Market Phase Hedging Method | Forex Factory

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Market Phase Hedging Method

  • #1
  • First Post: Edited Feb 27, 2020 10:22pm Sep 3, 2019 12:32pm | Edited Feb 27, 2020 10:22pm
2019 is coming to an end and we ended the year strong with a
Total return of 89.7% with a controlled draw down of 27.74%.

To traders asking to copy our trades directly.
We have been qualified for MAM access with a few partnering Brokers so you can copy our trades directly.

ATFX FCA – Cysec – FSC – FSA – FSRA
CHARTER PRIME FMA – ASIC
INFINOX FCA

Profits are shared 70% (Investor) 30% (Trader).

Just reply the thread or email to [email protected] and we'll link you up.

Here's to a year of profits ahead, cheers.
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What shapes the markets? What's the driving force behind these currencies and commodities? Do they actually matter to me to trade profitably?

+ You need to know that the markets go through a series of process before establishing Structure.
+ After the structure is formed, this is where most traders see it as Support and Resistance or Drawing trend lines, putting Moving Averages to form a Zone or Area.
+ But after the structure is formed, these are also areas where price have mostly Moved, and where majority of traders try to join in, or guess the direction based on their systems.

Can I catch big movements before they happen?
Can I be that early bird trader who is in the trade already waiting before big wave? Is it possible?

Welcome to Market Phase Hedging by Trade Minim
Follow this thread closely because it will be the ONLY thread you'll need to trade profitably.

*Note: Discussions and techniques
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1. Market phase - Direct Flow, Impulse, Pulse (Heart beat of the market) #68
2. SR (CSR, FSR, SSR) #120
3. T. Zone | Swing Reaction Zone SRZ + Hidden Reaction Zone HRZ #140
4. Pulse Extended #175
5. Cloudwaze
6. Price Strength Analysis
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Markets go through a series of process before establishing Structure, and It is important to know that without
understanding this process, you will simply continue to trade blindly like most of the systems here in Forex Factory.

Any market goes through Phases, identifying these phases will be the key factor for us to make trading decisions with clarity. It is not science, not data, nor some secret formula - But understanding key developments in price and key developments in your charts, and how they occur and how we combine the elements together to define market phases.

What can you expect from this thread.
- Learn CONSISTENCY, not big ups in account performance in one day, and big downs the next, do you expect your
trading career to last a year? or for a lifetime. This methodology can help you trade consistently over the years.
- BEING INSIDE THE TRADE before the market starts moving, learn to catch trends before they even happen.
- We seek to pass down a trading legacy, not theories or stories that sounds "good", but a system that
is trialed and tested and VERIFIED LIVE in the markets.

*side note
- This is not a signals thread, my running trades are open to all but you are NOT advised to follow before understanding anything
- We are a community of traders that trade and support each other.
- I'm here to share my insights on what works and what doesn't based on my years of experience trading.
- Welcome all traders to join in the discussion who wish to positively contribute to this thread.

*additional links

Blog updates and knowledge bombs https://trademinim.com/
Trading Knowledge + Forecast Setups https://www.instagram.com/trademinim/
Quick Doses of Trading Knowledge https://twitter.com/MinimTrade
Weekly Videos and Webinars coming soon https://www.youtube.com/c/trademinim
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Trade Minim Market Phase Hedging.jpg Size: 71 KB
Attached File(s)
File Type: tpl TM Market Phase.tpl   13 KB | 480 downloads | Uploaded Sep 22, 2019 1:12am
File Type: ex4 Trade Minim Cloud Waze.ex4   23 KB | 472 downloads | Uploaded Sep 22, 2019 1:12am
  • #2
  • Sep 3, 2019 12:43pm Sep 3, 2019 12:43pm
.
  • #3
  • Sep 3, 2019 12:43pm Sep 3, 2019 12:43pm
Interested, subscribed
One Punch, One Kill
  • #4
  • Sep 3, 2019 1:00pm Sep 3, 2019 1:00pm
Me too!
  • #5
  • Sep 3, 2019 8:30pm Sep 3, 2019 8:30pm
When the market creates a wild bullish trend, or declines heavily, are they random inconsistent and therefore not research-able or study-able?
Or do these phases or patterns recur so that we can learn to recognize them?

Let me tell you this, if there are recurring “patterns” in the market, you should try to imply them. If you are trying to imply “patterns” in a market where there are almost none, that’s suicide. The point is to recognize “aha, I recognize this” moments.

History does not repeat itself, but it does resonate in every market phase. The range of the phases may be different, the speed maybe be different even the duration may be different, but similar market conditions do happen over and over again.
  • #6
  • Sep 4, 2019 4:19am Sep 4, 2019 4:19am
Basics 101 - What drives the market?
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The market moves because of Supply and Demand. Not only Supply and Demand from retailers, but it also includes Supply Demand
from the big players and banks. In the markets we are not valuing a currency or commodity in isolation, we are valuing it comparatively.

The market is listed in pairs. And the comparative value between them is what makes up price. And the perceived value on it makes price where it is.

Side note* Some traders may say it’s the “market makers” that push the price. Yeah they are one of the participants, but remember they don’t have unlimited
resource of money. After the whipsaws and huge moves where does price go? In the end the moves towards the perceived price of an asset based on public data,
But of course price doesn't move in a straight line and doesn't move immediately to it's destination.

Price goes through period of adjustments before reaching it's destination.
  • #7
  • Sep 4, 2019 6:05am Sep 4, 2019 6:05am
Hi sir,

I am all eyes. Subscribed

Rajnidas
  • #8
  • Sep 4, 2019 8:30am Sep 4, 2019 8:30am
Follow and subscribe, brother.

Thank you,

Banca
  • #9
  • Edited 8:58am Sep 4, 2019 8:36am | Edited 8:58am
Most traders know about Market Phases, I'll split them into basic twos.
Either the market is Ranging (Accumulation) or Trending (Price is Moving)

Ranging Phases - It is the stage before the decision making, the foundation to any trade made by the institutional players. Money is made by accumulating a long position they will later sell off at a higher price or accumulating a short position they will later cover at a lower price.

Trending Phases - Price moves out of range into one single direction.

Market Phases are always painted on the charts. Either buyers are optimistic or starting to get depressed, it all gets shown on the charts. Either Big players in the markets are accumulating their positions or making a run for profits, it all gets shown on the charts.

The charts paints a nonstop tug of war between institutional players, banks and traders. But remember, all the buying and selling actions always leave a trace on the charts as past history. And if you look closely enough, all these macro trends and micro trends no matter big or small are only just a representation of Phases.

Look at your own charts, can you identify Ranging and Trending Phases? How you do draw them?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Market Phase Hedging 1.png Size: 33 KB
  • #10
  • Sep 4, 2019 10:45am Sep 4, 2019 10:45am
Pretty shocked that FF moved me to commercial section when I'm sharing knowledge with the community with no commercial intent.
Maybe the words I used are too sensitive in the forums?

I guess life goes on, I will continue to share how I trade Market Phase Hedging Method, without commercial intent of course and step by step.
Those who wish to learn and discuss are welcomed. Trade safe.
  • #11
  • Sep 4, 2019 11:07am Sep 4, 2019 11:07am
Can I identify market phases based on predictions?
It’s an obvious complex, remember the US elections? Everyone believed in 2 things, firstly Hillary would win the presidency, secondly if trump wins the market will collapse.

What happened? Trump won and the market soared. This is one of the key lessons that we will not know how the market will react to events happening. Most traders form predictions on a one directional bias. Your forecast should be based on if and then situations, and the goal is not to predict the direction, but instead get emotionally ready when your forecasted scenario happens so you can pull the trigger without hesitation when the market presents it’s opportunity.

We cannot predict the future, what we can do is to decipher the present and form decisions based on the present.
  • #12
  • Sep 4, 2019 12:58pm Sep 4, 2019 12:58pm
Quoting TradeMinim
What shapes the markets? What's the driving force behind these currencies and commodities? Do they actually matter to me to trade profitably? + You need to know that the markets go through a series of process before establishing Structure. + After the structure is formed, this is where most traders see it as Support and Resistance or Drawing trend lines, putting Moving Averages to form a Zone or Area. + But after the structure is formed, these are also areas where price have mostly Moved, and where majority of traders try to join in, or guess the...
Intresting concept... awaiting more details. I have a method, where I dont' use stoploss... and trade in both directions as per market momentum. Not so perfect, but still make positive returns. I believe your methods should be very useful. Thanks in advance
  • #13
  • Sep 4, 2019 1:06pm Sep 4, 2019 1:06pm
Quoting TradeMinim
Basics 101 - What drives the market? . .
Price goes through period of adjustments before reaching it's destination.
Makes perfect sense. And if we are able to identify the true value of the currencies, the prive would eventually get there. But this is the catch.... How to identify the value, clearly... and more objectively.
  • #14
  • Sep 4, 2019 9:21pm Sep 4, 2019 9:21pm
Quoting vinforex7
{quote} Makes perfect sense. And if we are able to identify the true value of the currencies, the prive would eventually get there. But this is the catch.... How to identify the value, clearly... and more objectively.
Price always reflect almost instantly on value. Market Phase Hedging's first step is to identify areas or zones
where price is still in the accumulating or ranging.

Try looking at a naked chart without any indicators, look for areas where price is capped in a zone. Observe and
tell me your thoughts on it. It's basic but crucial for our next steps where I will introduce advanced methods
on identify different types of accumulation phases.
  • #15
  • Sep 5, 2019 2:58am Sep 5, 2019 2:58am
Hi

Looks like the start of an interesting thread,

I can spot the ranging zones no problem, but struggle as to deciding where the breakout will be as there are often false breakouts where price will reverse and run in the opposite direction.
  • #16
  • Sep 5, 2019 3:33am Sep 5, 2019 3:33am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot1.png Size: 164 KB


In every charts.. the price trends and then consolidate in a price range. Different currencies has different trending times... time duration. Same goes for the consolidation periods also. The difficult part is to know, when it's gonna trend and in what direction..... and when it'd consolidate, the pip range of consolidation as well as the duration of the consolidation.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot2.png Size: 166 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot3.png Size: 171 KB
  • #17
  • Sep 5, 2019 6:08am Sep 5, 2019 6:08am
Quoting ukmartin
Hi Looks like the start of an interesting thread, I can spot the ranging zones no problem, but struggle as to deciding where the breakout will be as there are often false breakouts where price will reverse and run in the opposite direction.
Yeah I feel similar.

To the OP would you not be looking to short on 22 Aug? Isn't it only with hindsight that you identify it is a new accumulation phase taking place at a slightly lower level?
Hypocrite lecteur, mon semblable, mon frere!
  • #18
  • Sep 5, 2019 7:47am Sep 5, 2019 7:47am
Quoting ukmartin
Hi Looks like the start of an interesting thread, I can spot the ranging zones no problem, but struggle as to deciding where the breakout will be as there are often false breakouts where price will reverse and run in the opposite direction.
Yes there are often scenarios like that, but what Time frame are you looking at? Scale out are try to see the bigger picture
Sometimes false breakouts or whipsaws are just minor adjustments in bigger TFs
  • #19
  • Sep 5, 2019 7:53am Sep 5, 2019 7:53am
I was looking at H1

so what would you recommend H4 and above?
  • #20
  • Sep 5, 2019 8:13am Sep 5, 2019 8:13am
Quoting vinforex7
{image} In every charts.. the price trends and then consolidate in a price range. Different currencies has different trending times... time duration. Same goes for the consolidation periods also. The difficult part is to know, when it's gonna trend and in what direction..... and when it'd consolidate, the pip range of consolidation as well as the duration of the consolidation. {image} {image}
Great job, you already pointed out what you need to know. "The difficult part is to know, when it's gonna trend and in what direction".

The Market is either Up down or Ranging. Agreed? This is not a hypothesis, but the truth of market nature.
So why don't we utilize it to the MAX as our edge! We will never know how the market is going to react
to VAST AMOUNT of fundamental information worldwide, that is going to cause price to move up or down.

But before the ups and downs there is ALWAYS a ranging period for price.
With the capability of reading the range of the consolidation , you will be able to be in either way of the direction before price moves.

Ranging periods are easy to "see" with the naked eye, but there are several types of ranging periods and conditions to make it valid.
Market Phase Hedging capitalizes on the edge that "The market is either up, down or ranging" That makes is so powerful.

Now try to draw ranging phases in lower TFs, and scaling out to see these phases on Higher TFs. How do they correlate with each other?
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