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  • #4,401
  • Oct 10, 2019 1:21pm Oct 10, 2019 1:21pm
Quoting Ll1979
{image} out @ 52,39
Li, hope your well, you'll catch the next one, I had a bad night on the Dow, bigmack wrapper for tea for me, willing to share if anyone has some ketchup,D
I don't need to be good at the game, only good enough to beat my opponent,
  • #4,402
  • Oct 10, 2019 2:06pm Oct 10, 2019 2:06pm
A new Green Arrow as WTI breaks loose. Already up 100 pips from crossing EMA20 & WMA50.
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  • #4,403
  • Oct 10, 2019 2:14pm Oct 10, 2019 2:14pm
Quoting RobyTurboSS
Mega Bullish at the end of the bullish cycle = Countdown started.This bullish cycle lasted exactly 1700 minutes.I'll exit my shorts and reverse to long at the end of the bearish cycle.
Recommended, about cycles look here.

https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...8#post12553438

.
  • #4,404
  • Oct 10, 2019 2:16pm Oct 10, 2019 2:16pm
Quoting timingchain
A new Green Arrow as WTI breaks loose. Already up 100 pips from crossing EMA20. {image}
TC, how does the system perform realtime on lower frames, as ever, love them arrows, have to say I took an opportunist profit tonight on the headsup from Sponge, pleased to see, if there is any pleasure to be had from WTI rising, it could well be the Chinusa deal and not catastrophe, D
I don't need to be good at the game, only good enough to beat my opponent,
  • #4,405
  • Oct 10, 2019 2:23pm Oct 10, 2019 2:23pm
Quoting Suryananda
{quote} Recommended, about cycles look here. https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...8#post12553438 .
was talking about my cycles generated by an algorithm
  • #4,406
  • Oct 10, 2019 2:25pm Oct 10, 2019 2:25pm
Quoting detector
{quote} TC, how does the system perform realtime on lower frames, as ever, love them arrows, have to say I took an opportunist profit tonight on the headsup from Sponge, pleased to see, if there is any pleasure to be had from WTI rising, it could well be the Chinusa deal and not catastrophe, D
It works rather well on D1 & H4, but can be a bit more difficult to work with on shorter TFs. I seldom use it on M15, which is my favorite to trade. So I try to trade M15 consistent with H4 and often D1 as guides to improve the probabilities. But this is with the indices, I haven't done a WTI trade in many weeks.
  • #4,407
  • Oct 10, 2019 2:46pm Oct 10, 2019 2:46pm
Quoting timingchain
{quote} It works rather well on D1 & H4, but can be a bit more difficult to work with on shorter TFs. I seldom use it on M15, which is my favorite to trade. So I try to trade M15 consistent with H4 and often D1 as guides to improve the probabilities. But this is with the indices, I haven't done a WTI trade in many weeks.
Great to hear TC, I find some setups/systems work well on one but not the other, have to change or adapt to suite, not curve fit though, one thing is consistent, volume,activity, using this in a very different adapted way, it's confirmation that changes, I'm trying to migrate to larger timeframes, I see it happen over time but the getting there is the frustration, hence I'm opportunist, sent you mail bye the way, D
I don't need to be good at the game, only good enough to beat my opponent,
  • #4,408
  • Oct 10, 2019 2:51pm Oct 10, 2019 2:51pm
Quoting RobyTurboSS
{quote} was talking about my cycles generated by an algorithm
RT, you definitely have a golden goose, would love to see more constructive posts, while I'm not techie minded I understand the concept (ish) the constructive bit is just so I can understand better the entry points and possible exits, assume the thread would like this too, we're all trying to nail this down, your help would be welcomed, D
I don't need to be good at the game, only good enough to beat my opponent,
  • #4,409
  • Oct 10, 2019 2:58pm Oct 10, 2019 2:58pm
[quote = RobyTurboSS; 12553720] {quote} Recommended, about cycles look here. https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...8#post12553438 . [/ quote]

Most cycles in the past are random. Cycles that do not lack a physical basis are quite doubtful. In the human mind there are no algorithms.

.
  • #4,410
  • Edited 9:59pm Oct 10, 2019 6:25pm | Edited 9:59pm
Quoting detector
{quote} RT, you definitely have a golden goose, would love to see more constructive posts, while I'm not techie minded I understand the concept (ish) the constructive bit is just so I can understand better the entry points and possible exits, assume the thread would like this too, we're all trying to nail this down, your help would be welcomed, D
OK Let's bring some value here........................confidential information................................if you want to make money the best entries are on the spikes of the bullish cycle going short and closing the longs and on the spikes of the bearish cycle going long and closing the shorts.The avg traders are not making money even if they can see the trend but can't understand and trade the actual cycle inside the trend.
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This was on the first spike.(consider differences of server times)........It can be predicted the amplitude of the spikes.I can guarantee there is nothing random in the market...and i also can prove that some algo entity .....................confidential information................................long time ago.Everything is a puzzle ,you need to put the pieces in the right order.
PS.I can add to this that i am using only tick data.
  • #4,411
  • Edited 10:26pm Oct 10, 2019 7:17pm | Edited 10:26pm
Quoting Suryananda
[quote = RobyTurboSS; 12553720] {quote} Recommended, about cycles look here. https://www.forexfactory.com/showthr...8#post12553438 . [/ quote] Most cycles in the past are random. Cycles that do not lack a physical basis are quite doubtful. In the human mind there are no algorithms. .
you missed my old posts that i also deleted (my information is not for the avg trader) ... the algo driven market can be decoded only by an algo... the human mind can barely calculate 1+1 ...the market "created" a problem that only a bright human mind who can program and control an algo can solve...and this is ok, because if the avg person would win in this game, the market wouldn't exist.
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  • #4,412
  • Oct 10, 2019 10:40pm Oct 10, 2019 10:40pm
Overnight trade closed, what a lovely way to wake up in the morning

I think we may have some sticky resistance around 53.30/50 so out for now, 54.80 possible upside target.

The bulls quick reversal shows a possible switch in this market, if we go over 53.50 I think a new bull leg is in progress

Good luck
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All charts/ideas based on UK time zone
  • #4,413
  • Oct 10, 2019 10:44pm Oct 10, 2019 10:44pm
Quoting RobyTurboSS
{quote} you missed my old posts that i also deleted (my information is not for the avg trader) ... the algo driven market can be decoded only by an algo... the human mind can barely calculate 1+1 ...the market "created" a problem that only a bright human mind who can program and control an algo can solve...and this is ok, because if the avg person would win in this game, the market wouldn't exist.{image}
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Focus.
  • #4,414
  • Oct 10, 2019 10:59pm Oct 10, 2019 10:59pm
#WTI / H4 / Three Ideas
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  • #4,415
  • Oct 10, 2019 11:22pm Oct 10, 2019 11:22pm
SHORT @54.50 (5'th and the last entry) TP always 50+ area...the 4'th spike to get in(and the last one at 100%)....with this one i finished the allocated cap for WTI ....i might be wrong ,but i divide to conquer,multiple entries are better than single one , on 5 entries my avg entry price is 53.25 and my target is 50 area.I didn't TP on the flash 51.37 because the cycle was not the right one to TP.Do your own analysis and trade accordingly.I have to play my game even if now looks like i'm "on the wrong side".You play your game.Let the best win.
  • #4,416
  • Oct 11, 2019 12:25am Oct 11, 2019 12:25am
Quoting RobyTurboSS
SHORT @54.50 (5'th and the last entry) TP always 50+ area...the 4'th spike to get in(and the last one at 100%)....with this one i finished the allocated cap for WTI ....i might be wrong ,but i divide to conquer,multiple entries are better than single one , on 5 entries my avg entry price is 53.25 and my target is 50 area.I didn't TP on the flash 51.37 because the cycle was not the right one to TP.Do your own analysis and trade accordingly.I have to play my game even if now looks like i'm "on the wrong side".You play your game.Let the best win....
As a bull I'd be worried sub 54.20

Good luck
All charts/ideas based on UK time zone
  • #4,417
  • Oct 11, 2019 12:48am Oct 11, 2019 12:48am
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out @54,53
persistence and determination alone are omnipotent
  • #4,418
  • Oct 11, 2019 1:24am Oct 11, 2019 1:24am
This is a martingale collar. It's for dogs. If used correctly it will stop the dog from running away from you. If used incorrectly it will choke the dog.

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Focus.
  • #4,419
  • Oct 11, 2019 1:42am Oct 11, 2019 1:42am
IEA SLASHES OIL DEMAND GROWTH ESTIMATES FOR 2019 AND 2020 BY 100,000 BPD
11 October 2019, 11:15

The International Energy Agency (IEA) is out with its monthly oil market report, with the key highlights noted below.
Global oil supply fell by 1.5 mln bpd in sept to 99.3 mln bpd after attacks on Saudi oil sites.
Saudi crude supply in September plunged 770,000 bpd to 9.02 mln bpd, the lowest since 2011.
Attacks put about 6% of global oil supply offline in largest single loss of crude volume in modern history.
Saudi exports to biggest customer China rose by 20,000 bpd to 1.6 mln bpd in September.
Lower 2020 oil demand growth estimate reflects weaker economic forecasts.
Non-OPEC supply growth, led by US, brazil and Norway, to rise from 1.8 mln bpd to 2.2 mln bpd in 2020.
Stock draws likely in q4, even with swift recovery of Saudi output and steady supply from rest of OPEC.
OPEC crude oil output fell to 10-year low of 28.8 mln bpd in September.
Sees demand for OPEC crude falling in 2020 to 29 mln bpd.
OECD oil stocks rose 20.8 mln barrels in Aug to 2.974 bln barrels, 43.1 mln above 5-year average.
Reduces oil demand growth estimates for 2019 and 2020 by 100,000 bpd, to 1 mln bpd and 1.2 mln bpd respectively.
persistence and determination alone are omnipotent
  • #4,420
  • Oct 11, 2019 2:01am Oct 11, 2019 2:01am
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