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The Swamp

  • #43,421
  • Oct 2, 2019 4:48am Oct 2, 2019 4:48am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} careful with .9990.8.. 1h turned bullish too
UC, 61,8% key in the channel https://invst.ly/fzuv9.

EU - Yesterday show a piercing line, that has been negated, but until a new low it can stage a reverse.
  • #43,422
  • Oct 2, 2019 4:49am Oct 2, 2019 4:49am
sell limit at yesterday high usdchf at 1.1016
just for scalping..
sell strength in falling markets, and buy weakness in rising markets.
  • #43,423
  • Oct 2, 2019 4:50am Oct 2, 2019 4:50am
NFP is Coming...
  • #43,424
  • Oct 2, 2019 4:53am Oct 2, 2019 4:53am
Quoting DMA Trader
AUD/USD 10 year low
yesterday when it was drag down to 6675 i posted on this thread that it has reached its lowest weekly range and would bounce, it did, corrective move failed at 67015 and it back again to 6675, it might find range or continue to go down depend on Dollar strength, i would not buy even it is 10 years low,
yesterday RBA hinted further cuts if required..
sell strength in falling markets, and buy weakness in rising markets.
  • #43,425
  • Oct 2, 2019 4:53am Oct 2, 2019 4:53am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} rates are so low now w/o inflation. u.s. went off the gold standard as oil imports were rising. inflation went crazy after. U.S. oil production peaked around 1973.. U.S pissed away $ and blood protecting oil kings for 46 years. No need to spend those $ on that anymore. plus U.S. oil prices are stable.. inflation reasonably stable. like it was before getting off the gold standard. Government tries to pump in welfare $ to keep the ponzi scheme gone. The economy is fake. The less money spent on foreign energy will naturally raise the usd closer...
We can experience that and I agree. on a low rates again and negative there are many players that will profit enormously about the new easing

The only thing that is not going down is deficit and trade balance. - maybe this can bring USD down. a strong USD will probably don't see any inflation even on 0 or negative rates. maybe japan case but economy is more dynamic.

So trade balance and deficit needs to be address. or spending go down but that the hardes
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #43,426
  • Oct 2, 2019 4:56am Oct 2, 2019 4:56am
Quoting htcone
{quote} yesterday when it was drag down to 6675 i posted on this thread that it has reached its lowest weekly range and would bounce, it did, corrective move failed at 67015 and it back again to 6675, it might find range or continue to go down depend on Dollar strength, i would not buy even it is 10 years low, yesterday RBA hinted further cuts if required..
on a hard recession AUD would be hit the hardest. imho . i'll be there in dec/january. last time real estate prices were near big cities higher than on most of US.

Will see. but yeah just saying about AUD.
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #43,427
  • Oct 2, 2019 4:57am Oct 2, 2019 4:57am
hmm... maybe put a sell order on EU.... 1.09180ish ?...
  • #43,428
  • Oct 2, 2019 4:57am Oct 2, 2019 4:57am
Quoting AirmanFF
{quote} UC, 61,8% key in the channel https://invst.ly/fzuv9. EU - Yesterday show a piercing line, that has been negated, but until a new low it can stage a reverse.
yeah.. its on my chart yesterday... now we have another around 1050... plus a equilibrium point (pong) about 1061.. but u got a possible large future support forming at 9990.. It may last the rest of the year.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #43,429
  • Oct 2, 2019 5:00am Oct 2, 2019 5:00am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} on a hard recession AUD would be hit the hardest. imho . i'll be there in dec/january. last time real estate prices were near big cities higher than on most of US. Will see. but yeah just saying about AUD.
also all the mining and minerals and resources controlled by China. this country should see a hard landing if we get recession. didn't get a big one in decades
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #43,430
  • Oct 2, 2019 5:05am Oct 2, 2019 5:05am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} We can experience that and I agree. on a low rates again and negative there are many players that will profit enormously about the new easing The only thing that is not going down is deficit and trade balance. - maybe this can bring USD down. a strong USD will probably don't see any inflation even on 0 or negative rates. maybe japan case but economy is more dynamic. So trade balance and deficit needs to be address. or spending go down but that the hardes
we got a generation of people who cant run a business on normal rates, spoiled. Artificial low rates are government welfare. People who think they are good businessmen could have never made it in a real economy. Lowering interest rates just stole money from the savers. By making their money worth less. Now why got a spoiled generation of cry babies.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #43,431
  • Oct 2, 2019 5:08am Oct 2, 2019 5:08am
Hi Boulder,
Hope you are fine.
Could you please post uptrend/downtrend stops for eurusd, usdchf if it is possible for you.
Thank you.
sell strength in falling markets, and buy weakness in rising markets.
  • #43,432
  • Oct 2, 2019 5:11am Oct 2, 2019 5:11am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} we got a generation of people who cant run a business on normal rates, spoiled. Artificial low rates are government welfare. People who think they are good businessmen could have never made it in a real economy. Lowering interest rates just stole money from the savers. By making their money worth less. Now why got a spoiled generation of cry babies.
that's exactly true. I've done business with rates above 10% and was still profitable. yeah true and this is the key point

but my guess is cry babes will be far worse and many - until something big happens. and boy oh boy how hard it is to go from spoiled huge comfort to lack/poor
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #43,433
  • Edited 5:24am Oct 2, 2019 5:13am | Edited 5:24am
add EU short 0921..
Attached Image
  • #43,434
  • Oct 2, 2019 5:14am Oct 2, 2019 5:14am
Quoting Boulder
add EU short 0921..
also please increase short on USD/CHF ) to help a brother
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #43,435
  • Oct 2, 2019 5:16am Oct 2, 2019 5:16am
A few datapoints for UsdChf atm:

H1 Uptrend stop 0.9897
H4 Uptrend stop 0.9885
Day Uptrend stop 0.9854
Week Downtrend stop 1.0047
Month Uptrend stop 0.9629
  • #43,436
  • Oct 2, 2019 5:22am Oct 2, 2019 5:22am
A few datapoints for EurUsd atm:... I see H1 uptrend stop was rested an hour ago...bulls held it so far

H1 Uptrend stop 1.0912
H4 Downtrend stop 1.0953
Day Downtrend stop 1.1090
Week Downtrend stop 1.1364
Month Downtrend stop 1.2131
  • #43,437
  • Edited 5:39am Oct 2, 2019 5:24am | Edited 5:39am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} that's exactly true. I've done business with rates above 10% and was still profitable. yeah true and this is the key point but my guess is cry babes will be far worse and many - until something big happens. and boy oh boy how hard it is to go from spoiled huge comfort to lack/poor
yeah, prices are already inflated, because of fake rates. . If interest was closer to real market rates.. deflation will happen. The thing is, you cant pump the economy forever with artificial rates. To keep it going and inflation up.. eventually u will hit 0 and negative. So where does it stop? -10 or -20... Its not sustainable.. One day, it will all fall..
maybe the lack of inflation is a warning sign already..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #43,438
  • Oct 2, 2019 5:35am Oct 2, 2019 5:35am
nap time
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #43,439
  • Oct 2, 2019 5:36am Oct 2, 2019 5:36am
Quoting gatorinla
nap time
see you in 1 hour 40ish minutes. lol
  • #43,440
  • Oct 2, 2019 5:44am Oct 2, 2019 5:44am
Quoting Boulder
Uchf 10/2/2019 levels..next to print 9941 or 9902,,, RU R3 ----------1.0021 FP R2 ----------1.0015 WP R3 ----------1.0006 MP R1 ----------0.9995 FP R1 ----------0.9993 RU R2 ----------0.9979 WP R2 ----------0.9966 FP PP ----------0.9957 RU R1 ----------0.9953 WP R1 ----------0.9941 MP PP ----------0.9922 FP S1 ----------0.9921 RU S1 ----------0.9902 WP PP ----------0.9901 FP S2 ----------0.9899 RU S2 ----------0.9876 FP S3 ----------0.9863 WP S1 ----------0.9861 MP S1 ----------0.9849 WP S2 ----------0.9836 RU S3 ----------0.9834
Uchf printed so far...not sure any more to print..79 adr already ..day has reached..... just in case bulls have more to run, next 0006...

RU R3 ----------1.0021
FP R2 ----------1.0015
WP R3 ----------1.0006
MP R1 ----------0.9995
FP R1 ----------0.9993
RU R2 ----------0.9979
WP R2 ----------0.9966
FP PP ----------0.9957
RU R1 ----------0.9953
WP R1 ----------0.9941
MP PP ----------0.9922
FP S1 ----------0.9921
RU S1 ----------0.9902
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