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The Swamp

  • #58,041
  • Mar 28, 2020 4:01am Mar 28, 2020 4:01am
Quoting gatorinla
At current rate of infections. The U.S. will be at 1 million infections, and 10,000 deaths. Before Easter morning. Easter is in 15 days. The 1 million, 10k number trajectory is 10 days from now. It's doubling every 2.5/3 days. Those extra 5 days could double + the 1 million 1k #'s. Just in time to open up the U.S. on Easter morning. The front page will have numbers like this on it. Yesterday's new death number was 401. On trajectory, the next one may be, 669 ish. The following day 1,110. Depending on curve, reaching 10k or more by Easter looks realistic....
Above is numbers trajectory. Each has to be added to the day before. The current # is 1704 that would be added to the estimated 669# and so forth. That would place the next days new number at 2373 total deaths, or in that area.
I'm not trying to debate the math or the numbers. My point is at current trajectory it will reach 10k in about 10 days. +- 1k and +- a day or a few. Easter is 5 days later. Easter may be 20k-ish. That's in 2 weeks, 10 X todays number.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #58,042
  • Mar 28, 2020 5:23am Mar 28, 2020 5:23am
wass up ?
it's pretty boring without markets and staying inside

open the markets !!!

i am trading bitcoins so i keep myself busy and active lol.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #58,043
  • Mar 28, 2020 6:04am Mar 28, 2020 6:04am
Creeeeeepy !!!

https://twitter.com/TectonixGEO/stat...28347034767361



so we basicly just killed the economy so we can give doctors some time to find vaccines and to threat people

looking at this video we don't stand a chance with corona.

it will get to heard immunity but we just bought some time
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #58,044
  • Mar 28, 2020 6:12am Mar 28, 2020 6:12am
Quoting DMA Trader
Creeeeeepy !!! https://twitter.com/TectonixGEO/stat...28347034767361 so we basicly just killed the economy so we can give doctors some time to find vaccines and to threat people looking at this video we don't stand a chance with corona. it will get to heard immunity but we just bought some time
another argument that stands against heard immunity ...
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Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #58,045
  • Mar 28, 2020 7:15am Mar 28, 2020 7:15am
CASH (literally) is King
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Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #58,046
  • Mar 28, 2020 8:59am Mar 28, 2020 8:59am
Quoting DMA Trader
Creeeeeepy !!! https://twitter.com/TectonixGEO/stat...28347034767361 so we basicly just killed the economy so we can give doctors some time to find vaccines and to threat people looking at this video we don't stand a chance with corona. it will get to heard immunity but we just bought some time
Big brother is watching you................
  • #58,047
  • Mar 28, 2020 9:11am Mar 28, 2020 9:11am
I have no idea how trustworthy this site is, but:
http://www.asianews.it/news-en/Wuhan...ers-49673.html
45k urns for coronavirus deaths in Wuhan only. Official Chinese death toll ~4k.
  • #58,048
  • Mar 28, 2020 9:17am Mar 28, 2020 9:17am
Quoting xav
I have no idea how trustworthy this site is, but: http://www.asianews.it/news-en/Wuhan...ers-49673.html 45k urns for coronavirus deaths in Wuhan only. Official Chinese death toll ~4k.
I am 100% sure that the chineese are lying to their teeth abaut the numbers....Now the say one ore two new infected in a day and 1.4 billion people why havent they said how they where able to stop it.....Yes i belive 45 k dead are more likely
Insanityoing same ting over expecting different results..Einstein
  • #58,049
  • Mar 28, 2020 9:40am Mar 28, 2020 9:40am
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Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #58,050
  • Mar 28, 2020 9:54am Mar 28, 2020 9:54am
Quoting xav
I have no idea how trustworthy this site is, but: http://www.asianews.it/news-en/Wuhan...ers-49673.html 45k urns for coronavirus deaths in Wuhan only. Official Chinese death toll ~4k.
No doubt everyone wasn't counted. Some died treating themselves in their home. Just like many died in the U.S. or other places doing the same. Many people dont go to the doctor for mild flu symptoms. By the time it turns serious, they are unconscious in the bed. Later when found dead. The doctors just attribute it to old age. A older patient with other health issues passes away with flu or something. I'm sure a seventy year old smoker passing away. With the illness uninvestigated. I'm sure that has happened many times before corona was attributed all over the world. No doubt other people died for other reasons. But with the hospitals full. The overwhelmed doctors were unable to give them attention. Within that same period of time many people went to the crematorium with other causes. They are all in the tally. Some corona, some not.

Wuhan a large city, in normal times. I'm sure the number is high. The real number may never be known. But it may not all, be on purpose. We can't get a straight count in Western society either. Some coroners are so politicized, they would lie. To keep the numbers early on, low. W/o a test we dont know, and never will.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #58,051
  • Mar 28, 2020 9:59am Mar 28, 2020 9:59am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} another argument that stands against heard immunity ... {image}
Aids may be another thing the Black Plague slowed. What would the world be w/o fallen apples. Glad they made that the law. https://www.the-scientist.com/resear...inst-hiv-54468
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #58,052
  • Edited 11:46am Mar 28, 2020 11:25am | Edited 11:46am
Hmm Fib fan on the daily and 15 minute chart G/J. 50% touched and rejected.. Wonder if it will hold...
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Motivation comes from within
  • #58,053
  • Mar 28, 2020 11:52am Mar 28, 2020 11:52am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I hate to trade this kind of market.. too choppy... very annoying,,, I have min 20 pips TP.. if this doesn't work out.. I am done today,,
Be safe, its growing.

https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/a...23467b48e9ecf6
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #58,054
  • Mar 28, 2020 12:27pm Mar 28, 2020 12:27pm
over 10k dead in Italy
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #58,055
  • Mar 28, 2020 12:44pm Mar 28, 2020 12:44pm
been downtown in my city. everything closed. like ghost town. no people no cars. it was depressing.
been very active with trading from my office. really dramatic.
army and police. terrible.

Weekend DOw -400 - EU on XE abut 1.11476
shorted bitcoin yesterday night now down a few hundreds.

wall-street is decoupled. from main-street. i grues it's like this in Europe
Maybe US with all the stimulus will get back on it's feet faster

Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #58,056
  • Mar 28, 2020 12:52pm Mar 28, 2020 12:52pm
Italian Electricity ....
Attached Image
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #58,057
  • Mar 28, 2020 1:42pm Mar 28, 2020 1:42pm
  •  dmj120
  • | Joined Jan 2020 | Status: Newbie with professional aspiration | 108 Posts
Quoting gatorinla
....On trajectory, the next one may be, 669 ish. The following day 1,110. Depending on curve, reaching 10k or more by Easter looks realistic. 1 to 2.5 million confirmed infections looks reasonable by Easter. .... 51 of the Italian doctors treating the sick have died. Add a higher number of nurses and medical workers. RIP
Due to the incubation period, and slow actions, i think the next few weeks should increase exponentially; possibly leveling off toward the first week of May.

I also think it's important to look at per capita numbers.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

I wish the Italians the best, and am deeply saddened to see how hard they are affected by this, and all my thoughts and prayers are with all those affected - globally.
School of hard knocks
dmj120 Return This Year: na
  • #58,058
  • Mar 28, 2020 1:44pm Mar 28, 2020 1:44pm
  •  dmj120
  • | Joined Jan 2020 | Status: Newbie with professional aspiration | 108 Posts
Quoting DMA Trader
Italian Electricity .... {image}
Wow, that adds context to the overarching effect
School of hard knocks
dmj120 Return This Year: na
  • #58,059
  • Edited 2:07pm Mar 28, 2020 1:53pm | Edited 2:07pm
Quoting dmj120
{quote} Due to the incubation period, and slow actions, i think the next few weeks should increase exponentially; possibly leveling off toward the first week of May. I also think it's important to look at per capita numbers. https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ I wish the Italians the best, and am deeply saddened to see how hard they are affected by this, and all my thoughts and prayers are with all those affected - globally.
0 action in the U.S. made this much worse economically. Calling it a "hoax" has made it much worse. The economy could have avoided much of this. The lack of action is most of the cause. Many educated people cheered the moron on. This is what happens when you dont check a moron. I still hear morons in my area down playing the reality. Darwinism will take care many of the science deniers. Sadly many others will be the calatorial damage.

I remember some religious leaders claiming Hurricane Katrina was a wrath. I'm not wishing this on anyone. I can't change the reality. I can just comment on the ignorance, that breeds the ignorant.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #58,060
  • Mar 28, 2020 2:22pm Mar 28, 2020 2:22pm
  •  dmj120
  • | Joined Jan 2020 | Status: Newbie with professional aspiration | 108 Posts
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 0 action in the U.S. made this much worse economically. Calling it a "hoax" has made it much worse. The economy could have avoided much of this. The lack of action is most of the cause. Many educated people cheered the moron on. This is what happens when you dont check a moron. I still hear morons in my area down playing the reality. Darwinism will take care many of the science deniers. Sadly many others will be the calatorial damage. I remember some religious leaders claiming Hurricane Katrina was a wrath. I'm not wishing this on anyone....
Yup, delayed action and societal indifference are the biggest contributors, in my opinion. Taking note of medical professionals' recommendations, calming the hell down and heeding standard precautions is what will get past this faster.......not "taking free work days" to go to the beach
School of hard knocks
dmj120 Return This Year: na
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