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The Swamp

  • #39,161
  • Aug 14, 2019 4:46am Aug 14, 2019 4:46am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} yes -
german bunds already negative have fallen.. USD bonds may bounce the db. the spread widens atm.

in a eu downtrend
monthly is freshly bearish
week, day, 4h and 1h are bearish. bunds/bonds Fundies are not helping eu. support may be on life support.

I sell bounces..

Any u.s. cut will be met with a ez cut and most of the world cutting..
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture.PNG Size: 70 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #39,162
  • Aug 14, 2019 4:52am Aug 14, 2019 4:52am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} LOL you were buying near 200 day 1.4 area and saying it was on the way up then. Did you close those?
I had a lot of trades...both buying and selling...and all are closed, obviously. What kind of comment is that?

Thats like if I would say that you were screaming EU shorts when we were bottoming around 1.04-05 and calling for 0.8. Did you close those shorts?
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #39,163
  • Aug 14, 2019 4:55am Aug 14, 2019 4:55am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} u do realise the U.S. economy weak, is still stronger than the ez economy? I wouldn't hold my breath.
Well ill be on sideline for now. Got in again at 1169 just closed trades.
  • #39,164
  • Aug 14, 2019 5:00am Aug 14, 2019 5:00am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} german bunds already negative have fallen.. USD bonds may bounce the db. the spread widens atm. in a eu downtrend monthly is freshly bearish week, day, 4h and 1h are bearish. bunds/bonds Fundies are not helping eu. support may be on life support. I sell bounces.. Any u.s. cut will be met with a ez cut and most of the world cutting.. {image}
Thanks for the explantion. Thats clarifies everything for me
  • #39,165
  • Aug 14, 2019 5:08am Aug 14, 2019 5:08am
Quoting becks.200
{quote} kudos for H1 downtrend stop . I have noticed since last week that every time when it comes to test TrendStops (H1 or H4), the last 15 minutes before the close of candle, it tricks like it is changing the trend, but 5 minutes before the close it continues in the direction. Happened with H4 Downtrend on 8th of August, yesterday H4 close 1223, and today H1 Downtrend stop.
Did not take too long to change to Uptrend
  • #39,166
  • Aug 14, 2019 5:11am Aug 14, 2019 5:11am
futures are below - Trump delay of tariffs
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #39,167
  • Aug 14, 2019 5:33am Aug 14, 2019 5:33am
Quoting OnlineAddict
{quote} I had a lot of trades...both buying and selling...and all are closed, obviously. What kind of comment is that? Thats like if I would say that you were screaming EU shorts when we were bottoming around 1.04-05 and calling for 0.8. Did you close those shorts?
.8? Yes still do expect that one.. But it may take several years. Not expecting that one quickly w/o some world event. Like a financial crises, a long term one.

But coming doing these drive bys w/o any charts or explanation is not gaining fans. More so, when others are explaining there stance. The drive bys and not returning when wrong is getting old.
Opinions are welcome, with some sort of explanation. Opinions w/o an explanation are frowned upon. Even more so when no ownership of a bad call. The bad calls are not the problem. The bad calls, without any sort of reason to state them is. The thread would be no better than the euro thread with unfiltered opinions. So if you think it's going up. Enlighten us with a reason. Maybe we are missing something you see. The "Drive by opinion" without a reason is not doing anyone any good.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #39,168
  • Aug 14, 2019 5:44am Aug 14, 2019 5:44am
Quoting mars1
{quote} Thanks for the explantion. Thats clarifies everything for me
I doubt we see 1400 any time in the next few months +.. lots of big R 1250/1315 area. even 1150/1250 has moderate R. W/o a world event, I doubt eu will gain much ground above 1315.. I'm not saying it will bounce here. It's an easy short if it did.. Long term trend is a fresh bear. selling bounces is my plan.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #39,169
  • Aug 14, 2019 6:11am Aug 14, 2019 6:11am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I doubt we see 1400 any time in the next few months +.. lots of big R 1250/1315 area. even 1150/1250 has moderate R. W/o a world event, I doubt eu will gain much ground above 1315.. I'm not saying it will bounce here. It's an easy short if it did.. Long term trend is a fresh bear. selling bounces is my plan.
woke up late ... missed short...
  • #39,170
  • Aug 14, 2019 6:14am Aug 14, 2019 6:14am
Quoting Boulder
8/14/2019 levels RU R3 ----------1.1231 FP R2 ----------1.1227 FP R1 ----------1.1213 RU R2 ----------1.1204 FP PP ----------1.1190 RU R1 ----------1.1188 WP PP ----------1.1185 MP PP ----------1.1169 FP S1 ----------1.1168 RU S1 ----------1.1155 FP S2 ----------1.1154 RU S2 ----------1.1139 FP S3 ----------1.1131 WP S1 ----------1.1129 RU S3 ----------1.1112
1188 , 1190 printed.....next to print 1155 or 1204...I will short latter... close one old short on 1155...26 adr atm

RU R3 ----------1.1231
FP R2 ----------1.1227
FP R1 ----------1.1213
RU R2 ----------1.1204
FP PP ----------1.1190
RU R1 ----------1.1188
WP PP ----------1.1185
MP PP ----------1.1169
FP S1 ----------1.1168
RU S1 ----------1.1155
FP S2 ----------1.1154
RU S2 ----------1.1139
FP S3 ----------1.1131
WP S1 ----------1.1129
RU S3 ----------1.1112

1
  • #39,171
  • Aug 14, 2019 6:19am Aug 14, 2019 6:19am
Inserted Video


2008 music -
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #39,172
  • Aug 14, 2019 6:29am Aug 14, 2019 6:29am
pending
Attached Image
  • #39,173
  • Aug 14, 2019 6:33am Aug 14, 2019 6:33am
Quoting Boulder
pending {image}
did you think she visit 1.12xxx area before 1.1155.
I am short looking 1.1163-55 area
don't predict direction, but dance with flow of water
  • #39,174
  • Aug 14, 2019 6:44am Aug 14, 2019 6:44am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} german bunds already negative have fallen.. Usd bonds may bounce the db. The spread widens atm. In a eu downtrend monthly is freshly bearish week, day, 4h and 1h are bearish. Bunds/bonds fundies are not helping eu. Support may be on life support. I sell bounces.. Any u.s. Cut will be met with a ez cut and most of the world cutting.. {image}
navarro says biggest white house fight is with federal reserve
Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Market is always right !
S&P 500 WTI/USD
  • #39,175
  • Aug 14, 2019 6:46am Aug 14, 2019 6:46am
Waiting for EU 1.12xx new high....wating patiently
Dont be fool by the newbie badge....older here...older in the biz.
  • #39,176
  • Aug 14, 2019 6:48am Aug 14, 2019 6:48am
Quoting priceaction1
{quote} did you think she visit 1.12xxx area before 1.1155. I am short looking 1.1163-55 area
1155 is my TP too ..I have an old position TP there....not sure 1.12s.. I just put there in case of a news spike for option exp pull...1.12s will be a gift to short.. hold it to NY close for triple swaps...
  • #39,177
  • Aug 14, 2019 6:51am Aug 14, 2019 6:51am
Quoting DMA Trader
{quote} navarro says biggest white house fight is with federal reserve
I am glad his talk or (trumps) this time has no effect on dollar... dollar looks like to go up...
  • #39,178
  • Aug 14, 2019 6:56am Aug 14, 2019 6:56am
I got 1132, 1115 for bounces but yes still short.
  • #39,179
  • Aug 14, 2019 6:57am Aug 14, 2019 6:57am
Quoting priceaction1
{quote} did you think she visit 1.12xxx area before 1.1155. I am short looking 1.1163-55 area
coming to you.
  • #39,180
  • Aug 14, 2019 7:00am Aug 14, 2019 7:00am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} coming to you.
1160 break.. next to look 1150 then 1138...by Ransquawk..
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