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The Swamp

  • #47,741
  • Nov 27, 2019 2:06am Nov 27, 2019 2:06am
buy at 1006....TP 1021
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #47,742
  • Nov 27, 2019 2:08am Nov 27, 2019 2:08am
Quoting gatorinla
my 15 min is bearish.. 5 min support at 1018.. a 1h close below 1018, favors bears for some. my first fresh 15 min sell signal since 1066..
1.0996 looks safe to tp.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #47,743
  • Nov 27, 2019 2:11am Nov 27, 2019 2:11am
short 1.1008.

stop @ 1.1015
  • #47,744
  • Nov 27, 2019 2:12am Nov 27, 2019 2:12am
my next EU TP 1001 and 0999...swiss 9973... wait to see which one can get there first
  • #47,745
  • Nov 27, 2019 2:16am Nov 27, 2019 2:16am
15 min needs to catch its breath again.. 1h shows, it should.. this is a 15 min chart..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #47,746
  • Nov 27, 2019 2:19am Nov 27, 2019 2:19am
A few datapoints for EurUsd atm:

H1 Downtrend stop 1.1025
H4 Downtrend stop 1.1056
Day Downtrend stop 1.1146
Week Downtrend stop 1.1221
Month Downtrend stop 1.1940
  • #47,747
  • Nov 27, 2019 2:25am Nov 27, 2019 2:25am
A few datapoints for UsdChf atm:

H1 Uptrend stop 0.9966
H4 Uptrend stop 0.9940
Day Uptrend stop 0.9849
Week Downtrend stop 0.9998
Month Uptrend stop 0.9700
  • #47,748
  • Nov 27, 2019 2:50am Nov 27, 2019 2:50am
Quoting Boulder
Shorted Swissy 9983 here... Swissy may for parity.. {image}
closed Swiss here 9976, +7
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  • #47,749
  • Nov 27, 2019 3:02am Nov 27, 2019 3:02am
some eu bulls are coming out. But it doesn't seem like they have the strength to push higher...
Meanwhile the bears aren't really committing.

For now I'll assume bears have the advantage of trend behind their backs. It might naturally fall lower unless bulls start to push harder
  • #47,750
  • Nov 27, 2019 3:09am Nov 27, 2019 3:09am
Quoting gatorinla
15 min needs to catch its breath again.. 1h shows, it should.. this is a 15 min chart.. {image}
15 min looks to be improving under oxygen. I was going to wait for a push below 0989, but 0995 is enough for some of mine today (spread tp 0996/97).. I will look to add on a 1083 bounce later if possible. depending on usdx day close and 99.44
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #47,751
  • Nov 27, 2019 3:12am Nov 27, 2019 3:12am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 15 min looks to be improving under oxygen. I was going to wait for a push below 0989, but 0995 is enough for some of mine today (spread tp 0996/97).. I will look to add on a 1083 bounce later if possible. depending on usdx day close and 99.44
Is that a typo? You're expecting a 100 pip bounce from 0995?
  • #47,752
  • Nov 27, 2019 3:14am Nov 27, 2019 3:14am
Quoting Boulder
my next EU TP 1001 and 0999...swiss 9973... wait to see which one can get there first
closed both Eu here 1004, +12
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  • #47,753
  • Nov 27, 2019 3:19am Nov 27, 2019 3:19am
Quoting thelws
{quote} Is that a typo? You're expecting a 100 pip bounce from 0995?
depends on usdx 99.44. If it breaks (with a day close above 99.44) 1.0846.7 eu target is valid still. The current eu set up even after a break of the low. Could have a normal retrace to 1083.. more so w/o a usdx close above 99.44
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #47,754
  • Nov 27, 2019 3:25am Nov 27, 2019 3:25am
Quoting thelws
short 1.1008. stop @ 1.1015
close here @1.1004
  • #47,755
  • Edited 3:41am Nov 27, 2019 3:27am | Edited 3:41am
Quoting thelws
{quote} Is that a typo? You're expecting a 100 pip bounce from 0995?
this is what stopped eu bears last time.. Green light mostly after.. month and week are already at usd bulls back.. need the day now..

euro is about the same except it has already broken the day versus usd

usd/chf week is stopping the usd/swiss from the climb. At least for now.. It too may be ready too. So the ecb or swiss may be controlling the 1.00 usd/chf level some. It may stopping some eu fall. for the fall to work, usdx should strengthen. Its stuck under 99.44 Day R. Between it and u/c 1.00.. pips can be made.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #47,756
  • Nov 27, 2019 3:30am Nov 27, 2019 3:30am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} this is what stopped eu bears last time.. Green light mostly after.. month and week are already at usd bulls back.. need the day now.. {image}
Yea that usdx resistance.
  • #47,757
  • Nov 27, 2019 3:42am Nov 27, 2019 3:42am
Usdx may not break this week. There's not much news left. And we have month end balancing. People might close out those dollar longs.

Plus thursday is a holiday. That leaves today and friday for trading.

We might have seen the low for eu this week already.
  • #47,758
  • Nov 27, 2019 3:43am Nov 27, 2019 3:43am
Quoting thelws
Usdx may not break this week. There's not much news left. And we have month end balancing. People might close out those dollar longs. Plus thursday is a holiday. That leaves today and friday for trading. We might have seen the low for eu this week already.
no....with fresh 1H downtrend plus downtrends in all time frames...bears in control....we might see 0990s
  • #47,759
  • Nov 27, 2019 3:45am Nov 27, 2019 3:45am
Quoting thelws
{quote} Yea that usdx resistance.
yeah eu in that 1.1 ish area..give or take a few. Until 99.44 usdx gives up the booty. That's why I didnt want to add shorts here weeks ago
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #47,760
  • Nov 27, 2019 3:50am Nov 27, 2019 3:50am
Quoting thelws
Usdx may not break this week. There's not much news left. And we have month end balancing. People might close out those dollar longs. Plus thursday is a holiday. That leaves today and friday for trading. We might have seen the low for eu this week already.
in a thin market, it can break. One guess is as good as another. I had a few I wanted to tp if possible b4 thanksgiving 0996. Then see what happens to 99.44..Europe and the u.s are phucked over the tariffs. The indication of not knowing is pulling some liquidity volatility. Its hard for exporters or importers to figure out the hedge they should take. So they sit on their hands. Afraid to make the wrong move.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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