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The Swamp

  • #33,501
  • Apr 16, 2019 5:27am Apr 16, 2019 5:27am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 4h is at 1295..last h closed below.. on the day need -1267. 1267 may fluctuate some before close. Atm pa is above on the bullish side of 1267.. but pa is below 1316/2x, the bear side. It should b/o,1 or the other. compressed b/o may be a large move.
in case H1 cannot hold, I have to join bulls for temporary..I will see...
  • #33,502
  • Apr 16, 2019 5:35am Apr 16, 2019 5:35am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} in case H1 cannot hold, I have join bulls for temporary..I will see...
no doubt it can go up some. 1316/1447 mid at 1382. dont fight bears if close is under 1267.. near 1209 is a unknown.. so is anything above 1145.. .. close a month below 1145, and it should open the floor to a large drop.

Pa is above 1267 ect.. bullish near it until it gives up, bearish near 1316 until it gives up..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #33,503
  • Apr 16, 2019 5:47am Apr 16, 2019 5:47am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} no doubt it can go up some. 1316/1447 mid at 1382. dont fight bears if close is under 1267.. near 1209 is a unknown.. so is anything above 1145.. .. close a month below 1145, and it should open the floor to a large drop. Pa is above 1267 ect.. bullish near it until it gives up, bearish near 1316 until it gives up..
I noted for me,, thanks...
  • #33,504
  • Apr 16, 2019 6:10am Apr 16, 2019 6:10am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I noted for me,, thanks...
nap time.. alerts on;;
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #33,505
  • Apr 16, 2019 7:04am Apr 16, 2019 7:04am
Quoting Boulder
testing H1 downtrend stop 1311, 50 mins to go....
5th test last 6 hours...
  • #33,506
  • Apr 16, 2019 8:52am Apr 16, 2019 8:52am
Euro is stuck in a tight range with M15, H1, daily and weekly in downtrends but H4 still in uptrend, which may get test soon ..at 1257

unless bulls can close above 1311 at H1 close , then bearish sentiment is off..


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  • #33,507
  • Apr 16, 2019 9:02am Apr 16, 2019 9:02am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} 5th test last 6 hours...
it took back 1306, 4h still didnt close below 1295. pa is still between 1267/1316. st against day 1267,1270 and 1287 is weak. st target 1263 needed 1306, it has it now. it can test 1287, and maybe pass 1270 and 1267.. 1253 should attract if it can. The Ny day close below 1267 is strong. But it may not be strong enough near 1209. near,can be wide.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #33,508
  • Apr 16, 2019 9:32am Apr 16, 2019 9:32am
Roughly less than a 60 pip range.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #33,509
  • Apr 16, 2019 10:25am Apr 16, 2019 10:25am
close to 132x looked like a good place for 1172 or lower. At least that's the way I'm playing this one. 1209 was/is my nemesis (above it atm). #2 1.1058 #3 1.0950 #4 1.0563 tweak with time. Closing month below 1145 would help, or stop my endeavor. (above my day nemesis 1263 atm) .. early fail or a stepping stone. My endeavor may take several starts and restarts. Lots of tweaking along the way. But the end goal atm 1172 should remain. Then so forth. With the month close below 1145
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #33,510
  • Apr 16, 2019 10:33am Apr 16, 2019 10:33am
Quoting gatorinla
close to 132x looked like a good place for 1172 or lower. At least that's the way I'm playing this one. 1209 was/is my nemesis (above it atm). #2 1.1058 #3 1.0950 #4 1.0563 tweak with time. Closing month below 1145 would help, or stop my endeavor. (above my day nemesis 1263 atm) .. early fail or a stepping stone. My endeavor may take several starts and restarts. Lots of tweaking along the way. But the end goal atm 1172 should remain. Then so forth. With the month close below 1145
8 tries on shorts today.... booked all profits... the last one just closed out at 1289..... I am done today....
  • #33,511
  • Apr 16, 2019 10:34am Apr 16, 2019 10:34am
LC closed lower.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #33,512
  • Apr 16, 2019 10:35am Apr 16, 2019 10:35am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} 8 tries on shorts today.. the last one just closed out at 1289... I am done today....
I wish u had held one with a green stop. Timing a move is difficult. It would be so cheap to hold one from near 1316/30 with a small stop. Then place the stop green.. you could collect interest. and just lower your stop if it fell. meanwhile you made enough to cover any small loss with those other trades.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #33,513
  • Apr 16, 2019 10:45am Apr 16, 2019 10:45am
test in progress.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #33,514
  • Apr 16, 2019 10:47am Apr 16, 2019 10:47am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I wish u had held one with a green stop. Timing a move is difficult. It would be so cheap to hold one from near 1316/30 with a small stop. Then place the stop green.. you could collect interest. and just lower your stop if it fell. meanwhile you made enough to cover any small loss with those other trades.
I didn't do that...my highest short today was 1311, I would got stopout if I placed breakeven....maybe another day ...I will consider this option...
  • #33,515
  • Apr 16, 2019 10:52am Apr 16, 2019 10:52am
I love the song...

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  • #33,516
  • Apr 16, 2019 10:58am Apr 16, 2019 10:58am
Quoting Boulder
{quote} I didn't do that...my highest short today was 1311, I would got stopout if I placed breakeven....maybe another day ...I will consider this option...
leave a pending in case.. trade while u sleep. (1216/30). even a 1/2 size trade.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #33,517
  • Apr 16, 2019 11:04am Apr 16, 2019 11:04am
NY close below 1267 today is a bearish sign, but nearer 1209 it may be supportive.. month close and other stuff at 1231/33..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #33,518
  • Apr 16, 2019 11:14am Apr 16, 2019 11:14am
Quoting gatorinla
NY close below 1267 today is a bearish sign, but nearer 1209 it may be supportive.. month close and other stuff at 1231/33..
lots of support till month closes below 1209 and 1145. it may be volatile. Gravity can drop it fairly quickly when ready. baby steps is the day close below 1267 today. Even then, she can't be trusted above 1209 and 1145.. It may take a big wtf move to get below 1145 decisive.

wash,rinse, repeat, until. Or take 1322+ either or go home. Range until
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #33,519
  • Apr 16, 2019 11:53am Apr 16, 2019 11:53am
Quoting Boulder
Just look up COT report for April 9, seeing institutions and hedge funds continued building up eur/usd short positions. Their net short positions increased last week by 3,014 contracts. The closing price on that day was 1.1262 {image}
Better to follow them .....since they are the ones who run the show...
  • #33,520
  • Edited 12:19pm Apr 16, 2019 12:09pm | Edited 12:19pm
Quoting Boulder
{quote} Better to follow them .....since they are the ones who run the show...
st pa target at 1263, just a pip above. 4h closed below 1295 and 4h 200.. still not <<<1267>>>.. 4h to go.
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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