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The Swamp

  • #52,441
  • Feb 24, 2020 8:24am Feb 24, 2020 8:24am
Quoting Boulder
Short EU 0825 and 0828 and long Swiss 9783
where are the breakers, is it 10% on dow?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #52,442
  • Feb 24, 2020 8:26am Feb 24, 2020 8:26am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} boulder's 4h is bullish, plus the week lc is/was higher. I like to wait for the spike to test the previous high or higher. In this case its 1.0864. Sometimes it dont make it all the way. 0841 I hate to say is/was it because its a week number. . But sometimes it's all you get. I lean bearish, I sell bounces. Still respecting the week close, but if the 4h closes below 0815 and lc is below 0855. Bears may be back to test support. But with the week still open, its still possible to test 0864 ish. a 4h close below 0815,...
Since H4 turned into uptrend with 7 H4 units so far, I have to give bulls some running time, pa will chop these 3 or 4 days first then it may resume the down trend after..
  • #52,443
  • Feb 24, 2020 8:27am Feb 24, 2020 8:27am
added EU 0836
  • #52,444
  • Feb 24, 2020 8:30am Feb 24, 2020 8:30am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} where are the breakers, is it 10% on dow?
sp looks like 7% b4 stop.
dow would be about -2k at 7%. not sure about dow breakers %.
dow almost down 1k atm.
7% is about 27,000 ish, if i did the math right.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #52,445
  • Feb 24, 2020 8:31am Feb 24, 2020 8:31am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} where are the breakers, is it 10% on dow?
Hey.. you owe me..lol.. Eu hit 0830s...
  • #52,446
  • Feb 24, 2020 8:34am Feb 24, 2020 8:34am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Hey.. you owe me..lol.. Eu hit 0830s...
No problem.. I will pay..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #52,447
  • Feb 24, 2020 8:40am Feb 24, 2020 8:40am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Hey.. you owe me..lol.. Eu hit 0830s...
dow has a few buyers. up to -800 now
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #52,448
  • Feb 24, 2020 8:58am Feb 24, 2020 8:58am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Hey.. you owe me..lol.. Eu hit 0830s...
I owe you double now. let's go triple to nothing if it suddenly drops -0814.7 before lc.. The odds are with you.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #52,449
  • Feb 24, 2020 9:02am Feb 24, 2020 9:02am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I owe you double now. let's go triple to nothing if it suddenly drops -0814.7 before lc.. The odds are with you.
I added 0849 and 0850.. lets see.... not mind to hold incase they stuck...
  • #52,450
  • Feb 24, 2020 9:07am Feb 24, 2020 9:07am
Quoting DMA Trader
Short EU 820
adding to 850
position still low.

will add
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #52,451
  • Feb 24, 2020 9:08am Feb 24, 2020 9:08am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I added 0849 and 0850.. lets see.... not mind to hold incase they stuck...
0859/60 is = to fridays stop.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #52,452
  • Feb 24, 2020 9:16am Feb 24, 2020 9:16am
Added some more longs to Swiss here but a bit cautious... USDX is on thin ice.
I play the trade gamble to feed my Porsche addiction.
  • #52,453
  • Feb 24, 2020 9:18am Feb 24, 2020 9:18am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 0859/60 is = to fridays stop.
in my view it will reach 875 and close to 1,09 i've said this las week i was a little wrong on timing.

or will stop here but i don't think it will stop
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #52,454
  • Feb 24, 2020 9:28am Feb 24, 2020 9:28am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} in my view it will reach 875 and close to 1,09 i've said this las week i was a little wrong on timing. or will stop here but i don't think it will stop
I dont know where it will be, or go. My "kiss plan" is to sell spikes. Equity market selloff, while buying bunds is helping the rise. I thought it could test former support 0880 ish. I'd rather be in a ghost town alone trading, than be at mardis gras in a crowd. 1h R at 0859/60 area. the "old me" would target 0878 minimal. I had to shave some because of virus.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #52,455
  • Feb 24, 2020 9:33am Feb 24, 2020 9:33am
WHITE HOUSE PREPARING TO REQUEST EMERGENCY SPENDING PACKAGE FROM CONGRESS TO FINANCE CORONAVIRUS RESPONSE -WASHINGTON POST

In my view the worst case scenario is an outbreak and panic in Europe

Europe has shenghen we don't stop at customs, nobody is cheking until Hungary Bulgaria or Romania. big risk here.

and it's not like we seen some casees in China isolated somehow, USA isolated and big on response.

By the time people will realisez the dange Europe will be all infested. this is the biggest risk, and also if you think of some countrys different response than building hospitals in 8 days ....
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #52,456
  • Feb 24, 2020 9:39am Feb 24, 2020 9:39am
Quoting DMA Trader
WHITE HOUSE PREPARING TO REQUEST EMERGENCY SPENDING PACKAGE FROM CONGRESS TO FINANCE CORONAVIRUS RESPONSE -WASHINGTON POST In my view the worst case scenario is an outbreak and panic in Europe Europe has shenghen we don't stop at customs, nobody is cheking until Hungary Bulgaria or Romania. big risk here. and it's not like we seen some casees in China isolated somehow, USA isolated and big on response. By the time people will realisez the dange Europe will be all infested. this is the biggest risk, and also if you think of some countrys different...
and of course we are famous having crisis and the first thing we do is begin politics ))

ITALY'S FORMER PM RENZI WILL MAINTAIN HIS SUPPORT FOR THE COALITION DESPITE SPECULATION HE COULD TRIGGER EARLY ELECTIONS, AS CORONAVIRUS HITS ITALY, SOURCES AT RENZI'S ITALIA VIVA PARTY TOLD MNI MNI SOURCES
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #52,457
  • Feb 24, 2020 9:44am Feb 24, 2020 9:44am
and you cannot compare the way Europe will act just like on financial crisis

this is not china or US.

anyway - transport company was ok and we had loads from and to Milan. at list for today
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #52,458
  • Feb 24, 2020 9:47am Feb 24, 2020 9:47am
Quoting DMA Trader
WHITE HOUSE PREPARING TO REQUEST EMERGENCY SPENDING PACKAGE FROM CONGRESS TO FINANCE CORONAVIRUS RESPONSE -WASHINGTON POST In my view the worst case scenario is an outbreak and panic in Europe Europe has shenghen we don't stop at customs, nobody is cheking until Hungary Bulgaria or Romania. big risk here. and it's not like we seen some casees in China isolated somehow, USA isolated and big on response. By the time people will realisez the dange Europe will be all infested. this is the biggest risk, and also if you think of some countrys different...
step on a train.. the thousands of people that road it 5 days before, have touched what you will touch. The virus can live 5 days. This has happened w/o interruption after we knew about the virus. Some of those people are your neighbors. Exchanging cash at a register is exchanging germs. using a card and punching the numbers exchanges germs. even sliding a chip card exchanges germs. In the store anything you buy was touched by a potential carrier. The virus is already in every country. touched a turn style lately? sat on a public chair? used a keyboard others use? locked the door on a bathroom stall?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #52,459
  • Feb 24, 2020 9:49am Feb 24, 2020 9:49am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} step on a train.. the thousands of people that road it 5 days before, have touched what you will touch. The virus can live 5 days. This has happened w/o interruption after we knew about the virus. Some of those people are your neighbors. Exchanging cash at a register is exchanging germs. using a card and punching the numbers exchanges germs. even sliding a chip card exchanges germs. In the store anything you buy was touched by a potential carrier. The virus is already in every country.

i have the same opinion
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #52,460
  • Feb 24, 2020 9:54am Feb 24, 2020 9:54am
shorted more Eu this technical bounce ( dead cat bounce) here 0855.... pending next 0868,,, then 0890...
...

regarding to virus.. unless they find cure.. I don't trust any words from China .. even WHO..
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