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The Swamp

  • #37,861
  • Jul 12, 2019 10:47am Jul 12, 2019 10:47am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I will keep shorting eu till 1180s area, then see bears can reverse H4 and day uptrend over there... I will be more comfortable shorting if todays COT indicates the institutions were selling for the week .. we will find out in 6 hours..
winding down mine.. Not sure if I will have electric or internet Sunday. The storm is on top me soon. Hopefully I won't miss a second sunday..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #37,862
  • Jul 12, 2019 10:50am Jul 12, 2019 10:50am
gbp is hitting 2560 atm.. that is often a good R..

gbp hitting 2560 R, may push eu down first. possible clue
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #37,863
  • Jul 12, 2019 11:21am Jul 12, 2019 11:21am
Quoting gatorinla
gbp is hitting 2560 atm.. that is often a good R.. gbp hitting 2560 R, may push eu down first. possible clue
Sorry I fell sleep.. I added a short 1261...
  • #37,864
  • Jul 12, 2019 11:38am Jul 12, 2019 11:38am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} winding down mine.. Not sure if I will have electric or internet Sunday. The storm is on top me soon. Hopefully I won't miss a second sunday..
gads, stay safe. I see the Mississippi's unusually high at 16 feet. Flooding happens at 20. Haven't even had the surge yet.
Follow the money --Mark Felt (Deepthroat)
  • #37,865
  • Jul 12, 2019 11:54am Jul 12, 2019 11:54am
Closing all here for the weekend
  • #37,866
  • Jul 12, 2019 12:04pm Jul 12, 2019 12:04pm
have a nice weekend all.
  • #37,867
  • Jul 12, 2019 12:26pm Jul 12, 2019 12:26pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I will keep shorting eu till 1180s area, then see bears can reverse H4 and day uptrend over there... I will be more comfortable shorting if todays COT indicates the institutions were selling for the week .. we will find out in 6 hours..
Please, if you don't mind, give us an update on COT report. Thank you.
  • #37,868
  • Jul 12, 2019 2:14pm Jul 12, 2019 2:14pm
Quoting longfellow
{quote} gads, stay safe. I see the Mississippi's unusually high at 16 feet. Flooding happens at 20. Haven't even had the surge yet.
Nobody knows what will happen. If the storm hits the mouth of the river at a perfect angle. It could slow the outflow of the Mississippi enough to flood New Orleans or further up. A slow moving storm with lots of rain is a perfect storm. It's like putting a stopper in a bathtub, while the water is running.. Add to that. The river at the top of the levee, above flood stage. I dont want it to happen, but it's possible. Another water hazzard is the swollen river has had the locks open for months. That spillway is also to the top. Water near the top of these levees with added wind causing wave action. Could easily cause a catastrophe. The lake plus Gulf and the river makes New Orleans a Island. But not a typical Island. New Orleans has levees, making the Island a bowl. An accident waiting to happen. A perfect storm could do it..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #37,869
  • Jul 12, 2019 2:28pm Jul 12, 2019 2:28pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} H1 just reversed to downtrend with downtrend stop 1.1274....
testing ...30 mins to go...
  • #37,870
  • Jul 12, 2019 2:32pm Jul 12, 2019 2:32pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} winding down mine.. Not sure if I will have electric or internet Sunday. The storm is on top me soon. Hopefully I won't miss a second sunday..
Good luck with the storm!
  • #37,871
  • Jul 12, 2019 4:12pm Jul 12, 2019 4:12pm
now i am back home... i closed for the simple reason we didn't break 1.1235... i don't know much about gartley but the 1.272 and 1.618 levels are of particular interest... immediate interests are 1.1320 and 1.1345

on Daily price is making HL so it might push for HH next. We are 20 pips away from 1.1250 so this continues to support... unless we break 1.1210, I will look to buy in the short term...
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  • #37,872
  • Jul 12, 2019 5:58pm Jul 12, 2019 5:58pm
After previous week aggressive cutting back on Eur/Usd shorts ( due to rate expectation), the institutions started to add back shorts again ( due to NFP), which is shown in the latest COT on July 9 2019, The closing price on that day was 1.1207
1,276 long contracts were added, and 5,408 short contracts were added as well. Now Longs total 158,398 contracts vs shorts total 194,263 contracts .
45% long exposure vs 55% short exposure, no percent change from the previous week
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  • #37,873
  • Jul 12, 2019 7:22pm Jul 12, 2019 7:22pm
Quoting Boulder
After previous week aggressive cutting back on Eur/Usd shorts ( due to rate expectation), the institutions started to add back shorts again ( due to NFP), which is shown in the latest COT on July 9 2019, The closing price on that day was 1.1207 1,276 long contracts were added, and 5,408 short contracts were added as well. Now Longs total 158,398 contracts vs shorts total 194,263 contracts . 45% long exposure vs 55% short exposure, no percent change from the previous week {image}
rise was less than 100... not real impressive..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #37,874
  • Jul 12, 2019 10:28pm Jul 12, 2019 10:28pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Nobody knows what will happen. If the storm hits the mouth of the river at a perfect angle. It could slow the outflow of the Mississippi enough to flood New Orleans or further up. A slow moving storm with lots of rain is a perfect storm. It's like putting a stopper in a bathtub, while the water is running.. Add to that. The river at the top of the levee, above flood stage. I dont want it to happen, but it's possible. Another water hazzard is the swollen river has had the locks open for months. That spillway is also to the top. Water near...
Good luck over there Gator, stay safe...
The Chonchy
  • #37,875
  • Jul 13, 2019 3:25pm Jul 13, 2019 3:25pm
...Gator hope all is fine in your front, send us a smoke signal if all is fine....
The Chonchy
  • #37,876
  • Jul 14, 2019 8:58am Jul 14, 2019 8:58am
Internet and electrice is still on atm. Under a tornado warning atm.

I expect bears to step in, but no evidence that has occurred Friday. A Sunday open below 1264 is a little sign, below 1250 stronger. No evidence atm. The move up has been less than 100 pips. The move up has struggled. Yet bears are in hibernation so far. Exception, bears haven't allowed a big upswing.

Usually I would say 1302 is one bears may be waiting for. This muted bounce does not seem healthy enough.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #37,877
  • Jul 14, 2019 9:14am Jul 14, 2019 9:14am
Quoting gatorinla
Internet and electrice is still on atm. Under a tornado warning atm. I expect bears to step in, but no evidence that has occurred Friday. A Sunday open below 1264 is a little sign, below 1250 stronger. No evidence atm. The move up has been less than 100 pips. The move up has struggled. Yet bears are in hibernation so far. Exception, bears haven't allowed a big upswing. Usually I would say 1302 is one bears may be waiting for. This muted bounce does not seem healthy enough.
catch up with my work before new week...

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  • #37,878
  • Jul 14, 2019 7:16pm Jul 14, 2019 7:16pm
Shark or 5-0 ?
That is question !
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Patterns have an underlying mathematical structure.
  • #37,879
  • Jul 15, 2019 3:26am Jul 15, 2019 3:26am
Quoting gatorinla
gbp is hitting 2560 atm.. that is often a good R.. gbp hitting 2560 R, may push eu down first. possible clue
eg may be topping out now .8981/.9018. euro may drop more than gbp after. euro may be less strong than gbp comparable on other crosses. a good opportunity to get a eg 100 pip drop to 8885ish support test.

uj near R

ej may be the better short.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #37,880
  • Jul 15, 2019 5:30am Jul 15, 2019 5:30am
from Ransquawk..
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