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The Swamp

  • #37,781
  • Jul 10, 2019 10:48am Jul 10, 2019 10:48am
Quoting unlv_tj
{quote} Wow, I figured your entry/trade was a scalp. What was your reason for entering and holding?
I was and I am still expecting the price to re-test 1350 area and this was expected after 1180 being tested. However, while breaking 1200 down, the price did not make it to 1180, which signaled me a bit of pause from the bear's side.
  • #37,782
  • Jul 10, 2019 10:52am Jul 10, 2019 10:52am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Bullish, but 1260 is often tough R. The 4h just closed below 1250. The R held for now. Senate/Powell questioning sessions starts less than 1 h.. The trend is down. day wise some R at 1283/84, but week R is here right now 1250 and 1260. I like 1260 because it kills strong daily up moves more than 1/2 the time. 1260/63 may stop move in its tracks.
adr and 4h 200 in the area too
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #37,783
  • Jul 10, 2019 10:57am Jul 10, 2019 10:57am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} subject to change, target 108.20 ish.. the swap sucks.. you dont want to hold more than a day or 2 unless its falling fast.. possible long in target area.
pa at 108.43.. your on your own now. possible long 107.65..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #37,784
  • Edited 11:20am Jul 10, 2019 11:07am | Edited 11:20am
Quoting becks.200
{quote} I was and I am still expecting the price to re-test 1350 area and this was expected after 1180 being tested. However, while breaking 1200 down, the price did not make it to 1180, which signaled me a bit of pause from the bear's side.
Not testing or breaking 1180 was a sure sign that spikes would happen. Here they are. 1270 should make a good short for at least 20pips but at this point I'm just watching. FOMC minutes tonight and may give the price movers reasons to spike more.
  • #37,785
  • Jul 10, 2019 11:41am Jul 10, 2019 11:41am
Quoting frankiev2
{quote} Changed it to 1263. Will not chase, will not ride a loser. Above 1270 ish and I will bail.
Took on a couple of them. Avg at some 1260,5. Tp on this will now be 1125. Stops just above. Sweet RR. I dont think 1180 ish will be an event now.
  • #37,786
  • Jul 10, 2019 12:47pm Jul 10, 2019 12:47pm
Closed 4 now.

Is it the time 2 retrace ?

Pending Orders 4 Long Can be activated again.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: Fibre 2.JPG Size: 35 KB
Patterns have an underlying mathematical structure.
  • #37,787
  • Jul 10, 2019 4:43pm Jul 10, 2019 4:43pm
Quoting Boulder
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cfeKhTd3cRw
I know your 4h and 1h trend is bullish. 1260 has held the day close. This is not in agreement. 1228/29 may show up again. I'm not impressed with the inability to take and close above 1260..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #37,788
  • Jul 10, 2019 5:03pm Jul 10, 2019 5:03pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I know your 4h and 1h trend is bullish. 1260 has held the day close. This is not in agreement. 1228/29 may show up again. I'm not impressed with the inability to take and close above 1260..
since fed release, a 50 pip bounce. lots of interest 1260/64 area
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #37,789
  • Jul 10, 2019 6:45pm Jul 10, 2019 6:45pm
1260 seems like a resistance.

But I'm still bullish. Will long 1230-1240 area.
  • #37,790
  • Jul 10, 2019 8:12pm Jul 10, 2019 8:12pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Bullish, but 1260 is often tough R. The 4h just closed below 1250. The R held for now. Senate/Powell questioning sessions starts less than 1 h.. The trend is down. day wise some R at 1283/84, but week R is here right now 1250 and 1260. I like 1260 because it kills strong daily up moves more than 1/2 the time. 1260/63 may stop move in its tracks.
still the same atm. EZ has some news in the next cycle in 4 + hours. Fed move is bullish into resistance. Will she hold or not?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #37,791
  • Jul 10, 2019 9:31pm Jul 10, 2019 9:31pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} new broker close time screwed me. Reopened UJ short. New broker has a day close time above 106.91.. Oanda close time is below. Oanda is line up with est close
tp on uj reached.
Attached Image
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #37,792
  • Jul 10, 2019 9:37pm Jul 10, 2019 9:37pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} tp on uj reached. {image}
uj broke a 4h trend.. I dont know if it will bounce now.. But if it does.. A short looks like it has merit. either at current levels, or a retracement anywhere below 108.91. atm level 108.01
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #37,793
  • Jul 10, 2019 11:03pm Jul 10, 2019 11:03pm
See-saw.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #37,794
  • Jul 10, 2019 11:16pm Jul 10, 2019 11:16pm
Quoting frankiev2
{quote} Took on a couple of them. Avg at some 1260,5. Tp on this will now be 1125. Stops just above. Sweet RR. I dont think 1180 ish will be an event now.
Thanks asia for messing that up. I'm now very much out of sync so I will leave it. Vacation time is around the corner so I wont bother with any new trades. Good luck..
  • #37,795
  • Jul 11, 2019 1:25am Jul 11, 2019 1:25am
With all this news you no longer know when and if to stay long or short, except waiting to sell tough resistance for some pips or by proven support for some pips.
  • #37,796
  • Jul 11, 2019 4:28am Jul 11, 2019 4:28am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #37,797
  • Jul 11, 2019 4:38am Jul 11, 2019 4:38am
Quoting Boulder
{image}
Expecting 1240-1250 area to test and then go back up to 1290-1300
  • #37,798
  • Jul 11, 2019 5:22am Jul 11, 2019 5:22am
USD: CPI should avert another leg lower - ING
11 July 2019, 13:08

In view of analysts at ING, US dollar weakness is unlikely be extended today, when focus will be on the June inflation report.
Key Quotes
“Our economists expect headline inflation to slow down – mostly triggered by low gasoline prices – while core CPI should stabilise at 2%, in line with the market consensus.”
“In light of the dovish repricing overnight we may need to see a materially weaker reading to keep pushing the USD down further today.”
“Elsewhere, Powell’s second day of testimony should have very limited surprise potential. In turn, we expect DXY to stay close to the 97.00 area today.”
persistence and determination alone are omnipotent
  • #37,799
  • Jul 11, 2019 6:20am Jul 11, 2019 6:20am
Quoting becks.200
{quote} Expecting 1240-1250 area to test and then go back up to 1290-1300
1240-1250 is probably will not happen before 1290-1300. who knows

Pending Short at 1304
  • #37,800
  • Jul 11, 2019 7:02am Jul 11, 2019 7:02am
7/11/2019 levels, 1286 coming up...

MP PP ----------1.1314
RU R3 ----------1.1314
FP R3 ----------1.1301
RU R2 ----------1.1286
FP R2 ----------1.1277
RU R1 ----------1.1269
WP PP ----------1.1268
FP R1 ----------1.1262
FP PP ----------1.1239
RU S1 ----------1.1235
MP S1 ----------1.1218
RU S2 ----------1.1217
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