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The Swamp

  • #47,561
  • Nov 22, 2019 4:15am Nov 22, 2019 4:15am
refill Eu short here 1061..
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  • #47,562
  • Nov 22, 2019 4:18am Nov 22, 2019 4:18am
back to bed.. LC was 1047 last week.(today's atm low).. 1042 is attracting pa.. maybe closer to LC it gets there.. Lc below 1047 is a good sign for bears.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #47,563
  • Nov 22, 2019 4:21am Nov 22, 2019 4:21am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} usdx made the bull side on 4/12h.. {image}
a little challenge, since 98.04 is 200 DMA??.. ( not verify , I heard it from Ransqawk)
  • #47,564
  • Nov 22, 2019 4:24am Nov 22, 2019 4:24am
Quoting gatorinla
back to bed.. LC was 1047 last week.(today's atm low).. 1042 is attracting pa.. maybe closer to LC it gets there.. Lc below 1047 is a good sign for bears.
me too..3am here...it wont be much to do here for a few hours... see you in US open...
  • #47,565
  • Nov 22, 2019 5:25am Nov 22, 2019 5:25am
This has been happening way too often lately.

In europe the market trades normally. When us is about to start it always becomes a sell dollar.

Are people really worried about trump so much?
  • #47,566
  • Nov 22, 2019 5:52am Nov 22, 2019 5:52am
It appears like price might head back up a bit. I'd like to short more from highs. Closed my 1070 short in profit. Still keeping the one from 1091.
  • #47,567
  • Edited 6:43am Nov 22, 2019 6:01am | Edited 6:43am
Long EJ 120.06. That W on the 15mins is too compelling to miss. Let's see if it works out.

Edit: Closed this with minus 2 pips. Not confident about it.
  • #47,568
  • Nov 22, 2019 7:35am Nov 22, 2019 7:35am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} a little challenge, since 98.04 is 200 DMA??.. ( not verify , I heard it from Ransqawk)
No its the 4h ema.. new chance in 25 min..
dotted line in red. 98.03
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #47,569
  • Nov 22, 2019 7:36am Nov 22, 2019 7:36am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} No its the 4h ema.. new chance in 25 min..
watching 4h stop...good chance to make this time...24 mins to go...
  • #47,570
  • Nov 22, 2019 7:49am Nov 22, 2019 7:49am
tump is tweeting again.
algos are just going to sell dollars.
im getting really tired of trump and his tweets.
  • #47,571
  • Nov 22, 2019 7:53am Nov 22, 2019 7:53am
Quoting thelws
tump is tweeting again. algos are just going to sell dollars. im getting really tired of trump and his tweets.
I know ..he is not helping EU to come down..
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  • #47,572
  • Nov 22, 2019 8:00am Nov 22, 2019 8:00am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} watching 4h stop...good chance to make this time...24 mins to go...
Bears did it !!!!!

shorted eu here 1056..
  • #47,573
  • Nov 22, 2019 8:00am Nov 22, 2019 8:00am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} watching 4h stop...good chance to make this time...24 mins to go...
u got the flip
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #47,574
  • Nov 22, 2019 8:03am Nov 22, 2019 8:03am
Quoting thelws
tump is tweeting again. algos are just going to sell dollars. im getting really tired of trump and his tweets.
LMAO last I heard from a reliable source is, it will not be done by Dec 15.. so new tariffs are supposed to be imposed.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #47,575
  • Nov 22, 2019 8:08am Nov 22, 2019 8:08am
A few datapoints for EurUsd atm:

H1 Downtrend stop 1.1070
H4 Downtrend stop 1.1085
Day Downtrend stop 1.1164
Week Downtrend stop 1.1254
Month Downtrend stop 1.1936
  • #47,576
  • Nov 22, 2019 8:15am Nov 22, 2019 8:15am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} LMAO last I heard from a reliable source is, it will not be done by Dec 15.. so new tariffs are supposed to be imposed.
That explains a lot on why trump declined to say if he would sign or not.

Honestly I had a hunch that this trade deal will not happen. China is absolutely not willing to let trump get his way and is would rather have a prolonged trade war. Trump on the other hand would rather let the economy crash than admit that he failed to strike a favourable deal.

It's making the market very jumpy. A single tweet can change the market's direction. I don't welcome this kind of volatility.

Edit: which means that risk off sentiments should get stronger as we get closer to dec 15. As long as trump doesn't explicitly say he will commit, risk off should be the better trade.
  • #47,577
  • Nov 22, 2019 8:18am Nov 22, 2019 8:18am
Quoting thelws
{quote} That explains a lot on why trump declined to say if he would sign or not. Honestly I had a hunch that this trade deal will not happen. China is absolutely not willing to let trump get his way and is would rather have a prolonged trade war. Trump on the other hand would rather let the economy crash than admit that he failed to strike a favourable deal. It's making the market very jumpy. A single tweet can change the market's direction. I don't welcome this kind of volatility.
The little boy who cried wolf, one time too many, was eaten by the wolf. China is on a century timeline. They know trump won't be there forever. China has the power to remove trump from office.

China is like; '' You have no power here"..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #47,578
  • Edited 9:00am Nov 22, 2019 8:49am | Edited 9:00am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Bears did it !!!!! shorted eu here 1056..
closed Eu at 1046..1050,, +20..
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  • #47,579
  • Nov 22, 2019 9:02am Nov 22, 2019 9:02am
Quoting Boulder
EurUsd basically moved between two option levels... it may stuck here for a while till US open levels today.. next to print 1042 or 1097.. RU R3 ----------1.1105 WP R3 ----------1.1101 FP R2 ----------1.1097 FP R1 ----------1.1086 RU R2 ----------1.1085 WP R2 ----------1.1075 MP PP ----------1.1074 RU R1 ----------1.1073 FP PP ----------1.1069 WP R1 ----------1.1059 FP S1 ----------1.1053 RU S1 ----------1.1048 FP S2 ----------1.1042 RU S2 ----------1.1036 WP PP ----------1.1033 FP S3 ----------1.1025 RU S3 ----------1.1015...
1042 printed .. next to print 1036.. I have a TP there...

FP R2 ----------1.1097
FP R1 ----------1.1086
RU R2 ----------1.1085
WP R2 ----------1.1075
MP PP ----------1.1074
RU R1 ----------1.1073
FP PP ----------1.1069
WP R1 ----------1.1059
FP S1 ----------1.1053
RU S1 ----------1.1048
FP S2 ----------1.1042
RU S2 ----------1.1036
WP PP ----------1.1033
FP S3 ----------1.1025
RU S3 ----------1.1015

  • #47,580
  • Nov 22, 2019 9:02am Nov 22, 2019 9:02am
we've hit the adr.
But today seems to be have higher volatility, maybe we'll go a bit further.

I want to reload but don't know where lol. Maybe I should just cash out and call it a day
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