The Swamp | Page 2502 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread
Attachments: The Swamp
Exit Attachments

The Swamp

  • #50,021
  • Jan 17, 2020 4:48pm Jan 17, 2020 4:48pm
Below 1.11, I am happy and relaxed for this weekend.
  • #50,022
  • Jan 17, 2020 4:53pm Jan 17, 2020 4:53pm
Quoting WhipKream
{quote} Hiding your TE last couple days, got a bit worried?
I just didn't want people copy all my trades this time, I risked a bit more and wanted to risk alone.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #50,023
  • Jan 17, 2020 4:57pm Jan 17, 2020 4:57pm
Quoting OnlineAddict
{quote} Nah, I had it online with a way bigger DD...I just didn't want people copy all my trades this time, I risked a bit more and wanted to risk alone.
Fair enough lol. I feel you on the DD though, GJ has not treated me well lately, but I'm sure it will come around soon, UJ too. Risk big win big, well hopefully that's how it goes.
  • #50,024
  • Edited 10:15pm Jan 17, 2020 9:58pm | Edited 10:15pm
Does anyone have this? It's not an indicator but automatically is on the chart.. its labelled as an "object" like a ordinary fib or tl. I have no ea or indi open on this chart. I dont know how it got there. I worked with meta for over 12 years and this is the first time I have witnessed this. Does metal have another dimension I am unaware of in "objects:? Anway it has the fibs.. the buttons to change things dont work.. Right click the chart and this pop-up appears.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.PNG Size: 77 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #50,025
  • Jan 17, 2020 10:21pm Jan 17, 2020 10:21pm
I think its just the objects list. Its under the Charts Tab. Ctrl B is the hotkey for it.
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #50,026
  • Jan 18, 2020 2:29am Jan 18, 2020 2:29am
Held Core longs on Swiss over weekend, looking to hold for .99
I play the trade gamble to feed my Porsche addiction.
  • #50,027
  • Jan 18, 2020 6:17am Jan 18, 2020 6:17am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} doing some tweaking..will restart next week. ..up about 1.24% (about 15 hours).. low drawdown. stressing with volatile trades.. eur/aud aud/jpy and several others..next week I will try to crash it again.. {image}
Amazing!



But i already knew that.
I am hanging around here so maybe some rubs off on me.
  • #50,028
  • Edited 7:15am Jan 18, 2020 6:28am | Edited 7:15am
Best EU setup i have now.
61.8 retrace + abcd pattern.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDDaily.png Size: 51 KB


possible path

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH4.png Size: 131 KB
  • #50,029
  • Jan 18, 2020 8:20am Jan 18, 2020 8:20am
Quoting PayTheLimit
I think its just the objects list. Its under the Charts Tab. Ctrl B is the hotkey for it.
i found it.. I knew I didnt spend the time to build it. I must have put this camarilla my chart in the past. Deleted it, and the lines remained. I knew I was too lazy to spend the time to draw/label them myself.
Attached File(s)
File Type: ex4 IFX_CamarilliaEquation.ex4   12 KB | 523 downloads
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #50,030
  • Jan 18, 2020 8:36am Jan 18, 2020 8:36am
I'm Not expecting usd to reach 97.45 yet on this month yet. Maybe things will look different in 3 or 4 months.. On a smaller chart some R in this current area spotted. I will put it in the next chart.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.PNG Size: 38 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #50,031
  • Jan 18, 2020 8:45am Jan 18, 2020 8:45am
Quoting gatorinla
I'm Not expecting usd to reach 97.45 yet on this month yet. Maybe things will look different in 3 or 4 months.. On a smaller chart some R in this current area spotted. I will put it in the next chart. {image}
zoom in on the day, and the usd is testing a tl. Plus eu is near a month support at 1069.. Next week early/mid week I have as the better chance. lc week and the day closed lower. Mid to late week indicated to retrace up eu wise. The past support may become R by then.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.PNG Size: 48 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #50,032
  • Jan 18, 2020 9:05am Jan 18, 2020 9:05am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} zoom in on the day, and the usd is testing a tl. Plus eu is near a month support at 1069.. Next week early/mid week I have as the better chance. lc week and the day closed lower. Mid to late week indicated to retrace up eu wise. The past support may become R by then. {image}
Its probably safer to say the trendline will hold. But look at the bearish wedge that has recoiled bullish usd pa. If the tl breaks up, eu bears could be in for a run toward usdx 100.. That is equal to about 600 ish eu pips in drop. Add in the china deal helping commodity pairs. That would lead to additional eu drop verse usd.

Atm the upper tl on the usd is holding. The bearish hs on the eu has not developed. The eu still has a higher low to beat. But if the usdx uper tl breaks, and the eu does get below 1069 to close a day. These levels like 1069ish and the usd tl break. Have the potential to open the gates some. That swap adds gravity to eu. This is week 2 since 200 day was lost on close. The 200 was re-tested thursday and didnt hold as support.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.PNG Size: 37 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #50,033
  • Jan 18, 2020 9:15am Jan 18, 2020 9:15am
I added the yellow tl.. it was a past lower tl.. pa broke through and lost support about the time the repo started (formed a bullish wedge pattern/ but only if broken with conviction. ). Recently it has re-tested it and closed a week above.

Its hasn't broken the tl to the upside yet. So its bearish until. But the bulls have built a nice launching pad. To make a nice run to test last years high on the usdx.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.PNG Size: 48 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #50,034
  • Jan 18, 2020 9:26am Jan 18, 2020 9:26am
Quoting longshot_nl
{quote} Amazing! But i already knew that. I am hanging around here so maybe some rubs off on me.
the simple rules of a successful gambler. Hold when the dealer has 16 showing. A successful professional gambler only makes a small % of the $. That passes through his/her hands. 3-5 % sustained makes you good/great. https://www.legitgamblingsites.com/b...rofessionally/
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #50,035
  • Jan 19, 2020 3:10am Jan 19, 2020 3:10am
Quoting gatorinla
I added the yellow tl.. it was a past lower tl.. pa broke through and lost support about the time the repo started (formed a bullish wedge pattern/ but only if broken with conviction. ). Recently it has re-tested it and closed a week above. Its hasn't broken the tl to the upside yet. So its bearish until. But the bulls have built a nice launching pad. To make a nice run to test last years high on the usdx. {image}
zooming in a little deeper.. A possible ihs on the usdx (light blue line).. hs is not my favorite eu pattern.. it may need to retest it as support. Still the red upper tl is still R. Bulls need to break. it may re-test the blue before or after, any break in the red. Needless to say, w/o a redline break it would drop..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.PNG Size: 50 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #50,036
  • Jan 19, 2020 3:30am Jan 19, 2020 3:30am
Quoting longshot_nl
Best EU setup i have now. 61.8 retrace + abcd pattern. {image} possible path {image}
hs would target 1029 ish, so it could be deeper.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #50,037
  • Jan 19, 2020 3:36am Jan 19, 2020 3:36am
eu possible hs I posted a few days back. it may target 1029.. but those smaller lows need to break.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.PNG Size: 48 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #50,038
  • Jan 19, 2020 3:59am Jan 19, 2020 3:59am
Quoting gatorinla
eu possible hs I posted a few days back. it may target 1029.. but those smaller lows need to break. {image}
below the hs shown, zooming in. A bearish wedge like formation broke before close. The break did complete the wedge target. A hs often retraces to test the tl from below. If a valid pattern, it shouldn't get much above 1097 again. I still see support at 1069ish.. so it may want to retest that lower 1097 tl again. By then, the ascending tl may be a little higher than 1097.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.PNG Size: 25 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #50,039
  • Jan 19, 2020 5:23am Jan 19, 2020 5:23am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} hs would target 1029 ish, so it could be deeper.
Pattern vs pattern: i don't think the H&S is very symmetrical.
So to me it depends on how symmetrical the ABCD pattern becomes.
That is is the duration in time of AB is equal as the duration in time of CD.
The technical target of the pattern is point B. If the pattern will be shaped ok ik would expect a bounce at least.

This is what a H&S looks like to me. But maybe i am short sighted.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.JPG Size: 110 KB
  • #50,040
  • Jan 19, 2020 5:55am Jan 19, 2020 5:55am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} the simple rules of a successful gambler. Hold when the dealer has 16 showing. A successful professional gambler only makes a small % of the $. That passes through his/her hands. 3-5 % sustained makes you good/great. https://www.legitgamblingsites.com/b...rofessionally/
I think i'll try these breakout trades in direction of the trend for a week.
10 pips stop, 10 pips target each time. Playing the odds.
If it works i have a new skill.


Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD.....M5.png Size: 116 KB
44 traders viewing now