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The Swamp

  • #37,641
  • Edited 6:06am Jul 5, 2019 5:45am | Edited 6:06am
  •  dot0
  • | Joined Sep 2012 | Status: I pity the fool that fails to laugh | 368 Posts
longed gold @1413.8 after a bounce of a 5min tf tl... stop @1413.11...

shorted @1415. 93 [email protected]... hedge... dunno what now... guess down... didn't broke and ducks in 5min are down aligned...
c'mon baby, daddy needs brand new clogs...
  • #37,642
  • Jul 5, 2019 6:55am Jul 5, 2019 6:55am
from Ransqawk..
Attached Image
  • #37,643
  • Jul 5, 2019 7:15am Jul 5, 2019 7:15am
A few data points atm before NFP...

H1 downtrend stop 1286
H4 downtrend stop 1299
Day uptrend stop 1183
Week downtrend stop 1390
Month uptrend stop 1145

1
  • #37,644
  • Jul 5, 2019 7:21am Jul 5, 2019 7:21am
Levels printed so far..

MP PP ----------1.1314
WP S3 ----------1.1308
FP R3 ----------1.1306
RU R3 ----------1.1306
FP R2 ----------1.1298
RU R2 ----------1.1296
FP R1 ----------1.1293
RU R1 ----------1.1290
FP PP ----------1.1284
RU S1 ----------1.1278
FP S1 ----------1.1276
RU S2 ----------1.1272
FP S2 ----------1.1271
FP S3 ----------1.1262
RU S3 ----------1.1262
MP S1 ----------1.1218
  • #37,645
  • Jul 5, 2019 7:31am Jul 5, 2019 7:31am
pfff 224k
persistence and determination alone are omnipotent
  • #37,646
  • Jul 5, 2019 7:34am Jul 5, 2019 7:34am
scalp a short here 1254... will add
  • #37,647
  • Jul 5, 2019 7:37am Jul 5, 2019 7:37am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} To get below the 125x/44 area, NFP help may be needed.
lets see,
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #37,648
  • Jul 5, 2019 7:39am Jul 5, 2019 7:39am
Quoting Boulder
scalp a short here 1254... will add
out 1244 +10,,,after 1 min..
  • #37,649
  • Jul 5, 2019 7:39am Jul 5, 2019 7:39am
Stopped out -10.

Re entered at 1240 for scalp.
  • #37,650
  • Jul 5, 2019 7:40am Jul 5, 2019 7:40am
also shorted 1247 ..out 1237..+10.....

I wonder what odds now for Fed July rate cut , lol...
  • #37,651
  • Jul 5, 2019 7:42am Jul 5, 2019 7:42am
shorted 1241... TP 1231..
  • #37,652
  • Jul 5, 2019 7:43am Jul 5, 2019 7:43am
Quoting Boulder
also shorted 1247 ..out 1237..+10..... I wonder what odds now for Fed July rate cut , lol...
zerohedge‏ @zerohedge 3m3 minutes ago
Odds for 50bps rate cut in July plunge to 11% from 27%.
persistence and determination alone are omnipotent
  • #37,653
  • Jul 5, 2019 7:45am Jul 5, 2019 7:45am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} it should blow through that level to 118x /1145. if it starts closing below 1254. if NFP has a bad number, and eu still drops. Forget about longs till 118x or less. That happened with a bad ADP #. When pa ignores fundies, dont stand in its way. Often after a slight spike, in a like cycle, it will end up lower.
....
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #37,654
  • Jul 5, 2019 7:45am Jul 5, 2019 7:45am
Quoting Ll1979
{quote} zerohedge‏ @zerohedge 3m3 minutes ago Odds for 50bps rate cut in July plunge to 11% from 27%.
25bps cut was 70% before.....that is one I watch
  • #37,655
  • Jul 5, 2019 7:48am Jul 5, 2019 7:48am
Quoting gatorinla
pa went to 126x/75 before adp. since adp pa has returned. If bulls could not raise this with that bad adp. It leans unlikely it will go much higher than today's high. The bad adp news and the usd rose. That's not the best sign for eu bulls. 1258/73 is the support. sometimes pa gets in a cycle where bad usd news, has the opposite effect. I think usd pa is getting into this cycle.
beware.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #37,656
  • Jul 5, 2019 7:50am Jul 5, 2019 7:50am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} 25bps cut was 70% before.....that is one I watch
I got it...

Now, a 50bp cut has pretty much halved to 11.5%. 25bp cut now 88.5% vs 77.5%

Market still think 25bp rate cut in July
  • #37,657
  • Jul 5, 2019 7:53am Jul 5, 2019 7:53am
Quoting Boulder
shorted 1241... TP 1231..
miss my TP by 1 pip.....I will add more shorts...
  • #37,658
  • Jul 5, 2019 8:01am Jul 5, 2019 8:01am
[quote=gatorinla;12367033]{quote} at 1256 now.. possible bounce.. at the end of the day closing below 1256 today, should be bearish[/quote]
updating ... 1255.... in the cycle, pa makes any news good for usd. no matter good or bad.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #37,659
  • Jul 5, 2019 8:01am Jul 5, 2019 8:01am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} miss my TP by 1 pip.....I will add more shorts...
add short 1244..
  • #37,660
  • Jul 5, 2019 8:02am Jul 5, 2019 8:02am
Stopped out -10.

Re entered at 1240 for scalp.

Out with +5... 5 more to get to break even
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