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The Swamp

  • #53,201
  • Mar 3, 2020 3:40am Mar 3, 2020 3:40am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Bulls held so far... new hour to go... I started to short here 1.1131
you've been missed. last days.
glad to see you again
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #53,202
  • Mar 3, 2020 3:43am Mar 3, 2020 3:43am
H4 support at 1.1080

traders are possibly buying on retracements. if it's again that big range watch 15m to get bullish again on this moves EU drops or climbs without pause.

bulls need to get above 1.1126 to feel confident

i am net short. but playing some longs. on intraday
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #53,203
  • Mar 3, 2020 3:44am Mar 3, 2020 3:44am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} dono.. the aud should have moved.
i would be a seller near 0.66
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #53,204
  • Mar 3, 2020 3:46am Mar 3, 2020 3:46am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} dono.. the aud should have moved.
it's either starting in 15 minutes or the conclusions are in 15 m
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #53,205
  • Mar 3, 2020 3:48am Mar 3, 2020 3:48am
Gold starting to look bullish but R is 1610-1620... only daily close above will make me add - and since it will be about stimulus - will try to see if a panic buy happens to add. or just wait until tomorrow but probably will be to high to add if it is to climb
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #53,206
  • Mar 3, 2020 3:56am Mar 3, 2020 3:56am
Quoting gatorinla
Who would have thunk? yet aud isn't moving down,, WTF https://www.theguardian.com/business...virus-concerns
The rate cut we had here in Australia today was almost 100% guaranteed and priced in last week. It was only a question of whether it would be 0.25% or 0.50%. So it was actually better than expected news for the aussie
  • #53,207
  • Edited 4:15am Mar 3, 2020 4:00am | Edited 4:15am
Quoting gatorinla
listen thr doc on cnbc...now
This is what's happening in one of the U.S. largest cities.
Inserted Video



I annoyed some with my government response Corona criticism. I know many are hearing its kills only 2%. We all think we are not in the 2%. So why even keep repeating. I bet we know someone in the 2% criteria. Whether people like it or not. It has potential to change the economy.

If it's all the older people and they die. Less drugs (viagra) will be needed. Less care in retirement homes. Possibly less hospital beds needed. Less adult diapers, doctors nurses etc. You can pretty much reduce the amount of consumer spending by 2%. But you can also add the reduced spending those whose job is affected. I dont know the number, I do know its its a multiplier of the 2%. The U.S. has a economy under 3%. See where I'm going?

I know not all will get the virus. In 1918 the Spanish flu was estimated to affect 1/3 the population. In 1918 planes and cars were a luxury. The spreading of disease was harder with less contact. Yet it crossed the world. The U.S. has about 270 million people. 1/3 of that is about 90 million people. 2% of those is 1.8 million. Still enough to shave a point off the economy.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #53,208
  • Mar 3, 2020 4:04am Mar 3, 2020 4:04am
all you have to do so your country's economy should not be affected by Corona is

don't test people - if people are not tested nobody is getting sick and nobody dies by corona

good for consumer spending - people spend the same or more until corona get's in your country
good for consumer confidence - people work, business produce, country exports
good for tourism - country receives tourist and revenue from tourism also gives idea of a safe place where you can travel.

if somehow 1 people is sick of corona make sure fast he recovers.

that's it !

repeat process until Election or somebody finds a antidote
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #53,209
  • Mar 3, 2020 4:05am Mar 3, 2020 4:05am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} This is what's happening in one of the U.S. largest cities. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LQGAK-HXZHE I annoyed some with my government response Corona criticism. I know many are hearing its kills only 2%. We all think we are not in the 2%. So why even keep repeating. I bet we know someone in the 2% criteria. Whether people like it or not. It has potential to change the economy. If it's all the older people and they die. Less drugs (viagra) will be needed. Less care in retirement homes. Possibly less hospital beds needed. Less...
we were just thinking at the same thing at the same time )))
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #53,210
  • Mar 3, 2020 4:07am Mar 3, 2020 4:07am
Quoting diggo
{quote} The rate cut we had here in Australia today was almost 100% guaranteed and priced in last week. It was only a question of whether it would be 0.25% or 0.50%. So it was actually better than expected news for the aussie
I had priced in a month ago. The problem was, your central banker always talked hawkish. The opposite of priced in.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #53,211
  • Mar 3, 2020 4:13am Mar 3, 2020 4:13am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} we were just thinking at the same thing at the same time )))
That's dangerous.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #53,212
  • Mar 3, 2020 4:21am Mar 3, 2020 4:21am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} This is what's happening in one of the U.S. largest cities. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LQGAK-HXZHE I annoyed some with my government response Corona criticism. I know many are hearing its kills only 2%. We all think we are not in the 2%. So why even keep repeating. I bet we know someone in the 2% criteria. Whether people like it or not. It has potential to change the economy. If it's all the older people and they die. Less drugs (viagra) will be needed. Less care in retirement homes. Possibly less hospital beds needed. Less...
Oh I forgot to mention. This is added to the other points about China, BMW posted last week. The economy with less older people would be added as a separate issue. Older people also have a higher rates in spending, do to medical issues. Cash cows for the medical sector. I didnt even mention the hit to insurance companies.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #53,213
  • Mar 3, 2020 4:25am Mar 3, 2020 4:25am
This Is My First Chart Post.
Not Sure If I Posting Chart Properly, I AM Still Learning
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Cancelled Membership, Accused By FF Member(i'll Be Back) of Being A Con Man
  • #53,214
  • Mar 3, 2020 4:26am Mar 3, 2020 4:26am
Quoting gatorinla
In 1918 the Spanish flu was estimated to affect 1/3 the population. In 1918 planes and cars were a luxury. The spreading of disease was harder with less contact. Yet it crossed the world. The U.S. has about 270 million people. 1/3 of that is about 90 million people. 2% of those is 1.8 million. Still enough to shave a point off the economy.
That flu happened after WWI, people had barely enough food to eat or they were eating canned food. Little calories + almost zero nutrients + a lot of stress(high cortisol levels) = weak immune systems.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #53,215
  • Mar 3, 2020 4:31am Mar 3, 2020 4:31am
Quoting OnlineAddict
{quote} That flu happened after WWI, people had barely enough food to eat or they were eating canned food. Little calories + almost zero nutrients + a lot of stress(high cortisol levels) = weak immune systems.
No it didnt.. It happened during world war 1. It likely killed more soldiers than bullets. It killed healthy young men on their way to war. It killed healthy young men straight off the farm. Sure it went on after WW1. It became more deadly after. The U.S. had plenty of food. It killed in the U.S. just like other places. They think it mutted to a stronger strand the second time in the U.S.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #53,216
  • Mar 3, 2020 4:34am Mar 3, 2020 4:34am
South Korea - after China - 2nd place in testing

http://ncov.mohw.go.kr/tcmBoardView...._id=&gubun=ALL

South Korea 50 mil.

125.000 tested - 5000 confirmed - 28 dead.

i think this is the best example so far in terms of tests and reports.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #53,217
  • Mar 3, 2020 4:37am Mar 3, 2020 4:37am
Quoting DMA Trader
South Korea - after China - 2nd place in testing http://ncov.mohw.go.kr/tcmBoardView...._id=&gubun=ALL South Korea 50 mil. 125.000 tested - 5000 confirmed - 28 dead. i think this is the best example so far in terms of tests and reports.
if a tree falls in a forest, it makes no sound, if no one is there to hear.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #53,218
  • Mar 3, 2020 4:38am Mar 3, 2020 4:38am
that's it ?
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Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #53,219
  • Mar 3, 2020 4:38am Mar 3, 2020 4:38am
So a nothing burger is causing this movement? lol
I play the trade gamble to feed my Porsche addiction.
  • #53,220
  • Mar 3, 2020 4:39am Mar 3, 2020 4:39am
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Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
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