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The Swamp

  • #34,341
  • May 2, 2019 12:28pm May 2, 2019 12:28pm
Quoting gatorinla
AJ did close bearish Tuesday. AJ is already over its edge. EU at some point should follow. Timing is the tough part. <<1145.9>> is still the key. Out to get some fresh air on the tractor. Good luck.
What about bitcoin. It wasnt around in 2008. Will it survive if the markets crash?
  • #34,342
  • May 2, 2019 12:42pm May 2, 2019 12:42pm
Damn i have no balls to hold trades. More down still to go. 1150 may pause it.
  • #34,343
  • May 2, 2019 12:58pm May 2, 2019 12:58pm
Quoting mars1
{quote} What about bitcoin. It wasnt around in 2008. Will it survive if the markets crash?
dont know if the market is going to crash. I think it may have a big drop. 2008 had liquidity pulled out of markets snowball in marin calls. The rules have changed. Banks hold more reserves now. A crash is less likely. A drop, is less likely to cause a liquidity drain. 10 years w/o much retrace. It's due for one. AJ is indicating a large correction.
Don't know about bitcoin. It already had a big retrace..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,344
  • May 2, 2019 1:42pm May 2, 2019 1:42pm
Quoting ZenNy
geppy short 145.75
close at 26


Eu buy limit pending cancelled.
trading is simple but is simple is not easy.
  • #34,345
  • May 2, 2019 4:31pm May 2, 2019 4:31pm
the day closed bearish again. R levels that may provide a sell.. change yesterday's 1252 to 1247..NFP is the wildcard.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,346
  • May 2, 2019 8:40pm May 2, 2019 8:40pm
5/3/2019 levels, next to print 1184 or 1158

WP R1 ----------1.1230
RU R3 ----------1.1219
MP PP ----------1.1218
FP R2 ----------1.1217
FP R1 ----------1.1206
RU R2 ----------1.1197
FP PP ----------1.1187
RU R1 ----------1.1184
WP PP ----------1.1173
FP S1 ----------1.1169
FP S2 ----------1.1158
RU S1 ----------1.1157
RU S2 ----------1.1144
FP S3 ----------1.1139
MP S1 ----------1.1137
RU S3 ----------1.1123
WP S1 ----------1.1116
  • #34,347
  • May 2, 2019 10:02pm May 2, 2019 10:02pm
AJ looking pretty bearish on the monthly me thinks...
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Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #34,348
  • May 3, 2019 3:15am May 3, 2019 3:15am
1167.8 +- close this h continue or reject. reject may be a 1201 bounce. light R below it 1184ish. NFP coming this may be volatile. GBP news in 10 min. EU in 40 min
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,349
  • May 3, 2019 3:24am May 3, 2019 3:24am
the 5m is making new lows.......not trading before the news.....I might trade at it....
trading is simple but is simple is not easy.
  • #34,350
  • May 3, 2019 3:44am May 3, 2019 3:44am
Quoting gatorinla
1167.8 +- close this h continue or reject. reject may be a 1201 bounce. light R below it 1184ish. NFP coming this may be volatile. GBP news in 10 min. EU in 40 min {image}
1167 also H4 uptrend stop, in case it fails to hold at H4 close..all trends from M15, H1, H4 , daily weekly are all in downtrend...20 mins to go.. I will add a short if H4 fail to hold its trend..
  • #34,351
  • May 3, 2019 3:59am May 3, 2019 3:59am
Quoting gatorinla
1167.8 +- close this h continue or reject. reject may be a 1201 bounce. light R below it 1184ish. NFP coming this may be volatile. GBP news in 10 min. EU in 40 min {image}
nothing bullish on any time frame 1h plus to me for days now. NFP likely to be higher than estimate. 1145 looks to be tested.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,352
  • May 3, 2019 4:02am May 3, 2019 4:02am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} 1167 also H4 uptrend stop, in case it fails to hold at H4 close..all trends from M15, H1, H4 , daily weekly are all in downtrend...20 mins to go.. I will add a short if H4 fail to hold its trend..
you should be heavy shorts and closing longs and opening shorts on bounces
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,353
  • May 3, 2019 4:12am May 3, 2019 4:12am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} you should be heavy shorts and closing longs and opening shorts on bounces
I took 11 pips loss at yesterday's long 1173.. yet wait for the bounce to add shorts...
  • #34,354
  • May 3, 2019 4:19am May 3, 2019 4:19am
Euro is dead..we may see previous low today...

RU R1 ----------1.1184
WP PP ----------1.1173
FP S1 ----------1.1169
FP S2 ----------1.1158
RU S1 ----------1.1157
RU S2 ----------1.1144
FP S3 ----------1.1139
MP S1 ----------1.1137
RU S3 ----------1.1123
WP S1 ----------1.1116
MP S2 ----------1.1087
  • #34,355
  • May 3, 2019 4:22am May 3, 2019 4:22am
Quoting Boulder
Euro is dead..we may see previous low today... RU R1 ----------1.1184 WP PP ----------1.1173 FP S1 ----------1.1169 FP S2 ----------1.1158 RU S1 ----------1.1157 RU S2 ----------1.1144 FP S3 ----------1.1139 MP S1 ----------1.1137 RU S3 ----------1.1123 WP S1 ----------1.1116 MP S2 ----------1.1087
its getting close to 1145.9.. selling bounces here.. 1152 is the first 4h target. 78% chance. tp 2 1127 50%
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,356
  • May 3, 2019 4:33am May 3, 2019 4:33am
Option expiry today.....

EUR/USD: EUR amounts

  1. 1.1100 640m
  2. 1.1150 910m
  3. 1.1155 595m
  4. 1.1200 1.9bn
  5. 1.1210 697m

  • #34,357
  • May 3, 2019 4:46am May 3, 2019 4:46am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} its getting close to 1145.9.. selling bounces here.. 1152 is the first 4h target. 78% chance. tp 2 1127 50%
1128 52%,
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,358
  • May 3, 2019 4:55am May 3, 2019 4:55am
Quoting Boulder
Option expiry today..... EUR/USD: EUR amounts 1.1100 640m 1.1150 910m 1.1155 595m 1.1200 1.9bn 1.1210 697m
below 1.12 looks 3x more likely..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,359
  • May 3, 2019 5:27am May 3, 2019 5:27am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} below 1.12 looks 3x more likely.. {image}
it means pa will stuck around 1150/55 range for now, in case very bad NFP numbers , the high it can go close to 1200 since big option expiry there for R...

in case just ok numbers, pa may stuck here 1150s... big move will happen after option settle...

I am not going to trade till NFP is out..
  • #34,360
  • May 3, 2019 5:41am May 3, 2019 5:41am
watching 9805/15 for a clue...
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Look Sharp/Trade Tight
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