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The Swamp

  • #45,941
  • Oct 29, 2019 7:05pm Oct 29, 2019 7:05pm
Quoting gatorinla
Some possible R to be tested, channel is anticipated and untested at 1209. The 23.6 fib at 1207 on euro "all time" chart. The 200 day ema at 1203. Month average range at 1195. Month R2 at 1186. 1208 is a 61.8 retrace since 1.1411 and 1.0878 low. 1186/1218/1226 ish looks to have some R qualities. This area has a decent chance of being a top, or at least some rejection. {image}
above still true.. 1126/1220 looks like a short to me. The problem is. Its 100 pips wide. 1126 looks wanted. Sells may have to be incremental. Careful not to overlerage too early. some tl R 1140 and 1160,, ect. Add some fibs or Ma..
The week support at 1070 is stopping it (day now 1096) .. Month R at 1194. pa may range between these until broken for weeks.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #45,942
  • Oct 29, 2019 8:50pm Oct 29, 2019 8:50pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} above still true.. 1126/1220 looks like a short to me. The problem is. Its 100 pips wide. 1126 looks wanted. Sells may have to be incremental. Careful not to overlerage too early. some tl R 1140 and 1160,, ect. Add some fibs or Ma.. The week support at 1070 is stopping it (day now 1096) .. Month R at 1194. pa may range between these until broken for weeks. {image}
I agree with 1200 being a hard resistance.
But as you said... really the problem is there's a 100 pip from here to there.

Short term wise, the bulls have the initiative.
But we'll see what happens. Lots of news coming out soon. Nothing may matter.
  • #45,943
  • Oct 29, 2019 8:52pm Oct 29, 2019 8:52pm
Maybe bounce at 1.1030 50fib and symmetry
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ex nihilo
  • #45,944
  • Oct 29, 2019 9:04pm Oct 29, 2019 9:04pm
Quoting thelws
{quote} I agree with 1200 being a hard resistance. But as you said... really the problem is there's a 100 pip from here to there. Short term wise, the bulls have the initiative. But we'll see what happens. Lots of news coming out soon. Nothing may matter.
Yep, bullish into resistance area. The place to buy is/was near week 1070 or day 1096 scalpish.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #45,945
  • Oct 29, 2019 9:31pm Oct 29, 2019 9:31pm
Quoting Oc6oph
Maybe bounce at 1.1030 50fib and symmetry {image}
https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...3#post12587233
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #45,946
  • Edited 10:10pm Oct 29, 2019 9:35pm | Edited 10:10pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...3#post12587233
Yes I’m taking profit there too. And also buying there. But think it might go to 1.090 area possibly
ex nihilo
  • #45,947
  • Oct 30, 2019 2:56am Oct 30, 2019 2:56am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} above still true.. 1126/1220 looks like a short to me. The problem is. Its 100 pips wide. 1126 looks wanted. Sells may have to be incremental. Careful not to overlerage too early. some tl R 1140 and 1160,, ect. Add some fibs or Ma.. The week support at 1070 is stopping it (day now 1096) .. Month R at 1194. pa may range between these until broken for weeks. {image}
once 1126 is reached, it may give an opportunity to look, 1126/1220. Attraction to 1029 still expected later. fib wise 1126 usually minimal.

i will accept 1124 because of 1070
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #45,948
  • Edited 5:39am Oct 30, 2019 3:24am | Edited 5:39am
Short 1117. I wanted 1125 to add, but let's see.

Edit: Closed the 1117 short in few pips profit and now sold 1120.
  • #45,949
  • Oct 30, 2019 3:50am Oct 30, 2019 3:50am
My last analysis came true for 1.1121 - i didn't play it. But i have shorted here at 1.1120 now - we might start dropping here... And will add higher up:
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  • #45,950
  • Oct 30, 2019 5:27am Oct 30, 2019 5:27am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} once 1126 is reached, it may give an opportunity to look, 1126/1220. Attraction to 1029 still expected later. fib wise 1126 usually minimal. i will accept 1124 because of 1070 {image}
Good morning, I slept in.... I see all my Swissy shorts TP out but one position left..... I hope Eur shorts will do the same later as well...
  • #45,951
  • Oct 30, 2019 5:32am Oct 30, 2019 5:32am
from Ransqawk..EurUsd 1.1117 atm
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  • #45,952
  • Edited 6:09am Oct 30, 2019 5:41am | Edited 6:09am
short Eurusd here 1122 and 1124.....a little early...
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  • #45,953
  • Oct 30, 2019 6:18am Oct 30, 2019 6:18am
Quoting Boulder
short Eurusd here 1122 and 1124.....a little early... {image}
wow ,, I don't need to wait very long...out both +22
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  • #45,954
  • Oct 30, 2019 6:19am Oct 30, 2019 6:19am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Good morning, I slept in.... I see all my Swissy shorts TP out but one position left..... I hope Eur shorts will do the same later as well...
1126 hit, maybe so. back to bed..ps 1029 maybe coming.
1096 and 1070 some support to beat.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #45,955
  • Oct 30, 2019 6:20am Oct 30, 2019 6:20am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1126 hit, maybe so. back to bed..
ok,,,hope you feel well soon...
  • #45,956
  • Oct 30, 2019 6:32am Oct 30, 2019 6:32am
Quoting Mitiblotch
Short 1117. I wanted 1125 to add, but let's see. Edit: Closed the 1117 short in few pips profit and now sold 1120.
Bank 5 of them here and move SL to one pip profit for the rest.
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  • #45,957
  • Oct 30, 2019 6:43am Oct 30, 2019 6:43am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} ok,,,hope you feel well soon...
soft 4h support 1105, hard 4h support 1060.
soft 1h S 1113, med 1100.7. hard 1093.

it looks like a 1h close below 1093 is needed to test those others. 1070/1060. pip count would be above adr (1074 adr). the odds are against it today.

nap time
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #45,958
  • Oct 30, 2019 6:49am Oct 30, 2019 6:49am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} soft 4h support 1105, hard 4h support 1060. soft 1h S 1113, med 1100.7. hard 1093. it looks like a 1h close below 1093 is needed to test those others. 1070/1060. pip count would be above adr (1074 adr). the odds are against it today. nap time
with FOMC...esp with Powell will discuss what Fed next move....a lot of things will happen today.....
you have a good nap....I am here trying to mediate , get myself mental ready for later action,,,,
  • #45,959
  • Oct 30, 2019 6:51am Oct 30, 2019 6:51am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} with FOMC...esp with Powell will discuss what Fed next move....a lot of things will happen today...
if so, i tp some 1030,, sell a little bounce near 1070 or 1096.. alarms will wake me.. GN
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #45,960
  • Oct 30, 2019 7:09am Oct 30, 2019 7:09am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} with FOMC...esp with Powell will discuss what Fed next move....a lot of things will happen today..... you have a good nap....I am here trying to mediate , get myself mental ready for later action,,,,
that didnt take long.. adp alarm went off.
last month parole report lost manufacturing jobs. today we get some gdp estimation. gdp may be soft since those jobs were lost.
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