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The Swamp

  • #65,601
  • May 28, 2020 8:15pm May 28, 2020 8:15pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I have to wait 4h to see the new candle close. {image}
bearish harami on 4h,, a 4 close below 1064 may be bearish.. it may be support until..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #65,602
  • Edited 9:05pm May 28, 2020 8:50pm | Edited 9:05pm
The second h4 didnt seem bearish... asia not due to move it so much may mess up potential bearish pa, looks like higher, move has cost me and looks like my short at 90 going b.e...
Ej short in profit

1h close below 1.1080 may be better, 9 mins to go

+ retail massively short... altough it will lag, its almost 70% short, all the big ones are 60+ usually at this weighting we see a turn but its not reliable


I dont trade this way but safest option seems to long with a stop at 65 or so... i prefer r:r with a short, 4 pip sl re entered... i booked 4 from here already
  • #65,603
  • Edited 9:41pm May 28, 2020 9:28pm | Edited 9:41pm
Quoting Don96
The second h4 didnt seem bearish... asia not due to move it so much may mess up potential bearish pa, looks like higher, move has cost me and looks like my short at 90 going b.e... Ej short in profit 1h close below 1.1080 may be better, 9 mins to go + retail massively short... altough it will lag, its almost 70% short, all the big ones are 60+ usually at this weighting we see a turn but its not reliable I dont trade this way but safest option seems to long with a stop at 65 or so... i prefer r:r with a short, 4 pip sl re entered... i booked 4 from...
1h now needs to stay below 89 and close below 80/70 before it may start to topple into higher timeframes... hopefully asia dont get the high

I dont have laptop so cant see things as clear, as it stands, its breaking the high, 2hr 20 to go and its through asia with EJ already moving, need to check uj
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  • #65,604
  • May 28, 2020 10:54pm May 28, 2020 10:54pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} bearish harami on 4h,, a 4 close below 1064 may be bearish.. it may be support until.. {image}
Looks like will break 1.110. May be long time to see eu break 1.09 again as momentum is strong, unless some good news from america. Stuck shoet eu atm
  • #65,605
  • Edited 11:10pm May 28, 2020 11:00pm | Edited 11:10pm
Quoting Don96
{quote} 1h now needs to stay below 89 and close below 80/70 before it may start to topple into higher timeframes... hopefully asia dont get the high I dont have laptop so cant see things as clear, as it stands, its breaking the high, 2hr 20 to go and its through asia with EJ already moving, need to check uj {image}
Hourly closed above 88, we could see a break... i dont know how strong


55 mins to close h4 below 76, i have a long that will be stopped at 81, i have a short ( edit, another added with very tight sl) that will be stopped at 95, i favour the long winning but short has better rr. I may get punched in the face twice.
  • #65,606
  • May 29, 2020 1:07am May 29, 2020 1:07am
Quoting Boulder
EurUsd 5/29/2020 levels... next to print 1055 or 1094 RU R3 ----------1.1180 DP R3 ----------1.1157 RU R2 ----------1.1133 DP R2 ----------1.1118 WP R3 ----------1.1112 RU R1 ----------1.1105 MP R2 ----------1.1100 DP R1 ----------1.1094 DP PP ----------1.1055 RU S1 ----------1.1049 WP R2 ----------1.1032 MP R1 ----------1.1026 RU S2 ----------1.1021 DP S1 ----------1.1016 DP S2 ----------1.0992 WP R1 ----------1.0983 RU S3 ----------1.0974
Power of month end balancing...next to print 1112 or 1055

RU R3 ----------1.1180
DP R3 ----------1.1157
RU R2 ----------1.1133
DP R2 ----------1.1118
WP R3 ----------1.1112
RU R1 ----------1.1105
MP R2 ----------1.1100
DP R1 ----------1.1094
DP PP ----------1.1055
RU S1 ----------1.1049
WP R2 ----------1.1032
MP R1 ----------1.1026
RU S2 ----------1.1021
DP S1 ----------1.1016
DP S2 ----------1.0992
WP R1 ----------1.0983
RU S3 ----------1.0974

1
  • #65,607
  • May 29, 2020 1:14am May 29, 2020 1:14am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Power of month end balancing...next to print 1112 or 1055 RU R3 ----------1.1180 DP R3 ----------1.1157 RU R2 ----------1.1133 DP R2 ----------1.1118 WP R3 ----------1.1112 RU R1 ----------1.1105 MP R2 ----------1.1100 DP R1 ----------1.1094 DP PP ----------1.1055 RU S1 ----------1.1049 WP R2 ----------1.1032 MP R1 ----------1.1026 RU S2 ----------1.1021 DP S1 ----------1.1016 DP S2 ----------1.0992 WP R1 ----------1.0983 RU S3 ----------1.0974 1
good morning.

h1 bearish divergence.
idk if it kick up.
if it will maybe 1050 get test.
  • #65,608
  • May 29, 2020 1:20am May 29, 2020 1:20am
Quoting gatenio
{quote} good morning. h1 bearish divergence. idk if it kick up. if it will maybe 1050 get test.
the run a little over stretch with 92 hours run so far, 2 pips less than weekly R3 1112.. lets see ...
  • #65,609
  • May 29, 2020 1:22am May 29, 2020 1:22am
Can make a good short argument for EU here. Touch of upper line of down sloping channel long term at the same time as top of upsloping shorter time channel.
would be easier with a picture but on phone at this time
  • #65,610
  • May 29, 2020 1:36am May 29, 2020 1:36am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} the run a little over stretch with 92 hours run so far, 2 pips less than weekly R3 1112.. lets see ...
so h1 need to reverse for downtrend soon.
  • #65,611
  • May 29, 2020 2:14am May 29, 2020 2:14am
Quoting gatenio
{quote} so h1 need to reverse for downtrend soon.
not fight the month end flow.. it does something like this all the time...
run on last day of month, it might have started on Wednesday, may last to June 1...before finally to come down..
  • #65,612
  • May 29, 2020 2:32am May 29, 2020 2:32am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} not fight the month end flow.. it does something like this all the time... run on last day of month, it might have started on Wednesday, may last to June 1...before finally to come down..
imo we saw the top, weekly r on 1.106x cant pass that easy.
  • #65,613
  • Edited 2:47am May 29, 2020 2:33am | Edited 2:47am
From Newsquawk..Eur 1.1108 atm.....two major one ...1.1050-55 or 1.1145-55... lets see which will get hit today or both...
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  • #65,614
  • Edited 4:01am May 29, 2020 3:50am | Edited 4:01am
119.53 on Eurjpy coming imo

this is also resistance. Let’s see - watching and learning
  • #65,615
  • May 29, 2020 3:53am May 29, 2020 3:53am
Quoting jaylovin
119.53 on Eurjpy coming imo this is also resistance. Let’s see - watching and learning
I bought some 119.05 and 119.10... learn to hold...
  • #65,616
  • May 29, 2020 3:55am May 29, 2020 3:55am
Possible gartley if pennant fails.
Its not pretty, no ABCD pattern.

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  • #65,617
  • Edited 4:17am May 29, 2020 4:01am | Edited 4:17am
Quoting jaylovin
119.53 on Eurjpy coming imo this is also resistance. Let’s see - watching and learning

damnit I took a long for 119.53... if 119.60 breaks with conviction then stand aside, usd pairs are getting weak but not euro... I see eurusd broke 1.11... 1.1250 next probably... 1.1350 could be the line in the sand but have to see closer to the time
  • #65,618
  • May 29, 2020 4:02am May 29, 2020 4:02am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I bought some 119.05 and 119.10... learn to hold...

https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...7#post12970617
  • #65,619
  • May 29, 2020 4:07am May 29, 2020 4:07am
Anyone have a spread over 1 on eu?
  • #65,620
  • May 29, 2020 4:10am May 29, 2020 4:10am
they even dont look for young bulls sl, dont get it
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