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High probability live trades

  • #2,581
  • Jul 29, 2019 1:12pm Jul 29, 2019 1:12pm
UJ might be a worthy setup going into BOJ early at asian session.
See if we get a dip close to 108, might be worth loading up for 100 or so points on the swing UP.
  • #2,582
  • Jul 30, 2019 1:59am Jul 30, 2019 1:59am
big options levels for 31st July. Put them on your chart.

 

  1. 1.1145, EU1.3 billion on July 31
  2. 1.1200, EU1.7 billion on August 1
  3. 1.1250, EU1.1 billion on July 31

  • #2,583
  • Jul 30, 2019 2:18pm Jul 30, 2019 2:18pm
updated EURUSD trade plan for FOMC tmrw. Keep in mind we also got NFP on Friday.
My plan is based on 2 fake breakouts, this got decent probability - cause big players want to kill max number of retail accounts.
Best way to do that - produce fake moves.

Good luck, and let's see what we get!

ps: previous plan is discarded, no longer active.
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  • #2,584
  • Jul 31, 2019 1:50am Jul 31, 2019 1:50am
expiration next few days. would be tough for EURUSD to break above 1200.

 

  1. 1.1100, EU 1.2B on August 2
  2. 1.1200, EU 1.7B on August 1
  3. 1.1200, EU 2.1B on August 2
  4. 1.1225, EU 1.1B on August 2

  • #2,585
  • Jul 31, 2019 6:32am Jul 31, 2019 6:32am
just sold some AUDJPY at 74.85, risk 10 pips....a low probability trade perhaps, but decent r/r, been out of the office a while....need to get my beak wet...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #2,586
  • Jul 31, 2019 7:36am Jul 31, 2019 7:36am
Quoting PayTheLimit
just sold some AUDJPY at 74.85, risk 10 pips....a low probability trade perhaps, but decent r/r, been out of the office a while....need to get my beak wet...
good luck man, be careful though. Picked this off the wires.
Quote
goodsized 108.95-109.30 Japanese asset manager and exporter offers USD/JPY
  • #2,587
  • Jul 31, 2019 8:09am Jul 31, 2019 8:09am
Quoting PayTheLimit
just sold some AUDJPY at 74.85, risk 10 pips....a low probability trade perhaps, but decent r/r, been out of the office a while....need to get my beak wet...
have you seen H4 EURGBP? Unsustainable trajectory, imo. Maybe the pound will surprise us...
  • #2,588
  • Jul 31, 2019 8:12am Jul 31, 2019 8:12am
Hey also check out GAN H4. Early signs - but H4 price/RSI11 div building, I know that this is not how you trade, but it's a nice SOS.
  • #2,589
  • Jul 31, 2019 9:02am Jul 31, 2019 9:02am
Quoting asgcorp
{quote} have you seen H4 EURGBP? Unsustainable trajectory, imo. Maybe the pound will surprise us...
good call...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #2,590
  • Jul 31, 2019 9:26am Jul 31, 2019 9:26am
not seeing anything else right now, will try for 74.35ish on AJ, check ya later man, gl
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #2,591
  • Jul 31, 2019 10:14am Jul 31, 2019 10:14am
Quoting PayTheLimit
not seeing anything else right now, will try for 74.35ish on AJ, check ya later man, gl
EG W possible option. If confirmed (need a weekly close) - long GU early next week.
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  • #2,592
  • Jul 31, 2019 10:59am Jul 31, 2019 10:59am
EUR USD major expiration today

1250 1.25 bln USD
1150 1.9 bln USD
1100 1.25 bln USD
  • #2,593
  • Aug 1, 2019 2:01am Aug 1, 2019 2:01am
morning, just sold some GBPJPY at 132.36, risking 20....see how this pans out...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #2,594
  • Aug 1, 2019 2:07am Aug 1, 2019 2:07am
nice. I'm buying dips later in UJ near 109 target 110 later next week.
  • #2,595
  • Aug 1, 2019 2:11am Aug 1, 2019 2:11am
also UJ short once EUR hits 1000 later today/trmw. Small trade for 50 points or so.
  • #2,596
  • Aug 1, 2019 2:24am Aug 1, 2019 2:24am
Quoting asgcorp
nice. I'm buying dips later in UJ near 109 target 110 later next week.
yea, looks like a possible pullback is in the cards this morning...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #2,597
  • Aug 1, 2019 2:27am Aug 1, 2019 2:27am
also the possibility of another leg down on NU, but I'm pass on that, got all my chips on GJ...

that's it for now it seems, check em in a bit again...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #2,598
  • Aug 1, 2019 4:19am Aug 1, 2019 4:19am
tough to guess a support on UJ, cant seem to find anything...
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #2,599
  • Aug 1, 2019 4:20am Aug 1, 2019 4:20am
Quoting PayTheLimit
tough to guess a support on UJ, cant seem to find anything...
today major expiration on UJ. I'm buying dips near 109.

 

  1. 109.00, $1.2 billion
  2. 109.10, $861 million
  3. 109.30, $825 million

  • #2,600
  • Aug 1, 2019 4:21am Aug 1, 2019 4:21am
and to be frank, I'm moved away from trading S/R blindly anyway, been concentrating on PA more...and I'm happier
Look Sharp/Trade Tight
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