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The Swamp

  • #42,661
  • Sep 25, 2019 4:05am Sep 25, 2019 4:05am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} Long USD/CHF on so many risk issues ? and strange USX strenght ? all tf even weekly close here are downtrends - sure we can talked about the range and how PA worked in the last weeks - any other reason for long ?
For me,, first of all is very close to day uptrend stop 9830.. PA may go down there, I don't mind to start early..
secondly.. using time stamps.. H1 downtrend has run 62 hours... good chance H1 downtrend will reverse to uptrend soon..
thirdly.. I just saw option exp..big chunk sits at 9850... so it may act as support ...
last ..today is triple swaps.. dollar may do well later at NY close...
Attached Image
  • #42,662
  • Sep 25, 2019 4:11am Sep 25, 2019 4:11am
Swissy 9/25/2019 levels...next to print 9846 or 9875....


RU R3 ----------0.9925
WP PP ----------0.9920
FP R2 ----------0.9915
FP R1 ----------0.9898
RU R2 ----------0.9893
WP S1 ----------0.9875
RU R1 ----------0.9873
FP PP ----------0.9872
WP S2 ----------0.9846
FP S1 ----------0.9845
MP PP ----------0.9844
RU S1 ----------0.9835
FP S2 ----------0.9828
RU S2 ----------0.9815
FP S3 ----------0.9802
WP S3 ----------0.9801
RU S3 ----------0.9784
  • #42,663
  • Sep 25, 2019 4:11am Sep 25, 2019 4:11am
Quoting axecap
{quote} sitting on H4 trend line
imho if this RISK off continues - we should see pretty fast 0975 i will try to short it on a 1h rally to 986
missed the entry today
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #42,664
  • Sep 25, 2019 4:12am Sep 25, 2019 4:12am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} For me,, first of all is very close to day uptrend stop 9830.. PA may go down there, I don't mind to start early.. secondly.. using time stamps.. H1 downtrend has run 62 hours... good chance H1 downtrend will reverse to uptrend soon.. thirdly.. I just saw option exp..big chunk sits at 9850... so it may act support ... last ..today is triple swaps.. dollar may do well later at NY close... {image}
thank you -
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #42,665
  • Sep 25, 2019 4:12am Sep 25, 2019 4:12am
Quoting axecap
{quote} agree with all of that hypothetical story....unfortunately a hypothetical impeachment would need a two thirds majority in the senate...unfortunately there are not enough senate members in that hypothetical banana republic that can choose correctly between self interest and the greater good........hypothetically .... and yes lets make money while it still counts
That's probably true, unless you have the guy on tv admitting to it. Even harder would be having your attorney on tv admitting to part of it. Even harder than that would by people listening in on the call blowing the whistle. Even harder than that would be a guy appointed by said politician. Having it listed as a "urgent concerns". Serious enough to run to the AG. Sometimes people like to be on the "right side of history". Sometimes the "I'm not a crook" defence dont work. Especially when you have already admitted the crime on tv. We will see..

I'm trying to figure out a way to make pips on it. Undoubtedly this could affect China tariffs into forex market. So its hard not to have some politics in trading. I try to keep most out of the discussion. Except the parts on market affects. We all saw the "tweet affect". The absence of future tariff tweet leanings, will affect future markets.

I still see 0999 still being relevant for eu. lower 0994 lc wise
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #42,666
  • Sep 25, 2019 4:16am Sep 25, 2019 4:16am
A few datapoints for EurUsd atm:

H1 Uptrend stop 1.0990
H4 Downtrend stop 1.1037
Day Downtrend stop 1.1083
Week Downtrend stop 1.1364
Month Downtrend stop 1.2216
  • #42,667
  • Sep 25, 2019 4:22am Sep 25, 2019 4:22am
Quoting Boulder
9/24/2019 levels RU R3 ----------1.1057 FP R3 ----------1.1049 RU R2 ----------1.1039 FP R2 ----------1.1034 WP PP ----------1.1032 RU R1 ----------1.1028 FP R1 ----------1.1025 FP PP ----------1.1009 RU S1 ----------1.1006 WP S1 ----------1.0995 RU S2 ----------1.0995 FP S1 ----------1.0994 FP S2 ----------1.0985 RU S3 ----------1.0977 WP S2 ----------1.0973 FP S3 ----------1.0969 MP S1 ----------1.0959
Euro next to print 1025 or 0985....

RU R3 ----------1.1057
FP R3 ----------1.1049
RU R2 ----------1.1039
FP R2 ----------1.1034
WP PP ----------1.1032
RU R1 ----------1.1028
FP R1 ----------1.1025
FP PP ----------1.1009
RU S1 ----------1.1006
WP S1 ----------1.0995
RU S2 ----------1.0995
FP S1 ----------1.0994
FP S2 ----------1.0985
RU S3 ----------1.0977
WP S2 ----------1.0973
FP S3 ----------1.0969
MP S1 ----------1.0959

  • #42,668
  • Sep 25, 2019 4:24am Sep 25, 2019 4:24am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} That's probably true, unless you have the guy on tv admitting to it. Even harder would be having your attorney on tv admitting to part of it. Even harder than that would by people listening in on the call blowing the whistle. Even harder than that would be a guy appointed by said politician. Having it listed as a "urgent concerns". Serious enough to run to the AG. Sometimes people like to be on the "right side of history". Sometimes the "I'm not a crook" defence dont work. Especially when you have already admitted the crime on tv. We will...
Even his clumsy admission, no doubt to be denied soon, doesn't trigger automatic impeachment, unfortunately.....it has to have the two thirds majority vote from senate to get passed the first hurdle. So GOP has to want to impeach for it to happen...Thats the problem.
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #42,669
  • Sep 25, 2019 4:25am Sep 25, 2019 4:25am
Short 107.3 USD/JPY - again looking for risk - issues - ESF going down to 2957sub -
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #42,670
  • Sep 25, 2019 4:26am Sep 25, 2019 4:26am
gu 2423 area has some support there.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #42,671
  • Sep 25, 2019 4:33am Sep 25, 2019 4:33am
..... the first one applies to nowadays politics as well...
Attached Image
  • #42,672
  • Sep 25, 2019 4:41am Sep 25, 2019 4:41am
Quoting axecap
{quote} Even his clumsy admission, no doubt to be denied soon, doesn't trigger automatic impeachment, unfortunately.....it has to have the two thirds majority vote from senate to get passed the first hurdle. So GOP has to want to impeach for it to happen...Thats the problem.

youre confused what impeachment means in politics..... dems gona investigate and accuse trump of criminal conduct.....thats it...thats all

the senate does the removal of his fat ass out of the white house but the house doesnt have to send the indictments over to the senate

its too close to the election for the houses accusations to get voted on by the senate but enough time for the presidents malfeasance to be heard by the public so WE can vote him out
buy the rumor,sell the news
  • #42,673
  • Sep 25, 2019 4:43am Sep 25, 2019 4:43am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} That's probably true, ..... I still see 0999 still being relevant for eu. lower 0994 lc wise
Tomorrow Eur pinned to 1.10 by a monster options. $5.9 billion ... vanilla option expiring tomorrow on 9/26 ....expect Eur moves lower...
  • #42,674
  • Sep 25, 2019 4:48am Sep 25, 2019 4:48am
Quoting axecap
{quote} Even his clumsy admission, no doubt to be denied soon, doesn't trigger automatic impeachment, unfortunately.....it has to have the two thirds majority vote from senate to get passed the first hurdle. So GOP has to want to impeach for it to happen...Thats the problem.
If a cop witnessing a burglary, is not on the jury. Its not his job to be judge. It's his job to report the crime. The judge does his part. Both have sworn oaths to a principal, not to a party.. Should the cop look the other way? Should the judge look the other way? When that happens, you dont have any principles. Your God is "being re-elected". Sometimes people do the "right thing". Not because it's the "right thing". But because, others are watching.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #42,675
  • Sep 25, 2019 4:52am Sep 25, 2019 4:52am
Quoting wasntme
{quote} youre confused what impeachment means in politics..... dems gona investigate and accuse trump of criminal conduct.....thats it...thats all the senate does the removal of his fat ass out of the white house but the house doesnt have to send the indictments over to the senate its too close to the election for the houses accusations to get voted on by the senate but enough time for the presidents malfeasance to be heard by the public so WE can vote him out
No not confused....I said earlier.....[quote=axecap;12522589]My pick is he will survive the final vote, self interest will prevail......but those that are avoiding looking at the truth, will be forced to confront it....so some damage will be done...

I agree the only outcome will be the public confronted with the truth.....unfortunately I disagree that they will vote him out despite the truth....sadly the voter doesnt know or understand the truth. Or just doesnt care...
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #42,676
  • Sep 25, 2019 4:54am Sep 25, 2019 4:54am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Tomorrow Eur pinned to 1.10 by a monster options. $5.9 billion ... vanilla option expiring tomorrow on 9/26 ....expect Eur moves lower...
yeah... q and month close right there..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #42,677
  • Sep 25, 2019 4:55am Sep 25, 2019 4:55am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If a cop witnessing a burglary, is not on the jury. Its not his job to be judge. It's his job to report the crime. The judge does his part. Both have sworn oaths to a principal, not to a party.. Should the cop look the other way? Should the judge look the other way? When that happens, you dont have any principles. Your God is "being re-elected". Sometimes people do the "right thing". Not because it's the "right thing". But because, others are watching.
I go back to bed... too early for me to read so many political posts...... your guys all got pumped up too early ...
see you here in US open...
  • #42,678
  • Sep 25, 2019 5:08am Sep 25, 2019 5:08am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} If a cop witnessing a burglary, is not on the jury. Its not his job to be judge. It's his job to report the crime. The judge does his part. Both have sworn oaths to a principal, not to a party.. Should the cop look the other way? Should the judge look the other way? When that happens, you dont have any principles. Your God is "being re-elected". Sometimes people do the "right thing". Not because it's the "right thing". But because, others are watching.

its not just a simple crime though.....definitions and presidential powers will blur the lines.

"Sometimes people do the "right thing". Not because it's the "right thing". But because, others are watching"......yes absolutely agree...self interest will prevail...their perception of the public mood and need for political survival will dictate their actions .
My, somewhat cynical concern, is that the voter doesn't care enough anymore. Merika First(one mans perception of it) , ends justify the means.....hope I'm wrong
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #42,679
  • Sep 25, 2019 5:10am Sep 25, 2019 5:10am
Quoting axecap
{quote} Even his clumsy admission, no doubt to be denied soon, doesn't trigger automatic impeachment, unfortunately.....it has to have the two thirds majority vote from senate to get passed the first hurdle. So GOP has to want to impeach for it to happen...Thats the problem.


this is my last post on the topic...i was refering to this post but quoted another

im·peach·ment
/imˈpēCHmənt/
Learn to pronounce
noun

  1. the action of calling into question the integrity or validity of something.
    "the prosecutor's detailed impeachment of the character witness"



what people are doing all over the internet especially on social media is using the word as a VERB ....that impeachment means removal ...it doesnt ... i guess dictionaries will have to add a verb definition when this is all over LOL

buy the rumor,sell the news
  • #42,680
  • Sep 25, 2019 5:32am Sep 25, 2019 5:32am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I go back to bed... too early for me to read so many political posts...... your guys all got pumped up too early ... see you here in US open...
get some rest.. Your right, we should not discuss some things. Because it will become a circus.
Fellas lets focus on trading.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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