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The Swamp

  • #42,141
  • Sep 18, 2019 3:46am Sep 18, 2019 3:46am
Quoting gatorinla
possible bump 1039..
yes exactly my level as well. but if we print below that for 5-10 mins we are going much lower 1.0970 possibly
  • #42,142
  • Sep 18, 2019 3:50am Sep 18, 2019 3:50am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} testing H1 stop 1043 atm...20 mins to go...
it is a low impact data. everyone knows that in europe inflation is pathetic
  • #42,143
  • Sep 18, 2019 3:52am Sep 18, 2019 3:52am
Quoting hans91
{quote} so, you assume that Fed would cut the rate?
there's this thing called the fed watch tool ya know?

55% saying a cut. 45% saying no cut.

anyway, I've squared all positions.

I'm going to chill out until after fed.
  • #42,144
  • Sep 18, 2019 3:57am Sep 18, 2019 3:57am
Attached Image
  • #42,145
  • Sep 18, 2019 4:00am Sep 18, 2019 4:00am
Quoting Boulder
EU may start to run some...H1 just reversed to uptrend.. A few datapoints for EurUsd atm: H1 Uptrend stop 1.0992 H4 Uptrend stop 1.0977 Day Downtrend stop 1.1130 Week Downtrend stop 1.1364 Month Downtrend stop 1.2216
hi Boulder
I made some money with this info... many thanks and best regards
sell strength in falling markets, and buy weakness in rising markets.
  • #42,146
  • Sep 18, 2019 4:03am Sep 18, 2019 4:03am
Quoting giveachance
{quote} yes exactly my level as well. but if we print below that for 5-10 mins we are going much lower 1.0970 possibly
here 1039 and 6h has 1039.. it needs to be broken and closed below.. next 6h at 11am est.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.PNG Size: 16 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #42,147
  • Sep 18, 2019 4:05am Sep 18, 2019 4:05am
Quoting htcone
{quote} hi Boulder I made some money with this info... many thanks and best regards
you are welcome, htcone... happy for you..
  • #42,148
  • Sep 18, 2019 4:06am Sep 18, 2019 4:06am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} here 1039 and 6h has 1039.. it needs to be broken and closed below.. next 6h at 11am est. {image}
I should have booked profit 1039 instead of waitng for TP 1038...
  • #42,149
  • Sep 18, 2019 4:10am Sep 18, 2019 4:10am
Quoting thelws
{quote} there's this thing called the fed watch tool ya know? 55% saying a cut. 45% saying no cut. anyway, I've squared all positions. I'm going to chill out until after fed.
low unemployment,, with some inflation makes cutting harder. rates are already near the floor. this ponzi scheme cant last forever. artificially making houses/ cars, etc stocks cost more, won't last forever. The lower the rate, takes away a safety net. One that will eventually be needed in a real crises. We live in Oz.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #42,150
  • Sep 18, 2019 4:12am Sep 18, 2019 4:12am
Quoting Boulder
Swissy next to print 9957 or 9916.. FP R3 ----------0.9994 WP R3 ----------0.9992 FP R2 ----------0.9972 MP R1 ----------0.9965 FP R1 ----------0.9959 RU R3 ----------0.9959 WP R2 ----------0.9957 RU R2 ----------0.9944 FP PP ----------0.9938 WP R1 ----------0.9936 RU R1 ----------0.9931 FP S1 ----------0.9916 RU S1 ----------0.9913 FP S2 ----------0.9903 WP PP ----------0.9901 RU S2 ----------0.9898 FP S3 ----------0.9882 RU S3 ----------0.9873 WP S1 ----------0.9866
Swissy ..next to print 9959...

FP R3 ----------0.9994
WP R3 ----------0.9992
FP R2 ----------0.9972
MP R1 ----------0.9965
FP R1 ----------0.9959
RU R3 ----------0.9959
WP R2 ----------0.9957
RU R2 ----------0.9944
FP PP ----------0.9938
WP R1 ----------0.9936
RU R1 ----------0.9931
FP S1 ----------0.9916
  • #42,151
  • Sep 18, 2019 4:14am Sep 18, 2019 4:14am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I should have booked profit 1039 instead of waitng for TP 1038...
shhhh it will be ok eventually. Follow the trend.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #42,152
  • Sep 18, 2019 4:17am Sep 18, 2019 4:17am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} shhhh it will be ok eventually. Follow the trend.
I took out 1039, +9..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #42,153
  • Sep 18, 2019 4:18am Sep 18, 2019 4:18am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} shhhh it will be ok eventually. Follow the trend.
its a little unreal...Euro drops before FOMC rate cut....
  • #42,154
  • Sep 18, 2019 4:18am Sep 18, 2019 4:18am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} here 1039 and 6h has 1039.. it needs to be broken and closed below.. next 6h at 11am est. {image}
i screwed up.. wrong 6h.. I was watching gu, 2439/40
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #42,155
  • Sep 18, 2019 4:21am Sep 18, 2019 4:21am
Euro next to print 1024 or 1078...

FP R1 ----------1.1078
MP PP ----------1.1068
RU S1 ----------1.1047
FP PP ----------1.1046
WP PP ----------1.1036
RU S2 ----------1.1024
FP S1 ----------1.1013
FP S2 ----------1.0993
RU S3 ----------1.0985
WP S1 ----------1.0966
FP S3 ----------1.0961
MP S1 ----------1.0959
  • #42,156
  • Sep 18, 2019 4:22am Sep 18, 2019 4:22am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i screwed up.. wrong 6h.. I was watching gu, 2439/40
I could not believe the drop from yesterday 2500+..as we talked about the stop loss...
  • #42,157
  • Sep 18, 2019 4:22am Sep 18, 2019 4:22am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} its a little unreal...Euro drops before FOMC rate cut....
we all know about the cut.. it should be mostly priced in. What if they dont cut, or have language saying, "this is likely it" for longer than market suggest. Sell the major pre-news pumps. In anticipation the trend resumes.. Just have good money management.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #42,158
  • Sep 18, 2019 4:26am Sep 18, 2019 4:26am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I could not believe the drop from yesterday 2500+..as we talked about the stop loss...
I left a pending in case it bounces again (2525).. I have one in this account. I had 2525 pending Friday.. I cancelled after yesterday's drop. I screwed up..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.PNG Size: 3 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #42,159
  • Sep 18, 2019 4:27am Sep 18, 2019 4:27am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} we all know about the cut.. it should be mostly priced in. What if they dont cut, or have language saying, "this is likely it" for longer than market suggest. Sell the major pre-news pumps. In anticipation the trend resumes.. Just have good money management.
I have 5 Eur shorts vs 4 Swissy shorts.. pretty balanced atm..... I wait to reload Eur shorts later..
  • #42,160
  • Sep 18, 2019 4:31am Sep 18, 2019 4:31am
Weekly chart suggests 1.13 is just around the corner...I will add some new longs before or during FED today...the lower we go, the better, ideally back below 1.10.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
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