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The Swamp

  • #64,521
  • May 20, 2020 2:15pm May 20, 2020 2:15pm
So some FOMC members talking about going the japan route in bond markets.....
  • #64,522
  • May 20, 2020 2:27pm May 20, 2020 2:27pm
Quoting gatorinla
Anomaly? The death rate on Sunday drops.. I assume deaths Sunday, are reported Monday. At the official place reported. But if you look at the following Monday. These are also smaller than the closer bars, excluding Sunday. Tuesday looks like the more active day to die. Without exception..What the hell is going on with Tuesday's? {image}
Tuesday does it again.. What the hell is going on with Tuesday's? Sunday (lowest) and Monday were lower.. we have a pattern.

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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #64,523
  • May 20, 2020 2:45pm May 20, 2020 2:45pm
Quoting longshot_nl
{quote} dammit forgot why i have 672 sma in my 4h template. its 22.4 week it seems to work though {image}
... am bearish till close above or 0887.

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  • #64,524
  • May 20, 2020 4:19pm May 20, 2020 4:19pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} yesterday was a beautiful 4h bearish engulfing... but day was green.. I suspect it will repeat to 1037 or 1063 maybe 1077.. I favor shorts under 1080, the closer to 1063, the better.
today's close is higher than yesterday's close and high. lc was higher. The big wedge was broken. Pa is within my box for a short. I will wait for a little more.. my box 0975/1080. 1063 or 1037 I think were missed.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #64,525
  • May 20, 2020 4:27pm May 20, 2020 4:27pm
heads up oanda chf
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #64,526
  • May 20, 2020 4:43pm May 20, 2020 4:43pm
Quoting gatorinla
heads up oanda chf {image}
must have something to do with recent SNB step up intervention,.. I may pause the swiss trade till they are back to normal...
  • #64,527
  • May 20, 2020 5:08pm May 20, 2020 5:08pm
Quoting Maroc-Ismail
{quote} Here it is.. As you can see we're entering a supply area where also the strong 200 daily EMA is. I expect a daily candle close below 1,0987 (61% fib). Asia may directly retest the highs, for London to drop it. H4 is screaming for a downswing to 1,0860. If that happens we may see 1,06 real soon(Next week?) and after some time 1,03. This is just my analysis for the coming weeks, I may be wrong, but I believe we are at a critical point right now. My view will get stronger if I see this daily candle close below 1,0986. This range is all just...
As expected a daily close below 1,0987. I expect Asia to go past 1,10. It may provide excellent short opportunities! 1,1018 / 1,1037 may provide it. If not Gators 1,1063! Daily target for tomorrow = 1,0860 I may be wrong..
  • #64,528
  • Edited 6:52pm May 20, 2020 6:34pm | Edited 6:52pm
Quoting gatorinla
heads up oanda chf {image}

Thanks for the heads up... When I look at the Futures SF contract it's pretty obvious they are trying to limit upside appreciation of their currency on certain days (I can see it as recent as May 18th).

I remember when they removed the 1.2 peg from the EUR/CHF back around 2015... It caused many of the most hated FX mm's to go bust, but I know you also remember that.

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  • #64,529
  • Edited 8:04pm May 20, 2020 7:32pm | Edited 8:04pm
EurUsd 5/21/2019 trading levels.. next to print 0954 or 0996

RU R3 ----------1.1057
DP R3 ----------1.1046
MP R1 ----------1.1026
RU R2 ----------1.1020
DP R2 ----------1.1015
RU R1 ----------1.0998
DP R1 ----------1.0996
DP PP ----------1.0966
RU S1 ----------1.0954
WP R3 ----------1.0953
DP S1 ----------1.0935
RU S2 ----------1.0932
DP S2 ----------1.0916
MP PP ----------1.0907
WP R2 ----------1.0906
RU S3 ----------1.0896
  • #64,530
  • May 20, 2020 7:34pm May 20, 2020 7:34pm
Eur datapoints atm... 80% chance, H1 may reverse to downtrend within 24 hours..
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  • #64,531
  • May 20, 2020 7:52pm May 20, 2020 7:52pm
Swiss datapoints atm.. next to pint 9661 or 9637

RU R3 ----------0.9718
DP R2 ----------0.9716
WP PP ----------0.9713
DP R1 ----------0.9698
MP PP ----------0.9684
RU R2 ----------0.9683
WP S1 ----------0.9679
DP PP ----------0.9668
RU R1 ----------0.9661
WP S2 ----------0.9657
DP S1 ----------0.9637
WP S3 ----------0.9623
DP S2 ----------0.9619
RU S1 ----------0.9618
MP S1 ----------0.9605
RU S2 ----------0.9597
DP S3 ----------0.9589
RU S3 ----------0.9562
  • #64,532
  • May 20, 2020 7:59pm May 20, 2020 7:59pm
Swiss datapoints atm.. preparing for trend reversal soon..
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  • #64,533
  • May 20, 2020 8:28pm May 20, 2020 8:28pm
EU is stuck in a range on the 4hr chart, high probability for going short and playing the range, however if it should break out of the range and successfully close above the 1.0990 - 1.1000 area, then bulls will be in for the kill.
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  • #64,534
  • Edited 9:16pm May 20, 2020 8:53pm | Edited 9:16pm
Quoting gatorinla
lc will be higher.. Long 0958/48 looks textbook atm for a 099x+ tp
this is where bulls may wait. 0958/..094x

Quoting gatorinla
{quote} the 4h candle was bearish into support..(Black little tl retest.) i dont have a 4h red candle atm.. if I did. the old larger upper wedge may be support 094x..this may be a buy area.. but if 1063 is hit first. it would have a better chance going below. {image}
Pa was in my short box,,, this is where bulls may wait.. If not, maybe it was missed and should have added shorts.

Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Pa was in my short box,,, this is where bulls may wait.. If not, maybe i was missed and should have added shorts. {image}
updated with old wedge..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #64,535
  • May 20, 2020 9:25pm May 20, 2020 9:25pm
Good morning!

Just waiting for some confirmation before starting to favor EU bears, below 0950 preferrably.

DXY H1

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This is just 30 pts retracement (?) from yesterday's low yet GU is already shaking.
If DXY starts heading 99.8-100, GU will target 1.2 and below.
Yesterday's daily seems to me like a rejection of the daily support-turned-resistance.
Be careful holding longs on this pair unless the fundies start being supportive.

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  • #64,536
  • May 20, 2020 9:47pm May 20, 2020 9:47pm
2h bb center S on eu 0954, R usdx 99.35.. near testing them now.. within my eu support window.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #64,537
  • May 21, 2020 12:42am May 21, 2020 12:42am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} added 980 short medium at 957 for short EU if GU goes higher i will be on negative today if EU stays hedge is almost perfect crazy i;m closing at .123 GU so i will be on negative after that if USD keeps going down

closed my EUR/USD short all position on breakeven.

i would enter 930/940 area long
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
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  • #64,538
  • May 21, 2020 12:50am May 21, 2020 12:50am
Quoting gatenio
im taking some small short 0985 asia will take it down, london up like all week.
hit tp early morning. +19

buy small one, price touch the 1h 50 SMA, unlikly to break it before london (if)
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  • #64,539
  • May 21, 2020 12:58am May 21, 2020 12:58am
China reports 31 new asymptomatic coronavirus cases in mainland as of end-may 20 vs 16 a day earlier
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
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  • #64,540
  • May 21, 2020 1:10am May 21, 2020 1:10am
Nice quote

The more public you become with your positions/opinions the harder it is to let them go. Don’t talk openly about your positions unless you are strong enough to change your mind in front of the crowd.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
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