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Let's Trade Options

  • #16,921
  • Jul 11, 2019 2:23am Jul 11, 2019 2:23am
Quoting The Fool
trades to manage today: Jul5/Jul8 SPY $297.5 calendar calls, bot for 14c net, flirting with a perfect finish, looking to get out >45c net GLD Jul5/Jul12 $129 calendar puts, bot for 11c net...., could hold into next week and see what happens, but gold has been very bullish, I am tempted to get out today for a small net gain Jul12 SPY calls fly $298/300/302....bot for 15c net and worth >40c today, will hold for a run to spoos 3,000 next week...
...GLD trade a loss but SPY fly sniffing at 10bag...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #16,922
  • Jul 11, 2019 10:22am Jul 11, 2019 10:22am
JPow doing all he can.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #16,923
  • Jul 12, 2019 10:24am Jul 12, 2019 10:24am
Quoting The Fool
Jul12 SPY calls fly $298/300/302....bot for 15c net and worth >40c today, will hold for a run to spoos 3,000 next week...
....$1.00 tp hit...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #16,924
  • Jul 12, 2019 3:01pm Jul 12, 2019 3:01pm
tried a leg-in for bullish continuation next week - bot Jul17 SPY $302 calls for 23c yesterday, sold Jul15 calls for 15c near the close today
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #16,925
  • Jul 13, 2019 3:20am Jul 13, 2019 3:20am
Quoting The Fool
looking at the calendar.... Jul 17: NFLX Jul 18: MSFT Jul 23: HAS, Jul 24: AMZN, BA, EXPE, FB, Jul 25: GOOGL, INTC, SBUX, Jul 30: AAPL, AKAM, TSLA Jul 31: CHK, QCOM, WYND, WYNN Aug 1: YUM, SQ Aug 5: CROX, ETSY, Aug 6: MNST, ROKU, Aug 7: TRIP
time to make the donuts on these....AAPL complicated pos needs a $10 move either way to make anything....
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #16,926
  • Jul 14, 2019 12:47pm Jul 14, 2019 12:47pm
Quoting The Fool
time to make the donuts on these.....
....I don't often do indie name ER trades anymore, but the end July FOMC coinciding with Q2 earnings could be interesting. Rate cut priced in, but if they hold, stocks would take a hit across the board.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #16,927
  • Jul 24, 2019 2:20am Jul 24, 2019 2:20am
CAN I GET A $10 expe er MOVE?
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"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #16,928
  • Jul 24, 2019 2:40am Jul 24, 2019 2:40am
BA, wait/see, maybe buy a deep dip
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #16,929
  • Jul 26, 2019 2:18am Jul 26, 2019 2:18am
Quoting The Fool
BA, wait/see, maybe buy a deep dip
hey brother

just poppin by to make sure you aren't dead

still fighting the good fight. I like it

ya BA fucked me today… bought the lows, some stock and sold some verts

gotta think the top is in and we range for awhile now...
  • #16,930
  • Jul 26, 2019 9:55am Jul 26, 2019 9:55am
Quoting Wulfgar
hey brother just poppin ..
...HEY man good to see you still around.....yeah I'm still taking some shots.....BA I still wait/see, it could keep sliding maybe even <$320....if we get a bull market booster shot (maybe China trade war armistice) then maybe BA moves back >$350...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #16,931
  • Jul 26, 2019 10:57am Jul 26, 2019 10:57am
Quoting The Fool
{quote}...HEY man good to see you still around.....yeah I'm still taking some shots.....BA I still wait/see, it could keep sliding maybe even <$320....if we get a bull market booster shot (maybe China trade war armistice) then maybe BA moves back >$350...

Ya one thing is for certain.... after the dust settles the 737 will be the safest aircraft in history of aviation
  • #16,932
  • Jul 30, 2019 6:48pm Jul 30, 2019 6:48pm
Waiting for a part to finish bathroom renovations, so thought I'd see what the market is doing. Been a few days since I looked on here. I did find a couple I'm gonna look at in the morning:

DLTR Aug16 102 CALL @ $1.95 or better

VAR Aug16 120 CALL @ $1.90 or better

Both of these prices are the closing Ask price. I normally like to split Bid/Ask if I can, but I would pay Ask to get into these. We'll see what futures look like in the morning....
  • #16,933
  • Jul 31, 2019 9:05am Jul 31, 2019 9:05am
Quoting moneymaker2
Waiting for a part to finish bathroom renovations, so thought I'd see what the market is doing. Been a few days since I looked on here. I did find a couple I'm gonna look at in the morning: DLTR Aug16 102 CALL @ $1.95 or better VAR Aug16 120 CALL @ $1.90 or better Both of these prices are the closing Ask price. I normally like to split Bid/Ask if I can, but I would pay Ask to get into these. We'll see what futures look like in the morning....
In the following:

DLTR Aug16 102 CALL @ $2.10

VAR Aug16 120 CALL @ $1.40

Got a good break on one, paid more than I expected on the other, but both should be good for a little money....
  • #16,934
  • Jul 31, 2019 11:26am Jul 31, 2019 11:26am
Quoting moneymaker2
{quote} In the following: DLTR Aug16 102 CALL @ $2.10 VAR Aug16 120 CALL @ $1.40 Got a good break on one, paid more than I expected on the other, but both should be good for a little money....
Both DLTR and VAR are in the money a little bit, so I'll hold them a little longer. The 5EMA is the next little resistance barrier they both will butt up against:

DLTR 5EMA is ~$104 stock price

VAR 5EMA is ~$121.50 stock price

Based on what price does as it gets closer to these levels will be an indication to sell or hold on longer. If it starts to falter at those levels, especially the afternoon session, it will be time to take the money and look for something else...
  • #16,935
  • Jul 31, 2019 1:08pm Jul 31, 2019 1:08pm
OMG the Fed cut the FFR?!? Did anybody see that coming...?
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #16,936
  • Jul 31, 2019 1:46pm Jul 31, 2019 1:46pm
Quoting The Fool
OMG the Fed cut the FFR?!? Did anybody see that coming...?
I mostly set up bearish SPX spreads for time to the end of next week, good money for SPX down below 2950...asymmetric on the other end out 3050 way....I don't trust this market to trend much either way, though....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #16,937
  • Jul 31, 2019 2:12pm Jul 31, 2019 2:12pm
Quoting moneymaker2
{quote} In the following: DLTR Aug16 102 CALL @ $2.10 VAR Aug16 120 CALL @ $1.40 Got a good break on one, paid more than I expected on the other, but both should be good for a little money....
Added to the following during the panic drop from the rate cut (okay, so the chairman "hinted" that more cuts this year are not a sure thing....I didn't think anyone believed that they were?!):

DLTR Aug16 102 CALL @ $1.30, which brings the average price down to $1.70

VAR Aug16 120 CALL @ $1.10. which drops the average price a little to $1.25


Should be good for some decent money.....
  • #16,938
  • Jul 31, 2019 2:33pm Jul 31, 2019 2:33pm
Quoting moneymaker2
(okay, so the chairman "hinted" that more cuts this year are not a sure thing....I didn't think anyone believed that they were?!):.....
.....prolly back to Summer snoozeville.....maybe some news from the China trade war front could shake things up...I have weedwhacking to do, margaritas to drink, etc, etc...
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #16,939
  • Jul 31, 2019 3:26pm Jul 31, 2019 3:26pm
I saw something interesting today....about 1:15-1:20 CST, I checked the computer and all the Bid/Ask spreads on the ones I was monitoring had went from $0.20-$0.40 to $1.60-$2.20.....Ask price remained the same, Bid price fell out the bottom.

After abought 10 minutes of watching it (don't know when it actually started, just when it was when I go on the computer), the Bid prices, in a very controlled and methodical manner, began climbing slowly closing the gap on the spread. No big step change moves, but nickel and dime increments until after about 10 minutes the Bid/Ask spreads became normal again.

During all of this, the stock price hadn't really changed. I saw this on several option chains of ATM and ITM options. An anomaly like this HAS to be the market getting ready for the announcement of cutting rates. I did not think to look at DIA, but if it was wankered like the others, that may be an early signal that traders can take advantage of.....Bid price drops out the bottom on all exhanges, may be looking at a sudden drop in the Dow....

I've seen this happen before, but never paid much attention as I always assumed it was the broker's glitch, as the gap always closed slowly and in a controlled manner, but maybe it is just the big boys telegraphing their thoughts, right? Can't have a drop in the stock market and keep the Bids up where they were, too many orders would be hit.....

Hmmmm…...
  • #16,940
  • Aug 1, 2019 10:17am Aug 1, 2019 10:17am
Quoting moneymaker2
{quote} Added to the following during the panic drop from the rate cut (okay, so the chairman "hinted" that more cuts this year are not a sure thing....I didn't think anyone believed that they were?!): DLTR Aug16 102 CALL @ $1.30, which brings the average price down to $1.70 VAR Aug16 120 CALL @ $1.10. which drops the average price a little to $1.25 Should be good for some decent money.....
Out of the following:

DLTR Aug16 102 CALL @ $2.50 up from $1.70 average

VAR Aug16 120 CALL @ $1.60 up from $1.25 average

Nice little chunk of change....
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