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Trading Institutional Order Flow

  • #7,521
  • Jul 26, 2019 11:23pm Jul 26, 2019 11:23pm
Quoting lockstockpip
{quote} Before you get your answer I'll add some thoughts. I've been trading for 23 years and I can tell you firstly the win rate of a system or methodology isn't always dependent on the system or methodology. The trader can really skew these percentages while the system or methodology itself is perfectly fine. Whatever percentage anyone tells you simply won't be an accurate representation of the system or methodology. One might say well what if the system or methodology was automated with exact rules etc, what would the win rate be? Again this...
Hi Lockstockpip
What time frame do you use ?
Give me some of your trade, Please
Thx
  • #7,522
  • Jul 26, 2019 11:35pm Jul 26, 2019 11:35pm
Hi AKT
I wait for your new video in StoreHouse:
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCBf...x3hHl3g/videos
Thx
  • #7,523
  • Jul 27, 2019 1:33am Jul 27, 2019 1:33am
Hi my friends
Check my chart, Please
Thank you very much
Weekly: Curve; Daily: Trend; 4 hours: Entry
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NZDUSDw1.png Size: 32 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: NZDUSDd1.png Size: 37 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: NZDUSDh4.png Size: 46 KB
  • #7,524
  • Jul 27, 2019 1:36am Jul 27, 2019 1:36am
Quoting tuantm
Hi yellow Please correct my trade MN: curve; W1: trend; D1: entry {image} {image} {image}
hello the great akt

how do analysis dxy, guide
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: dxy daily.png Size: 48 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: dxy weekly.png Size: 34 KB
  • #7,525
  • Jul 27, 2019 1:37am Jul 27, 2019 1:37am
Hi
I am new in S&D method
Correct my chart, Please
Thank you very much
Monthly: Curve; Weekly: Trend; Daily: Entry
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDmn.png Size: 37 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDw1.png Size: 42 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDd1.png Size: 33 KB
  • #7,526
  • Jul 27, 2019 2:15am Jul 27, 2019 2:15am
Hi my friend
Please check my trade
MN: curve; Wk: trend; Daily: entry
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURJPYmn.png Size: 41 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURJPYw1.png Size: 41 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURJPYd1.png Size: 33 KB
  • #7,527
  • Jul 27, 2019 3:03am Jul 27, 2019 3:03am
Quoting kimosabyy
{quote} Thanks for the response {image}
Hi kimsabyy, I see it like this
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: xL9oJ1C.png Size: 58 KB
  • #7,528
  • Jul 27, 2019 3:13am Jul 27, 2019 3:13am
Hi AKT and my friend
When you check & correct our charts, we learn TOO MUCH.
Thank you
Weekly: curve; Daily: trend; 4 hours: entry
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURCHFw1.png Size: 34 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURCHFd1.png Size: 26 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURCHFh4.png Size: 40 KB
  • #7,529
  • Jul 28, 2019 5:33am Jul 28, 2019 5:33am
Quoting tuantm
{quote} Hi Lockstockpip What time frame do you use ? Give me some of your trade, Please Thx
Hi Tauntm,

A quick run down of my trading system:

Firstly before I continue I'm only looking for 1 trade a week for 30 pips. In trading we can never be exact so when I say 30 pips I don't mean I get 30 pips exactly every week for 52 weeks. For last years trading I made 673 pips for the whole year. I didn't get a trade every week. I went 3 weeks during last year with no trade at all because the market conditions were simply not conducive to good trading. So sometimes we have to wait. I mention all this first because there is no copy and paste way of trading. I have developed a great deal of experienced intuition which can only come from years of trading. So I'm saying I know when to take a trade and when not too. This has a huge impact on my personal trading. It's not enough to just draw a bunch of levels or zones and then take trades like a robot.

With all that said I split my time frames into 2 parts. Analysis time frames and trading time frames. The analysis time frames are used for directional bias and levels/zones of interest. For this I use the Weekly, Daily and 4 Hour. Once I am happy with my mark ups and have a good feel for where I need to see price before I consider a trade (remember I said consider) I will watch price on the trading time frames I use to see how price is behaving and whether there is a favourable response around the levels/zones I'm watching. For this I use the 1 Hour and 15 minute charts. Depending on how prices moves, forms and reacts I will decide whether the risk/reward makes sense and then if it does I'll take a trade.

Regarding trades I don't share my trades for 2 reasons. I genuinely believe it won't help anyone and secondly showing trades is counter productive to those looking at them. When someone looks at another traders trades they instinctively assume they can replicate it without realising or understanding the trade has so many parts outside of technical analysis. Psychology plays such a massive part of each trade. Anyone can draw lines on their charts but taking a trade objectively is all psychology and nothing to do with technicals.

LSP
  • #7,530
  • Jul 28, 2019 7:32pm Jul 28, 2019 7:32pm
Quoting lockstockpip
{quote} Hi Tauntm, A quick run down of my trading system: Firstly before I continue I'm only looking for 1 trade a week for 30 pips. In trading we can never be exact so when I say 30 pips I don't mean I get 30 pips exactly every week for 52 weeks. For last years trading I made 673 pips for the whole year. I didn't get a trade every week. I went 3 weeks during last year with no trade at all because the market conditions were simply not conducive to good trading. So sometimes we have to wait. I mention all this first because there is no copy and paste...
Hi LSP
Thanks for sharing your experience.
If possible, ask you to tell me:
- Which currency pairs do you usually trade ?
- How much is your RR ?
- Is trade time related to currency pair ?
- . . .
I have been trading for 3 years but haven't had a consistently profit .
Thanks - [email protected]
  • #7,531
  • Edited Jul 30, 2019 2:37am Jul 29, 2019 10:27am | Edited Jul 30, 2019 2:37am
Quoting tuantm
{quote} Hi LSP Thanks for sharing your experience. If possible, ask you to tell me: - Which currency pairs do you usually trade ? - How much is your RR ? - Is trade time related to currency pair ? - . . . I have been trading for 3 years but haven't had a consistently profit . Thanks - [email protected]
Hi mate,

On my main account trading I only trade EURUSD and GBPUSD. RR is an average 1 to 2/3 R. I'm not sure what you mean when you ask is trade time related to the pairs I trade. If you mean how long am I in trades it varies but as a general rule of thumb its around 2 hours or so depending on which session I trade.

Finding consistency is different for every trader. I've found over the years that those who keep trading simple and put their ego aside will find consistency quicker than those who want complexity in their trading and want to be right/smart instead of being humble and objective.

Hope this helps.

LSP
  • #7,532
  • Jul 29, 2019 7:47pm Jul 29, 2019 7:47pm
Hi All.

Is it appropriate to look for longs in ABBV on the 4 hour to 1 hour?
Or too soon, not clear, low probability, etc?

I ask because it seems to be in to an area of previous Weekly demand with strong departure, and there was large volume increase with a rally response on the 2019 Daily test of the zone late June.
But price is into a really messy area of compression and slow departure from 2016.
Your thoughts?

Many thanks.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2019-07-29 ABBV W D.jpg Size: 488 KB
  • #7,533
  • Jul 29, 2019 10:34pm Jul 29, 2019 10:34pm
Quoting lockstockpip
{quote} Hi mate, On my main account trading I only trade EURUSD and GBPUSD. RR is an average 1 to 2/3 R. I'm not sure what you mean when you ask is trade time related to the pairs I trade. If you mean how long am I in trades it varies but as a general rule of thumb its around 2 hours or so depending on which session I trade. Finding consistency is different for every trader. I've found over the years that those who keep trading simple and put their ego aside will find consistency quicker than those who what complexity in their trading and want to...
Thank you
  • #7,534
  • Jul 31, 2019 1:53am Jul 31, 2019 1:53am
USDJPY trade

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPY 07:31:2019.png Size: 198 KB


And will be looking for buys on AUDJPY soon .. in daily DEMAND ... Just waiting for momentum to switch on H4 And H1

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDJPY ORDER FLOW .png Size: 467 KB
  • #7,535
  • Jul 31, 2019 2:19am Jul 31, 2019 2:19am
Quoting kimosabyy
USDJPY trade {image} And will be looking for buys on AUDJPY soon .. in daily DEMAND ... Just waiting for momentum to switch on H4 And H1 {image}
Got in a bit later, solid trade.
  • #7,536
  • Jul 31, 2019 5:02am Jul 31, 2019 5:02am
Hello everyone

A look at the big picture levels in some of the markets we look at

best wishes

Inserted Video
Be careful what you think because your thoughts run your life..Solomon
  • #7,537
  • Jul 31, 2019 8:12am Jul 31, 2019 8:12am
Quoting kimosabyy
USDJPY trade {image} And will be looking for buys on AUDJPY soon .. in daily DEMAND ... Just waiting for momentum to switch on H4 And H1 {image}
Im also buying AUDJPY, but is a more aggresive trade, bcs i took the trade before Trendline Break.
Quote
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AJ.png Size: 75 KB
  • #7,538
  • Jul 31, 2019 10:20pm Jul 31, 2019 10:20pm
hi sir AKT. everybody
sorry for google english
I lost, where am I wrong?
someone help me please
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: UC.jpg Size: 161 KB
  • #7,539
  • Jul 31, 2019 10:29pm Jul 31, 2019 10:29pm
USDCHF: sell = loss
WK: supply control, trend down
Daily: Uplink is broken, new supply is formed (number 1)
check: 1: 2 ok, check: good basic ok
sold at supply 1 (arrow) = loss
Who can explain where I am wrong
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Untitled.jpg Size: 161 KB
  • #7,540
  • Edited Aug 2, 2019 2:01am Aug 1, 2019 5:43pm | Edited Aug 2, 2019 2:01am
Quoting malmal1985
hi sir AKT. everybody sorry for google english I lost, where am I wrong? someone help me please {image}
Hi,

Can you share where you place your take profits?
If I would trade this setup, I would already take some profits and protect the trade, not losing... the trade would easily give you a 1:2 risk reward...
There's the engulfing candle to the left which seems to me like a good initial take profit place.

Losing is part of trading, I had a great setup on the USDJPY this week and it crashed... my target is to lose small and win at least 1:2 / 1:3 for the first target
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