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The Swamp

  • #34,441
  • May 3, 2019 10:06am May 3, 2019 10:06am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} either reversal or bulltrap...
its not inline.. usdx closed below 200 ema 1h. but I have a buy also.. eu broke 1h trend.. but closed below 4h 1200.. Its conflicted.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,442
  • May 3, 2019 10:27am May 3, 2019 10:27am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} no, the programmer didn't code according to my specific instruction... he used common method..
do you know how to correct it?
When life gives you lemons, make lemonade
  • #34,443
  • May 3, 2019 10:27am May 3, 2019 10:27am
Me feeling is retrace still in the works here.. to go up more. I will post more later but too here is 1.16 for me.

Taking out 1131 was my thought to keep bears in power. We didnt quite reach. Switching off for the weekend. Monday is uk holiday
  • #34,444
  • May 3, 2019 10:38am May 3, 2019 10:38am
Quoting micho
{quote} do you know how to correct it?
The programmer corrected it.. thanks micho..
  • #34,445
  • May 3, 2019 10:58am May 3, 2019 10:58am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} The programmer corrected it.. thanks micho..
looks like a day close below 1196 is good for a drop. below 1183 stronger. (fluid levels)
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,446
  • May 3, 2019 11:27am May 3, 2019 11:27am
nap for an h. Have a good weekend.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,447
  • May 3, 2019 1:01pm May 3, 2019 1:01pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} looks like a day close below 1196 is good for a drop. below 1183 stronger. (fluid levels)
bulls are trying.. after close. a little autopsy is due. Its amazing good employment news sent it up. Its the 1145.9 effect. The week would have closed below, w/o large bull protection of 1145 by bots etc.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,448
  • May 3, 2019 1:35pm May 3, 2019 1:35pm
April 30 COT report just out, seeing institutions and hedge funds continued Euro bearish bet to maxinum level since 2016
Their net short positions increased last week by 126 contracts. The closing price on that day was 1.1215
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  • #34,449
  • May 3, 2019 1:42pm May 3, 2019 1:42pm
Quoting Boulder
April 30 COT report just out, seeing institutions and hedge funds continued Euro bearish bet to maxinum level since 2016 Their net short positions increased last week by 126 contracts. The closing price on that day was 1.1215 {image}
eu 1h trigger will probably hit soon. the day is still bearish at 1225.. I'm waiting for the day to close to get a better number.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,450
  • May 3, 2019 2:03pm May 3, 2019 2:03pm
I feel like we will see some more force upwards. With good NFP numbers this ended bad for usd this week. My 1.08 target remains.

But i am not a seller for now. 1.1620 missed early on, lots of resistance above 1.12 so hit and run is my plan.
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  • #34,451
  • May 3, 2019 2:06pm May 3, 2019 2:06pm
on oanda the close was below 1197, that's more bearish to me than 1225. I have the same problem as last week. I see several closes from 4 brokers with 4 different closes. below 1225 is probably the new number for bearish. checking now..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,452
  • May 3, 2019 2:33pm May 3, 2019 2:33pm
monday numbers.. below 1197.x close should been bearish.. the problem I have is some brokers closed above 1197.. checking 4h shortly..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,453
  • May 3, 2019 2:40pm May 3, 2019 2:40pm
Quoting gatorinla
monday numbers.. below 1197.x close should been bearish.. the problem I have is some brokers closed above 1197.. checking 4h shortly.. {image}
the 4h close also closed on the bearish side, the problem is. some closes have 1198 plus. That would weaken the bearish 4h view if above 1198..
get a 4h close below 1185 should give bears the ball again. The problem is 1145.9 needs a month close below. Fundi wise, 1145.9 should fail its support. But between now and then. It will get rejection bounces. This rejection could last all summer. A range may develop here. The 200 day ema is still near 1400. 1145 to 1200 ish is only 55 pips.. 1145 is a big number, so bounces can be larger. week wise R at 1252 and 1315..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,454
  • May 3, 2019 8:07pm May 3, 2019 8:07pm
;
Inserted Video
  • #34,455
  • Edited 10:52am May 5, 2019 6:31am | Edited 10:52am
Inserted Video


forex=kill or to be killed.
don't predict direction, but dance with flow of water
  • #34,456
  • May 5, 2019 7:49am May 5, 2019 7:49am
Quoting priceaction1
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M3XyfduM7_k
With high respect to Yours.
And to expand that:
Inserted Video
Not to Advance is to Fall Back
  • #34,457
  • May 5, 2019 10:13am May 5, 2019 10:13am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} the 4h close also closed on the bearish side, the problem is. some closes have 1198 plus. That would weaken the bearish 4h view if above 1198.. get a 4h close below 1185 should give bears the ball again. The problem is 1145.9 needs a month close below. Fundi wise, 1145.9 should fail its support. But between now and then. It will get rejection bounces. This rejection could last all summer. A range may develop here. The 200 day ema is still near 1400. 1145 to 1200 ish is only 55 pips.. 1145 is a big number, so bounces can be larger. week wise...
My broker closed at 1.1202-05
  • #34,458
  • May 5, 2019 11:57am May 5, 2019 11:57am
Quoting jaylovin
{quote} My broker closed at 1.1202-05
it did closed below 1214 and 1209.. A lower week close.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,459
  • May 5, 2019 12:27pm May 5, 2019 12:27pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} it did closed below 1214 and 1209.. A lower week close.
Bloomberg show gap down atm
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  • #34,460
  • May 5, 2019 12:32pm May 5, 2019 12:32pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Bloomberg show gap down atm {image}
it may have been just a normal 4h retrace from near 1145
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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