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The Swamp

  • #41,661
  • Sep 12, 2019 2:51am Sep 12, 2019 2:51am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} quite a few talking about eu possible rally, goldman.. MS here ...so I have to be careful to position my shorts.. {image}
1h usd bear side. 3 periods ago.. 4h still fresh bull..8 periods.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #41,662
  • Sep 12, 2019 2:53am Sep 12, 2019 2:53am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote}1h usd bear side. 3 periods ago.. 4h still fresh bull..8 periods.
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  • #41,663
  • Sep 12, 2019 2:55am Sep 12, 2019 2:55am
Eu next to print 1044 or 0990...

WP R2 ----------1.1111
FP R3 ----------1.1088
RU R3 ----------1.1078
WP R1 ----------1.1073
MP PP ----------1.1068
FP R2 ----------1.1061
RU R2 ----------1.1047
FP R1 ----------1.1044
RU R1 ----------1.1027
FP PP ----------1.1017
WP PP ----------1.1012
FP S1 ----------1.0990
RU S1 ----------1.0989
FP S2 ----------1.0973
RU S2 ----------1.0969
MP S1 ----------1.0959
WP S1 ----------1.0952
FP S3 ----------1.0946
RU S3 ----------1.0937
WP S2 ----------1.0914

  • #41,664
  • Sep 12, 2019 2:56am Sep 12, 2019 2:56am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} quite a few talking about eu possible rally, goldman.. MS here ...so I have to be careful to position my shorts.. {image}
eu day now at 1141.. day 200 1266.. missed norm 1147.. All still bearish to me, below these closing.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #41,665
  • Sep 12, 2019 2:59am Sep 12, 2019 2:59am
Chf.. next to print 9897 or 9941...

RU R3 ----------0.9946
FP R1 ----------0.9941
RU R2 ----------0.9937
RU R1 ----------0.9929
FP PP ----------0.9928
RU S1 ----------0.9920
WP R1 ----------0.9918
FP S1 ----------0.9916
RU S2 ----------0.9915
FP S2 ----------0.9909
RU S3 ----------0.9897
FP S3 ----------0.9896
WP PP ----------0.9868

  • #41,666
  • Sep 12, 2019 3:08am Sep 12, 2019 3:08am
A few datapoints for UsdChf atm:

H1 Downtrend stop 0.9939
H4 Uptrend stop 0.9895
Day Uptrend stop 0.9740
Week Downtrend stop 1.0152
Month Uptrend stop 0.9537
  • #41,667
  • Sep 12, 2019 3:15am Sep 12, 2019 3:15am
Wow
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  • #41,668
  • Sep 12, 2019 3:16am Sep 12, 2019 3:16am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} eu day now at 1141.. day 200 1266.. missed norm 1147.. All still bearish to me, below these closing.
if ecb does not deliver 1.1070 followed by 1.1108. markets will suddenly realize they need something for next time and start selling. 1.1168 will change things however. if they deliver 1.0949 followed by 1.0912 followed by 1.086x
  • #41,669
  • Sep 12, 2019 3:21am Sep 12, 2019 3:21am
A few datapoints for EurUsd atm:

H1 Uptrend stop 1.1098
H4 Downtrend stop 1.1057
Day Downtrend stop 1.1139
Week Downtrend stop 1.1363
Month Downtrend stop 1.2219
  • #41,670
  • Sep 12, 2019 3:21am Sep 12, 2019 3:21am
it could get a little wild today
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #41,671
  • Sep 12, 2019 3:23am Sep 12, 2019 3:23am
Quoting gatorinla
it could get a little wild today {image}
ger,man bunds have sold off a lot lately. draghi has to deliver otherwise something like DAX will be hammered
  • #41,672
  • Sep 12, 2019 3:24am Sep 12, 2019 3:24am
Quoting giveachance
{quote} if ecb does not deliver 1.1070 followed by 1.1108. markets will suddenly realize they need something for next time and start selling. 1.1168 will change things however. if they deliver 1.0949 followed by 1.0912 followed by 1.086x
1147 is a st normal pa move before 1.08xx, however on larger charts. 1.08 is already targeted and the st 1147 may not occur.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #41,673
  • Sep 12, 2019 3:27am Sep 12, 2019 3:27am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1147 is a st normal pa move before 1.08xx, however on larger charts. 1.08 is already targeted and the st 1147 may not occur.
market is not prepared for a disappointment keep that in mind and we haven't seen the euro do its usual 400-700 pips kind of moves it usually does once in a year
  • #41,674
  • Sep 12, 2019 3:27am Sep 12, 2019 3:27am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} yielded 10 more. {image}
40 now.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #41,675
  • Sep 12, 2019 3:30am Sep 12, 2019 3:30am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 40 now. {image}
GBP is too risky to trade and lost quite a bit in nov last yr.
  • #41,676
  • Sep 12, 2019 3:39am Sep 12, 2019 3:39am
Quoting giveachance
{quote} market is not prepared for a disappointment keep that in mind and we haven't seen the euro do its usual 400-700 pips kind of moves it usually does once in a year
bonds are usually right. All i can do is have some bottled water and a flashlight. Most people go to work everyday. The acasual hurricane will happen.
u.s. bonds are slightly higher than german and uk today. That may change. All I can do is, sell the spikes. EZ is in a likely recession. So I chose to buy USD and get paid for swap. That's worked for a while now.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #41,677
  • Sep 12, 2019 3:52am Sep 12, 2019 3:52am
Quoting giveachance
{quote} GBP is too risky to trade and lost quite a bit in nov last yr.
each has to determine their own risk. So your right. Maybe uk will not Brexit, maybe they will decide not to leave ez. Maybe the ez will pull out the recession. I wish I knew for sure. The problem is, I dont. And neither does anyone else. My crystal ball is in the shop. Your right about gbp risk to your account. There is no such thing as "will do", except in future hindsight. I heard it before, the Swiss wont remove the peg. The reality is, nobody knows. So the best I can do is, swim with the current.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #41,678
  • Sep 12, 2019 4:09am Sep 12, 2019 4:09am
usd/chf could be bottoming. .96.5x.. or another .95x.. It may have already bottomed. (month chart)
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #41,679
  • Sep 12, 2019 4:19am Sep 12, 2019 4:19am
Quoting gatorinla
usd/chf could be bottoming. .96.5x.. or another .95x.. It may have already bottomed. (month chart) {image}
I closed more Uchf with profit at 9902..+7....

I am pretty light in positions before ecb.... 2 eu shorts and 2 Uchf shorts.. . all good here...
  • #41,680
  • Sep 12, 2019 4:34am Sep 12, 2019 4:34am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I closed more Uchf with profit at 9902..+7.... I am pretty light in positions before ecb.... 2 eu shorts and 2 Uchf shorts.. . all good here...
in that boat to atm.. still have gbp shorts.. gonna long it at 2308 tp 10. close it on a drop.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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