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WTI Crude Oil (TRENDSURFING - with the help of the model)

  • #61
  • Dec 10, 2019 1:32pm Dec 10, 2019 1:32pm
Ok if I exclude my vote, there seems to be the preference toward 25% Return / 5% DD Trade Explorer - TE. Please vote some more.
Regarding the WTI market... You see that is why I prefer to enter multiple times in this strategy (TS) instead of entering and holding...
Since now when it rises I do not lose money... I believe there will be some epic SHORTING opportunity soon, but we should also take
seasonality into account for the last 2 weeks of this year! So observing ATM and will be deciding about what DIRECTION to hit... in about/(less than) a week...
Attached Image
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #62
  • Dec 10, 2019 3:21pm Dec 10, 2019 3:21pm
It seems a NICE SHORT, right now
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #63
  • Dec 10, 2019 3:28pm Dec 10, 2019 3:28pm
Quoting auricforecas
It seems a NICE SHORT, right now
with what target and time frame?

Ive been waiting to get in myself.. but not trying to get hit with swap in 32 min lol
  • #64
  • Dec 10, 2019 3:30pm Dec 10, 2019 3:30pm
Quoting GPBurdell
{quote} with what target and time frame? Ive been waiting to get in myself.. but not trying to get hit with swap in 32 min lol
Yeah man, SWAP is a torture I will be hitting just .12 price difference.. meaning TP 59.045... Since not sure about the trend due to seasonality in play...
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #65
  • Dec 10, 2019 3:35pm Dec 10, 2019 3:35pm
Quoting auricforecas
It seems a NICE SHORT, right now
Quoting GPBurdell
{quote} with what target and time frame? Ive been waiting to get in myself.. but not trying to get hit with swap in 32 min lol
Quoting auricforecas
{quote} Yeah man, SWAP is a torture I will be hitting just .12 price difference.. meaning TP 59.045... Since not sure about the trend due to seasonality in play...
And it HIT TP... BEFORE the SWAP Like a BOSS... I think you could be happy you asked... Was that epic timing or what?
BTW anyone noticed the ".12" price difference hint this is exactly the difference we are looking for in CHEETAH thread
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #66
  • Dec 10, 2019 4:05pm Dec 10, 2019 4:05pm
Quoting auricforecas
{quote} {quote} {quote} And it HIT TP... BEFORE the SWAP Like a BOSS... I think you could be happy you asked... Was that epic timing or what? BTW anyone noticed the ".12" price difference hint this is exactly the difference we are looking for in CHEETAH thread
that was perfect timing! Except I ran out to grab some food and missed it. haha
  • #67
  • Dec 10, 2019 4:13pm Dec 10, 2019 4:13pm
Quoting GPBurdell
{quote} that was perfect timing! Except I ran out to grab some food and missed it. haha
hah was expensive food (in opportunistic costs) Ok now awaiting market to settle to see the possible trend of the remaining weeks of the year...
I was/am firm in the SOUTH BUT seasonality should not be disregarded either... will decide over the weekend... and confirm/reject on Monday...

Already made 2 HIGH-INTENSITY trades this week! exhausted AF If you are watching my other (CHEETAH) thread... we would only need 10-12 trades like those... in a row, ONCE in a lifetime and that would be it
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #68
  • Dec 11, 2019 12:19pm Dec 11, 2019 12:19pm
SHORT the cocksucker!
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #69
  • Dec 11, 2019 12:34pm Dec 11, 2019 12:34pm
Quoting auricforecas
SHORT the cocksucker!
Anyone would like to know the suggested TP?
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #70
  • Dec 11, 2019 12:49pm Dec 11, 2019 12:49pm
Quoting auricforecas
{quote} Anyone would like to know the suggested TP?
Guess not... But can you feel the weight of the market in your gut?
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #71
  • Dec 12, 2019 3:53pm Dec 12, 2019 3:53pm
Quoting auricforecas
{quote} Guess not... But can you feel the weight of the market in your gut?
Did you make out on the short? Hit that long this morning for a nice profit
  • #72
  • Dec 13, 2019 1:00pm Dec 13, 2019 1:00pm
Quoting GPBurdell
{quote} Did you make out on the short? Hit that long this morning for a nice profit
Yeah, barely, as you can see from timestamped posts No one wanted the TP price though so I didn't publish for no reason... It is not motivating talking without knowing if anyone is reading... Anyway... This UP has been rather surprising although in tune with seasonality this time of the year... So we will see...
I am still SOUTH views on the WTI, no doubt about it (almost) but am thinking if I should go with seasonality for the next month. Will decide over the weekend next week the latest... Tnx for following the thread man! BTW what kind of TE - TradeExplorer would you like to see? Have you voted yet? Tnx
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #73
  • Dec 16, 2019 6:18am Dec 16, 2019 6:18am
Quoting auricforecas
{quote} Yeah, barely, as you can see from timestamped posts No one wanted the TP price though so I didn't publish for no reason... It is not motivating talking without knowing if anyone is reading... Anyway... This UP has been rather surprising although in tune with seasonality this time of the year... So we will see... I am still SOUTH views on the WTI, no doubt about it (almost) but am thinking if I should go with seasonality for the next month. Will decide over the weekend next week the latest... Tnx for following the thread...
Warming about about going WTI NORTH for a month... but will be confirmed by the end of the week... But as of now, seasonality alone seems to be a strong reason...
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #74
  • Dec 17, 2019 6:20am Dec 17, 2019 6:20am
I am 90%+ sure to be in BUY (NORTH) for WTI for the next month (seasonality) but then will most likely resume WTI NORTH position... But market is very slow right not so not sure if I would be entering... almost only for rare opportunities.. but not to be in the market for too long... too much exposure for spikes etc.. at this low liquidity...
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #75
  • Dec 17, 2019 9:39am Dec 17, 2019 9:39am
Quoting auricforecas
I am 90%+ sure to be in BUY (NORTH) for WTI for the next month (seasonality) but then will most likely resume WTI NORTH position... But market is very slow right not so not sure if I would be entering... almost only for rare opportunities.. but not to be in the market for too long... too much exposure for spikes etc.. at this low liquidity...
UPDATE: Up to 99% sure...
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #76
  • Dec 18, 2019 12:11pm Dec 18, 2019 12:11pm
Quoting auricforecas
{quote} UPDATE: Up to 99% sure...
Seems to be the right decision so far
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #77
  • Dec 19, 2019 1:59pm Dec 19, 2019 1:59pm
Quoting auricforecas
{quote} Seems to be the right decision so far
It is holding good, specially at this market conditions... Glad with the decision so far...
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #78
  • Dec 19, 2019 8:19pm Dec 19, 2019 8:19pm
What is your brokers swap on oil?
  • #79
  • Dec 20, 2019 6:01am Dec 20, 2019 6:01am
Quoting GPBurdell
What is your brokers swap on oil?
If I calculated correctly from tradelist, about 1.23% at 100:1 for SHORT (SELL), full position
You can calc here.. https://www.fxpro.com/trading-tools/calculators/swap

And good that you brought it up! It is quite an opposite in WTI as in EURUSD... At EURUSD.. You get paid for SELL and must pay for BUY... At WTI.. you PAY SWAP for SHORTing and get paid for BUYING.. So if we would be buying and the market will be at stall.. we can earn with SWAPS right?
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #80
  • Dec 22, 2019 4:23pm Dec 22, 2019 4:23pm
Guys, FULL attention at WTI market open due to Nord Stream 2 situation! Stay tuned! Also please vote, if you want TE for 2020. Man, think about it... we are entering into a new DECADE in 10days The 20s (again... Since the 90s, it was difficult to name 00 and 10s... Now finally we can relate to the TWENTIES Will be they Roaring again ? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roaring_Twenties
Can you afford to take that chance?
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