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The Swamp

  • #46,101
  • Oct 31, 2019 10:59am Oct 31, 2019 10:59am
short here 1056..
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  • #46,102
  • Oct 31, 2019 11:34am Oct 31, 2019 11:34am
lc is higher..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #46,103
  • Oct 31, 2019 12:04pm Oct 31, 2019 12:04pm
fresh bear divergence on 4h.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #46,104
  • Oct 31, 2019 12:09pm Oct 31, 2019 12:09pm
Quoting Boulder
short here 1056.. {image}
closed here 1046 +10..
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  • #46,105
  • Oct 31, 2019 1:08pm Oct 31, 2019 1:08pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If it going to run, it wont spend much time on these. the soft 4h was passed through easily.
testing soft 4h at 1143 again.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #46,106
  • Oct 31, 2019 1:17pm Oct 31, 2019 1:17pm
soft 4h 1143, 1105.8 is the soft day, 1070 the soft week. Depending on the side of pa is s/r. close wise like timeline.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #46,107
  • Oct 31, 2019 1:53pm Oct 31, 2019 1:53pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} closed here 1046 +10.. {image}
eu has 52 h of uptrend. it may be exhausting today or tomorrow.. testing 1142 now..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #46,108
  • Oct 31, 2019 2:01pm Oct 31, 2019 2:01pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} eu has 52 h of uptrend. it may be exhausting today or tomorrow.. testing 1142 now.. {image}
bastard missed again..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #46,109
  • Oct 31, 2019 2:02pm Oct 31, 2019 2:02pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} eu has 52 h of uptrend. it may be exhausting today or tomorrow.. testing 1142 now.. {image}
it just refused to give up that 1141 stop... it almost made till last min...
  • #46,110
  • Oct 31, 2019 2:03pm Oct 31, 2019 2:03pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} bastard missed again..
lol.. I said the same thing when I stared at it last 5 mins,,,
  • #46,111
  • Oct 31, 2019 2:08pm Oct 31, 2019 2:08pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} lol.. I said the same thing when I stared at it last 5 mins,,,
pa has tested the 175 again. pa has made a double top. the soft 4h and your 1h need that close. Support may be tough too. 1105 and 1070..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #46,112
  • Oct 31, 2019 2:13pm Oct 31, 2019 2:13pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} pa has tested the 175 again. pa has made a double top. the soft 4h and your 1h need that close. Support may be tough too. 1105 and 1070..
not only double top also day divergence... now just hope tomorrow nfp no surprises...a lot already said we will expect bad numbers...if the numbers are not too bad...
  • #46,113
  • Oct 31, 2019 2:13pm Oct 31, 2019 2:13pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} lol.. I said the same thing when I stared at it last 5 mins,,,
wait n see..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #46,114
  • Oct 31, 2019 3:00pm Oct 31, 2019 3:00pm
Just heads up...tomorrow EUR/USD option exp

EUR/USD:
1.1100 $1.2B
1.1150 $3.4B
1.1175 $715m
1.1200 $5.4B

I will know more tomorrow morning when Ransqawk posts its info.....
  • #46,115
  • Oct 31, 2019 3:41pm Oct 31, 2019 3:41pm
Yikes. I image that 1.12 will have quite the draw factor. Curious, how often have you seen price be 50 pips away from an expiry that large that was not successfully drawn to it?
  • #46,116
  • Oct 31, 2019 4:10pm Oct 31, 2019 4:10pm
For what it worth - "CitiFX Technicals highlights that EURUSD will post a bullish outside month on a close
above 1.1109 this month. The past eight bullish outside months seen in EURUSD since 2001
have yielded an average bounce of 9% over 3 months," Citi notes.
  • #46,117
  • Oct 31, 2019 4:14pm Oct 31, 2019 4:14pm
Quoting Boulder
Just heads up...tomorrow EUR/USD option exp EUR/USD: 1.1100 $1.2B 1.1150 $3.4B 1.1175 $715m 1.1200 $5.4B I will know more tomorrow morning when Ransqawk posts its info.....
i closed my positive shorts, in case it goes to 1.12
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #46,118
  • Oct 31, 2019 4:32pm Oct 31, 2019 4:32pm
Quoting AirmanFF
For what it worth - "CitiFX Technicals highlights that EURUSD will post a bullish outside month on a close above 1.1109 this month. The past eight bullish outside months seen in EURUSD since 2001 have yielded an average bounce of 9% over 3 months," Citi notes.
Adding to that Ichi M1 Kumo cloud, senkou A at 1,1206 and Senkou B at 1,2167.
  • #46,119
  • Oct 31, 2019 4:57pm Oct 31, 2019 4:57pm
EU, short term, "mixed/down" ? https://invst.ly/ntjb7
  • #46,120
  • Oct 31, 2019 5:08pm Oct 31, 2019 5:08pm
Quoting NWSTrading
Yikes. I image that 1.12 will have quite the draw factor. Curious, how often have you seen price be 50 pips away from an expiry that large that was not successfully drawn to it?
With NFP tomorrow...expect EurUsd swing +/-36 pips on average around 15 min bar when the job data is published, according to daily FX...50 pips away is possible...but now we know where price will be capped and where Support is according to option expry....

For me personal, looking at COT 10/22 report, the institutions had 23 billion longs vs 30 billion shorts , net short 7 billion, I think they want EU to go down eventually..but they need to unload their longs to retail , they might raise up the price to suck in retail, they may repeat a couple of times, so they can close their longs at high prices ...we know 1.1200 is a big number..200 day moving average .. it will be a big hurdle for bulls to pass

So be careful and be patient ...wait for confirmation, don't be over-leverage with trades for now.....
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