50% win ratio, 1:1 sl tp, and random entries

that's nothing, I used 1:8 RR to trade long term... 20+ consecutive losses..

It's hard to remain objectif with such a strategy.

Indeed. leverage restriction helped.. I must admit.

Hi, as it doesnt seem to work in the first way obviously, i found out an othet idea i would like to discuss here with you.

Maybe you can add up or tell me your opinion.

I recognized that after a specific amount of trades based on random entry and r:r 1:1 it starts to become distrubuted 50:50~ wins and losses.

I tested something funny with an coin toss app.

I would like to discuss

I flipped a coin 15 times! And if the result was 10+ heads and 5 time or less tails i started to watch out if it will get back to nearly 50% after another 15 tosses ... so to speak if the other direction will appear more often. It seems like it is to happen although i know about gamblers facility.

So they will balance each other again

So to speak if i do 30 coin flipps i believe the will be most of the time in a range between 60 % - 40 % heads and tails. If in the first 15 tosses its more heads or tails in a range of 66% i bet that the other side of the coin will apear more often in the next 15 trades.

So does anyone of you has experience in something like that ? Or is maybe willing to code a backtest modul to see the results ? Would be happy for open discussion.


So an example would be: 15 coin tosses (similar to r:r 1:1 with random entry) and then 15 coin tosses again = 30 tosses

If 11 heads and 4 tails appear ... i think cause of the normality that after a bigger amount of tosses it gets to a distribution of 50 % 50 % in a longer range i would say more tails will appear in the next 15 tosses....

In this coin toss app you can make fast tests and it really seems worth a try ....

Is anybody up to follow this topic and backtest it maybe somehow?

Regards

So an example.... a random entry gets you after an bigger amounts of trades a probability of ~50% ~50% ... 1:1 r r

If you flip a coin 15 times ! And it appers 10 heads 5 times tails... its distributed 66.6% to 33.33% which is not random... now if you watch the next 15 tosses and bet all on tails. After 30 tosses it ends up 18 heads and 12 tails... so basically you would have lost 1 toss. But it distrubuted 60% 40% ... and it should distribute 50 % 50 %. So somehow its a good shot i think. Regards

Short update.....

Did about 1000 coin tosses... every time it was 10/5 or more i counted the opposite tosses. They appeared 60. More

So i think it shows that it could be possible

I will let it code next month except somebody is faster here for a forex backtest.

So basically you should trade 22 pipps tp and 20 pipps stopp loss on a random entry x 15 times. (Spread calculated 2 pipps) with lot size 0.01.

If you have 10 or more losses. After 15 x tries -> increase lot size to 0.3 lots for another 15 times.. on a random entry (30 trades)


In coin tosses i would have made 60 pure win more trades with 0.3 lot then losses which should be a a nice profit.

If somebody can code it to chek i would love othervise i will post result next month when i will be able to get ea

So 15 trades 0.01 lot size -> if more than 10 losses appear in 15 trades, increase lot size and continue trading 15 times.

The average profit should be bigger even it will have about 50% wins and 50% losses in general