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The Swamp

  • #43,621
  • Oct 3, 2019 2:35am Oct 3, 2019 2:35am
Quoting htcone
{quote} great analysis..
Sell USDCAD

wait for EURJPY 117.290 for BUY
  • #43,622
  • Oct 3, 2019 2:44am Oct 3, 2019 2:44am
Quoting failinforex
{quote} Sell USDCAD wait for EURJPY 117.290 for BUY
nope usdcad sell limit 13375
eurjpy buy limit 116.75
when counter trend trading, trade on weekly support, resistance
sell strength in falling markets, and buy weakness in rising markets.
  • #43,623
  • Oct 3, 2019 2:50am Oct 3, 2019 2:50am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} it seems like we are closing below already touching 940 ESF also at the high of the last 12 hours. Can't find any news
950 tested than down. we could see a big drop if they sell it below 940 imho
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #43,624
  • Oct 3, 2019 2:52am Oct 3, 2019 2:52am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} chatter about new cuts and intervention. position will not be big and can hedge my EU short - but - over a few months we all now how intervention works And CHF is famous for their interventions and how it worked
the month and the quarter closed bullish. yesterday london walked off with a higher close. That's usually a good sign the chf would test the high or more.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #43,625
  • Oct 3, 2019 2:56am Oct 3, 2019 2:56am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} the month and the quarter closed bullish. yesterday london walked off with a higher close. That's usually a good sign the chf would test the high or more.
only thing i see is above 1.00 for now there are sellers. oh a 4h close was not close above. daily also

so the day just getting started but strictly on charts we can easily touch 1.03

but you have been right all along so far on CHF
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #43,626
  • Oct 3, 2019 3:02am Oct 3, 2019 3:02am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} only thing i see is above 1.00 for now there are sellers. oh a 4h close was not close above. daily also so the day just getting started but strictly on charts we can easily touch 1.03 but you have been right all along so far on CHF
the month closed above the previous month. The quarter closed above the previous quarter.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #43,627
  • Oct 3, 2019 3:10am Oct 3, 2019 3:10am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} only thing i see is above 1.00 for now there are sellers. oh a 4h close was not close above. daily also so the day just getting started but strictly on charts we can easily touch 1.03 but you have been right all along so far on CHF
i wanted to tp near 1064.. The average day range got hit at 1024 already. .9990 may end up as support. eventually pa may not pass through 9990. .9990 may end up as a s/r to watch throughout the years end.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #43,628
  • Oct 3, 2019 3:38am Oct 3, 2019 3:38am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} only thing i see is above 1.00 for now there are sellers. oh a 4h close was not close above. daily also so the day just getting started but strictly on charts we can easily touch 1.03 but you have been right all along so far on CHF
the bottoms are rounding. the physiological 1.00 level is a big one. the month and Q couldn't hold 1.00 with a close above. Looking to the left its ranging a little above/below 1.00 on month charts. 1.02/.95.. That month and Q close looks to test the upper range.. 1.02x or greater. The bottoms are rounded. the last few pushes. Rounded bottoms tend to break bullish if on top a bullish move. 1.0 being a huge phyc level has a bunch of moves to 1.01/1.02 over the past few years. The .9990 number is big.. Range wise if one has the patcheince, 1.02x/.95 is the range. that higher q close may lean toward testing that upper range.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #43,629
  • Oct 3, 2019 3:39am Oct 3, 2019 3:39am
EU upward momentum too strong. Going to have to rethink that short...
Still looking to short because of r:r

But not as bearish as before.
  • #43,630
  • Oct 3, 2019 3:40am Oct 3, 2019 3:40am
Quoting DMA Trader
Short USD/CHF will add on every 25/50 pips -
closing here. I have added on EU/short
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #43,631
  • Oct 3, 2019 3:46am Oct 3, 2019 3:46am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} the bottoms are rounding. the physiological 1.00 level is a big one. the month and Q couldn't hold 1.00 with a close above. Looking to the left its ranging a little above/below 1.00 on month charts. 1.02/.95.. That month and Q close looks to test the upper range.. 1.02x or greater. The bottoms are rounded. the last few pushes. Rounded bottoms tend to break bullish if on top a bullish move. 1.0 being a huge phyc level has a bunch of moves to 1.01/1.02 over the past few years. The .9990 number is big.. Range wise if one has the patcheince,...

i was expecting a drop to 1.00 and maybe hold. but since everybody is not throwing USD was probably a good idea to close
980 should have some support talking about USD/CHF
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #43,632
  • Oct 3, 2019 3:55am Oct 3, 2019 3:55am
Quoting DMA Trader
Morning Got some milk (swap) but still short. My idea is that USD can get some strength near today ISM non manuf number that probably will not be as bad as people expect. About NFP I've said ADP could be wrong we will see if Friday jobs is really that bad.
Almost all data on Europe come in short of expectation. but above contraction
today ISM non manuf will be very important. if it's contraction well put you seat belts
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #43,633
  • Oct 3, 2019 3:56am Oct 3, 2019 3:56am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} getting some sleep.. GN
just woke up...I see I missed some good price ...

Euro printed so far, next to print 0976 or 0927...

RU R3 ----------1.1019
WP R1 ----------1.1003
FP R3 ----------1.1001
RU R2 ----------1.0992
FP R2 ----------1.0978
RU R1 ----------1.0976
FP R1 ----------1.0965
MP PP ----------1.0965
WP PP ----------1.0957
RU S1 ----------1.0943
FP PP ----------1.0942
RU S2 ----------1.0927
  • #43,634
  • Oct 3, 2019 3:59am Oct 3, 2019 3:59am
damn I chickened out on my own analysis lol. Meh. Another chance will come
  • #43,635
  • Oct 3, 2019 4:02am Oct 3, 2019 4:02am
I missed that good Uchf short at 1.0027.....
I added 9992 short here.....Uchf next to print 0038 or 9941...adr 66 atm...

MP R2 ----------1.0039
FP R2 ----------1.0038
RU R2 ----------1.0026
FP R1 ----------1.0013
WP R3 ----------1.0006
RU R1 ----------0.9997
MP R1 ----------0.9995
FP PP ----------0.9972
WP R2 ----------0.9966
WP R1 ----------0.9941
RU S1 ----------0.9940
  • #43,636
  • Oct 3, 2019 4:06am Oct 3, 2019 4:06am
from Ransqawk, Eur 0962 atm
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  • #43,637
  • Oct 3, 2019 4:42am Oct 3, 2019 4:42am
950 tested again. was very good to add shorts - i find it it bearish looking on 4H daily

i guess will depends from today on a decent ISM number from US
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #43,638
  • Edited 5:03am Oct 3, 2019 4:44am | Edited 5:03am
add Uchf short 0002 and 0012
  • #43,639
  • Oct 3, 2019 4:46am Oct 3, 2019 4:46am
Quoting Boulder
add Uchf short 0002
You do not slow down do you
sell strength in falling markets, and buy weakness in rising markets.
  • #43,640
  • Oct 3, 2019 4:47am Oct 3, 2019 4:47am
Quoting Boulder
add Uchf short 0002
same here. can't believe it's already up again wow
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
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