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The Swamp

  • #46,461
  • Nov 6, 2019 10:44am Nov 6, 2019 10:44am
add back Swissy short here 0.9933...
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  • #46,462
  • Nov 6, 2019 10:45am Nov 6, 2019 10:45am
i dont know about 1429 now.but im about gold
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  • #46,463
  • Nov 6, 2019 10:50am Nov 6, 2019 10:50am
Quoting Boulder
add back Swissy short here 0.9933... {image}
wow... out already... not even 5 mins +10
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  • #46,464
  • Nov 6, 2019 10:51am Nov 6, 2019 10:51am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} flat Swissy short at 9924 +3 .
wake up,, I need some coffee.. Your turn, the door is open.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #46,465
  • Nov 6, 2019 10:54am Nov 6, 2019 10:54am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} wake up,, I need some coffee.. Your turn, the door is open.
I was woke up by price alert.. I need a coffee run too...
news came out...
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  • #46,466
  • Nov 6, 2019 10:59am Nov 6, 2019 10:59am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} swiss 4h gives a fresh buy signal at 9927.. 9910 support.
usd/chf..9908. allow a little wiggle room below support as long as 4h close is above. 9913 is another support on the day.


eur/chf may be touching support now at 1.0980 or 0975..if one wants to buy it..4h.. The day says sell it.. so close if the support breaks. 4h bullish, day bearish.

4h bullish signal on swiss. To put into context, the 15 min eu gave a bearish short signal at 115x
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #46,467
  • Nov 6, 2019 11:08am Nov 6, 2019 11:08am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I was woke up by price alert.. I need a coffee run too... news came out... {image}
Wow!... gee! who would of thunk? a con artist overpromised.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #46,468
  • Nov 6, 2019 1:35pm Nov 6, 2019 1:35pm
Just arriving to the office - is this going down, or am i wrong? https://invst.ly/ofhy8
  • #46,469
  • Nov 6, 2019 2:14pm Nov 6, 2019 2:14pm
There is a reason EU is an interesting pair. I love riding it up and down. Book my shorts here at 1069 and go to bed.
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  • #46,470
  • Nov 6, 2019 3:52pm Nov 6, 2019 3:52pm
A curiosity - Currency Pair EUR/USD Long from 1.1075 Target 1.1500 Stop/Loss 1.0950 Floating (pips) -6 Mkt Price (9:26:38 PM) 1.1069 MACRO - MT — [OPEN] Latest Rationale Data in this trade have been derived from a long EUR/USD position (spot ref: 1.1090), promoted by Standard Chartered Bank Research. "The prospect of a partial deal on US-China trade, a market-friendly Fed, a surprisingly robust US economy and, to a lesser degree, the easing of hard Brexit risk have created a positive risk motif in asset markets. So far this has generated moderate USD selling against EM currencies and tepid selling versus G10, despite some US yield backup. To generate stronger USD selling against G10, non-US growth needs to show signs of recovery," SC notes. "Medium-term, we think this could come from two catalysts in Europe – the conclusion of Brexit and the potential for fiscal expansion. Shorter-term, we also note marginal improvement in European PMI data and German factory orders,'
  • #46,471
  • Nov 6, 2019 4:28pm Nov 6, 2019 4:28pm
Quoting Mitiblotch
There is a reason EU is an interesting pair. I love riding it up and down. Book my shorts here at 1069 and go to bed. {image}
If I had a nickel every time I heard this.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #46,472
  • Nov 6, 2019 4:30pm Nov 6, 2019 4:30pm
Quoting AirmanFF
A curiosity - Currency Pair EUR/USD Long from 1.1075 Target 1.1500 Stop/Loss 1.0950 Floating (pips) -6 Mkt Price (9:26:38 PM) 1.1069 MACRO - MT — [OPEN] Latest Rationale Data in this trade have been derived from a long EUR/USD position (spot ref: 1.1090), promoted by Standard Chartered Bank Research. "The prospect of a partial deal on US-China trade, a market-friendly Fed, a surprisingly robust US economy and, to a lesser degree, the easing of hard Brexit risk have created a positive risk motif in asset markets. So far this has generated moderate...
The swap will destroy your account.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #46,473
  • Nov 6, 2019 4:45pm Nov 6, 2019 4:45pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} the swiss looks to be ahead of the euro in usd strength. i need my soft 1096 4h to cross the hard 1077 south.. that could take a few days. And pa would have to be below 1077 to do that. swiss has made the cross north already.. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ue2-ZVxpVjc
soft 1096 4h now at 1086/87. (new R)
day now at 1106/07
soft 1h at 1072, hard 1112/14
Boulder's day support 1009.
week soft r 1088. 1086/1107 is getting tough with time.
some support anticipated 1045 ish.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #46,474
  • Nov 6, 2019 4:48pm Nov 6, 2019 4:48pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} eu 5 min short signal, too close to 1077.. 5 min hard stop 1086
5 min held 1086 then. hard 5 min now at 1078. stops can come down some for the swingish/scalp
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #46,475
  • Nov 6, 2019 5:49pm Nov 6, 2019 5:49pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} soft 1096 4h now at 1086/87. (new R) day now at 1106/07 soft 1h at 1072, hard 1112/14 Boulder's day support 1009. week soft r 1088. 1086/1107 is getting tough with time. some support anticipated 1045 ish.
1092 is a hard resistance for me. Can't close above it or I'll consider the down move invalid.
Expecting some minor support @1040
Hard support @1.1000

Preferably I'd like to see market move up to 1085 then break the low and move down.
Or I'll jump in short if it breaks the low regardless
  • #46,476
  • Nov 6, 2019 6:01pm Nov 6, 2019 6:01pm
Quoting thelws
{quote} 1092 is a hard resistance for me. Can't close above it or I'll consider the down move invalid. Expecting some minor support @1040 Hard support @1.1000 Preferably I'd like to see market move up to 1085 then break the low and move down. Or I'll jump in short if it breaks the low regardless
soft 4h is at 1086.. when/if it crosses 1077. it will make 1077 tough. maybe tough enough to take out the week close below 1088.. the ducks are lining up.. chf is already 4h bullish. the 4h can last weeks. The thing in the chf's way is 1.00. R. week R.. the eu is already below its week support. things may be lining up for a usd run for weeks
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #46,477
  • Nov 6, 2019 6:03pm Nov 6, 2019 6:03pm
Quoting AirmanFF
A curiosity - Currency Pair EUR/USD Long from 1.1075 Target 1.1500 Stop/Loss 1.0950 Floating (pips) -6 Mkt Price (9:26:38 PM) 1.1069 MACRO - MT — [OPEN] Latest Rationale Data in this trade have been derived from a long EUR/USD position (spot ref: 1.1090), promoted by Standard Chartered Bank Research. "The prospect of a partial deal on US-China trade, a market-friendly Fed, a surprisingly robust US economy and, to a lesser degree, the easing of hard Brexit risk have created a positive risk motif in asset markets. So far this has generated moderate...
Just like gator said, the swap might add up to a size that you might feel it. You can't compare a retail account to an institutional one. Institutions have an unfair advantage which is basically almost negligible swaps and super low breakeven points.

To break even with my clearing house you only need 0.2 pips. Swaps are so negligible that the company decided that they will absorb the cost for me.

That's why when you read research like that that says go long till 1.15, you gotta take it with a pinch of salt. They can hold a -ve swap position for months and not feel the costs. The retailer probably won't get a similar experience.

For a lack of better words, the odds are stacked against us. So we need to pick our timings more carefully. Because we don't have the luxury of the sell side traders.
  • #46,478
  • Nov 6, 2019 6:33pm Nov 6, 2019 6:33pm
possible s entry 1079.. slightly above hard 5 min.. (4h soft 1079/80)
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #46,479
  • Nov 6, 2019 7:46pm Nov 6, 2019 7:46pm
not sure ej will make 121.74 anytime soon..I would love to short it there.. this month, i think it's bearish already..atm level 120.45. 121.74 ls big R.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #46,480
  • Nov 6, 2019 8:07pm Nov 6, 2019 8:07pm
Boulder's 1h flipped to bear..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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