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The Fibonacci channel projections (FCP)

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  • Post #421
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  • Apr 18, 2020 9:18pm Apr 18, 2020 9:18pm
  •  Isabella_D
  • Joined Jan 2012 | Status: Member | 954 Posts
Many thanks for opening thread and usefull discussion. I wish all the best and good result using this method.

To trade channel is new for me and I have to exercise a little bit.

I will have a look for USDSEK long, daily, lets see what market is doing next days.
Critical comments are welcome.
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  • Post #422
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  • Apr 18, 2020 9:42pm Apr 18, 2020 9:42pm
  •  dorood
  • | Joined Jun 2019 | Status: Member | 74 Posts
Quoting Isabella_D
Disliked
Many thanks for opening thread and usefull discussion. I wish all the best and good result using this method. To trade channel is new for me and I have to exercise a little bit. I will have a look for USDSEK long, daily, lets see what market is doing next days. Critical comments are welcome. {image}
Ignored
I think the channel is not correct.
Due to the following note from post #1.
On the example of uptrend.
Find the last Highest Low (or bottom preceding the last maximum peak). Draw a beam from this point to the left.
....
...........
 
1
  • Post #423
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  • Apr 18, 2020 10:01pm Apr 18, 2020 10:01pm
  •  Isabella_D
  • Joined Jan 2012 | Status: Member | 954 Posts
Quoting dorood
Disliked
{quote} I think the channel is not correct. Due to the following note from post #1. On the example of uptrend. Find the last Highest Low (or bottom preceding the last maximum peak). Draw a beam from this point to the left. .... ...........
Ignored
thx for attention, dorood. My expectation is to go long if conditions meet (broke chanel higher 3).
 
 
  • Post #424
  • Quote
  • Apr 19, 2020 12:32am Apr 19, 2020 12:32am
  •  chrisjia
  • | Joined Oct 2017 | Status: Member | 7 Posts
Am i drawing like this?
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  • Post #425
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  • Apr 19, 2020 3:51am Apr 19, 2020 3:51am
  •  Inthebox
  • Joined Jun 2010 | Status: Member | 7,901 Posts
Quoting chrisjia
Disliked
Am i drawing like this? {image}
Ignored
i guess it's alright with point 3 at fcp mid line after point 1.

but i would like to ask seysin comparing the 2 charts which one he prefers.
the notion is from post 14. point 3 at fcp outer line after point 1.
my reasons are:
1. point 3 is the lowest low.
2. there are 2 price touches reactions at the fcp quartile line.
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ITB - Seeking Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
 
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  • Post #426
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  • Apr 19, 2020 3:57am Apr 19, 2020 3:57am
  •  GPipz
  • | Joined Aug 2019 | Status: Member | 71 Posts
Quoting chrisjia
Disliked
Am i drawing like this? {image}
Ignored
Same as what I have. Your candle color though may confuse you later. Should be green for bullish, red for bearish.
 
 
  • Post #427
  • Quote
  • Apr 19, 2020 3:59am Apr 19, 2020 3:59am
  •  Inthebox
  • Joined Jun 2010 | Status: Member | 7,901 Posts
Quoting GPipz
Disliked
{quote} Same as what I have. Your candle color though may confuse you later. Should be green for bullish, red for bearish.
Ignored
i think he is used to the color.
there are other parts of the world doing so.
ITB - Seeking Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
 
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  • Post #428
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  • Apr 19, 2020 7:53am Apr 19, 2020 7:53am
  •  Seysin32
  • Joined Apr 2013 | Status: Member | 1,528 Posts
Hello, friends!
This is just my opinion, you should work yours head.
1. Context.
Where are we. You see on chart#1 that we are inside a big movement "А". Аll subsequent swings are decreasing. This means that channel projections are also decreasing. Conclusion - we make small projections with small TP. Before the price breaks the figure, it can go out and come back. Until the figure is broken and we receive confirmation of this, be careful.
2. The build of the channel.
So, we have 2 options for the 3rd point. Why do I choose chart#2:
a) On chart#4 (the 3rd point on the midline) we see, that the price ignore trigger line#2. On chart#3 (the 3rd point is on the outer side of the channel) we see, how the price reacts to trigger#2 (and to other projection lines quite accurately). Also, as Inthebox said, in this case, the price takes into consideration the internal lines of the channel.
b) Continuous movement from point 2 is interrupted by a small rollback. This is not critical and in another case we can ignore it, but here it is in favor of chart#2. And as we can see, this also coincides with the outer side of the channel.
3. Action plan.
Considering what was said in paragraph 1, and the fact that we have a narrow channel with a small projection. It’s also that MA lines diverge and while we are on the sales side. In the case of receiving a long setup on m5, I will enter with a small SL and with TP in the area of the upper MA line.
4. I am not a supporter of catching turns at the most extreme point. I will enter later, when I see confirmation. In doing so, I will earn less. But, I don’t need much, even 15-20 points will be enough for me.
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  • Post #429
  • Quote
  • Apr 19, 2020 8:05am Apr 19, 2020 8:05am
  •  Seysin32
  • Joined Apr 2013 | Status: Member | 1,528 Posts
Quoting Isabella_D
Disliked
Many thanks for opening thread and usefull discussion. I wish all the best and good result using this method. To trade channel is new for me and I have to exercise a little bit. I will have a look for USDSEK long, daily, lets see what market is doing next days. Critical comments are welcome. {image}
Ignored
Hello Isabella and welcome!
I am not sure that I have the right quotes, my candles look different. However, I would build the channel and projection as on my chart. You need to wait for the development of the model and confirmation signals. If your trading style allows, go down to H4 or H1, there are more trading opportunities for training in FСP.
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  • Post #430
  • Quote
  • Apr 19, 2020 9:08am Apr 19, 2020 9:08am
  •  Isabella_D
  • Joined Jan 2012 | Status: Member | 954 Posts
... You need to wait for the development of the model and confirmation signals. If your trading style allows, go down to H4 or H1, there are more trading opportunities for training in FСP. ..

A pleasant tone that you maintain here @Seysin.
On monday / tuesday i will have time to try out current market time frames as you suggested. I prefer M30-W1, so a actually search should be worthwhile in the next week. Let's see if I can do the technical craft in the chart.

Your channels have 5 lines. Would you also accept 3 lines, especially in higher tf? Or does this view destroy your concept.
you see: I am a thankless lazybones.
 
 
  • Post #431
  • Quote
  • Edited 10:51am Apr 19, 2020 10:29am | Edited 10:51am
  •  chrisjia
  • | Joined Oct 2017 | Status: Member | 7 Posts
[quote = Inthebox; 12885491] {quote}我想第3点在第1点之后的fcp中线就可以了,但是我想问seysin比较他喜欢的2张图表。这个想法来自第14篇。点1之后的fcp外线的点3。我的原因是:1.点3是最低的最低点。2.在fcp四分位数线上有2个价格触动反应。{image} [/ quote]
Thanks!
 
1
  • Post #432
  • Quote
  • Apr 19, 2020 10:49am Apr 19, 2020 10:49am
  •  chrisjia
  • | Joined Oct 2017 | Status: Member | 7 Posts
[quote = Seysin32; 12885635] {quote}您好,伊莎贝拉,欢迎您!我不确定引号是否正确,蜡烛的外观是否有所不同。但是,我将像图表一样构建渠道和预测。您需要等待模型和确认信号的开发。如果您的交易方式允许,请降低至H4或H1,则有更多交易机会接受FСP培训。{image} [/ quote]
Many thanks for opening thread and usefull discussion. I wish all the best and good result using this method.
 
1
  • Post #433
  • Quote
  • Apr 19, 2020 11:59am Apr 19, 2020 11:59am
  •  Seysin32
  • Joined Apr 2013 | Status: Member | 1,528 Posts
Quoting Isabella_D
Disliked
... Your channels have 5 lines. Would you also accept 3 lines, especially in higher tf? Or does this view destroy your concept. you see: I am a thankless lazybones.
Ignored
Everything is fine. I think, that maybe 3 lines. The midline and channel width are important. You may try. I am not a big specialist in htf.
 
1
  • Post #434
  • Quote
  • Apr 19, 2020 6:57pm Apr 19, 2020 6:57pm
  •  EznAtx
  • | Joined Apr 2020 | Status: Member | 7 Posts
Quoting Inthebox
Disliked
{quote} i guess it's alright with point 3 at fcp mid line after point 1. but i would like to ask seysin comparing the 2 charts which one he prefers. the notion is from post 14. point 3 at fcp outer line after point 1. my reasons are: 1. point 3 is the lowest low. 2. there are 2 price touches reactions at the fcp quartile line. {image}
Ignored
I am a newb so I may have missed something, although I have been doing my studies as instructed.

When I look at the EURUSD 1hr chart and 30 min chart, I see multiple trades setting up, day after day.

I have attached a file (another new task) with my chart. Can you give me any feedback?

Thanks

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  • Post #435
  • Quote
  • Apr 20, 2020 12:10am Apr 20, 2020 12:10am
  •  Inthebox
  • Joined Jun 2010 | Status: Member | 7,901 Posts
Quoting EznAtx
Disliked
{quote} I am a newb so I may have missed something, although I have been doing my studies as instructed. When I look at the EURUSD 1hr chart and 30 min chart, I see multiple trades setting up, day after day. I have attached a file (another new task) with my chart. Can you give me any feedback? Thanks {image}
Ignored
if you use m30 as your main chart, also look at 2 time frames above and below it to get better informed.
the 1st fcp on the left was too steep, m15 provided more information.
your fib 100 was placed wrongly.
compare.
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ITB - Seeking Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
 
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  • Post #436
  • Quote
  • Apr 20, 2020 2:59am Apr 20, 2020 2:59am
  •  kvak
  • Joined Feb 2018 | Status: Member | 166 Posts
Hi all.
Gold today.
Have all nice and successful week.
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  • Post #437
  • Quote
  • Apr 20, 2020 3:23am Apr 20, 2020 3:23am
  •  Seysin32
  • Joined Apr 2013 | Status: Member | 1,528 Posts
Hello, friends!
USD/CAD
SELL 4075, SL 4125, TP1 4050, TP2 4030.
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  • Post #438
  • Quote
  • Apr 20, 2020 3:34am Apr 20, 2020 3:34am
  •  kvak
  • Joined Feb 2018 | Status: Member | 166 Posts
Quoting kvak
Disliked
Hi all. Gold today. Have all nice and successful week. {image}
Ignored
TP2 hit
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  • Post #439
  • Quote
  • Apr 20, 2020 3:38am Apr 20, 2020 3:38am
  •  Seysin32
  • Joined Apr 2013 | Status: Member | 1,528 Posts
Quoting kvak
Disliked
{quote} TP2 hit {image}
Ignored
well done, buddy
 
1
  • Post #440
  • Quote
  • Apr 20, 2020 3:58am Apr 20, 2020 3:58am
  •  Inthebox
  • Joined Jun 2010 | Status: Member | 7,901 Posts
gn m5 sell
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ITB - Seeking Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
 
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