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WTI Crude Oil (TRENDSURFING - with the help of the model)

  • #241
  • Apr 30, 2020 2:38am Apr 30, 2020 2:38am
Some more stimulating news maybe! Lockdowns are easing and might get removed, at least in some EU countries... This was quite surprising, some easings/removals basically came overnight... So now we shall see how it develops, specially since there are Holidays and some people will take the opportunity of this easing to travel, visit relatives, travel etc... So after the May Holidays we shall see QUICKLY where we are at... At the current trajectory it seems there is LIGHT in the HORIZON for the WTI... To be confirmed by the middle (and specially by the end) of next week... So if this goes like this I expect to open LIVE TE and start trading/demonstrating as how it was suppose to be done months ago! So looking forward to potentially harvest this up-trend of the WTI, soon! Targeting 100% Return / 20% DD as you voted most for in the poll.
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #242
  • Apr 30, 2020 4:18pm Apr 30, 2020 4:18pm
Quoting auricforecas
Some more stimulating news maybe! Lockdowns are easing and might get removed, at least in some EU countries... This was quite surprising, some easings/removals basically came overnight... So now we shall see how it develops, specially since there are Holidays and some people will take the opportunity of this easing to travel, visit relatives, travel etc... So after the May Holidays we shall see QUICKLY where we are at... At the current trajectory it seems there is LIGHT in the HORIZON for the WTI... To be confirmed by the middle (and specially by...
It really looks like that your crystal ball did not deceive you since you are on the right path with WTI going from $12 to $15 in two days
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  • #243
  • May 1, 2020 4:04pm May 1, 2020 4:04pm
WTI went up $0.33 today. This is nothing to write to mother about but at least it stayed above $15 on a slow day.
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  • #244
  • May 4, 2020 4:18pm May 4, 2020 4:18pm
WTI went up by $1.17 or 8% today. It looks like this uptrend will continue.
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  • #245
  • May 5, 2020 4:05pm May 5, 2020 4:05pm
WTI went up by $2.70 or 16% today so it looks like that the doldrum days are over
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  • #246
  • May 6, 2020 4:14pm May 6, 2020 4:14pm
The reduction of inventory by 3.17 million bbl did not help since WTI went down by $0.98 or 5% today.
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  • #247
  • May 7, 2020 4:09pm May 7, 2020 4:09pm
WTI is down $0.42 today but I anticipate the big move up or down will be when the rig count will be published tomorrow.
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  • #248
  • May 8, 2020 4:16pm May 8, 2020 4:16pm
WTI is up $0.99 or 6% today but my anticipation that the rig count would seriously affect the price did not completely materialized.
The rig count went from 325 to 292 a difference of 33 units or 10%
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  • #249
  • May 8, 2020 5:32pm May 8, 2020 5:32pm
Quoting Hutch
WTI is up $0.99 or 6% today but my anticipation that the rig count would seriously affect the price did not completely materialized. The rig count went from 325 to 292 a difference of 33 units or 10% {image}
Tnx for keep us updating, really enjoyed it Also, have decided, just need FINAL confirmation next week, that I will post LIVE TE for WTI... And you will be able to track how LIVE trading goes towards the 100% (2020) return within 20% as you (all) opted in the poll... We might start easy and then adding up... Trading within DD 20% is much much different than in the CHEETAH thread for example, so will take it slowly but surely

We will have LIVE TE attached to this thread, by the end of next week, should all go well At the moment I think we have a good chance

ATM still waiting to RIDE it UP, but, specially how it was in the past weeks/months, will see how (co)relation forms next week... And then will start trading it MORE and MORE... No more waiting/testing... Just trading.. For at least the next 3months.. I think we can reach that target goal, annual return.. within that 20%... in the next 3-4months... And then we rest, develop new ideas, parallel strategies (from made profits etc
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #250
  • May 9, 2020 4:23pm May 9, 2020 4:23pm
Quoting auricforecas
{quote} Tnx for keep us updating, really enjoyed it Also, have decided, just need FINAL confirmation next week, that I will post LIVE TE for WTI... And you will be able to track how LIVE trading goes towards the 100% (2020) return within 20% as you (all) opted in the poll... We might start easy and then adding up... Trading within DD 20% is much much different than in the CHEETAH thread for example, so will take it slowly but surely We will have LIVE TE attached to this...
Not sure if you read this article but it's interesting

https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/one...owed-9-million
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  • #251
  • May 9, 2020 4:24pm May 9, 2020 4:24pm
Quoting Hutch
{quote} Not sure if you read this article but it's interesting https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/one...owed-9-million {image}
I sure did, I even commented the story here: https://www.energyexch.com/news/9979...n#post12928975
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #252
  • May 9, 2020 4:38pm May 9, 2020 4:38pm
Quoting auricforecas
{quote} I sure did, I even commented the story here: https://www.energyexch.com/news/9979...n#post12928975
I agree with you that negative balance protection is good but I prefer having a broker that has a fund run by the government of the country concerned that guarantees traders' balance in case the broker goes bankrupt. A broker went bust on me in 2005 and it cost me $46,000 because the country where the broker was located had no protection fund for traders.
  • #253
  • May 9, 2020 4:47pm May 9, 2020 4:47pm
Quoting Hutch
{quote} I agree with you that negative balance protection is good but I prefer having a broker that has a fund run by the government of the country concerned that guarantees traders' balance in case the broker goes bankrupt. A broker went bust on me in 2005 and it cost me $46,000 because the country where the broker was located had no protection fund for traders.
Yeah that is the second most important thing to me That is why I am extremely reluctant to change broker(s) since I have to do all sorts of test all over again... Basically I stick to my original broker for main trading.. and I have separate accounts, brokers for strategy/accounts that my main broker does not provide (very low or very high leverage)... I use questionable for burners only, if that... Because If I deposit some "pocket change".. roll it as quickly as possible and then withdraw it... it is much less exposure than placing anything above 4-5 figure deposit... in some questionable broker... I like IC for example, but I am "scared" of "no neg balance" protection even though they said that they usually even out the neg balance.. but what if some big mess comes and they would not be able to.. I can not afford to take that chance... So yeah, finding the right broker that provides neg balance protection and BALANCE protection in case of it goes bust.. plus have a good leverage options.. is a challenge to find... That is why I am forced to use different ones for different purposes
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #254
  • May 11, 2020 4:07pm May 11, 2020 4:07pm
With $0.07 difference from Friday's close WTI did not do much but within the $1.38 range there were a few good trades
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  • #255
  • May 11, 2020 6:29pm May 11, 2020 6:29pm
Quoting Hutch
With $0.07 difference from Friday's close WTI did not do much but within the $1.38 range there were a few good trades {image}
Thanks for the update... I am very curious about where we are going with this... I suspect certain market correlations but certain "primary" markets have been STALLED... I have refreshed charts many times because it looks like a DISNEY FREEZE By LOGIC it should go UP... SOON or it should DIVE to the GROUND where it "belong"... I can not put my finger on this... Maybe tomorrow... According to my calculations we should get MARKET(s) BOOST.. oh .. it is "today" already, so meaning 12MAY... I hope WTI to show me "the way", today the 12th... Would BET on UP, but atm just that... "would"... Hope to have the info/answer/glimpse within the next 24h...
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #256
  • May 12, 2020 11:31am May 12, 2020 11:31am
Quoting auricforecas
{quote} Thanks for the update... I am very curious about where we are going with this... I suspect certain market correlations but certain "primary" markets have been STALLED... I have refreshed charts many times because it looks like a DISNEY FREEZE By LOGIC it should go UP... SOON or it should DIVE to the GROUND where it "belong"... I can not put my finger on this... Maybe tomorrow... According to my calculations we should get MARKET(s) BOOST.. oh .. it is "today" already, so meaning 12MAY... I hope WTI to show me "the way",...
YES, as planned... WTI BUY time, right now.
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #257
  • May 12, 2020 4:11pm May 12, 2020 4:11pm
WTI was again quite stable today going up by $0.46 but went down by $0.54 just an hour ago.
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  • #258
  • May 13, 2020 3:40pm May 13, 2020 3:40pm
Quoting Hutch
WTI was again quite stable today going up by $0.46 but went down by $0.54 just an hour ago. {image}
Yes, was quite happy with this myself... Hope it would go like this... going steadily up... so that we can attach decent leverage to this and make money calmly
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #259
  • May 13, 2020 4:14pm May 13, 2020 4:14pm
Quoting auricforecas
{quote} Yes, was quite happy with this myself... Hope it would go like this... going steadily up... so that we can attach decent leverage to this and make money calmly
Today was a good day with a range of $1.26 WTI went up only by $0.17 but there were 2 good trades
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  • #260
  • May 14, 2020 5:59am May 14, 2020 5:59am
Ok, great, have my deposits ready for new TE.. WTI 2020... Will confirm it/post it TUE... if all goes well. Stay tuned! Nice to see WTI going up, specially since certain currencies have been distorted (atm) due to some news and tweets
Can you afford to take that chance?
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