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The Swamp

  • #57,581
  • Mar 25, 2020 1:23am Mar 25, 2020 1:23am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} position size matters....I can sleep without worrying about my positions... if you are worried about your trades while you sleep, you definitely over leverage,,.. which need cut down trading size...
Congratulations On Your Trade And Style Of Trading.
It Has Worked For You Over Time With Probability On Your Side Over A Sample Size Of Trades.

Cancelled Membership, Accused By FF Member(i'll Be Back) of Being A Con Man
  • #57,582
  • Mar 25, 2020 1:26am Mar 25, 2020 1:26am
Quoting q_import
The News has reported 2 Trillion Bail out SHORT the dollar until its over.. enjoy while you can spend and it has value..
yes.
'QE - infinity' i think its called.

Euro might do the same.
Either that or many sick/dead or many companies destroyed.
Politicians have the power to decide how many die yeey.

stock may rise but only because your money is worth less.
  • #57,583
  • Mar 25, 2020 1:27am Mar 25, 2020 1:27am
Quoting Hickson
{quote} Sure, if - 1000 pips do not matter ... but needs a huge account to do something like that ...
its calculated risk... we can't pick a number out of blue..... this is Eur and Usd, two biggest currencies in the world... not Usd vs Turkish lira... we pretty much know how far the price EurUsd can go.... if H4 1.0847 stop can't stop it ... day stop 1.1430 has a good chance will... so plan your position size accordingly...
  • #57,584
  • Mar 25, 2020 1:29am Mar 25, 2020 1:29am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} its calculated risk... we can't pick a number out of blue..... this is Eur and Usd, two biggest currencies in the world... not Usd vs Turkish lira... we pretty much know how far the price EurUsd can go.... if H4 1.0847 stop can't stop it ... day stop 1.1430 have a good chance will... so plan your position size accordingly...
Yes, it is liquid ... but a black swan might hurt in that approach as well. Not my kind of risk plan, but if it works for you, it is ok.
Fix up, trade sharp ...
  • #57,585
  • Mar 25, 2020 1:32am Mar 25, 2020 1:32am
Quoting Hickson
{quote} Yes, it is liquid ... but a black swan might hurt in that approach as well. Not my kind of risk plan, but if it works for you, it is ok.
I definitely wont use this approach to trade other pairs except EurUsd... also you notice I seldom long EurUsd... this approach only works if I follow big trends.. using weekly and monthly trends...
  • #57,586
  • Mar 25, 2020 1:34am Mar 25, 2020 1:34am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I definitely wont use this approach to trade other pairs except EurUsd... also you notice I seldom long EurUsd... this approach only works if I follow big trends.. using weekly and monthly trends...
Glad you are playing it safe ...
Fix up, trade sharp ...
  • #57,587
  • Mar 25, 2020 1:35am Mar 25, 2020 1:35am
short 817

since ESF goes like a rocket
VIX down
risk is on for now but still think EU weak
anyway - it trades above my 1H trend so caution
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #57,588
  • Mar 25, 2020 1:36am Mar 25, 2020 1:36am
short here 1.0832... will add...
  • #57,589
  • Mar 25, 2020 1:40am Mar 25, 2020 1:40am
just run into this
lol

Velocity 3X LOng Crude
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Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #57,590
  • Mar 25, 2020 1:43am Mar 25, 2020 1:43am
Quoting Boulder
short here 1.0832... will add...
10 pips 6 mins.. I will take this kind trades anytime...
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  • #57,591
  • Mar 25, 2020 1:52am Mar 25, 2020 1:52am
short 1.0840 here
  • #57,592
  • Mar 25, 2020 1:58am Mar 25, 2020 1:58am
Quoting Boulder
short 1.0840 here
10 pips 5 mins..
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  • #57,593
  • Mar 25, 2020 2:02am Mar 25, 2020 2:02am
Datapoints so far... H4 downtrend still holds... new H4 to go..
Attached Image
  • #57,594
  • Mar 25, 2020 2:11am Mar 25, 2020 2:11am
time to short.

1.0843 & 850 if gets there
  • #57,595
  • Mar 25, 2020 2:12am Mar 25, 2020 2:12am
Quoting q_import
{quote} If it passes the US run off a cliff and fails as a country the US dollar is done..
All things are relative in comparison. The world is doing (or will do) like printing. The world is having a "lack of usd liquidity problem". The EZ is only as strong as the weakest link. The UK is leaving. Italy and Spain has its hands full like the U.S. Germany is about to get the corona treatment. German/French car manufacturing is stopped. Airbus is in the same boat. Their U.S. and Asian customers are not buying atm.

It's not like Germany is selling a lot of BMW's or Volkswagens anytime soon.

The entire world is entering a depressed time. China and South Korea look to be the first to beat this. And even that dont mean squat, when their world customers are still sick.

The world demand for the usd is still here. That's why the Fed offers 500 billion, twice a day (1 trillion per day). Overnight the usd has weakened during repo. Its been coming back after London open the past few weeks. Atm the eu is hitting some R 0842/47

On the other side of this, prices will be reset.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #57,596
  • Mar 25, 2020 2:13am Mar 25, 2020 2:13am
short again 1.0840.. will add.. next to add 1.0870s area
  • #57,597
  • Mar 25, 2020 2:26am Mar 25, 2020 2:26am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} All things are relative in comparison. The world is doing (or will do) like printing. The world is having a "lack of usd liquidity problem". The EZ is only as strong as the weakest link. The UK is leaving. Italy and Spain has its hands full like the U.S. Germany is about to get the corona treatment. German/French car manufacturing is stopped. Airbus is in the same boat. Their U.S. and Asian customers are not buying atm. It's not like Germany is selling a lot of BMW's or Volkswagens anytime soon. The entire world is entering a depressed time....
0879 is another R higher, if need be.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #57,598
  • Mar 25, 2020 2:30am Mar 25, 2020 2:30am
hoping this turns down soon before I start thinking the downtrend is done, though, my bias is still for 1 maybe even 2 legs down.
  • #57,599
  • Mar 25, 2020 2:34am Mar 25, 2020 2:34am
Quoting beszle
hoping this turns down soon before I start thinking the downtrend is done, though, my bias is still for 1 maybe even 2 legs down.
1,05 maybe even 1,03. That's the place where we can look to buy for real. Until that target isn't reached, bias stays bearish!
  • #57,600
  • Mar 25, 2020 2:44am Mar 25, 2020 2:44am
The number of people filing for jobless claims last week could be as high as 3 million—quadruple the record set in 1982
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
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