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The Swamp

  • #50,241
  • Jan 23, 2020 6:32am Jan 23, 2020 6:32am
fyi;
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  • #50,242
  • Jan 23, 2020 7:05am Jan 23, 2020 7:05am
USDCHF, slowly getting there! relying on USD weakness rather than CHF strength it seems..
I play the trade gamble to feed my Porsche addiction.
  • #50,243
  • Jan 23, 2020 7:09am Jan 23, 2020 7:09am
Quoting Boulder
fyi {image}
good cheat sheet...can't see her really making too many waves...prolly spike both ways, end unchanged....technically, weekly chart look bearish to me right now...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #50,244
  • Jan 23, 2020 7:22am Jan 23, 2020 7:22am
Inserted Video
  • #50,245
  • Jan 23, 2020 7:24am Jan 23, 2020 7:24am
Quoting Boulder
fyi {image}
The ECB review should revive a very old debate about the way to track inflation. The ECB, under Draghi’s leadership, seemed in favor of including housing prices in HICP but, in 2018, the EC advised against it due to the lack of timeliness of the new OOH Index (Ower-Occupied Housing Index). Any change in order to include housing prices could prove super hawkish.


via Saxobank
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #50,246
  • Jan 23, 2020 7:36am Jan 23, 2020 7:36am
That's a spike to fade if I ever saw one
  • #50,247
  • Jan 23, 2020 7:39am Jan 23, 2020 7:39am
Quoting longshot_nl
{quote} If it is a pattern its an alternate pattern. I cannot find what pattern it would be. And i cannot find an ABCD pattern or reciprocal within it either. eu could become gartley. ideal is a bit lower C to 1077 {image} but even today tries to target 1060.
just saying. not bragging at all.

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  • #50,248
  • Jan 23, 2020 7:43am Jan 23, 2020 7:43am
Swiss shorts closed. Few longs open
I play the trade gamble to feed my Porsche addiction.
  • #50,249
  • Jan 23, 2020 8:05am Jan 23, 2020 8:05am
Quoting M3csl
Swiss shorts closed. Few longs open
well done.,,
  • #50,250
  • Jan 23, 2020 8:23am Jan 23, 2020 8:23am
Daily close below 1.1065 has me targeting 1.095 for January.
  • #50,251
  • Jan 23, 2020 8:26am Jan 23, 2020 8:26am
Quoting longshot_nl
{quote} Bull flag messing up my plans. EG is doing the same. Cancelled that one too. {image}
bull flag fail
  • #50,252
  • Jan 23, 2020 8:27am Jan 23, 2020 8:27am
Quoting longshot_nl
{quote} If it is a pattern its an alternate pattern. I cannot find what pattern it would be. And i cannot find an ABCD pattern or reciprocal within it either. eu could become gartley. ideal is a bit lower C to 1077 {image} but even today tries to target 1060.
just saying
  • #50,253
  • Jan 23, 2020 8:29am Jan 23, 2020 8:29am
immediate S/R...see where they close...
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Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #50,254
  • Jan 23, 2020 8:35am Jan 23, 2020 8:35am
If H&S happens this would be a nicer one.

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  • #50,255
  • Jan 23, 2020 8:45am Jan 23, 2020 8:45am
been pretty busy this week
still long on EU and short on SPX. few trades nothing to brag about )
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #50,256
  • Jan 23, 2020 9:16am Jan 23, 2020 9:16am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} well done.,,
I did wonder if I made the wrong decision while all that chop was going on!
I play the trade gamble to feed my Porsche addiction.
  • #50,257
  • Jan 23, 2020 9:32am Jan 23, 2020 9:32am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} yep,, they are not small supports.. 1097 looks minimal.. for the possible 1032.. {image}
picture..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #50,258
  • Jan 23, 2020 9:32am Jan 23, 2020 9:32am
Quoting OnlineAddict
There must be a big amount of pending longs around 1070 and many people are waiting for a manual long there...so I think, if we reach those levels, we break it and go lower. I have longs lined up in the 880-920 range. Min. short target would be 1020.
Quoting OnlineAddict
{quote} Thats what worries me. It just looks to easy...and all retail will be long from 1070, should we reach it tomorrow...everytime it looked so obvious before a meeting, it did what nobody expected. I am not going to short it, but I won't long either...I wouldn't be surprised if we broke below 1.10 tomorrow.
It worked out. Now lets see where this stops today...
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #50,259
  • Jan 23, 2020 9:35am Jan 23, 2020 9:35am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I'm pretty confident it will fall more, with a day close below 1057. Bearish toward those supports to beat. Those swaps add up .. Those big banks dont leverage like us traders do. Their margins betting against the interest, may not be as bad as ours. Its still a big deal for them. The shock to the Fed Repo may be averaging out. I posted that bond chart with the potential double bottom last week. Still a lot of potential chop.
need the close -1057.. to seek more lows. 1069ish may then turn to R, if not 1122 is possible.. but the trend should recover to drop more. (only if the day closes below 1057)
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #50,260
  • Jan 23, 2020 9:40am Jan 23, 2020 9:40am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} if it closes below 1057, I think it will test 103x or less. But it may still be able to bounce some. I'm saying the down trend will be stronger with a day close below 1057.. 1057 or 1069 and even near the current pa is bouncible. Once a day is closed below 1057 the bounce chances will diminish to a few degrees. The odds of a meaningful bounce will decrease. No 100% certainties. Just more probilities. Other indicators will be bearish. Still need to beat the (0980) higher low made before 1238. Before considering 0878. One step at...
;;
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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