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The Swamp

  • #37,381
  • Jun 28, 2019 10:26am Jun 28, 2019 10:26am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} For me still just month end rebalancing .. nothing indicators trend..just chop... Monday will be the day to decide where euro will go next... I am not trading anymore today . I have set my 1390 short with 10 pips TP.. leave there for the weekend if not hit.. since oanda has triple swap with the weekend.. btw, citi guy shorted 1391..
It is also SOMA on Monday, so PUMP before NY and then dump
  • #37,382
  • Jun 28, 2019 10:28am Jun 28, 2019 10:28am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} scalp a short here 1390 {image}
out 1380 +10....I am done today...
  • #37,383
  • Jun 28, 2019 10:44am Jun 28, 2019 10:44am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} For me still just month end rebalancing .. nothing indicators trend..just chop... Monday will be the day to decide where euro will go next... I am not trading anymore today . I have set my 1390 short with 10 pips TP.. leave there for the weekend if not hit.. since oanda has triple swap with the weekend.. btw, citi guy shorted 1391..
Sunday ends the Q too.. If bulls can't hold above 1360 today at ny close, bears may try to end the quarter/Sunday below 1231. Bears are awal atm. They need to close below 1360.... Closing between 1390 and 1360, may just leave 1390 for bulls to close next week..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #37,384
  • Jun 28, 2019 10:50am Jun 28, 2019 10:50am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} out 1380 +10....I am done today...
better
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #37,385
  • Jun 28, 2019 10:53am Jun 28, 2019 10:53am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} better {image}
what a amazing week.......happy for you...
  • #37,386
  • Jun 28, 2019 11:48am Jun 28, 2019 11:48am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} Sunday ends the Q too.. If bulls can't hold above 1360 today at ny close, bears may try to end the quarter/Sunday below 1231. Bears are awal atm. They need to close below 1360.... Closing between 1390 and 1360, may just leave 1390 for bulls to close next week..
live test atm.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #37,387
  • Jun 28, 2019 12:27pm Jun 28, 2019 12:27pm
Month end rebalancing going on..what crazy spikes ..so fast and how..time to call weekend early..this craziness will go on for few more hours .
  • #37,388
  • Jun 28, 2019 12:47pm Jun 28, 2019 12:47pm
Quoting euroboy2208
Month end rebalancing going on..what crazy spikes ..so fast and how..time to call weekend early..this craziness will go on for few more hours .
just be on the right side.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #37,389
  • Jun 28, 2019 1:19pm Jun 28, 2019 1:19pm
EG hit small target and might retrace to 0.897x before going down to 0.887x
EU same, it hit small target and might retrace to 1.148x before going back down
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #37,390
  • Jun 28, 2019 2:23pm Jun 28, 2019 2:23pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} just be on the right side.
Thanks mate.

Euro has been on a 68 pip range for the entire week..last it had been so narrow in 2004.. seems like big boys will make a pretty big move soon.

Cftc position might give a clue tonight..
  • #37,391
  • Jun 28, 2019 2:29pm Jun 28, 2019 2:29pm
1.5h to go.. lets see if we fight or gap 1360 or 1390..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #37,392
  • Jun 28, 2019 2:35pm Jun 28, 2019 2:35pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} what a amazing week.......happy for you...
getting back on track..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #37,393
  • Jun 28, 2019 4:01pm Jun 28, 2019 4:01pm
Quoting gatorinla
1.5h to go.. lets see if we fight or gap 1360 or 1390..
stuck between 1360 and 1390.. possible gap Sunday... Q close t 1231..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #37,394
  • Jun 28, 2019 5:53pm Jun 28, 2019 5:53pm
www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-48807161

This is significant for EUR
Its all just one persons opinion
  • #37,395
  • Jun 28, 2019 9:42pm Jun 28, 2019 9:42pm
After 4 weeks cutting back on Eur/Usd shorts, the institutions started to add back shorts again, which is shown in the latest COT on June 25 2019. The closing price on that day was 1.1366
3,510 long contracts were cut, and 455 short contracts were added. Now Longs total 159,285 contracts vs shorts total 215,580 contracts .
42% long exposure vs 58% short exposure, which 1% decreased in longs and 1% increased in shorts from the previous week
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  • #37,396
  • Jun 29, 2019 6:32am Jun 29, 2019 6:32am
Quoting Boulder
After 4 weeks cutting back on Eur/Usd shorts, the institutions started to add back shorts again, which is shown in the latest COT on June 25 2019. The closing price on that day was 1.1366 3,510 long contracts were cut, and 455 short contracts were added. Now Longs total 159,285 contracts vs shorts total 215,580 contracts . 42% long exposure vs 58% short exposure, which 1% decreased in longs and 1% increased in shorts from the previous week {image}
1390 may hold. The week ended in a dogi. So did Friday end in a dogi, 1367ish. The close is above to 200, but may gap below. 1231 is 130 pips away. I doubt pa will make it, to close the quarter below 1231. It's possible, but unlikely. Soma may do it monday. Along with cot, weekly 1390 rejection, and 1387.7 month rejection. Lets see if there is a gap..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #37,397
  • Jun 29, 2019 6:37am Jun 29, 2019 6:37am
eu 1390 week held and usdx week held 96.04
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #37,398
  • Jun 29, 2019 7:39pm Jun 29, 2019 7:39pm
Quoting axecap
www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-48807161 This is significant for EUR
while we destroy our markets, the world passes us by.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #37,399
  • Jun 30, 2019 10:28am Jun 30, 2019 10:28am
Quoting frankiev2
Todays close in EU will most likely be around this level. Thanks to the spike and no return down after retrace you should prepare yourself for sideways action the next couple of days. If lucky maybe a couple of pips lower. EU doesn't like engulfing bars with pins. Especially in top formation. So unless we close in the lows today, EU is gonna be a son of a b*tch. CHF pairs is much more fun these days.
Well that was not a surprise. Did start watching it friday for a sign of selloff building, but that did not happen. We have had shorts added most likely all week, they should start get defended next week. Question is how far down we go! Monthly candle sure do not look bearish. Weekly did not look bullish. My view is if it should start building weakness it needs to go deep. Min 1208-1235 ish, if it turns before or at 1296 i think bulls are hungry and that could lead to explosions. ATR still rising..
  • #37,400
  • Jun 30, 2019 3:19pm Jun 30, 2019 3:19pm
Quoting frankiev2
{quote} Well that was not a surprise. Did start watching it friday for a sign of selloff building, but that did not happen. We have had shorts added most likely all week, they should start get defended next week. Question is how far down we go! Monthly candle sure do not look bearish. Weekly did not look bullish. My view is if it should start building weakness it needs to go deep. Min 1208-1235 ish, if it turns before or at 1296 i think bulls are hungry and that could lead to explosions. ATR still rising..
Today starts at 1.1358
Its all just one persons opinion
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