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The Swamp

  • #34,301
  • May 2, 2019 3:53am May 2, 2019 3:53am
Quoting gatorinla
swapping to 4h, next h close below 1194 looks bearish... All my 4h are not inline yet.. 1208.7 is a 4h R. I need pa to get below 1194 to pull 1208 lower..
Just waking up, the 4h never closed below 1194. Looks like 1225 minimal.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,302
  • May 2, 2019 3:56am May 2, 2019 3:56am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} atm 1202.5 has stopped up move from 1186.. I say its bearish. Selling spikes is my objective. I dont know if 1202 will hold off bulls enough to push below 1186. I'm not saying long. But u may be able to catch a spike to 1225, with 1227 R to keep your s/l in check.. 1227 + a few for the sweeper may be enough.. humpty has a new wall to 1247.. "Oh shit stop" is above 1261.. 1252+ a few for the sweeper. You can leave a pending here just in case. I said 1261 earlier. 1252 should be tough to get past.. cancel 1261 {image}
waiting. 1227 is changed to 1229/30ish. 4h R to get past with close is now 1209
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,303
  • May 2, 2019 4:01am May 2, 2019 4:01am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} waiting. 1227 is changed to 1229/30ish. 4h R to get past with close is now 1209
4h just missed the close above 1209 last h.

pending s 1225, last 4h close wasn't positive my pending will hit being under 1209. Last h was a 12 h and higher than the previous 12h. 1225 is a normal retrace to me. I have to wait before entering additional shorts.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,304
  • May 2, 2019 4:53am May 2, 2019 4:53am
it could get wild..

AJ has a green light pulse to drop commodities and stocks. If so, mining stocks would take a bigger blow including CAT or other related business. Or other earth related commodity currencies. If someone is inclined to short some stocks.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,305
  • May 2, 2019 4:55am May 2, 2019 4:55am
..
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,306
  • May 2, 2019 5:22am May 2, 2019 5:22am
Currently we are in the range trade in intermediate period between H1 downtrend stop 1240 and H4 uptrend stop 1161. H1 is a fresh downtrend, Longer time frame bearish with daily and weekly all in downtrends.
  • #34,307
  • May 2, 2019 5:23am May 2, 2019 5:23am
scalp short 1202...
  • #34,308
  • May 2, 2019 5:31am May 2, 2019 5:31am
Quoting Amir_Forex
{image}{image}

TP1 was great... are you still looking for TP2 around the 1.1350 zone? OR does yesterdays FOMC have a different dynamic now and view?

Thanks in advance!
Cheers!!
  • #34,309
  • May 2, 2019 5:54am May 2, 2019 5:54am
NFP coming.. drop sails and set anchors. ADX was great. Unless NFP disappoints. 1145 looks to be tested. Yesterday's pa was bearish on close. 1145 is a big level with the entire month till it closes. Pa still may just range around 1145.. 1.1030ish is pong with 1145 as pp..

A rouge north spike may tire 1252ish.. A spike that ends the NY close below 1202 should be bearish. Bearish into a big level 1145.9..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,310
  • May 2, 2019 6:18am May 2, 2019 6:18am
Quoting gatorinla
NFP coming.. drop sails and set anchors. ADX was great. Unless NFP disappoints. 1145 looks to be tested. Yesterday's pa was bearish on close. 1145 is a big level with the entire month till it closes. Pa still may just range around 1145.. 1.1030ish is pong with 1145 as pp.. A rouge north spike may tire 1252ish.. A spike that ends the NY close below 1202 should be bearish. Bearish into a big level 1145.9..
Week close below 1214 should be bearish, day close below 1137 should be bearish. Often pa pumps before NFP. After adx had such a good report. Pa may have already pumped. just in case, I have 1225 norm pending till 1252..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,311
  • May 2, 2019 7:11am May 2, 2019 7:11am
Quoting gatorinla
NFP coming.. drop sails and set anchors. ADX was great. Unless NFP disappoints. 1145 looks to be tested. Yesterday's pa was bearish on close. 1145 is a big level with the entire month till it closes. Pa still may just range around 1145.. 1.1030ish is pong with 1145 as pp.. A rouge north spike may tire 1252ish.. A spike that ends the NY close below 1202 should be bearish. Bearish into a big level 1145.9..
you meant ADP
  • #34,312
  • May 2, 2019 7:13am May 2, 2019 7:13am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} you meant ADP
my bad.. Waiting for a spike/pump today/tomorrow before NFP to add. If not, after news I will decide.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,313
  • May 2, 2019 7:28am May 2, 2019 7:28am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} my bad.. Waiting for a spike/pump today/tomorrow before NFP to add. If not, after news I will decide.
its tough to trade right now.. I don't like this type trading with conflict info, M15 up, H1 down, H4 up , Day and weekly down..
  • #34,314
  • May 2, 2019 7:32am May 2, 2019 7:32am
Quoting Boulder
Currently we are in the range trade in intermediate period between H1 downtrend stop 1240 and H4 uptrend stop 1161. H1 is a fresh downtrend, Longer time frame bearish with daily and weekly all in downtrends.
now its 1218 H1 downtrend stop,
next to print 1230. or 1186, with H1 stop, bulls may have hard time to break H1 downtrend close H1 above 1218 to 1230..
  • #34,315
  • May 2, 2019 7:39am May 2, 2019 7:39am
By the way, we may be stuck in this range 1200/20 for a while due to option expiry.. once that is out of way after NY cut,, this will move, either up or down
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  • #34,316
  • May 2, 2019 7:42am May 2, 2019 7:42am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} now its 1218 H1 downtrend stop
yeah.. above 1145 you never know. some range is normal for weeks or more at big areas.. here is 1145 and 1209.. I still think 1145 will break. So I will sell the bounce.. yesterday's 1261 ish, is today's 1252ish. Pre NFP u may catch one there. If not 1315 is R too.. they are both dynamic. so if they went there. You could add a few to those levels. Not that I would long.. yesterday's close was bearish. But maybe asia and franky will bounce. I would just place shorts there Just in case of spike. Pendings without the emotion of trading in the heat of battle. Another reason I prefer not to long eu is the AJ closed below day edge.. Equities and commodities may be on borrowed time. EU usually will go the same direction on a systemic fall.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,317
  • May 2, 2019 7:44am May 2, 2019 7:44am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} yeah.. above 1145 you never know. some range is normal for weeks or more at big areas.. here is 1145 and 1209.. I still think 1145 will break. So I will sell the bounce.. yesterday's 1261 ish, is today's 1252ish. Pre NFP u may catch one there. If not 1315 is R too.. they are both dynamic. to if they went there. You could add a few to those levels. Not that I would long.. yesterday's close was bearish. But maybe asia and franky will bounce. I would just place shorts there Just in case of spike. Pendings without the emotion of trading in the...
thanks Gator, I will pend 1252..
  • #34,318
  • May 2, 2019 7:46am May 2, 2019 7:46am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} now its 1218 H1 downtrend stop, next to print 1230. or 1186, with H1 stop, bulls may have hard time to break H1 downtrend close H1 above 1218 to 1230..
Hi,

do you mark the levels on the chart or its indicator?
  • #34,319
  • May 2, 2019 7:48am May 2, 2019 7:48am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} yeah.. above 1145 you never know. some range is normal for weeks or more at big areas.. here is 1145 and 1209.. I still think 1145 will break. So I will sell the bounce.. yesterday's 1261 ish, is today's 1252ish. Pre NFP u may catch one there. If not 1315 is R too.. they are both dynamic. so if they went there. You could add a few to those levels. Not that I would long.. yesterday's close was bearish. But maybe asia and franky will bounce. I would just place shorts there Just in case of spike. Pendings without the emotion of trading in the...
Dead man walking here.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #34,320
  • May 2, 2019 7:54am May 2, 2019 7:54am
Dow level closing day below 26114 is a bad indication for stocks. The dam just has to seep a little water to start. Via AJ, it may have started.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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