Supply and demand in a nutshell by Alfonso Moreno

Tata Motors Limited, formerly Tata Engineering and Locomotive Company, is an Indian multinational automotive manufacturing company headquartered in Mumbai, Maharashtra, India. It is a part of Tata Group, an Indian conglomerate. Tata Motors Ltd has been dropping for months now creating new monthly supply imbalances on the way down since the first supply level was created around 569.

Tata Motors Indian NSE stock has been dropping ever since that super strong bearish impulse that ended up creating a monthly supply price at the very top.On the way down as price continued to remove all bullish obstacles and demand levels, Tata Motors Indian NSE stock has created two more supply imbalances on the monthly chart, the last two were are 327 and 242.

Price has fallen short of retracing to the latest supply imbalance around 242 by a few ticks. It's a pity, because Tata Motors stock supply and demand technical analysis has a clear bearish bias and only shorts are allowed. There is still a lot of room for price to keep on dropping on Tata Motors Indian NSE Stock.

Only selling short is allowed on Tata Motors Indian NSE Stock since the monthly timeframe technical analysis tells us there is a clear downtrend, in a downtrend supply levels are created and respected, so only shorts are allowed in Tata Motors stock.



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Rosneft Oil Company Russian Stock oil and gas related stock is providing with some long term buy opportunities. PJSC Rosneft Oil Company is a Russian integrated energy company headquartered in the Russian capital of Moscow. It is specializing on exploration, extraction, production, refinement, transport, and sale of petroleum, natural gas, and petroleum products. The company is controlled by the Russian government through the Rosneftegaz holding company.

Rosneft Oil Company has been rallying for months creating new monthly demand imbalances on the way up. We can see three of the monthly demand zones in Rosneft Oil Russian stock monthly timeframe.

Last monthly demand imbalance is located around 396.45, this imbalance took control a few months ago and it's been holding ever since.

Light Crude Oil and Brent Oil have been dropping for a few weeks, this is not helping longs on Rosneft Oil Company and related oil and petroleum stocks around the world. We expect price to drop lower to retest upper monthly demand level. There is a long term long bias, shorts are possible in lower timeframes but this is a long term supply and demand technical analysis done on the monthly chart.


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EURNOK Forex cross pair is rallying strongly reacting to a prior weekly demand imbalance located around 9.60. There are new buy opportunities at a brand new weekly demand new demand imbalance created slightly higher around 9.66. There is a clear long term long bias, so only longs at new demand levels is possible. Going short is not a good or a wise idea when everything is pointing up. No matter how over-bought any indicators is, the long term bias on EURNOK Forex cross pair is bullish.

EURNOK Forex Cross pair forecast video analysis
The attached supply and demand technical video analysis explains a bit more about EURNOK bias and the strength of the new imbalances being created. Trade with the trend and avoid unnecessary losses by going against an uptrend, going short when everything is pointing up is suicidal.



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Should we buy Apple Inc stock at $200 per share as of August 2019? Apple #APPL stock supply and demand technical analysis is telling us a different story, we should not be thinking of buying Apple stock and holding it since there is monthly supply that has just gained control. When this kind of imbalance gains control, we expect price to react to it and produce lower timeframe imbalances.

A monthly supply imbalance was created last October 2018 around $218 per share. It has taken Apple nine months since that imbalances was initially created last year. That monthly supply level is very strong, Apple Inc dropped like 35% in about three months. Price is up there again and trying to replicate what it did the first time.

Ignoring or being unaware of these imbalances will cause you a lot of headache trying to wonder why you are losing your long positions on Apple Inc stock. It has nothing to do with unpredictable Donald Trump's personal battle with China and the billion dollars that is costing both parties, it's as simple as having a very strong supply imbalance created in the monthly chart.

Doing this kind longer term supply and demand technical analysis on Apple Inc stock can also help you if you are intraday or short term trader. As a day trader, if you are away of these bigger timeframe imbalances, you could start looking to sell short Apple stock using short term stock strategies and even long put options and spreads.



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Walmart Inc #WMT american stock is providing new buy opportunities as it broke all time highs around $105 a few weeks ago created a strong weekly demand level around $103 per share. The long time supply and demand technical analysis for Walmart Inc is bullish, no reason at all to sell this stock or get rid of it if you are already long from lower using other trading strategies.

As trend traders we should only be thinking of buying Walmart stock since it has a clear uptrend and bullish bias. There are two possible outcomes for a trade, either you win or you lose. Both outcomes are fine, because your success as a trader is not measured by the result of a single trade, it should be measured over the success over a huge sample of valid trades over a long period of time.

We do not follow earnings or fundamentals on our stock analysis, but earnings is usually a catalyst, it helps price to move. If you are a trader that does follow fundamentals then Walmart Inc. is expected to report earnings on 08/15/2019 before market open. The report will be for the fiscal Quarter ending Jul 2019. According to Zacks Investment Research, based on 12 analysts’ forecasts, the consensus EPS forecast for the quarter is $1.21. The reported EPS for the same quarter last year was $1.29.



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AUDUSD Forex cross pair is in a clear weekly downtrend using supply and demand imbalances. AUDUSD Forex cross pair forecast is bearish, monthly and weekly timeframes are in a clear downtrend creating strong weekly supply imbalances like the last one located around 0.6995.

As you will see in the supply and demand technical video analysis, supply and demand core rules state that after a very strong bearish impulse, we should wait for a bigger retracement as price is too cheap to sell. We can see on AUDUSD weekly timeframe that price has been pausing for three weeks after the strong weekly bearish impulse that ended up created a pretty strong weekly supply imbalance where shorts will be possible again. The weekly timeframe is stalling and showing signs of weakness. Shorts will be possible higher at weekly supply level or if new strong supply imbalances are created.

If you are an intraday trader or even scalping using other Forex trading strategies, some counter-trend buy opportunities could be created. As a swing trader, the trend is clearly down so only shorts are possible are strong imbalances of supply. If you are not patient enough and start chasing trades the market will end up blowing up your account.



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GBPSEK Forex cross pair forecast is bullish. With a strong monthly demand imbalance in an uptrend gaining control around 11.600. In a uptrend, only buying GBPSEK Forex cross pair is possible. Monthly uptrend, monthly demand imbalance in control, no shorts are allowed. We do not need any indicators to tell us that we can go long on GBPSEK since there is a clear trend and a big timeframe imbalance has gained control.Similar scenarios are happening on many GBP Forex cross pairs with monthly and weekly demand levels and imbalances in control.

No need to use any kind of indicators or oscillators to learn how to trade Forex using supply and demand imbalances. Clean and uncluttered charts are all we need to plan a trade on Forex by locating strong impulses that comply the looks and shapes of a supply and demand imbalance.



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What is EURUSD Forex cross pair forecast based supply and demand technical analysis? Well, as discussed in previous video technical analysis in the past, we have a clear long term short bias on EURUSD Forex cross pair creating and respecting bigger timeframe supply levels and imbalances and eliminating obstacles in the form of demand imbalances.

In a clear downtrend we should only be interested in selling EURUSD Forex cross pair. If you are using other Forex trading strategies or even trading the lower timeframes using indicators and oscillators, you can use this supply and demand technical analysis on EURUSD Forex cross pair to plan your shorts. You might be using CCI or RSI oscillators or even moving average crosses and Bollinger Bands, we don’t really need any of those to make a trading decision when trading supply and demand imbalances.

All we need to know is that we have a trend and direction and new supply levels created. The technical video analysis you can watch below shows a longer term EURUSD Forex cross pair analysis using the weekly timeframe as the main timeframe. New supply level has been created around 1.1225, gained control and price is dropping strongly with a lot of room on the way down to a strong monthly demand level that is located near EURUSD parity level where longs will be possible again.



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What is US Dollar Index DXY forecast using supply and demand technical analysis? Well, as discussed in previous video technical analysis in the past, we have a clear long term long bias on US Dollar Index DXY creating and respecting bigger timeframe demand levels and imbalances and eliminating obstacles in the form of supply imbalances.

In a clear uptrend we should only be interested in buying US Dollar Index DXY . If you are using other Forex trading strategies or even trading the lower timeframes using indicators and oscillators, you can use this supply and demand technical analysis on US Dollar Index DXY to plan your longs.
You might be using CCI or RSI oscillators or even moving average crosses and Bollinger Bands , we don't really need any of those to make a trading decision when trading supply and demand imbalances.

All we need to know is that we have a trend and direction and new demand levels created. The technical video analysis you can watch below shows a longer term US Dollar Index DXY analysis using the weekly timeframe as the main timeframe. New demand level has been created around $97, gained control and price is rallying strongly with a lot of room on the way up to a strong monthly supply level that is located near US Dollar Index DXY where shorts will be possible again.



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You may be wondering how to trade BitCoin crypto currency and similar crypt currencies. There are countless crypto currency strategies you can use to trade BitCoin for profit, however you must be aware of a very important characteristic of the crypto crypto currency market, it follows supply and demand as any other financial market, crypto currencies and crypto trading are not exceptions.

Pools of supply and demand imbalances are created in all BitCoin timeframes, you must know what these imbalances look like and what they mean before you decide to take a trade on BitCoin. The BitCoin technical analysis video below is doing a long term analysis of the monthly timeframe, intraday and shorter term positions are not explained, those are different monsters.

As per the monthly chart, BitCoin crypto currency created a very strong demand imbalance level around $4,722 last October 2018. It took a year for price to retrace to that imbalance but when it did, price reacted to it very strongly. Our BitCoin prediction was correct with laser beam accuracy when we spoke about that monthly demand level a few months ago. Those following us in the supply and demand trading community could take advantage of this long term analysis and position on BitCoin crypto currency.

BitCoin has been rallying from that monthly demand level since last January 2019 recreating a very similar price action to October 2018 where the demand level on the monthly timeframe was originated. Supply and demand strategy principles are very clear and to the point about impulses. After a very strong impulse (bullish or bearish) we should not be thinking to trade in the same direction. In BitCoin monthly chart we can see a very strong bullish impulse and strong signs of rejection for the last two months, July and August 2019.

In the previous impulse when BitCoin price was trading around $20,000 all the media and news were talking about BitCoin, buy BitCoin, it's the currency of the future. Wait a second! All the media was telling you to buy BitCoin at $20,000 after such a strong rally? Come on! You should be thinking of selling BitCoin crypto for profit, no more buying, we expected price to drop heavily as it did. BitCoin is in a similar scenario right now, we should be thinking of buying BitCoin long term because we are expected a much bigger correction.



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Dollar US Index DXY has a daily demand imbalance in control, buy opportunities have already occurred a few days ago as explained in previous supply and demand technical analysis. A similar trading scenario is happening on EURUSD Forex cross pair but upside down with a strong daily supply imbalance in control

We expect price to continue rallying from current daily demand level in control created around $98.06. No selling opportunities are available on Dollar Index DXY because we have a clear long term uptrend with new demand levels and imbalances being created and respected.



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EURAUD Forex cross pair is in a clear uptrend with a very strong weekly demand level in control, We cannot go short if we have a clear uptrend and very solid demand imbalance in control.

We are expecting price to rally higher as per our supply and demand technical analysis. EURAUD forecast and trend are bullish, buy opportunities being created, we should be long already on this one, and so are members of the Set and Forget trading community.On top of all this, the Aussie (Australian Dollar) is getting very weak on all aussie Forex cross pairs, this kind of correlation will help longs on this Forex cross pair.



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Hess Corporation #HES american stock supply and demand analysis and forecast.

There is a very strong weekly supply level and monthly supply imbalance in control on Hess Corporation american stock. Great opportunity to sell this stock is already happening. If you are trading stock options you can use options to buy a longer term put since we are expecting a strong reaction from the price level around $70. The weekly timeframes is already showing signs of strength creating a strong bearish pin candle.
As supply and demand traders, we must lean on strong imbalances to trade. Weekly supply imbalance around $70 per share is in control on Hess Corporation #HES, shorts are higher probability, no longs allowed.



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GBPAUD Forex cross pair, British Pound versus Australian dollar is in a clear uptrend with a very strong daily demand levels in control, we cannot go short if we have a clear uptrend and very solid demand imbalance in control.

We are expecting price to rally higher as per our supply and demand technical analysis. GBPAUD forecast and trend are bullish, buy opportunities being created, we should be long already on this one, and so are members of the Set and Forget trading community.

On top of all this, the Aussie (Australian Dollar) is getting very weak on all aussie Forex cross pairs, this kind of correlation will help longs on this Forex cross pair.



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AMGEN Inc AMGN american stock looks attractive after a strong rally, waiting for a pullback to weekly demand imbalance around $178 to buy the underlying stock.
We don’t need any fundamental analysis on a stock to take a trading decision but if you are interested, Amgen AMGN has been a laggard. Amgen’s slump had to do with the stocks slowing growth outlook combined with the ever present headwinds that the healthcare sector faces heading into an election year.

However, Amgen could address its growth slump. That’s exactly what management did in August, causing the stock’s price to spike. Yet, in the past five weeks Amgen shares have cooled off, giving investors who were previously experiencing fear of missing out the trade, the chance to get into the stock at a discount to recent highs.

WHERE CAN WE BUY AMGEN INC STOCK AGAIN?
Where is the place where those investors can plan to buy AMGEN again? Well, if you look at the attached weekly chart technical analysis, the whole movement started at $178 creating a very strong weekly demand level, that’s where we can buy AMGEN inc again.



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Supply and Demand and any trading strategy can be quite overwhelming at times. The goal in our trading community is to simplify our methods and reduce emotional decision making to the best of our abilities.

When looking at the Corn Futures ZC weekly timeframe we can see there is a super strong weekly demand imbalance created around 3600. The strength of that demand imbalance is quite strong, we already have price reacting to it, we are expecting Corn Futures ZC to rally higher, there is a lot of room for Corn Futures to keep on moving to the upside.

You can use Corn Futures options or various ETFs to trade Corn Futures as well, you are not exclusively limited to the Corn Futures ticker.

How to trade Futures and Corn Futures?
We don't need any specific tools to learn how to trade Futures or Corn. You can pay attention to Corn fundamental analysis or even Corn Seasonal analysis, but all that will be a lot of hard work just to learn that fundamentals where good to sell Corn Futures but you did not know there was a pretty strong weekly demand imbalance in control and you should have gone long on Corn Futures ZC instead of shorts.

How to day trade Corn Futures? Can we trade intraday using a supply and demand strategy?
Yes, we can day trade and do intraday on Corn Futures as well. Supply and demand can be applied to any market and asset. Futures intraday and day trading is also possible by using simple rules that will help you locate brand new imbalances to trade. You can use other trading strategies to day trade futures and Corn futures. By knowing there is a very strong weekly demand imbalance in control, you can use other trading strategies to plan your intraday trades.

WATCH CORN FUTURES VIDEO ANALYSIS

You don't really need a university career on economics to learn how to trade stocks like Netflix NFLX, you don't need to buy dozen of books on trading strategies, economics and fundamental analysis on how well a certain company has performed in the last quarter or in the last year. You can learn how to trade stocks like Netflix NFLX by simply locating the imbalances created in the underlying stock.

Since you won't be needing any Phd on economics, learning how to trade stocks using the supply and demand imbalances by professional traders will make it easier for you if you are new to trading, trading stocks for dummies we could call it.

We have a clear example of a strong imbalance of demand on NetFlix NFLX american stock. This particular stock has been dropping for weeks since it reached the $370 per share price level. There were opportunities to sell NetFlix stock when it was up there but now that price has reached a very strong demand imbalance on the weekly timeframe around $256, if you every sold NetFlix up there or on the way down, it's time to close your trade and take profit because we are expecting price to rally much higher as a reaction to that strong demand level on NetFlix weekly imbalance.

Let's hope price rallies much higher on NetFlix, similar imbalances have been created on many other american stocks. NetFlix forecast together with other american stocks are bullish and are creating very strong demand levels and even breaking all time highs over and over.



WATCH NETFLIX SUPPLY AND DEMAND VIDEO ANALYSIS HERE

The US dollar and Dollar Index DXY are pretty strong creating new demand levels in a clear trend. There are many USD Forex Cross pairs and exotics pairs like USDZAR that also have a clear uptrend and bullish bias creating new weekly demand demand imbalances.

We don't need complex Forex trading strategies to locate price levels to trade on USD Forex cross pairs, we just need to locate imbalances and impulses that are strong enough to accomplish something. USDZAR Forex cross pair is such a case. Having a new imbalance located on the charts does not necessarily mean that price will retrace to it, many times the underlying asset will just keep on moving in the expected direction without pulling back. This is the case right now on USDZAR Forex weekly timeframe where price has not been able to retrace to strong imbalance located around 14.

As a Forex trading beginner you want to avoid complexities, you want to have a clear view of where you can place your trades without having a PhD on economics or being glued to your computer all day long trying to scratch some money out of nowhere. Forex trading for beginners should not be that difficult if you eliminate all the noise.



WATCH USDZAR FOREX CROSS PAIR SUPPLY AND DEMAND VIDEO ANALYSIS HERE

Short opportunities are being created on Snap Chat SNAP american stock.SNAP CHAT stock supply and demand technical analysis and forecast

New weekly supply is being created on Snap Chat on the weekly timeframe around $16 per share. The stock has been doing nothing for a few weeks and it's now dropping strongly creating new weekly supply imbalance and lower timeframe imbalances. No longs are allowed.Price action and supply and demand

Weekly price action analysis is telling us than bearish impulses are stronger than bullish impulse so it would be suicidal to open long positions on Snap Chat stop. As per the supply and demand analysis, only shorts are possible, that is, selling the stock or use stock options to trade all the way down as there is a lot of room for price to drop with no important obstacles.



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GBPUSD Forex cross pair supply and demand analysis forecast, buy opportunities,

GBPUSD Forex cross pairs is rallying sharply creating very strong imbalances on the daily timeframes as expected and mentioned in previous long term supply and demand analysis done a few days ago for GBPUSD Forex monthly chart.

We were expecting price to rally from that monthly imbalance and that's exactly what is happening on GBPUSD Forex cross pair. We always do before the fact trading, no after the fact or in hindsight. GBPUSD Forex cross pair bullish forecast October 2019.

There are two strong new daily demand imbalances created on GBPUSD Forex cross pair daily timeframe. Only longs area allowed in an uptrend, no shorts allowed, as simple as that. There are only three trading decisions to be made every time we look at a chart, either we buy, we sell or we do nothing. In this case we should be taking action since we have very strong impulse, selling is not possible so the only direction we should be thinking of trading is longs, bullish bias and forecast for GBPUSD Forex cross pair.



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