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The Swamp

  • #49,901
  • Jan 16, 2020 4:20am Jan 16, 2020 4:20am
no net needed
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #49,902
  • Jan 16, 2020 4:21am Jan 16, 2020 4:21am
Quoting longshot_nl
{quote} 1180 is 61.8 retrace. 1182 is 127.2 AB=CD pattern. 1175 wave 1 = wave 5 EW wise. 1191 may be a bat. I like 1181 most to thats why i go short there.
I'm cheap.. high to low 50% of last leg, 1181. this broker has 1182.. but I thought 1169... I use that one mostly..1162 may be considered a norm.. I weighed that 1069 may be tested first.. I was wrong.. 1090 was a bull setup, that I think will fail, for 14xx
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #49,903
  • Jan 16, 2020 4:22am Jan 16, 2020 4:22am
Quoting gatorinla
I paid 27.60 for each 1 lot in swap on eu Long today. Expensive but cheaper than it was a month ago. Let's do some math for a company hedging. First, today is triple swap. So I divided by 3. I came up with 9.97. X 7 for the week = $69.81. X 52 weeks in a year. See where I'm going? $3,630.29. In one year a 10,000 lot is reduced to $6,370.00. Yet the eu dont fall. Anyone holding USD shorts (eu longs) comparably, is already behind the 8-ball. Losing 36% per year. Many traders here dont hold (or just dont realise they're being robbed). A international...
Companies have access to futures market. No swaps involved. They just roll over using a calendar spread at maturity.
  • #49,904
  • Jan 16, 2020 4:39am Jan 16, 2020 4:39am
From Newsqawk , EurUsd 1.1158 stm
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  • #49,905
  • Jan 16, 2020 4:40am Jan 16, 2020 4:40am
Quoting swd
{quote} Companies have access to futures market. No swaps involved. They just roll over using a calendar spread at maturity.
Thanks... A company in europe with a 2 year contract selling widgets to a u.s. company. Wants to have a guaranteed rate of return in euros. The cost of buying these futures is a cost. Is it not?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #49,906
  • Jan 16, 2020 4:43am Jan 16, 2020 4:43am
Quoting longshot_nl
{quote} 1180 is 61.8 retrace. 1182 is 127.2 AB=CD pattern. 1175 wave 1 = wave 5 EW wise. 1191 may be a bat. I like 1181 most to thats why i go short there.
since 1162 is met, bears may jump in.. its the counter of 1090.. 14xx or 093x is coming.. take your pick
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #49,907
  • Jan 16, 2020 4:48am Jan 16, 2020 4:48am
Wonder how low UCHF go before they decide to actually stimulate.
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  • #49,908
  • Jan 16, 2020 5:05am Jan 16, 2020 5:05am
.95's looking likely...

Waiting for the move back to .99, been longing all the way down! lol
I play the trade gamble to feed my Porsche addiction.
  • #49,909
  • Jan 16, 2020 5:22am Jan 16, 2020 5:22am
Quoting orangekoala
Wonder how low UCHF go before they decide to actually stimulate. {image}
It is related to Sweden Not Switzerland...
  • #49,910
  • Edited 5:47am Jan 16, 2020 5:28am | Edited 5:47am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} since 1162 is met, bears may jump in.. its the counter of 1090.. 14xx or 093x is coming.. take your pick
I see what you are saying.
14xx wants 1029 too.
Symmetry wise its fine i think.
Its not a very nice gartley though.
1297 has merrit sup/res wise. Also channel may help. Posted before.
( https://www.forexfactory.com/attachm...2&d=1578289367 )
since there is time left i i favor this.

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  • #49,911
  • Jan 16, 2020 6:05am Jan 16, 2020 6:05am
news in 30 min, then a hour later.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #49,912
  • Jan 16, 2020 6:08am Jan 16, 2020 6:08am
Quoting longshot_nl
{quote} I see what you are saying. 14xx wants 1029 too. Symmetry wise its fine i think. Its not a very nice gartley though. 1297 has merrit sup/res wise. Also channel may help. Posted before. ( https://www.forexfactory.com/attachm...2&d=1578289367 ) since there is time left i i favor this. {image}
the month levels I posted are 1210, 1122 and 1069.. I dont have a level for january above 1210.. So pa may be unable to get much past 1210 this month.. if you take 1210 and the nearest 1122.. center is 1166..

I posted jan 2 that it may be at the high for january already.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #49,913
  • Jan 16, 2020 6:16am Jan 16, 2020 6:16am
Quoting longshot_nl
{quote} I see what you are saying. 14xx wants 1029 too. Symmetry wise its fine i think. Its not a very nice gartley though. 1297 has merrit sup/res wise. Also channel may help. Posted before. ( https://www.forexfactory.com/attachm...2&d=1578289367 ) since there is time left i i favor this. {image}
my lunar friends, think eu high is near yesterday (usd low)..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #49,914
  • Jan 16, 2020 6:16am Jan 16, 2020 6:16am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} the month levels I posted are 1210, 1122 and 1069.. I dont have a level for january above 1210.. So pa may be unable to get much past 1210 this month.. if you take 1210 and the nearest 1122.. center is 1166.. I posted jan 2 that it may be at the high for january already.
Interesting. We are on the same page there.
i have 23 feb as gartley time if i believe Mt4.
the red line.

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  • #49,915
  • Jan 16, 2020 6:18am Jan 16, 2020 6:18am
Quoting Boulder
long Eu at 1161 and short Swiss at 9670
finally scratch this long initiated 8 day ago at even.. the swap costed a fortune..
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  • #49,916
  • Jan 16, 2020 6:21am Jan 16, 2020 6:21am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} finally scratch this long initiated 8 day ago at even.. the swap costed a fortune.. {image}
I shorted EU here 1158
  • #49,917
  • Jan 16, 2020 6:24am Jan 16, 2020 6:24am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I shorted EU here 1158
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I hope the voodoo moon works
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #49,918
  • Jan 16, 2020 6:57am Jan 16, 2020 6:57am
close the last long with a small loss. no only short. will not add yet since on some tf is bullish will just wait for now
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #49,919
  • Jan 16, 2020 6:59am Jan 16, 2020 6:59am
Hoping USD news brings some strength..
I play the trade gamble to feed my Porsche addiction.
  • #49,920
  • Jan 16, 2020 7:05am Jan 16, 2020 7:05am
wedge looking atm.. my 5 min bullish at 1151..lower wedge tl at 1141 atm.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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