Money Flow Trading Method along with Risk Management

http://www.whatdoesitmean.com/index2999.htm

October 1, 2019
Military And Police Backing Of President Trump Against Congress Preview Begins Trial Run In Peru
By: Sorcha Faal, and as reported to her Western Subscribers


A thought-provoking new Ministry of Defense (MoD) report circulating in the Kremlin today noting US Army General Mark Milley having just become the 20th Chairman of the Joint Chiefs, states that this powerful war leader’s absolute control over the US Southern Command-Peru should give serious pause to Deep State coup plotters trying once again to oust President Donald Trump—most particularly because Trump’s counterpart in Peru is its populist President Martin Vizcarra who’s enjoined in a bitter war against government corruption against jailed leftist-socialist congress leader Keiko Fujimori—who is a near match to the corrupt leftist-socialist US Congress leader Nancy Pelosi—and in whose Peruvian version of this war against corruption by high government officials saw Fujimori and her leftist forces trying to throw President Vizcarra from office this week and claim that his Vice President was the legitimate leader—but was quickly met just hours ago by Peru’s military and police leaders declaring that they are siding with their real leader President Vizcarra and their nation’s constitution—which solidly aligns them with Joint Chiefs Chairman General Milley who warned the leftist socialist forces trying to, likewise, destroy Trump: “We are the only military in the world that does not take an oath to a king, a queen, a dictator, a president. We don’t take an oath to a country. We don’t take an oath to a tribe or a piece of dirt. The very core essence of the Army is that we are committed to you, the citizens. We are willing to die, to give our life, for an idea.” [Note: Some words and/or phrases appearing in quotes in this report are English language approximations of Russian words/phrases having no exact counterpart.]

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http://www.whatdoesitmean.com/genp1.jpg

Peruvian President Martín Vizcarra (top photo) gains support in war against corruption from Chairman of Joint Chiefs of Staff General Mark Milley (bottom photo)

According to this report, the Republic of Peru is a country in western South America bordered in the north by Ecuador and Colombia, in the east by Brazil, in the southeast by Bolivia, in the south by Chile, and in the west by the Pacific Ocean—but for much of the 20th and 21st Centuries has been wracked by radical leftist violence and endemic corruption.


Since taking power in January-2017, this report continues, President Trump has continually supported his nation’s use of the Monroe Doctrine—a doctrine that will not allow any foreign power or dangerous ideology to take control of any independent state in North or South America as this would be viewed as “the manifestation of an unfriendly disposition toward the United States”—and whose most dangerous threat of today is socialism that Trump’s declared a global war against—a war Trump intensified last week in his speech before world leaders at the United Nations where he vowed to stamp out socialism in the Western Hemisphere.


So near immediately after his taking power, this report details, President Trump was confronted by a Peru whose powerful socialist leader Keiko Fujimori was incredibly running her nation’s congress from a jail cell she was put in because of her corruption—which Trump countered by setting up a new US military base in Peru—the functions and duties of which saw Vice President Mike Pence traveling to Peru in April-2018 to discuss with Peruvian officials—that was followed a few months later, in September-2018, when the secretive 197th Regiment of the US Army’s West Virginia National Guard (WVNG) arrived in Peru to begin training Peruvian army officers—training which continued into July-2019 when this secretive unit arrived again in Peru to begin training its police officers, too—training which included Peru’s top military and police officers being taught by the US Army on how to defend their nation against corrupt socialism—and which culminated last week when President Vizcarra declared open warfare against his nation’s corrupt socialist forces by his issuing four demands:
Prohibition of the immediate reelection of congressmen—so these socialists can’t keep automatically placing their candidates in congress without an election.

Control of party finances—so to ensure that corrupt funding of these socialist would be ended.

Return to the bicamerality—a return to Peru having two governing houses of government instead of one controlled only by socialists.

Changes in the system to appoint judges and prosecutors—so these socialists can’t keep placing their corrupt cronies in power to keep them from being prosecuted.

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Peruvian President Martín Vizcarra (above) issues 17 September 2019 demand to radical socialist forces controlling congress.

When his corrupt socialist enemies rejected these reform demands, this report notes, President Vizcarra dissolved his nation’s congress—and upon his doing so, then saw his US Army trained military and police forces rallying to his side to defend him—the irony of which can’t be overlooked as this is the same US Army being confronted today by their nation’s socialist forces now calling for Democrat Party leader Nancy Pelosi to declare herself president—the same Nancy Pelosi who is “beating Trump with Biden’s lifeless body” in a coup plot bid to overthrow him in a made up Ukrainegate fairy tale scandal—and is, also, the same Nancy Pelosi who has yet to explain why Ivanna Voronovych is one of her top aides—most particularly because this young woman has so many links and connections to Ukraine’s military and intelligence organizations, she is near indistinguishable from a spy.

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American socialists see no problem Nancy Pelosi aide Ivanna Voronovych (above) being probable Ukraine spy.

The insane rage propelling Ukraine spy hiring Nancy Pelosi and her radical socialist Democrats in their coup plot to overthrow President Trump, this report concludes, has now completely infected with madness their mainstream media lapdogs—best exampled over the past few hours by the leftist MSNBC television news network proclaiming that “only wackos believe nonsense about Biden’s crimes in Ukraine”—a “wacko proclamation” against the leftist New York Times who published their 8 December 2015 article titled “Joe Biden, His Son and the Case Against a Ukrainian Oligarch”—and the equally leftist Politico news service who published their 11 January 2017 article titled “Ukrainian Efforts To Sabotage Trump Backfire”—thus proving that the real wackos are all of these leftists who failed to notice President Trump warning last week that this impeachment coup plot charade was going to crash the US stock market—a warning based on the historical truth that the worst stock market crashes in American history have all occurred in the month of October—comes at the exact same time the Federal Reserve is pumping billions-of-dollars into the US financial system to keep it from collapsing—and explains why top investors are now saying “Democrats are crazy as hell, acting irresponsibly and haven’t got a chance in Hell”—all of whom know the truth that if the US stock market does crash, the American people will place the full blame for it happening on these insane socialist Democrats—while Trump stands back and says “I told you so”—and after saying, will see him joining with General Milley to institute the International Emergency Economic Powers Act to dissolve congress and repair the damage these socialist have done to America—the coming preview of which is now playing in Peru to rave reviews.

http://www.whatdoesitmean.com/genp6.jpg

Time will tell if the impeachment process of 2019 will darken the prospects for US stocks -- and track the history of these damned Octobers.

October 1, 2019 EU and US all rights reserved. Permission to use this report in its entirety is granted under the condition it is linked to its original source at WhatDoesItMean.Com. Freebase content licensed under CC-BY and GFDL.

[Note: Many governments and their intelligence services actively campaign against the information found in these reports so as not to alarm their citizens about the many catastrophic Earth changes and events to come, a stance that the Sisters of Sorcha Faal strongly disagree with in believing that it is every human being’s right to know the truth. Due to our mission’s conflicts with that of those governments, the responses of their ‘agents’ has been a longstanding misinformation/misdirection campaign designed to discredit us, and others like us, that is exampled in numerous places, including HERE.]

https://moneymaven.io/mishtalk/econo...kqASW-qfnEvyA/

The Manufacturing ISM is in the second month of contraction and the worst since June of 2009.

The September 2019 Manufacturing ISM Report On Business isn't pretty, to say the least.

The overall index, new orders, and production are all negative. Export orders are in severe contraction, down for the third month

Trade-War Comments by Manufacturers

1. “Continued softening in the global automotive market. Trade-war impacts also have localized effects, particularly in select export markets. Seeing warehouses filling again after what appeared to be a short reduction of demand.” (Chemical Products)
2. “Chinese tariffs going up are hurting our business. Most of the materials are not made in the U.S. and made only in China.” (Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products)
3. “Economy seems to be softening. The tariffs have caused much confusion in the industry.” (Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components)

Placing the Blame

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Paul Krugman ✔ @paulkrugman
OK, that's not good. ISM manufacturing index. Important contrast with 2015-16 slump, which was due to nonpolicy factors (mainly slump in oil prices and hence energy investment). This is all about Trump's trade war
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Donald J. Trump ✔ @realDonaldTrump
As I predicted, Jay Powell and the Federal Reserve have allowed the Dollar to get so strong, especially relative to ALL other currencies, that our manufacturers are being negatively affected. Fed Rate too high. They are their own worst enemies, they don’t have a clue. Pathetic!
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Nick Timiraos ✔ @NickTimiraos
Here's how @IanShepherdson framed his note today: "If consumers’ confidence seriously falters, the U.S. could tip into the first recession ever caused directly by the actions of the President rather than the action of tight monetary policy on an overstretched private sector."

The percentage is debatable and a recession was due anyway. But Trump definitely exacerbated global problems that were already building.
No one wins trade wars.


Mike "Mish" Shedlock

https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/...ops+to+zero%29

Authored by Thorstein Polleit via The Mises Institute,

John Maynard Keynes (1883–1946) explains very well how to predict the winner of a beauty contest successfully. You must, he noted, think along the following lines:
“(…) each competitor has to pick, not those faces which he himself finds prettiest, but those which he thinks likeliest to catch the fancy of the other competitors (…). It is not a case of choosing those which, to the best of use of one’s judgment, are really the prettiest, nor even those which average opinion genuinely thinks the prettiest.

We have to reach the third degree where we devote our intelligences to anticipating what average opinion expects the average opinion to be."

This is a perspective that those may wish to take into consideration who think the US dollar is about to collapse, would be the ugliest of all currencies.

Latest data from the Bank of International Settlement (BIS) speaks a rather different language. In its 2019 Triennial Survey, the BIS informs us that daily trading in foreign exchange markets had reached 6.6 trillion US dollar per day in April 2019 – compared to 5.1 trillion US dollar three years earlier – and that the US dollar remained the single-most important currency in the FX markets, being on one side of 88% of all the trades. For comparison: the euro was on one side of 32% of all trades, the Japanese yen of 17%, and the Chinese renminbi of just 4.3%.


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And if anything, the importance of the US dollar in foreign exchange markets has gone up in recent years, not down. So why is the US dollar so increasingly popular? Well, the Greenback is the currency of the world’s largest economy and unsurpassed military superpower – the United States of America. US financial markets are by far the largest, most transparent, and most liquid in the world. Like it or not: the US dollar is the preferred currency for conducting international trade and financial transactions. Among its paper money peers, there is not one candidate in sight who might challenge the US dollar’s status.

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By no means less important is the fact that the US dollar serves as the ‘underlying’ of many other paper currencies: the US dollar typically represents the biggest chunk of ‘assets’ which central banks around the world keep for backing their own currencies - in most cases, foreign central banks hold US dollar-denominated US government bonds, short-term debt papers, and bank deposits. In other words: Monetary authorities around the world keep standing with the US dollar. Their currencies’ fate is tightly and inextricably linked to the Greenback.


Should something terrible happen to the US currency, it is quite likely that many other currencies would get hit even harder. This is because financial markets, especially the international banking business, have become "dollarized": banks around the world have a structural demand for US dollar as a funding source; they depend on the availability of US dollar, they need access to US dollar loan markets. As the financial and economic crisis in 2008/2009 has made all too clear, tensions in the US dollar credit markets had hit foreign banks at least as hard, or even harder, than US banks.


For if and when investors start losing their faith in the US dollar, their trust in other currencies, which depend on the Greenback, will dwindle even stronger. In a similar vein, any financial market ‘stress’ makes investors taking refuge in the US dollar, as the US dollar is widely considered as the truly ‘safe haven’ currency: in times of crisis, the US dollar is basically always in high demand relative to other currencies. Against this backdrop, it is fair to say that from the viewpoint of the majority of market agents, the US dollar can be considered as the world’s number one currency.


What a privilege for the US! America issues a currency which is accepted and is in high demand around the world. In this way the Americans can borrow easily from the savings of the rest of the world: They can consume and invest well beyond their own resources. Or, to take a different perspective: people around the world are more than happy to send their savings to the US rather than invest them in their home countries. This is undoubtedly one of the reasons why the US ‘enjoys’ a negative trade balance – meaning that the US imports more goods and services than it exports; in other words: capital imports into the US exceed capital exports out of the US.


This situation is unlikely to change anytime soon. The monetary system of the world is, no doubt about that, in pretty bad shape. After many decades of relentless credit expansion under the central bank regime, most economies suffer from over-indebtedness. As a result, central banks have started to bring down market interest rates, trying to fend off a crisis that could bring down the credit pyramid. To do so, they engage in debasing the currencies – for the policy of propping up the unbacked paper money goes hand in hand with expanding the quantity of money. And as the money stock rises, the prices of goods and services increase, and the purchasing power of money declines.


Should the US embark upon a policy of heavily debasing the US dollar – as a reaction to, say, an economic or credit crisis –, it is likely that other currency areas would be inflated even stronger. It is realistic to assume that the world’s economy and international monetary system have become more than ever dependent on the US dollar – as suggested by, for instance, the BIS’ latest data. An increasingly inflationary US dollar monetary policy would most likely be imitated by other central banks – as they are provided with a superb chance to debase their currencies to reduce the real value of outstanding debt in their countries while blaming the US for the unpleasant surge in price inflation.


To be sure: people around the globe are demanding US dollar not because they consider it the best currency they could think of. For them, it is the best currency they are allowed to choose from. New ideas such as, for instance, Facebook’s Libra, even if it should gain traction among a great many people around the globe, do not suggest that the US dollar’s super-status will be replaced: for the Libra is supposed to effectively represent nothing more than a basket of unbacked paper currencies, among them the US dollar. Of course, one could think of an emerging cryptocurrency posing a challenge to the current dominance of unbacked paper currencies including the Greenback.


However, any such change would take time, and, perhaps even more important, it would require a profound change in people’s minds. In fact, to dethrone the US dollar, people would have to determinedly call for a truly free market in money, that is calling for an end of governments’ money production monopolies altogether. In the absence of such a movement, the odds are that the world’s dependence on the Greenback will not decline but presumably grow even further in the years to come. No doubt, the US dollar has become a huge and terrifying beast – a beast, however, that for its holder may eventually turn out to be of lesser evil when compared to the other unbacked paper currency beasts around the world.


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This appears to be a reasonably good judgment if we follow Keynes’ recommended technique for anticipating the winner of a beauty contest. To be sure: the US dollar won’t be a reliable currency either, its purchasing power will undoubtedly be debased by the Fed’s monetary policy.


If you are looking for reliable money, there is pretty much only one candidate – and that is gold. Ludwig von Mises put this insight succinctly:
“The gold standard is certainly not a perfect or ideal standard. There is no such thing as perfection in human things. But nobody is in a position to tell us how something more satisfactory could be put in place of the gold standard.”


The truth of this timeless wisdom deserves to be repeated again and again.

About Us

Who Are We?

The Chai Center is an organization that has been dubbed "People Helping People". No matter the person, religious affiliation or origin, The Chai Center has virtually something for everyone.

Founded in 1991, The Chai Center was an alternative hang out for teens and young adults searching for place and meaning. As time went on, The Chai Center saw the needs of the community were great and stepped up to the challenge. Today, The Chai Center has social, school and teen services. Five full-time rabbis, four part-time rabbis and countless volunteers serve the needs of the Jewish community in the greater Montreal area.

Whether a confused teen or young adult needs a shoulder to lean on, the Chai Center caters to their needs. If an immigrant needs a day's meal or a young adult is looking to have a good time, the Chai Center is here for them.

Our mandate is "no task is too big and no Jew is too small". Our goal is to make Montreal and its suburbs a better place to live in, a place where G‑d can call his own. Joining our colleagues throughout the world we will make the world a better place for all, ushering in an era of peace and tranquility.

Please visit our site and come back often.

https://www.thechai.com/

Assassination of Gedaliah (423 BCE)
Tishrei 3rd is a fast day mourning the assassination of the Jewish royal Gedaliah ben Achikam, governor of the Land of Israel for a short period following the destruction of the First Temple. Gedaliah's killing spelled the end of the small remnant of a Jewish community that remained in the Holy Land after the destruction. They soon fled to Egypt. (According to many opinions, the assassination of Gedaliah actually occurred on Rosh Hashanah, but the commemoration of the event is postponed to the day after the festival).

https://www.thechai.com/calendar/can...ting-Times.htm

VERY VERY IMPORTANT - PLEASE TAKE THE TIME TO LISTEN TO THE WHOLE VIDEO OF FUTURE TRENDS - YOUR FUTURE WILL DEPEND ON IT !!!

https://archive.schillerinstitute.co..._solution.html

Press Release

A Trans-Atlantic Call for Emergency Solution
to the Present Global Breakdown Crisis

by Lyndon H. LaRouche, Jr. and Helga Zepp-LaRouche

August 2011

Updated: August 8th, 2011 at 11:58 AM.


The following statement was issued by Lyndon H. LaRouche, Jr., American economist, statesman and political leader; Helga Zepp LaRouche, founder of the International Schiller Institute, and political leader in Germany; and Jacques Cheminade, leader of the LaRouche Movement in France, Soldarité et Progrès.

The entire global financial system has collapsed, and while the center of the crash is in the trans-Atlantic region, there is no region of the world that is immune from the disintegration that is already underway. A radical policy change is the only way to avoid a total breakdown of civilization, beginning in the trans-Atlantic region, that will drive the world population down to below two billion people in a very short period of time.

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EIRNS/Dean Andromidas

Lyndon LaRouche (center) gave a news conference at the Eupopean Parliament in Strasbourg, France, Dec. 17, 2008, on the insanity of the zero interest rate policy in the United States. Helga Zepp-LaRouche is seated to his right, on left and right of photo are European Parliament members Mario Borghezio and Cristiana Muscardini.
There is no longer any distinction between the disintegration of the European financial and monetary system and the total bankruptcy of the Wall Street so-called too big to fail banks. A modest estimate is that the Big Six Wall Street banks are exposed to $1.5 trillion in Spanish and Italian debt alone, much of which is nearly worthless. Last week, when European inter-bank lending froze, it was the U.S. Federal Reserve that opened an emergency discount window. President Obama has pledged to German Chancellor Angela Merkel that the United States will be the lender of last resort for the entire European Monetary Union.

This pledge by President Obama is not only unconstitutional and an act of virtual treason against the people of the United States. It is a pledge for Weimar-style hyperinflation, but this time, on a global scale. Such hyperinflationary bailout schemes would perhaps extend the life of the present bankrupt system for a few weeks more, but the price would be a far more dramatic crash into mass social chaos and dictatorship.

There are solutions, even at this late moment. These solutions have been repeatedly spelled out by the leading American economist Lyndon LaRouche, for years. However, none of these solutions, which must begin in the United States, can be possibly implemented in time unless President Barack Obama is immediately removed from office by Constitutional means.

President Obama has torn up the Constitution, repeatedly. Most recently, the Libya war was launched without Congressional authorization, a flagrant violation of Article I, Section 8 of the U.S. Constitution. His “Super-Congress” deal is an even more blatant ripping up of the Constitution, which gives sole authority to initiate tax and debt policy to the House of Representatives. The President's unconstitutional abuses are well known. At least two declared Presidential candidates—Jon Huntsman and Ron Paul—have clearly spelled out his impeachable crimes. Scores of Members of Congress have made similar statements. It is transparent that the President has engaged in high crimes against the Constitution, that require his immediate removal from office—before it is too late.

The leaders of the European Union likewise violate their own national Constitutions in promoting the illegal bailout of the megabanks, while the European Central Bank violates its founding principles in purchasing the debt of sovereign states to de facto bankrupt banks and insurance companies, which are their holders. The European Financial Stability Fund, which now loans to the de facto bankrupt states themselves, is going to be authorized to also purchase state bonds on the secondary market. This issuance of confetti money is not only against the law but in acting as counterfeiters, the European heads of State lead Europe to a Weimar-style hyperinflation. Like Barack Obama, they now deserve to be removed from office for high treason according to the principles and proceedings pertaining to their respective States. The infamous troika made of the European Commission, the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund, which is imposing an unprecedented austerity upon sovereign states with the active complicity of the French President and the German Chancellor, should be immediately stopped from destroying the economies and the peoples of Europe.

Within hours of President Obama's removal from office— through impeachment, or resignation, or through the invoking of the 25th Amendment, Section 4, providing procedures for a President's removal from office if he is no longer mentally or physically competent to serve—the Congress could convene to pass legislation reinstating the Glass-Steagall separation of commercial banks from the brokerage and insurance sectors. Such a bill has already been introduced into Congress by Marcy Kaptur in the form of HR1489, which already has significant support on a bipartisan level. A minimum of $17 trillion in Wall Street gambling debts, foisted on American taxpayers, would be thus charged back. With that gambling debt removed from the Federal government ledgers, Congress could immediately proceed to issue Federal credit for vitally needed infrastructure projects, like the North American Water and Power Alliance (NAWAPA), that would immediately create millions of productive jobs.

America can begin a process of physical economic recovery, setting a standard for similar action in Western Europe. The trans-Atlantic region can reverse the otherwise irreversible collapse into a new dark age, but only by taking these measures. The unavoidable first step is the removal of President Obama from office, in the immediate days ahead. The overwhelming majority of American citizens are demanding this action, now. A vast majority of citizens of the nations of Western Europe are demanding the same things, and are calling for a change in leadership. Now is the time for action.

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/we...ops+to+zero%29

Submitted by Tuomas Malinen is a Chief Economist of GnS Economics and an Adjunct Professor of Economics at the University of Helsinki.

We are in the midst of a strange economic experiment. Vast quantities of negative-yielding debt are currently sloshing around the global economy. While the amount of negative-yielding bonds has dropped recently from a mind-boggling number in excess of $17 trillion, reinvigorated central bank easing across the globe ensures that this reduction is only temporary.

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We are slowly starting to understand how destructive negative interest rates actually are. Central banks control short-term interest rates in an economy by setting the rate banks receive on their deposits, that is, on the reserves they hold at the central bank. A new development is the control central banks now exert over long-term rates through their asset purchase, or “QE” programs.


Banks profit from the interest rate differential between “lending long” but “borrowing short”. Essentially, the difference between lending and deposit rates determine a bank’s profitability. However, with today’s very low interest rates, this difference becomes almost non-existent, and with negative rates, inverts completely.

When a central bank pushes rates to negative, banks need to pay interest on the reserves they hold there. But they are not relieved of the obligation they have to pay interest on customer deposits, who are understandably reluctant to pay interest on money they place at a bank. Consequently, the whole earnings logic of banking goes haywire if banks are required to pay interest on loans and receive interest on deposits. As profit margins of banks are squeezed, profitability falls and lending activities suffer.


However, the problems created by negative interest rates do not stop there. In 2008, an influential article describing the economic malaise in Japan after the financial crash of the early 1990s found that instead of calling-in or refusing to refinance existing debts, large Japanese banks kept loans flowing to otherwise insolvent borrowers. That is, banks supported firms that, according to standard economic logic, should have perished. They were creating zombie corporations.

Negative interest rates foster the phenomenon of zombie corporations in two ways. First, credit is extremely cheap and in some cases you are even paid to take it (if banks acquiesce to the negative interest rates set by the central bank). Second, because negative interest rates weaken banks by destroying operating margins, they will try to avoid capital losses by extending credit to ailing or even insolvent borrowers.

Moreover, negative interest rates kill the incentives to invest in productivity-enhancing technologies by supporting industry leaders, which usually pay lower premiums for loans. As very low or negative rates naturally favour dominant firms, competition is strangled, leading to a fall in overall investment. As a result, productivity growth starts to stall leading to stagnation in the overall economy. This crucial but perverse mechanism has yet to be broadly understood.

The backward economic logic of negative interest rates also corrupts the role of time-preference. Normally, time depreciates physical products and introduces risk to financial transactions. When you have money and lend it to someone, you tend to demand a premium which represents compensation for the fact that you have to postpone your own current consumption and the very real risk of not getting your money back should the borrower become insolvent. This discounting is at the heart of every economic transaction.


Why would anyone want to lend if they need to pay the borrower? This is the absurdity already observed in global bond markets, but it is likely to be much more damaging in the economic interactions of everyday life. This is because negative interest rates fly in the face of both economic logic and our innate human sense of rightness. If we must pay to deposit money and to lend, but receive money if we borrow, our economic thinking corrupts. If such perversion continues long enough, it is likely to have far-reaching social and economic ramifications, which we can only guess at the moment.


So, what negative rates do is seriously impair the profitability of the banking sector, foster the creation of “undead” companies, kill productivity growth and deform financial relationships. They may be the single most destructive form of monetary policy ever invented.

Now, with both the departing and next leadership of the ECB advocating for negative interest rates, we should fear for the future of Europe. The banking sector of Europe is already weak, but likely to get weaker due to the approaching recession. European economic turmoil will likely be exacerbated by significant numbers of zombie companies unable to cope with the recession, and the malign incentives associated with negative interest rate structures.

All this, because central banks, and especially the ECB, are unable to admit that their monetary policy experiment has failed. They have become a massive liability for the global economy. If central bankers cannot admit their failures, and “face the music”, it’s time for them to go.

The summary of my 36 Forex trades since September 6, 2019 all done in LIVE TIME.

All of my 36 trades were winning ones. The trading period has been 28 days or four weeks.

The NET PROFIT was $15,372.79 US Dollars over 30% Return on Investment.

Dividend-427.10


Rollover Fee-409.12


Profit/Loss of Trade-16,209.01


Deposit-50,000.00


Ending Balance-65,372.79


Floating P/L-0.00


Equity-65,372.79


Necessary Margin-0.00


Usable Margin-65,372.79


Necessary Margin (Maintenance)-0.00


Usable Margin (Maintenance)-65,372.79

I wish I could see your performance in LIVE account!!!!!

Would you mind sharing Screen Shot of your LIVE account??

DO NOT want to offend, just my wish.

Hello , I have been posting all my Forex trades live via screenshots so everyone of my trades have been seen while open and then after I closed it, so I do not understand what you want ?

Here is the 12TH post that I did on my thread.

December 4, 2016 7:41pm

1. https://cdn-assets.faireconomy.media...ar392875_2.gif BenjaminIs
2. | Commercial Member | Joined Dec 2014 | 6,062 Posts | Online Now

Just for the record I normally only trade from 2:00 AM EST at the Frankfurt open until 5:00 PM EST when the North American markets are closed. There is just not enough volume and my Money Flow Method works when all the Equities are trading so we start with the DAX , FTSE and CAC. By 6:00 AM when North America comes on board and the MSM gives their two cents worth. By 9:30 AM to 11:30 AM when Europe goes home and most major news comes out between 8:30 AM and 10:00 AM and daily Options on currencies close out for some of them at 10:00 we have plenty of material to work with. I do use technical indicators to determine entry and exit. We are in interesting times for the rest of December with the Electoral college declaring on December 19, 2016 and on December 31, 2016 we shall see the Shanghai Gold Exchange become very important because for the FIRST TIME Muslims can trade Gold and associated products as Comex which is effectively a paper market becomes less relevant. 2017 will be an extraordinary FX trading year.

loveand peace

Send me some funds via E Transfer as I have asked you many times as you understand why. I will accept a one time fee if the amount is reasonable.

My monthly overhead for all my services and overhead is $2500.00 a month. In the past all that I asked you for was a one time payment of $250.00. However as my last effort to help you, I will accept a payment if $125.00. For that amount I will be available for you whenever you have questions for the next 90 days.

If you decide yes then please send me a Canadian E Transfer of $125.00 to [email protected]

Thank You

BWM
BIM

https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/...ops+to+zero%29

After the surprisingly poor August payroll report which saw the US economy add only 139K jobs, analysts expect the disappointing trend to continue and forecast a below-trend 145k nonfarm payrolls added to the US economy in September, with earnings growth seen at 0.3% M/M, and the jobless rate seen unchanged at 3.7%.
As RanSquawk cautions, indicators are decidedly mixed with a strong negative bias going into the data: the ADP private payrolls gauge saw a miss against expectations with the prior number revised substantially lower, while initial jobless claims have essentially moved sideways; Challenger’s job cuts data improved, though employers are beginning to see negative effect from trade wars; the employment sub-components within the ISM has pared back in the month; and on wages, consumer wage expectations has become a touch more pessimistic. The data will be released at 8:30 EDT; with the Fed in data-dependent mode, it is also worth noting that Fed chair Powell will deliver remarks at 2:00pm EDT. Today's market response to the dismal non-mfg ISM (whose employment index suggests we may see the first sub-zero payrolls print since September 2009) was telling: the market is now in full blown "bad news is great news for more Fed easing" mode, and the risk tomorrow is clearly to the upside, with a stronger than expected number likely to offset today's surge in rate cut odds for the rest of 2019, leading to a adverse market reaction.
Courtesy of RanSquawk, here is what the street expects:

1. Non-farm Payrolls: Exp. 148k, Prev. 130k (whisper is below 100K)
   1. Private Payrolls: Exp.133k, Prev. 96k.
   2. Manufacturing Payrolls: Exp. 4k, Prev. 3k.
   3. Government Payrolls: Prev. 34k.

2. Unemployment Rate: Exp. 3.7%, Prev. 3.7%. (FOMC currently projects 3.7% at end-2019, and 4.2% in the longer run).
   1. U6 Unemployment Rate: Prev. 7.2%.
   2. Labour Force Participation: Prev. 63.2%.

3. Avg. Earnings Y/Y: Exp. 3.2%, Prev. 3.2%.
4. Avg. Earnings M/M: Exp. 0.3%, Prev. 0.4%.
5. Avg. Work Week Hours: Exp. 34.4hrs, Prev. 34.4hrs.

SUMMARY:
The Street expects to see 148k nonfarm payrolls (whisper expectations are of a sub-100K print) added to the US economy in September. The three-month trend rate of employment growth is 156k, rising from the 133k going into the prior Employment Situation Report; the six-month trend rate is unchanged at 150k, while the 12-month pace has edged lower to 173k from 186k. In its below-trend preview of the payrolls report, Nomura says that it expects a 115k contribution from private firms and a 10k boost from government payrolls, some of which will likely reflect an influx of temporary Census workers for the second consecutive month.
HOUSEHOLD SURVEY:
While the establishment survey results in August were somewhat weaker than expected, household survey data was more positive. As Nomura points out, the prime age (25-54) labor force participation rate (LFPR) rose 0.6pp to 82.6%, matching the recent high from January and marking the largest one-month increase since April 1960, driven by a jump in prime age LFPR for women (Figure 5). That helped push aggregate LFPR up 0.2pp to 63.2%. The increase in LFPR helped put upward pressure on the unemployment rate to keep it unchanged at 3.7% (Figure 6).

https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b...age%20LFPR.jpg
In September, much of that large increase in prime age LFPR will revert, putting downward pressure on aggregate LFPR and the unemployment rate. Since 1950, prime age LFPR has increased more than 0.4pp 16 times. In the next month, both the mean and median changes showed a 0.2pp decline. A modest drop in the LFPR would be enough to lower the unemployment rate 0.1pp to 3.6%.
US ADP NATIONAL EMPLOYMENT:
ADP’s gauge of private payrolls showed 135k additions in September, missing the consensus 140k, while the prior was revised lower from 190k to 157k. The average monthly job growth for the past three months is at 145k, last year the average stood at 214k for the same period, showing signs the job market is slowing, ADP said. Pantheon Macroeconomics stated it is not as soft as it seems, however, as it incorporates official payroll data from the prior month, which only saw a rise of 96K, adding constraint to the September ADP headline print. PM notes the data does not change its forecast for the official BLS data: “The downshift in labour demand in all the surveys we follow suggest job gains will be down to just 50-to-75K by the turn of next year.” It also states that with the lower revisions has no implication for revisions to the official data on Friday. Since 2012, ADP has tended to overestimate private employment growth during August and September on an as-reported basis relative to what the BLS shows the following Friday (Figure 4). Goods and service industries were relatively healthy in the ADP report.

https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b...from%20NFP.jpg
JOBLESS CLAIMS:
In the payrolls survey week, weekly jobless claims data printed 210k versus the 211k going into last month’s payrolls data. The underlying trend remains steady around 215k, Pantheon Macroeconomics suggests, arguing that most of the downward pressure on payroll growth is coming from scaled-back hiring, not lay-offs; “that’s normal in the early stages of a downturn, but if the economy continues to weaken, we would expect claims to begin rising, perhaps by the year-end” Pantheon says.
CHALLENGER JOB CUTS:
This month’s layoffs data declined in September, falling 22.3% M/M and 24.8% Y/Y, making it the lowest monthly total since April. The prior months’ data (Aug) was the fourth highest job cut of 2019, and Challenger notes that employers are beginning to feel effects of the trade war, with trade difficulties being attributed to around 10,000 of the job cuts announced in the last month. Challenger notes that employers held off on making any large-scale employment decisions, as “companies will monitor consumer behaviour, government regulation or deregulation, and market conditions during the final quarter of the year in order to make staffing decisions for next year." The job cuts were led by retail (8132), Industrial Goods (5067), Automotive Companies (4912) with the consultancy noting an expected rise in coming months for this sector if the strikes at General Motors (GM) continues and the fallout impacts suppliers.
BUSINESS SURVEYS:
Within the ISM manufacturing survey, the Employment Index registered 46.3 falling 1.1 points from August, and the lowest since January 2016. ISM noted that comments were generally neutral concerning hiring for attrition, labor force reduction comments were minimal, but it did note that 29% of employment comments were cautious regarding employment expansion. ISM also notes that the manufacturing ISM's employment sub index above 50.8, over time, is generally consistent with an increase in the BLS data on manufacturing employment. In the non-manufacturing ISM report, the employment sub-component fell by 2.7 points to 50.4; respondents noted that the number of new employees was starting to level-off, and a tightening workforce was leading to a more competitive market for qualified potential employees.
Correlating the ISM Employment print with the monthly change in payrolls would suggest a sub-zero payrolls number. If confirmed, this would be the first negative monthly payrolls number in 10 years, since September 2009.

https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b...2019-10-03.jpg
Manufacturing employment indicators in September were mixed. Employment subindices on a number regional Federal Reserve Bank manufacturing surveys improved during the month. Markit’s manufacturing PMI employment series also improved in September. However, ISM’s manufacturing employment subindex declined further below 50, likely as a result of continued weak global growth, suggesting some downside risk for manufacturing hiring.
WAGES:
In the Conference Board’s measure of consumer confidence, the differential between jobs ‘plentiful’ and jobs ‘hard to get’ fell, auguring poorly for the unemployment rate. Analysts look for average hourly earnings to rise by +0.3% M/M, the pace paring a touch versus last month, but would still be encouraging. The Y/Y is seen remaining at 3.2%. The CB’s consumer confidence report stated that, regarding short-term income prospects, the percentage of consumers expecting an improvement decreased from 24.7 to 19.0 percent, but the proportion expecting a decrease also declined, to 5.6 from 6.3.
REVISIONS:
As in August, September payroll growth tends to be weak in the preliminary release. This may reflect a recurring seasonal bias in early vintages, and Goldman is assuming a 20-30k drag for the monthly pace reported tomorrow. As shown in Exhibit 2, first-print September job growth has decelerated in 4 of the last 5 years, and it has missed consensus in 8 of the last 10. At the same time, the 2017 and 2018 observations probably overstate the bias (due to major hurricanes in both months). There is also the possibility of positive revisions in tomorrow’s report that might reverse some of the August bias (the September employment report has included upward revisions in 5 of the last 8 years, including +87k last year). Given these offsetting considerations, the first-print bias as a roughly neutral factor for tomorrow’s report as a whole.

https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b...easonality.jpg
ARGUING FOR A STRONGER REPORT:

1. Jobless claims. Initial jobless claims were flat-to-down in the four weeks between the payroll reference periods—averaging 213k—and are consistent with a very low pace of layoffs. Continuing claims declined by 45k from survey week to survey week, the largest sequential improvement since April.
2. Labor market slack. With the labor market somewhat beyond full employment, the dwindling availability of workers is one factor weighing on job growth this year. In past tight labor markets however, payroll growth has tended to reaccelerate in September (for example in 2000 and 2007). Some firms likely pulled forward hiring into September, anticipating a shortage of applicants in Q4.
3. Census hiring. While temporary employment related to the 2020 Census has significantly lagged that of 1999 and 2009, it picked up meaningfully in the August report (+25k). Address canvassing continued into September, and we expect the level of Census employment to rise further from 27k in August to 40k or somewhat higher, contributing around 15k to monthly job growth in tomorrow’s report.
4. Job cuts. Announced layoffs reported by Challenger, Gray & Christmas declined by 15k in September to 41k and were 13k below their September 2018 level. The sequential decrease in announced layoffs primarily reflects reversals in the technology (-12k) and government (-4k) sectors, which rose sharply in August.

ARGUING FOR A WEAKER REPORT:

1. Employer surveys. September business activity surveys were on net weaker than expected for both the manufacturing and service sectors. The employment components of those surveys rebounded for the manufacturing sector (+1.8 to 51.4) but more importantly, they declined for the services sector (-0.7 to 52.7). As shown in Exhibit 1, the level of these surveys is consistent with an underlying pace of job growth of around 130-160k per month. Service-sector job growth rose 84k in August and averaged 121k over the last six months, while manufacturing payroll employment rose 3k in August, in line with its average over the last six months.
2. ADP. The payroll-processing firm ADP reported a 135k increase in September private employment, 5k below consensus and in line with the 136k average pace over the three prior months. While somewhat weaker than our estimates, the report still suggests that the underlying pace of job growth remains firm.

POTENTIAL SOURCES OF NOISE:

1. Will Census workers boost topline NFP again? There will likely be another 5-10k temporary Census workers reported in September according to Nomura. The Census Bureau noted in August that up to 40k temporary field staff had started address canvassing as part of the decennial 2020 census. With only 27k temporary Census workers reported by the BLS, 25k of which came in August, there is room for an additional 5-10k in September.
2. Will the GM strike affect nonfarm payrolls in September? Probably not. The strike took place after the BLS establishment survey reference period (the pay period containing the 12th of the month). The BLS strike report for September showed no new workers on strike during the CES survey reference pay period. However, if the strike does not end this week, it could show up in the strike report for October, with a reference week of 7 October, and potentially affect October NFP.

Source: RanSquawk, Goldman, Nomura

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