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The Swamp

  • #38,321
  • Jul 30, 2019 5:15am Jul 30, 2019 5:15am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} just woke up... here you go.. {image}
Thank you so much. Let's see how far up we can go on EU today.
  • #38,322
  • Jul 30, 2019 5:24am Jul 30, 2019 5:24am
Dollar looks tired after seven days running up...
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  • #38,323
  • Jul 30, 2019 5:41am Jul 30, 2019 5:41am
Quoting Boulder
7/30/2019 levels RU R3 ----------1.1182 FP R3 ----------1.1174 RU R2 ----------1.1165 FP R2 ----------1.1160 MP S2 ----------1.1158 RU R1 ----------1.1155 FP R1 ----------1.1151 WP PP ----------1.1151 FP PP ----------1.1136 RU S1 ----------1.1134 FP S1 ----------1.1122 RU S2 ----------1.1121 FP S2 ----------1.1113 RU S3 ----------1.1106 WP S1 ----------1.1103
Printed so far, next to print 1155 or 1122..

RU R3 ----------1.1182
FP R3 ----------1.1174
RU R2 ----------1.1165
FP R2 ----------1.1160
MP S2 ----------1.1158
RU R1 ----------1.1155
FP R1 ----------1.1151
WP PP ----------1.1151
FP PP ----------1.1136
RU S1 ----------1.1134
FP S1 ----------1.1122
RU S2 ----------1.1121


2
  • #38,324
  • Jul 30, 2019 6:22am Jul 30, 2019 6:22am
Quoting Boulder
Dollar looks tired after seven days running up... {image}
+98.13 month close should refresh it. I think it's going to do it. Will this be the month is the unanswered question. We will know in a 1.5 days.

If the eu dont make a run back above 1145.9, that should answer the riddle. GBP is still in position to make lower lows.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #38,325
  • Jul 30, 2019 6:24am Jul 30, 2019 6:24am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} ok.. I give UJ a try...initiated a short at 108.56...good night.... {image}
last UJ short out at 108.46 , +10 . day total +30..,,
I have no more positions on any.. thinking I maybe done today...sideline till FOMC tomorrow... unless Euro goes all the way up to 1180s,.. I have to build a good short lists from there...
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  • #38,326
  • Jul 30, 2019 6:28am Jul 30, 2019 6:28am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} +98.13 month close should refresh it. I think it's going to do it. Will this be the month is the unanswered question. We will know in a 1.5 days. If the eu dont make a run back above 1145.9, that should answer the riddle. GBP is still in position to make lower lows. {image}
usdx has lots more room to run free.. eu closing month below 1145.9 is key. as well as usdx closing above 98.13.. here we are at their threshold.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #38,327
  • Jul 30, 2019 6:35am Jul 30, 2019 6:35am
Quoting Boulder
Eur/Usd is testing H4 downtrend stop at 1153... two hours and 45 mins to go .. over 50% chance, bears can't hold today.. lets wait to see...
this may be the "last call for alcohol.. " 4h and month are near..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #38,328
  • Jul 30, 2019 6:39am Jul 30, 2019 6:39am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} usdx has lots more room to run free.. eu closing month below 1145.9 is key. as well as usdx closing above 98.13.. here we are at their threshold. {image}
That is what I am worried about to short dollar... Tomorrow FOMC can have no cut, one cut only and done, dollar will continue up, unless FOMC does one cut and promise more cuts coming...
  • #38,329
  • Jul 30, 2019 6:45am Jul 30, 2019 6:45am
Absolutely true!!
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  • #38,330
  • Jul 30, 2019 6:51am Jul 30, 2019 6:51am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} That is what I am worried about to short dollar... Tomorrow FOMC can have no cut, one cut only and done, dollar will continue up, unless FOMC does one cut and promise more cuts coming...
They have done it in the past. (fooled the market). Even with the anticipated cut, the usd has risen. Wednesday is a big day. The close is the jury.
EZ has a pair of scissors too.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #38,331
  • Jul 30, 2019 7:17am Jul 30, 2019 7:17am
Hang on to your nads.. Wednesday could be a roller coaster. The Aud may get a double or triple poke, with its own news. (china, usd)
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #38,332
  • Jul 30, 2019 7:24am Jul 30, 2019 7:24am
Quoting gatorinla
Hang on to your nads.. Wednesday could be a roller coaster. The Aud may get a double or triple poke, with its own news. (china, usd) {image}
I almost initiated a long AudUsd this morning at 0.6882....decided not trade due to FOMC
  • #38,333
  • Jul 30, 2019 7:28am Jul 30, 2019 7:28am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} getting a bj in gb is probably not good for gbp or ecb's euro. They both may be on their knees.
BJ leading GB with VP pushing dissolving EZ. Puts WW3 closer.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #38,334
  • Jul 30, 2019 7:33am Jul 30, 2019 7:33am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I almost initiated a long AudUsd this morning at 0.6882....decided not trade due to FOMC
Other than a st scalp. I would not long aud. China slowdown, Stronger usd.

Since euro makes up most of usdx, closing eu month below 1145.9. Should bring/close the usdx above 98.13.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #38,335
  • Edited 7:53am Jul 30, 2019 7:41am | Edited 7:53am
Quoting gatorinla
Hang on to your nads.. Wednesday could be a roller coaster. The Aud may get a double or triple poke, with its own news. (china, usd) {image}
Yes, AUD news may push it down. Thanks for point my mind in that direction. I sold AU yesterday and it seems to me the catalyst for the fall may be their data. Let's see if it works.
  • #38,336
  • Jul 30, 2019 7:50am Jul 30, 2019 7:50am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Other than a st scalp. I would not long aud. China slowdown, Stronger usd. Since euro makes up most of usdx, closing eu month below 1145.9. Should bring/close the usdx above 98.13.
I am thinking weaker dollar ...that is why I was shorting dollar vs chf and jpy last a couple days.... we will find out tomorrow... I am sideline for now.

By the way tomorrow SOMA first before FOMC,, $15 billion redemption.... Eur/Usd usually sells off

SOMA time usually happen during these periods,, .. good luck... ..

CET: 14:30 to 17:15
9:30am -12:15pm eastern
8:30am -11:15am central
7:30am-10:15am mountain
  • #38,337
  • Jul 30, 2019 7:55am Jul 30, 2019 7:55am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I am thinking weaker dollar ...that is why I was shorting dollar vs chf and jpy last a couple days.... we will find out tomorrow... I am sideline for now. By the way tomorrow SOMA first,, $15 billion redemption.... Eur/Usd usually sells off SOMA time usually happen during these periods,, .. good luck... .. CET: 14:30 to 17:15 9:30am -12:15pm eastern 8:30am -11:15am central 7:30am-10:15am mountain
The Fed speaks with forked tongue. A possible cut on one hand, while clearing its books on the other.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #38,338
  • Jul 30, 2019 8:00am Jul 30, 2019 8:00am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I am thinking weaker dollar ...that is why I was shorting dollar vs chf and jpy last a couple days.... we will find out tomorrow... I am sideline for now. By the way tomorrow SOMA first before FOMC,, $15 billion redemption.... Eur/Usd usually sells off SOMA time usually happen during these periods,, .. good luck... .. CET: 14:30 to 17:15 9:30am -12:15pm eastern 8:30am -11:15am central 7:30am-10:15am mountain
eu 4h bull side.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #38,339
  • Jul 30, 2019 8:04am Jul 30, 2019 8:04am
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} Yes, AUD news may push it down. Thanks for point my mind in that direction. I sold AU yesterday and it seems to me the catalyst for the fall may be their data. Let's see if it works.
some possible support 6855.. Possible bounce in that area.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #38,340
  • Jul 30, 2019 10:55am Jul 30, 2019 10:55am
LC today 1145.5. Below 1145.9. More than a day to go for the relevant one.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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