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The Swamp

  • #47,381
  • Nov 20, 2019 9:31am Nov 20, 2019 9:31am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I see your 4h is climbing fast. The jury is still out.. But it looks like if pa can close below your 4h, the bears would return. -1057.6 hour close looks bearish. -1054 day, plus below your 4h looks to open it up some. usdx needs a day close above .9799 to start. And close above .9944 to run..
last 4h closed below, after being above.. like eu 1062 miss. maybe later to close day..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #47,382
  • Nov 20, 2019 9:55am Nov 20, 2019 9:55am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I don't follow politics,, definitely no time or desire to listen to those daily TV news,,, but one thing we need to know,,,anything bad for Trump, its bad for dollar.......I want Eurusd to go down... this just ruins the process with all those political drama..
Actually I was thinking about this for a bit. I can't figure out why markets behave that way. Do you have any idea why?

As far as impeachment proceedings go, I think there's no way trump will get impeached. Senate is backing trump so unlikely they will pass it. At most this impeachment will hinder his chances for 2020 reelection.

So if we're to use the "bad for trump, bad for dollar", then this hearing should have no impact at all.

---
What I do know is that right now china's trade deal is not looking too favourably. Markets have been stealthily moving into risk off mode. So if something bad happens, dollar should rally on safe haven plays.
  • #47,383
  • Nov 20, 2019 9:59am Nov 20, 2019 9:59am
Quoting thelws
{quote} Actually I was thinking about this for a bit. I can't figure out why markets behave that way. Do you have any idea why? As far as impeachment proceedings go, I think there's no way trump will get impeached. Senate is backing trump so unlikely they will pass it. At most this impeachment will hinder his chances for 2020 reelection. So if we're to use the "bad for trump, bad for dollar", then this hearing should have no impact at all. --- What I do know is that right now china's trade deal is not looking too favourably. Markets have been stealthily...
impeachment is a done deal (only the house can impeach). The senate does not impeach. The senate removes or not.. Clinton was impeached by the house, he wasn't removed by senate. impeachment is like an indictment to go to trail

one thing is, a normal president would not attack the fed like d. Maybe the usd would rise w/o the attacks. Maybe markets would rise w/o the tariffs..the deficit has increased from 19 trillion to 22 trillion in 3 years. that's a lot of usd for markets to run ..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #47,384
  • Nov 20, 2019 10:02am Nov 20, 2019 10:02am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} impeachment is a done deal. The senate does not impeach. The senate removes.
Oh... I always thought that the house merely initiates the impeachment procedures. Then the senate decides or not whether to remove or retain.
  • #47,385
  • Nov 20, 2019 10:14am Nov 20, 2019 10:14am
Quoting thelws
{quote} Oh... I always thought that the house merely initiates the impeachment procedures. Then the senate decides or not whether to remove or retain.
the house holds a trail.. the senate are the jurors (vote needs 2/3 to remove).. Chief justice is the judge.

atm the house it gathering evidence.. later they will vote to have a trial or not..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #47,386
  • Nov 20, 2019 10:31am Nov 20, 2019 10:31am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} and 1076 refill {image}
just got back, both Euro shorts TP out +20
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  • #47,387
  • Nov 20, 2019 10:35am Nov 20, 2019 10:35am
Lc lower today
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #47,388
  • Nov 20, 2019 11:59am Nov 20, 2019 11:59am
that goes Swissy,,,,,out swissy 9915, +7
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  • #47,389
  • Nov 20, 2019 12:19pm Nov 20, 2019 12:19pm
Swissy closed 9905+8
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  • #47,390
  • Nov 20, 2019 6:13pm Nov 20, 2019 6:13pm
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If we close above 1084, the bulls win.
I'll have to cut and start going long.
  • #47,391
  • Nov 20, 2019 7:08pm Nov 20, 2019 7:08pm
Swissy TP out 9899 +10..next TP 9893 and 9894...Swissy is testing 1H uptrend 9897 atm.. not sure bulls can hold, 50 mins to go..
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  • #47,392
  • Nov 20, 2019 7:09pm Nov 20, 2019 7:09pm
Eur short refill 1076 here
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  • #47,393
  • Nov 20, 2019 7:53pm Nov 20, 2019 7:53pm
Close three more Swissy here 9893 and 9896..+30..next TP atm 9882 and 9884..
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  • #47,394
  • Nov 20, 2019 7:56pm Nov 20, 2019 7:56pm
Quoting Boulder
Swissy TP out 9899 +10..next TP 9893 and 9894...Swissy is testing 1H uptrend 9897 atm.. not sure bulls can hold, 50 mins to go.. {image}
Swissy 1H bulls failed ...now 1H will reverse to downtrend in mins...not a good sign for Eur bears...
  • #47,395
  • Nov 20, 2019 8:34pm Nov 20, 2019 8:34pm
refill swissy short here 9906..
  • #47,396
  • Nov 20, 2019 9:16pm Nov 20, 2019 9:16pm
I have to seriously consider trimming my positions.

The bull strength totally doesn't inspire any confidence in my shorts

Market correlations between bond gold and dollar is breaking down. I have no idea what to do now or where the market wants to go.

The only thing keeping me short is my technical indicators. But that one can break any moment with just a tweet.
  • #47,397
  • Nov 20, 2019 10:58pm Nov 20, 2019 10:58pm
Quoting thelws
I have to seriously consider trimming my positions. The bull strength totally doesn't inspire any confidence in my shorts Market correlations between bond gold and dollar is breaking down. I have no idea what to do now or where the market wants to go. The only thing keeping me short is my technical indicators. But that one can break any moment with just a tweet.
US10Y below 1.682 on D1 close will help line everything back up. Just have to make it through today
  • #47,398
  • Nov 21, 2019 12:56am Nov 21, 2019 12:56am
Quoting WhipKream
{quote} US10Y below 1.682 on D1 close will help line everything back up. Just have to make it through today
mind posting a chart? Kinda hard to visualize
  • #47,399
  • Nov 21, 2019 1:09am Nov 21, 2019 1:09am
Quoting thelws
{quote} mind posting a chart? Kinda hard to visualize
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Better confirmation below 1.5, especially with Powell signaling a pause. I think it's a bluff though. Risk off seems to be inevitable. Philly Fed number could be telling for cuts. Green, bad for dollar, red, good. Weirdly enough only because of recession risks. That's my take on it.

Close up.
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  • #47,400
  • Nov 21, 2019 2:36am Nov 21, 2019 2:36am
short 1.1080
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