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Attachments: WTI Crude Oil (TRENDSURFING - with the help of the model)
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WTI Crude Oil (TRENDSURFING - with the help of the model)

  • #81
  • Dec 23, 2019 8:45am Dec 23, 2019 8:45am
Quoting auricforecas
Guys, FULL attention at WTI market open due to Nord Stream 2 situation! Stay tuned! Also please vote, if you want TE for 2020. Man, think about it... we are entering into a new DECADE in 10days The 20s (again... Since the 90s, it was difficult to name 00 and 10s... Now finally we can relate to the TWENTIES Will be they Roaring again ? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roaring_Twenties
Hope you exploited above post to the fullest... 2 upstream streaks/opportunities You see this is why I prefer multiple entries vs one position... But yeah, timing must be right, at least for high-leverage... Please vote if you want some new TE for 2020...
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #82
  • Dec 24, 2019 11:23am Dec 24, 2019 11:23am
Quoting auricforecas
{quote} Hope you exploited above post to the fullest... 2 upstream streaks/opportunities You see this is why I prefer multiple entries vs one position... But yeah, timing must be right, at least for high-leverage... Please vote if you want some new TE for 2020...
Wow, UP AF, as predicted, also please vote in the Poll!
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #83
  • Dec 26, 2019 7:54am Dec 26, 2019 7:54am
Quoting auricforecas
{quote} Wow, UP AF, as predicted, also please vote in the Poll!
Still high AF (in my book. I guess I made a right call to to bet on the BUY till like little about mid of JAN2020, at which point a new calculation will be made.
So still betting on up till then. Hope you like(d) it
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #84
  • Dec 26, 2019 8:18am Dec 26, 2019 8:18am
Quoting auricforecas
{quote} Still high AF (in my book. I guess I made a right call to to bet on the BUY till like little about mid of JAN2020, at which point a new calculation will be made. So still betting on up till then. Hope you like(d) it
Heh, epic, just after this post, epic SPIKE happened, hope anyone of you caught it (in both directions)
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #85
  • Dec 26, 2019 9:16am Dec 26, 2019 9:16am
BTW WTI offers good CHEETAH opportunities also... just saying
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #86
  • Dec 27, 2019 12:19am Dec 27, 2019 12:19am
It seems we made the right call to bet on the RISE for mentioned timeframe
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #87
  • Jan 5, 2020 12:11am Jan 5, 2020 12:11am
Quoting auricforecas
{quote} Ok, so the basic of this Trading System is "trend surfing" or "trend trading". So the base of this would be to "know" (estimate) the trend direction... So that would be in short. I have posted my trend direction estimation/prediction in the first post... I believe it to be south (atm - at the moment)... So, one could SHORT (at the time of first post for example) and wait... That would be the simplest strategy... at least until the trend (prediction) changes... As of now, I haven't change my position... so I would still be on the SHORT......
Very clear and brilliant explanation man!

I did double my account using a strategy similar to yours by trading stock market indices such as the Dow and Hong Kong Hang Seng. The indices are easier than the Crude Oil and other currencies to trade and I just don't know how to apply my strategy to these harder products. It is a bit struggling to expand my trading scope until I found your thread! Subscribed and hopefully will learn a lot from you!
  • #88
  • Jan 7, 2020 3:29pm Jan 7, 2020 3:29pm
Quoting 24moonbridge
{quote} Very clear and brilliant explanation man! I did double my account using a strategy similar to yours by trading stock market indices such as the Dow and Hong Kong Hang Seng. The indices are easier than the Crude Oil and other currencies to trade and I just don't know how to apply my strategy to these harder products. It is a bit struggling to expand my trading scope until I found your thread! Subscribed and hopefully will learn a lot from you!
TNX man! Will see where WTI is going by the end of next week I believe.. since power/component if SEASONALITY will seem to be pushing down, but other uncertainties (NS2 etc) would favour up or at least resist the DROP (a little at least) so curious to find out by the end of next week which DIRECTION should we pursue with this TS.. and then decide what profit/return to AIM for... so the tighter the wanted leverage, the better the timing we would have to have Stay tuned!
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #89
  • Jan 8, 2020 1:35pm Jan 8, 2020 1:35pm
Huge drops... Which the seasonality "approves" but a bit early... But certain "oil field" situation might imply UP, but it is dropping AF... Anyway, I am thinking about resuming the SHORT within a week till about mid of FEB, at least if judging by seasonality, but other factors would have to be considered, hence I need about a week to stabilise my views for the next month from there (to about mid of FEB) but then might go LONG till MAY... Will see, stay tuned...
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #90
  • Jan 10, 2020 3:03pm Jan 10, 2020 3:03pm
Well next week will be very interesting or representative, specially by the end of it.. since 2 big components will intersect... Seasonality and this Middle east situation...
So by the end of next week we shall see much bigger picture I hope... Might (re-start) to drop till mid of FEB... But has to be confirmed. Stay tuned...
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #91
  • Jan 13, 2020 12:42pm Jan 13, 2020 12:42pm
Quoting auricforecas
Well next week will be very interesting or representative, specially by the end of it.. since 2 big components will intersect... Seasonality and this Middle east situation... So by the end of next week we shall see much bigger picture I hope... Might (re-start) to drop till mid of FEB... But has to be confirmed. Stay tuned...
Interesting, dropping now... Will know more by the end of the week and EARLY next week! Hope we could harvest 3week DROP counting from MONDAY, To be confirmed, stay tuned!
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #92
  • Jan 14, 2020 4:37pm Jan 14, 2020 4:37pm
Quoting auricforecas
{quote} Interesting, dropping now... Will know more by the end of the week and EARLY next week! Hope we could harvest 3week DROP counting from MONDAY, To be confirmed, stay tuned!
Seems this is re-affirmed, but will wait just some more... Plan to attack it for the next 3week starting MM (Monday Morning)
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #93
  • Jan 15, 2020 12:02pm Jan 15, 2020 12:02pm
Quoting auricforecas
{quote} Seems this is re-affirmed, but will wait just some more... Plan to attack it for the next 3week starting MM (Monday Morning)
So far so good, going as it was thought...
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #94
  • Jan 16, 2020 1:36pm Jan 16, 2020 1:36pm
EPIC WTI SELL opportunity I believe...
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #95
  • Jan 16, 2020 1:59pm Jan 16, 2020 1:59pm
Quoting auricforecas
EPIC WTI SELL opportunity I believe...
Could you please tell me the charting software you are using? I exclusively use MT4 but I don't have a strategy to trade oil.
  • #96
  • Jan 16, 2020 2:07pm Jan 16, 2020 2:07pm
Quoting Hutch
{quote} Could you please tell me the charting software you are using? I exclusively use MT4 but I don't have a strategy to trade oil.
If you are talking about (just) WTI, MT4 and whatever (web)platform brokers have (mt5/cTrader)...
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #97
  • Jan 16, 2020 2:23pm Jan 16, 2020 2:23pm
Quoting auricforecas
{quote} If you are talking about (just) WTI, MT4 and whatever (web)platform brokers have (mt5/cTrader)...
I read your thread and took a look at the correlation between WTI and EURUSD but it's ambiguous these days with low ATR for EURUSD. Do you have specific MT4 indicators that you use to trade WTI? The reason I ask is that I only traded oil a few times and it wasn't that good.
  • #98
  • Jan 16, 2020 2:27pm Jan 16, 2020 2:27pm
Quoting Hutch
{quote} I read your thread and took a look at the correlation between WTI and EURUSD but it's ambiguous these days with low ATR for EURUSD. Do you have specific MT4 indicators that you use to trade WTI? The reason I ask is that I only traded oil a few times and it wasn't that good.
I dropped EURUSD for controlling_parameter purposes last year, was talking about this here... https://www.energyexch.com/showthrea...3#post12583173. So I no longer talk about EURUSD in relation to this...
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #99
  • Jan 17, 2020 1:25pm Jan 17, 2020 1:25pm
Quoting auricforecas
EPIC WTI SELL opportunity I believe...
Well not really epic due to delay and going counter (first) but still having the potential to be a good sell
Stay tuned!
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #100
  • Jan 19, 2020 4:30pm Jan 19, 2020 4:30pm
According to my calculation we shall see with quite a good "certainty" where we are by the end of this month, maybe even by the end of this/next week.
Very interesting where WTI will be heading by the end of next week... Still betting on the SOUTH so we will see, soon! Stay tuned guys.
Can you afford to take that chance?
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