54pm Jun 1, 2020 8:54pm
Quoting gellowmellow
H4 giving up? First close below tenkan-sen (1114) will be a sign, never had one since Wed.
Good morning!

Never had a follow up H4 close around the area or lower... it’ll fly if we don’t see H4 closes around 110x.

No signs of DX bulls on dailies either.
Peace is more valuable than success.
LifeDrifts v1 [automated] All Time Return: -0.1%
  • #65,982
  • Jun 1, 2020 8:58pm Jun 1, 2020 8:58pm
Quoting gellowmellow
{quote} Good morning! Never had a follow up H4 close around the area or lower... it’ll fly if we don’t see H4 closes around 110x. No signs of DX bulls on dailies either.
watching this day usdx..

As bullish as the eu has been, it has not strayed far from 1137 yet.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #65,983
  • Edited 9:26pm Jun 1, 2020 9:05pm | Edited 9:26pm
Quoting Don96
{quote} 1.11318, not a bad attempt, b.e my short, perhaps this is where i should tp, 3p sl, 9p gain, losses would probably still outweigh the wins at that, im not sure by how many. 4x 4hr candles closed below the highest close at 39/40... last time i ignored the closes it was on gu and it cost me, i rode it short for 500pips+ and lost 350 in a 50 pip move up... 2 years ago maybe?
Some numbers (25, 35,) i may be too zoomed in, the candles were in low volume, it may hold zero weighting.

1.11258, it may be enough it may not, clustery sitting all below until 1.1077?

Same story, h4 didnt close above 1.1139 yet... it also didnt close below 09... still watching 09, 98 etc, gator on testing the low within 21 hours. A few hours to go yet




Im not sure on long at 1.1110, my sl would need to be at 1.1101 at least... and thats in a cluster with 98 just below, 98 and 09/10 are similar on my chart
  • #65,984
  • Jun 1, 2020 9:35pm Jun 1, 2020 9:35pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} watching this day usdx.. As bullish as the eu has been, it has not strayed far from 1137 yet. {image}
I noticed this as well when I checked how the daily candles closed. While DX continuously goes south sending other USD pairs into beast mode, EU behaved and was contained in 1137.

I find it hard to apply same psychology from the past 2 months that every 2nd trading day onwards will be EU bearish, because the past 2 months DX is consolidating whereas now 61.8 fib is broken.

I’m starting to doubt 1.12 is the peak if we don’t go down from here...
Peace is more valuable than success.
LifeDrifts v1 [automated] All Time Return: -0.1%
  • #65,985
  • Jun 1, 2020 10:17pm Jun 1, 2020 10:17pm
Quoting gellowmellow
{quote} I noticed this as well when I checked how the daily candles closed. While DX continuously goes south sending other USD pairs into beast mode, EU behaved and was contained in 1137. I find it hard to apply same psychology from the past 2 months that every 2nd trading day onwards will be EU bearish, because the past 2 months DX is consolidating whereas now 61.8 fib is broken. I’m starting to doubt 1.12 is the peak if we don’t go down from here...
we need more doubt, so it drops. The more doubt, the better. When FF gets quiet, its almost time.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #65,986
  • Jun 2, 2020 1:39am Jun 2, 2020 1:39am
Good morning.. From Newsqawk...EurUsd 1.1131 atm
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  • #65,987
  • Jun 2, 2020 1:47am Jun 2, 2020 1:47am
Quoting DMA Trader
we have data (not that important) in line we have at least 10 european banks with holiday today so i would not make much of any moves today US opens in 45 minutes. maybe they begin to do somthing worth analyzing. you have ES futures pretty much at a level where they've been all night you have futures in CL at the same price of the open so really i will all change in 40 minutes
still some restrictions in Europe with holidays but let's see if we get some action.
ES futures held up pretty well with all this riots.

3060 ON SPX
1.15 on EU some Resistance on both

for the sake of Stops i think we could take them.

Economy is opening also here. don't have an idea yet. people are out but spending is down. most of the business opens in 2 weeks some in 1 month
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #65,988
  • Jun 2, 2020 1:56am Jun 2, 2020 1:56am
EurUsd data points atm.. bears are coming to do their jobs soon ....watch H1 stop 1.1113
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  • #65,989
  • Jun 2, 2020 1:57am Jun 2, 2020 1:57am
Quoting Boulder
Good morning.. From Newsqawk...EurUsd 1.1131 atm {image}
if u can hit 1015 I will give you a cookie.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #65,990
  • Jun 2, 2020 2:02am Jun 2, 2020 2:02am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} if u can hit 1015 I will give you a cookie.
that will be 123 pips adr .. too much to ask....
but its doable in a day or two..

I am not going to do much till H1 can reverse to downtrend ...it may happen today ...
  • #65,991
  • Jun 2, 2020 2:11am Jun 2, 2020 2:11am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} that will be 123 pips adr .. too much to ask.... but its doable in a day or two.. I am not going to do much till H1 can reverse to downtrend ...it may happen today ...
Some 5 min R 1125/27, the 1h closed lower.. this is your shot..4h needs -1099
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #65,992
  • Jun 2, 2020 2:15am Jun 2, 2020 2:15am
Inserted Video
  • #65,993
  • Jun 2, 2020 2:15am Jun 2, 2020 2:15am
Quoting jaylovin
{quote} to add to the mock trades: EURUSD Long until 1.1149 EDIT: close this -5 existing and remaining: Eurjpy - 121.05 Gbpjpy - 135.00

Gbpjpy - 135.00 target hit.

Remaining one mock trade long target:

Eurjpy - 121.05
  • #65,994
  • Jun 2, 2020 2:27am Jun 2, 2020 2:27am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Some 5 min R 1125/27, the 1h closed lower.. this is your shot..4h needs -1099
back above,, still consolidating..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #65,995
  • Jun 2, 2020 2:29am Jun 2, 2020 2:29am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} that will be 123 pips adr .. too much to ask.... but its doable in a day or two.. I am not going to do much till H1 can reverse to downtrend ...it may happen today ...
nothing for me to do either atm..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #65,996
  • Jun 2, 2020 2:30am Jun 2, 2020 2:30am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Some 5 min R 1125/27, the 1h closed lower.. this is your shot..4h needs -1099
that level is very imp
but if we close back above 1.113 on H1 bulls still in control
also we got +300 from bottom and on H4 consolidation. doesn't look anything like selling
and if PA continues the same 1.11 should provide very strong support area. ...

next R above 1.115 -> 1.118 - 1.12
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #65,997
  • Jun 2, 2020 2:33am Jun 2, 2020 2:33am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} that will be 123 pips adr .. too much to ask.... but its doable in a day or two.. I am not going to do much till H1 can reverse to downtrend ...it may happen today ...
between your 30 min and 1h.
Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #65,998
  • Jun 2, 2020 2:39am Jun 2, 2020 2:39am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} that level is very imp but if we close back above 1.113 on H1 bulls still in control also we got +300 from bottom and on H4 consolidation. doesn't look anything like selling and if PA continues the same 1.11 should provide very strong support area. ... next R above 1.115 -> 1.118 - 1.12
interesting rejection let's see the H close
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #65,999
  • Jun 2, 2020 2:39am Jun 2, 2020 2:39am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} that level is very imp but if we close back above 1.113 on H1 bulls still in control also we got +300 from bottom and on H4 consolidation. doesn't look anything like selling and if PA continues the same 1.11 should provide very strong support area. ... next R above 1.115 -> 1.118 - 1.12
no doubt its bullish and this could become support.
Using something a little different. Week bulls were unable to close above 1137. So its still a R area. New month now. Settlement is over. Its bullish into week R.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #66,000
  • Jun 2, 2020 2:42am Jun 2, 2020 2:42am
need some theme music..Feel like _______
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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