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Attachments: WTI Crude Oil (TRENDSURFING - with the help of the model)
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WTI Crude Oil (TRENDSURFING - with the help of the model)

  • #21
  • Oct 21, 2019 4:00pm Oct 21, 2019 4:00pm
Quoting helgastrxd
{quote} Ok, I'll target November to experiment first hand with the system. Personally I think Brexit and US trade tensions will linger like a dark cloud but hopefully we do have some clarity soon.
Yeah man, this October could be quite a game changer for the 3-6months that would follow (NOV, DEC, JAN, FEB, MAR, APR) since so many BIG things going on...
BREXIT-FED-ECB situation... just to name the big trinity... BTW I also holding (WTI OIL profits) back a little.. due to those uncertainties... Hope they will clear a little by the end of this week, bust most probably... vision might be much restored after 31OCT19 passes...
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #22
  • Edited 3:37pm Oct 24, 2019 12:43pm | Edited 3:37pm
I do not recommend WTI Crude OIL trading, by this system at the moment.. Specially not when it is above 55.. We will see what might happen by the end of the October at which point we might either start trading heavily or consider direction/trend change... Would still bet on the SOUTH when parameters settles... I think we are still in (much) overdrive at the moment... We might see in a good week where we stand... I am sure of it.
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #23
  • Oct 25, 2019 2:48pm Oct 25, 2019 2:48pm
Quoting auricforecas
I do not recommend WTI Crude OIL trading, by this system at the moment.. Specially not when it is above 55.. We will see what might happen by the end of the October at which point we might either start trading heavily or consider direction/trend change... Would still bet on the SOUTH when parameters settles... I think we are still in (much) overdrive at the moment... We might see in a good week where we stand... I am sure of it.
Glad I was out of the market... Well some might get disappointed about this "non trading" but let me tell you that one of the major reasons I remained profitable (overall) is that I use this "learn when not to trade"... Because it is better to NOT trade than to LOSE, wouldn't you agree?

Also on the positive note, happy to inform you that by 10-15NOV I might model this WTI market on daily-weekly basis and post it here... so we can trade by it.. Might also attach (new) TE, by the desired return/DD specifications (please tell me what targets would you like to see most? 25%/5% or 100%/20% for example, return/DD wise?

And yeah, will drop the controlling (eurusd) parameter by mid of NOV the latest so that we can see directly on the WTI (predicted) chart... if it follows or not.. So this (WTI only) will be the controlling parameter from there on... Currently still not enough (vital) data to do this in a rather quality way.. but I think this might change in the next 1-2weeks!
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #24
  • Oct 29, 2019 2:28pm Oct 29, 2019 2:28pm
Took a little dip... but not much, specially if you compare how under-harvested it was in retrospect I might be tempted to re-enter but due to extraordinary events/data coming in the next few days... I will opted to either rather be SAFE than SORRY However.. one this critical data will be out and the market(s) stabilises... I plan to re-turn with the full-capacity... much more active trading... and as I have explained in previous post... might have the modelled data by the mid of NOV... maybe even till 10NOV19... Stay tuned!
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #25
  • Nov 5, 2019 5:37pm Nov 5, 2019 5:37pm
Price seems very attractive for shorting... But out of precaution, I would stay out, but if I would had to enter, it would be South Price prediction modell for WTI is 90-95% complete, final data expected 10-15NOV. Stay tunned!
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #26
  • Nov 6, 2019 5:45pm Nov 6, 2019 5:45pm
Quoting auricforecas
Price seems very attractive for shorting... But out of precaution, I would stay out, but if I would had to enter, it would be South Price prediction modell for WTI is 90-95% complete, final data expected 10-15NOV. Stay tunned!
Went down good so far... but wasn't so "sure" signal... I expect the "certainty" (expected) of the trade signals might improve dramatically rather soon, in the next 5-7days... Also, price prediction model for WTI in the making, DEDICATED one! Just have to see how "precise" it can get, gathering data for the model.. almost there...
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #27
  • Nov 7, 2019 2:33pm Nov 7, 2019 2:33pm
Ok guys, let me tell you first that market are in strong consolidation atm, so what happens in the next 5-7days is critical for future trend/direction estimation.. which is important for the trend-surfing, obviously... Yeh, certain strategies allow to trend-surf at the opposite direction, but you guessed it... surfing the intra-waves.. so smaller/tight timeframes, where direction is much less affected by (overall) trend...

But even with all that being said... I will short it NOW, at least a little... NOW. (not the most optimal entry time at this hour but nevertheless.. other seems to be favourable enough for me to take the chance
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #28
  • Nov 7, 2019 2:42pm Nov 7, 2019 2:42pm
Wow, impressive equity curve:
Attached Image

I'll have to check out your system a little closer.
  • #29
  • Nov 7, 2019 2:51pm Nov 7, 2019 2:51pm
Quoting auricforecas
Ok guys, let me tell you first that market are in strong consolidation atm, so what happens in the next 5-7days is critical for future trend/direction estimation.. which is important for the trend-surfing, obviously... Yeh, certain strategies allow to trend-surf at the opposite direction, but you guessed it... surfing the intra-waves.. so smaller/tight timeframes, where direction is much less affected by (overall) trend... But even with all that being said... I will short it NOW, at least a little... NOW. (not the most optimal entry time at this...
Ok, exited, won't push it at that high leverage Since I was saying that this TS will be more about long-term.. lower risk.. with the focus on good Return over DD...
But yeah, just made 3.2% overall return in this published TE... in 15 minutes... It seemed an epic entry opportunity... Now will focus on more systematic longer-term... returns... as I typed before.. And I am thinking, strongly.. about opening new TradingSystem (TS) for the more SHORT bursts... but also high-risk... so that it won't miss with some people that would prefer longer-term and low-risk...

Summary: +3.2% (overall return added), 15minutes... all timestamped (check above quoted post), you can check in this published TE, that was synced through it, live
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #30
  • Nov 7, 2019 2:56pm Nov 7, 2019 2:56pm
Quoting vpn
Wow, impressive equity curve:{image} I'll have to check out your system a little closer.
Tnx man! Appreciated it... Was just thinking about creating another TS, to show the short but very strong short bursts... CHEETAH style... awaiting for epic opportunity and then go kill it... This previous post was just a very quick dip of it.. With cheetah, I usually wait for at least 100%... But not want to overlap with this TS here that is, as you liked it, more of a consistent equity curve rise.. Because with cheetah there are spikes (both ways of course) but the game is knowing when to pull-out (the equity) or price the fails in Stay tuned man! Have a feeling that this and possible NEW (Cheetah) thread will EXPLODE in activity and profits.. hopefully I estimate this to be in the next 5-7days.. since market are in heavy consolidation atm... according to my analysis... and also need to build some fresh data after possible turning point... TBC (To Be Continued), very soon!
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #31
  • Nov 10, 2019 5:10pm Nov 10, 2019 5:10pm
Next week will be very determining I believe... Based on the events of this week.. 11-15... will pretty much re-test the trend direction... Still seems SOUTH but will see... after certain cycles are complete... hopefully in the next 1-2days... and then shall see where it is going or staying...

As promised, opened new thread for QUCIK/BURNERS trades aka CHEETAH style trades... So that this one will remain low(er) risk and long-term oriented aka for "smart money"...

But here is the CHEETAH one:
https://www.energyexch.com/showthread.php?t=961438
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #32
  • Nov 11, 2019 11:22am Nov 11, 2019 11:22am
Quoting auricforecas
Next week will be very determining I believe... Based on the events of this week.. 11-15... will pretty much re-test the trend direction... Still seems SOUTH but will see... after certain cycles are complete... hopefully in the next 1-2days... and then shall see where it is going or staying... As promised, opened new thread for QUCIK/BURNERS trades aka CHEETAH style trades... So that this one will remain low(er) risk and long-term oriented aka for "smart money"... But here is the CHEETAH one: https://www.energyexch.com/showthread.php?t=961438...
It started not so optimistic.. BUT it is good that the model can predict when NOT TO TRADE That is something.. Altough I am dissapointed of how many times this was actually suggested (with basis).. Would much prefer juices of market to flow smoothly instead... I think we might see massive changed after 15th of NOV... Hope we will have some epic movements to at least 15DEC... so a good MONTH of epic trading... Will engage CHEETAH (kills) in parallel for it... Will see... As of now, awaiting movements in the next 24h+48h... Just one last correction should be done before markets might be RELEASED from this HANDBRAKE... But it has to happen first.. otherwise we will have this painful for who knows how long... So fingers crossed and clapping with hands... DO the correction and let us TRADE
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #33
  • Nov 11, 2019 1:33pm Nov 11, 2019 1:33pm
I took a little high-leverage dip... check in the attached (thread) TE... Not much, 5.1% return.. But the risk was enormous since it went UP before DOWN... It was very tight, then it started to go in the preferred direction... But I went out, just in case... Now really reducing leverage for this thread to be within targets... just took this dive since it seemed almost obvious
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #34
  • Nov 11, 2019 2:05pm Nov 11, 2019 2:05pm
Quoting vpn
Wow, impressive equity curve:{image} I'll have to check out your system a little closer.
upgraded a little
Attached Image
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #35
  • Nov 13, 2019 11:56am Nov 13, 2019 11:56am
Quoting auricforecas
{quote} upgraded a little {image}
  • #36
  • Nov 13, 2019 6:34pm Nov 13, 2019 6:34pm
Finally! I believe corrections are complete and that we will now see the release of this WTI market, to show us the way it wants to be... Will wait a few business days and then we shall re-enter market more frequently... so stay tuned... I plan to post it in the TE also... Starting next week, should all go well... Also if you are looking for TURBO mode, check my CHEETAH thread, next week For others, longterm-ers.. this thread would be better... Both will be about GOLD of course, just the cheetah will also include some other market....
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #37
  • Nov 14, 2019 1:11pm Nov 14, 2019 1:11pm
Finally, seems! Too soon to tell, confirm.. SOUTH path re-established.. Hopefully we start SLIDING down next week... I hope it will be very oily down... Meaning GOOD PROFITS Stay tuned! We have been waiting for this opportunity for a long time, right? Thank you for patience, next week we are doing it! DRILLING into the OIL WELL hard!
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #38
  • Nov 18, 2019 12:06pm Nov 18, 2019 12:06pm
Quoting vpn
{quote}
Yeah, tnx.. added +9% today But now will really start to reduce this risk It just seemed so right opportunity But will most probably reduce since this is suppose to be low(er)-risk thread for WTI... slow but "sure" buildup of profits... For HIGH-stakes, high risk, high rewards.. we have other thread, CHEETAH, where I just posted 100%/trade signal today btw.... https://www.energyexch.com/showthrea...=961438&page=2
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #39
  • Nov 18, 2019 12:12pm Nov 18, 2019 12:12pm
Quoting auricforecas
Finally! I believe corrections are complete and that we will now see the release of this WTI market, to show us the way it wants to be... Will wait a few business days and then we shall re-enter market more frequently... so stay tuned... I plan to post it in the TE also... Starting next week, should all go well... Also if you are looking for TURBO mode, check my CHEETAH thread, next week For others, longterm-ers.. this thread would be better... Both will be about GOLD of course,...
Impressive, it seems last week was really a consolidation week... Things seems to be flowing right now, but to soon to tell at high-certainity... But at the moment it seems extremely good... Made/added +9% (overall) return to this published TE, attached to this thread... So this kinda set it for the month... Now will most probably reduce risk level or re-set the stat with CLEAN return/dd to be within the target we desire... Will see... So I think we will see the SOUTH resumed soon, but will track it now... I believe we will have the (direction) idea by the end of this week! So then we try to HARVEST that in the next week.. Much more frequently but with lover risk of corse... For high risk, please check my other thread: https://www.energyexch.com/showthrea...=961438&page=2

This one will be more about longer-term profits, lower than cheetah of course, but much more stable, within desired DD... Still figuring out if we should aim DD 5 (25% return) or DD 20 (100% return). Any input welcome... This LIVE TE attached here, already has 34%.. but has -21.6% DD so there is an option to continue with this one, if we adjust the return to like x5 of DD, meaning about 110%.. So will see how this market goes and how precise can I "attack" it

Again, any post, thread, welcome since it does encourage me to go on with posting, if I see people reading it! Tnx
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #40
  • Nov 19, 2019 1:03pm Nov 19, 2019 1:03pm
Quoting auricforecas
{quote} Impressive, it seems last week was really a consolidation week... Things seems to be flowing right now, but to soon to tell at high-certainity... But at the moment it seems extremely good... Made/added +9% (overall) return to this published TE, attached to this thread... So this kinda set it for the month... Now will most probably reduce risk level or re-set the stat with CLEAN return/dd to be within the target we desire... Will see... So I think we will see the SOUTH resumed soon, but will track it now... I believe we will have the (direction)...
Wow, great, atm things going according to program but let's see if it stabilises, not to join the party too soon and/or too exposed...
Can you afford to take that chance?
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