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The Swamp

  • #46,861
  • Nov 12, 2019 5:02am Nov 12, 2019 5:02am
I'm expecting markets to buy up that dollar.
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  • #46,862
  • Nov 12, 2019 5:04am Nov 12, 2019 5:04am
short Swissy here 9957...
  • #46,863
  • Nov 12, 2019 5:08am Nov 12, 2019 5:08am
Quoting thelws
I'm expecting markets to buy up that dollar. {image}
You know his staff says things. Then the next hour, he says the opposite. It's not like it happened once, or twice. I wouldn't trust anything said before hand. Its subject to change by him. Sometimes in the same press conference. Sometimes in the next sentence.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #46,864
  • Nov 12, 2019 5:11am Nov 12, 2019 5:11am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} You know his staff says things, Then the next hour he says the opposite. It's not like it happened once or twice. I wouldn't trust anything said before hand. Its subject to change by him. Sometimes in the same press conference. Sometimes in the next sentence.
That's true... But at least from now till the time he speaks, markets will be buying up dollars.

It might be enough to get us to 1.1 before he starts talking.

It's already close to testing 1.1015 right now.
  • #46,865
  • Nov 12, 2019 5:23am Nov 12, 2019 5:23am
Quoting thelws
{quote} That's true... But at least from now till the time he speaks, markets will be buying up dollars. It might be enough to get us to 1.1 before he starts talking. It's already close to testing 1.1015 right now.
I doubt support brakes on rumor, he is usually a weak dollar fan. Constantly needling the FED to weaken USD (lower rates). The german car tariffs postponed should have helped the euro.. Yet we test 1050. The usd is pretty tough looking despite.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #46,866
  • Nov 12, 2019 5:32am Nov 12, 2019 5:32am
off to bed.. alarms set..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #46,867
  • Nov 12, 2019 6:18am Nov 12, 2019 6:18am
Quoting Boulder
closed some EU at 1022...+10....next TP 1011 .. see it can get there today... {image}
closed EU at 1011 +10...
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  • #46,868
  • Nov 12, 2019 6:20am Nov 12, 2019 6:20am
1h EA shorted EU 1017...
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  • #46,869
  • Edited 9:57am Nov 12, 2019 6:28am | Edited 9:57am
Quoting thelws
{quote} The ratio tool tends to favour the one with less%. And since sellers are in the smaller %, I'm inclined to sell. Plus all my indicators are still telling me to sell. Hopefully we'll see 1.1 or lower today. That buy gold tho... if dollar rallies, likely that gold will drop. So you might have hedged yourself a bit. We're in full risk on mode imo.
Good points. The risk on mode hurts gold buys. I closed the gold buy already with minus $3. For the ratio tool, yes, the retail herd is usually wrong so, dump EU. I expect sub 1.000 soon.
  • #46,870
  • Nov 12, 2019 6:31am Nov 12, 2019 6:31am
Quoting Boulder
EurUsd 11/12/2019 levels...next to print 1016 or 1041... MP PP ----------1.1074 WP PP ----------1.1071 FP R3 ----------1.1057 RU R3 ----------1.1057 FP R2 ----------1.1047 RU R2 ----------1.1045 FP R1 ----------1.1041 RU R1 ----------1.1038 FP PP ----------1.1031 RU S1 ----------1.1023 FP S1 ----------1.1021 RU S2 ----------1.1016 FP S2 ----------1.1015 WP S1 ----------1.1010 FP S3 ----------1.1005 RU S3 ----------1.1004 WP S2 ----------1.0973
Eur bears next to print 1010...

FP R1 ----------1.1041
RU R1 ----------1.1038
FP PP ----------1.1031
RU S1 ----------1.1023
FP S1 ----------1.1021
RU S2 ----------1.1016
FP S2 ----------1.1015
WP S1 ----------1.1010
FP S3 ----------1.1005
RU S3 ----------1.1004
WP S2 ----------1.0973
  • #46,871
  • Nov 12, 2019 6:44am Nov 12, 2019 6:44am
Quoting Boulder
11/12/2019 Swissy levels...next to print 9958 or 9918.. RU R3 ----------0.9980 FP R2 ----------0.9976 FP R1 ----------0.9965 RU R2 ----------0.9958 FP PP ----------0.9947 RU R1 ----------0.9945 WP PP ----------0.9935 FP S1 ----------0.9928 RU S1 ----------0.9918 FP S2 ----------0.9917 MP PP ----------0.9910 RU S2 ----------0.9905 FP S3 ----------0.9899 WP S1 ----------0.9887 RU S3 ----------0.9884
Swissy next to print 9965...

RU R3 ----------0.9980
FP R2 ----------0.9976
FP R1 ----------0.9965
RU R2 ----------0.9958
FP PP ----------0.9947
RU R1 ----------0.9945
WP PP ----------0.9935
FP S1 ----------0.9928
RU S1 ----------0.9918
  • #46,872
  • Nov 12, 2019 6:49am Nov 12, 2019 6:49am
A few datapoints for UsdChf atm:

H1Uptrend stop 0.9927
H4 Uptrend stop 0.9920
Day Downtrend stop 0.9984
Week Downtrend stop 0.9998
Month Uptrend stop 0.9700
  • #46,873
  • Nov 12, 2019 7:39am Nov 12, 2019 7:39am
Quoting htcone
{quote} bad advise based on cot.. may be you need to reevaluate the cot report of last 4 weeks...
Its not COT. They are bank position published..Sorry.. I wont post it here anymore..
  • #46,874
  • Nov 12, 2019 7:51am Nov 12, 2019 7:51am
Quoting q_import
{quote} Its not COT. They are bank position published..Sorry.. I wont post it here anymore..
you can post as we all do here to share the info to help each other........ all you need is to indicate the source to be convincing sometimes.....
  • #46,875
  • Nov 12, 2019 7:54am Nov 12, 2019 7:54am
Quoting Boulder
short Swissy here 9957...
closed swissy 9949 +8..
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  • #46,876
  • Nov 12, 2019 9:26am Nov 12, 2019 9:26am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Eur bears next to print 1010... FP R1 ----------1.1041 RU R1 ----------1.1038 FP PP ----------1.1031 RU S1 ----------1.1023 FP S1 ----------1.1021 RU S2 ----------1.1016 FP S2 ----------1.1015 WP S1 ----------1.1010 FP S3 ----------1.1005 RU S3 ----------1.1004 WP S2 ----------1.0973
Eur next to print 1005...

FP R1 ----------1.1041
RU R1 ----------1.1038
FP PP ----------1.1031
RU S1 ----------1.1023
FP S1 ----------1.1021
RU S2 ----------1.1016
FP S2 ----------1.1015
WP S1 ----------1.1010
FP S3 ----------1.1005
RU S3 ----------1.1004
WP S2 ----------1.0973

3
  • #46,877
  • Nov 12, 2019 9:36am Nov 12, 2019 9:36am
Around the consolidation ranges
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  • #46,878
  • Nov 12, 2019 9:39am Nov 12, 2019 9:39am
Quoting gatorinla
4h closed below the soft 4h 1034
soft 4h at 1031
soft 1h 1023
soft 30min 1019
soft 15 min 1016
soft 5 min 1007

st target 1.0994. pa may return to 1030 before 1.0994, normally.. this time it looks like normal is not needed.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #46,879
  • Nov 12, 2019 9:40am Nov 12, 2019 9:40am
Quoting gatorinla
little db now.. a LL now st targets 0994
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #46,880
  • Nov 12, 2019 9:42am Nov 12, 2019 9:42am
Quoting thelws
got in back short 1033
out 1.1003
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