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The Swamp

  • #37,601
  • Jul 3, 2019 2:03pm Jul 3, 2019 2:03pm
Quoting gatorinla
maybe a test of 1145.9/1175 to come. maybe much more, with a Friday close below 1175 (in the next few week). Day/week close below 1257 support look to test 1175.. {image}
pa atm 1280 atm. 2h before close. 3X swap coming on close. possible gap to open 1272. that may be a bearish open.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #37,602
  • Edited 4:13pm Jul 3, 2019 4:02pm | Edited 4:13pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} pa atm 1280 atm. 2h before close. 3X swap coming on close. possible gap to open 1272. that may be a bearish open.
no gap,, but the 4h closed under the 200. Some R at 1277 may develop..Its too close to see atm.. it may pass through 1277 a few times since its not below 1268/73 support. check back tomorrow to see if 1268 is closed below. (below friday close is better)
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #37,603
  • Jul 3, 2019 4:17pm Jul 3, 2019 4:17pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} no gap,, but the 4h closed under the 200. Some R at 1277 may develop..Its too close to see atm.. it may pass through 1277 a few times since its not below 1268/73 support. check back tomorrow to see if 1268 is closed below. (below friday close is better) {image}
Very interesting prices you have there... I would have no problem to put TP on any of those
Can you afford to take that chance?
  • #37,604
  • Jul 3, 2019 4:41pm Jul 3, 2019 4:41pm
Quoting auricforecas
{quote} Very interesting prices you have there... I would have no problem to put TP on any of those
its a u.s. holiday.. it may bounce around the 1267ish/1287ish step.. It may just wick around here a while before Friday close. Lower extended st range 1259ish.. This area is supportive.. Eventually I expect it to break lower. The last 4h closed below its 200. the last 4h is also stronger than an ordinary 4h, sense its also a day close. The week average range is 1242. So it may not go much deeper this week than 1242. It may be best to curve expectations for a big drop beyond 1242 till maybe next week..If Fridays close is below 1268, it leans to test 1175 and maybe 1145 ish..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #37,605
  • Jul 3, 2019 5:52pm Jul 3, 2019 5:52pm
if someone wants to short uj.. here at current levels near 107.90 is good R/Rshort.. with less than a 20 pip stop. ATM level 107.77.. soft stop above 107.90.. but give it some room.. it has hundreds of pip potential.. light support once 4h closes below 107.47... not so bad for a minimal risk. since most trends excluding the 4h are lower. if 107.9 does not hold dont fret. cut the size and sell tiny. positions till 108.95.. selling small positions atm in case 107.9 is tested. on these my stop is smaller. Or pick your own line in the sand to sell below 108.95.atm, 107.9 is a soft line. As long as the hours continue to close below.

another R is 107.92

the swap sucks.. u may want to close each day before roll..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #37,606
  • Jul 3, 2019 6:09pm Jul 3, 2019 6:09pm
Quoting gatorinla
if someone wants to short uj.. here at current levels near 107.90 is good R/Rshort.. with less than a 20 pip stop. ATM level 107.77.. soft stop above 107.90.. but give it some room.. it has hundreds of pip potential.. light support once 4h closes below 107.47... not so bad for a minimal risk. since most trends excluding the 4h are lower. if 107.9 does not hold dont fret. cut the size and sell tiny. positions till 108.95.. selling small positions atm in case 107.9 is tested. on these my stop is smaller. Or pick your own line in the sand to sell below...
PS, I'm ok with you losing 1 or 2 % on this trade. Any more than that is on you. Respect the boundaries. If you trade out of the boundaries, its your fault.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #37,607
  • Jul 3, 2019 11:47pm Jul 3, 2019 11:47pm
With the US on holiday and option expiry packed from 1.1265 to 1.1315 I expect nothing but range today. I hope I can get good prices to sell high and buy low. Anything in the 1.129s I'll sell and anything in the 1.126s I'll buy.

Good day all.
  • #37,608
  • Jul 4, 2019 4:10am Jul 4, 2019 4:10am
from Ransquawk
Attached Image
  • #37,609
  • Jul 4, 2019 4:19am Jul 4, 2019 4:19am
Quoting Boulder
from Ransquawk {image}
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #37,610
  • Jul 4, 2019 5:53am Jul 4, 2019 5:53am
  •  dot0
  • | Joined Sep 2012 | Status: I pity the fool that fails to laugh | 368 Posts
Quoting Boulder
from Ransquawk {image}
is there any gold option data?
c'mon baby, daddy needs brand new clogs...
  • #37,611
  • Jul 4, 2019 8:03am Jul 4, 2019 8:03am
Quoting dot0
{quote} is there any gold option data?
not from my source...
  • #37,612
  • Jul 4, 2019 8:20am Jul 4, 2019 8:20am
A few data points atm...unless bulls can push through H4 1318, this may be on its way to test day uptrend stop at 1183...

H1 downtrend stop 1290
H4 downtrend stop 1318
Day uptrend stop 1183
Week downtrend stop 1390
Month uptrend stop 1145
  • #37,613
  • Jul 4, 2019 8:35am Jul 4, 2019 8:35am
Quoting gatorinla
if someone wants to short uj.. here at current levels near 107.90 is good R/Rshort.. with less than a 20 pip stop. ATM level 107.77.. soft stop above 107.90.. but give it some room.. it has hundreds of pip potential.. light support once 4h closes below 107.47... not so bad for a minimal risk. since most trends excluding the 4h are lower. if 107.9 does not hold dont fret. cut the size and sell tiny. positions till 108.95.. selling small positions atm in case 107.9 is tested. on these my stop is smaller. Or pick your own line in the sand to sell below...
void this smaller setup with a close 107.86+ now, on a hour close... pa atm 107.82. Replace 107.90 with 107.85
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #37,614
  • Jul 4, 2019 8:40am Jul 4, 2019 8:40am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} its a u.s. holiday.. it may bounce around the 1267ish/1287ish step.. It may just wick around here a while before Friday close. Lower extended st range 1259ish.. This area is supportive.. Eventually I expect it to break lower. The last 4h closed below its 200. the last 4h is also stronger than an ordinary 4h, sense its also a day close. The week average range is 1242. So it may not go much deeper this week than 1242. It may be best to curve expectations for a big drop beyond 1242 till maybe next week..If Fridays close is below 1268, it leans...
4th
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #37,615
  • Jul 4, 2019 8:49am Jul 4, 2019 8:49am
eu 1273.2 and 1268 are the ones..1277 the one closed below yesterday.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #37,616
  • Jul 4, 2019 9:29am Jul 4, 2019 9:29am
Quoting Boulder
A few data points atm...unless bulls can push through H4 1318, this may be on its way to test day uptrend stop at 1183... H1 downtrend stop 1290 H4 downtrend stop 1318 Day uptrend stop 1183 Week downtrend stop 1390 Month uptrend stop 1145
that would be fine with me. You should try chocolate covered mango.. mmmmmmm
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #37,617
  • Jul 4, 2019 9:30am Jul 4, 2019 9:30am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} void this smaller setup with a close 107.86+ now, on a hour close... pa atm 107.82. Replace 107.90 with 107.85
held, now lets see if this is the top..UJ
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #37,618
  • Jul 4, 2019 10:06am Jul 4, 2019 10:06am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} that would be fine with me. You should try chocolate covered mango.. mmmmmmm
glad you are in a happy mood....
  • #37,619
  • Jul 4, 2019 11:44am Jul 4, 2019 11:44am
Quoting gatorinla
if someone wants to short uj.. here at current levels near 107.90 is good R/Rshort.. with less than a 20 pip stop. ATM level 107.77.. soft stop above 107.90.. but give it some room.. it has hundreds of pip potential.. light support once 4h closes below 107.47... not so bad for a minimal risk. since most trends excluding the 4h are lower. if 107.9 does not hold dont fret. cut the size and sell tiny. positions till 108.95.. selling small positions atm in case 107.9 is tested. on these my stop is smaller. Or pick your own line in the sand to sell below...
uj compressing further, new level... void the st part with an hout close above 107.84 now.. if its going to drop, that may have been the high a couple of hours ago.

GBP in the same boat hour wise 2586.. it too may have reached a high before drop.

I have limited my gbp shorts to this level now. An hour close above 2586 and my shorts are less pretty. Staying below lines up with trend.

eu wise that number may be 1291/90.. I continue shorting with h closes below 1290
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #37,620
  • Jul 4, 2019 11:51am Jul 4, 2019 11:51am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} glad you are in a happy mood....
Ready to kick off the shoes..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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