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The Swamp

  • #47,761
  • Nov 27, 2019 3:55am Nov 27, 2019 3:55am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} yeah eu in that 1.1 ish area..give or take a few. Until 99.44 usdx gives up the booty. That's why I didnt want to add shorts here weeks ago
this time might be different... last time when it hit 0990 low..H4 was way over-extended... not this time...
  • #47,762
  • Nov 27, 2019 3:56am Nov 27, 2019 3:56am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} no....with fresh 1H downtrend plus downtrends in all time frames...bears in control....we might see 0990s
That new 1h signal is a bit too close to 1.1002 support. I did go in @1.1008 but I didn't feel any commitment from the bears. So I am inclined to ignore that signal. It's literally asking us to sell into support on a month end with tmr as a holiday... so many things could go wrong lol.

We got 1 more news event tonight. So we may still get 1 last hurrah.

But otherwise I'll be cautiously short. I've already lightened 75% of my positions.
  • #47,763
  • Nov 27, 2019 4:07am Nov 27, 2019 4:07am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} this time might be different... last time when it hit 0990 low..H4 was way over-extended... not this time...
Eventually I agree on its break. The timing part is what I would like to foresee. The swap if like ocean waves, hitting a granite cliff over time. Its bound to fall, but when. I think I can get in safer, after the break. I still have some others collecting swap until. I want to keep some dry powder for a bounce. W/o doubt other unforeseen news will happen between.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #47,764
  • Nov 27, 2019 4:15am Nov 27, 2019 4:15am
it looks like UBS has the same idea as mine... lets see it will play out.... info from Ransqawk
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  • #47,765
  • Nov 27, 2019 4:17am Nov 27, 2019 4:17am
The market can deceive you.
Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #47,766
  • Nov 27, 2019 4:24am Nov 27, 2019 4:24am
Quoting gatorinla
The market can deceive you. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TfkktjfNgbo
lol..where did you get those ideas?? are really those girls singing it ??
  • #47,767
  • Nov 27, 2019 4:29am Nov 27, 2019 4:29am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} lol..where did you get those ideas?? are really those girls singing it ??
"girls" lol
  • #47,768
  • Nov 27, 2019 4:33am Nov 27, 2019 4:33am
Quoting thelws
{quote} "girls" lol
I got it now... thanks... I am kind slow in those topics... I grew up in a different kind environment...
  • #47,769
  • Nov 27, 2019 4:34am Nov 27, 2019 4:34am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} lol..where did you get those ideas?? are really those girls singing it ??
psttt..its not girls... see the deception?


Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #47,770
  • Nov 27, 2019 4:55am Nov 27, 2019 4:55am
coffee tunes..
Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #47,771
  • Nov 27, 2019 5:26am Nov 27, 2019 5:26am
4hr could put a tweezer bottom in, lots of time left, sure....just sayin....
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #47,772
  • Nov 27, 2019 6:33am Nov 27, 2019 6:33am
Long audcad

Stops at 89.80. Not sure on TP, will monitor
  • #47,773
  • Nov 27, 2019 7:30am Nov 27, 2019 7:30am
first round of very good us data.

chicago pmi next.

looks like boulder may get her last hurrah
  • #47,774
  • Nov 27, 2019 7:38am Nov 27, 2019 7:38am
closed a couple Euro at 1002 and 0999 +20
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  • #47,775
  • Edited 8:00am Nov 27, 2019 7:39am | Edited 8:00am
add Swiss short 9987 to 9992
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  • #47,776
  • Nov 27, 2019 7:48am Nov 27, 2019 7:48am
actually... looking at these data, the fundamentals for US seems to have been getting better despite the trade war thing.

This dollar strength might carry on if the nfp numbers turn out great. Might even see 1.08xx

Equities, gold, bonds are finally moving as expected. We're firmly in risk on mode.
  • #47,777
  • Nov 27, 2019 7:55am Nov 27, 2019 7:55am
so slow with that kind good data...still wait for Eur TP 9998 then 9992...etc
  • #47,778
  • Nov 27, 2019 8:00am Nov 27, 2019 8:00am
Quoting Boulder
so slow with that kind good data...still wait for Eur TP 9998 then 9992...etc
lol I've set my tp at 0998 and 0993
  • #47,779
  • Nov 27, 2019 8:08am Nov 27, 2019 8:08am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} EurUsd next to print 1004 or 1026 FP R1 ----------1.1026 FP PP ----------1.1018 RU S1 ----------1.1017 WP S1 ----------1.1012 RU S2 ----------1.1012 FP S1 ----------1.1011 FP S2 ----------1.1007 RU S3 ----------1.1004 FP S3 ----------1.0999 WP S2 ----------1.0993 1
Euro cleared all my lower levels but one ...lets see 0993 next...

FP R1 ----------1.1026
FP PP ----------1.1018
RU S1 ----------1.1017
WP S1 ----------1.1012
RU S2 ----------1.1012
FP S1 ----------1.1011
FP S2 ----------1.1007
RU S3 ----------1.1004
FP S3 ----------1.0999
WP S2 ----------1.0993
  • #47,780
  • Nov 27, 2019 8:10am Nov 27, 2019 8:10am
Quoting Boulder
Swissy 11/26/2019..next to print 9981 or 9965 FP R3 ----------0.9999 RU R3 ----------0.9996 FP R2 ----------0.9989 RU R2 ----------0.9985 FP R1 ----------0.9984 WP R1 ----------0.9983 MP R1 ----------0.9981 RU R1 ----------0.9979 FP PP ----------0.9975 FP S1 ----------0.9965 RU S1 ----------0.9965 FP S2 ----------0.9960 RU S2 ----------0.9959 FP S3 ----------0.9951 RU S3 ----------0.9948
Swiss cleared all my upper levels but two...next to print 9996..

FP R3 ----------0.9999
RU R3 ----------0.9996
FP R2 ----------0.9989
RU R2 ----------0.9985
FP R1 ----------0.9984
WP R1 ----------0.9983
MP R1 ----------0.9981
RU R1 ----------0.9979
FP PP ----------0.9975
FP S1 ----------0.9965
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